TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xb860…e71f

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
91
Categories scored
18
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: Ncaa Basketball, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Ncaa Basketball at 56 out of 100; worst NHL at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 30, 2026, EDT1861.1%11 W · 7 L+1.2wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+8.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Celtics vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+77.8%+$9.96
Pistons vs. Timberwolvesbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+80.2%+$41.66
Spread: Timberwolves (-2.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+63.1%+$16.05
Lakers vs. Pistons: O/U 227.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$4.95
Wizards vs. Knicks: O/U 228.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+93.2%+$9.65
Thunder vs. Wizards: O/U 231.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.75
Warriors vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$4.95
Spread: Pistons (-14.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+100%+$19.74
Spread: Thunder (-19.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+105%+$12.16
Spread: Celtics (-12.5)backed Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$13.82
Spread: Nuggets (-16.5)backed 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.17
Spread: Timberwolves (-4.5)backed Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.09
Heat vs. Hornets: O/U 236.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.05
Heat vs. Hornetsbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.53
Thunder vs. Magicbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+26%+$6.49
Spread: Pistons (-19.5)backed Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$9.84
Spread: Celtics (-8.5)backed Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.99
Spread: Celtics (-9.5)backed Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
All 18 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT1656.3%9 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick64cpaid-23.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Credit One Charleston Open: Bianca Andreescu vs Dalma Galfibacked Dalma Galfi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.5
Split: Daniel Rincon vs Maxim Mrvabacked Maxim Mrva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+25%+$3.16
Naples: Jakub Paul vs Alexandre Mullerbacked Alexandre Muller · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+37%+$4.05
Dubrovnik: Anhelina Kalinina vs Lucia Bronzettibacked Anhelina Kalinina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+25%+$3
Sao Paulo: Pedro Sakamoto vs Thiago Monteirobacked Thiago Monteiro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+26.1%+$3.1
Miami Open: Alycia Parks vs Sinja Krausbacked Alycia Parks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$4.35
Miami Open: Rafael Jodar vs Yannick Hanfmannbacked Rafael Jodar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+52.2%+$5.3
Zadar: Lukas Neumayer vs Sumit Nagalbacked Sumit Nagal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.5
Zadar: Martin Krumich vs Matej Dodigbacked Martin Krumich · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.7
Miami Open, Qualification: Viktorija Golubic vs Nikola Bartunkovabacked Viktorija Golubic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+43.5%+$4.55
Miami Open, Qualification: Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Sho Shimabukurobacked Nikoloz Basilashvili · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+25%+$3
Miami Open, Qualification: Ella Seidel vs Rebeka Masarovabacked Rebeka Masarova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+47.9%+$6.54
Miami Open, Qualification: Yannick Hanfmann vs Luca Van Asschebacked Luca Van Assche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.38
Miami Open, Qualification: Yannick Hanfmann vs Leandro Riedibacked Leandro Riedi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.27
Miami Open, Qualification: Kamilla Rakhimova vs Leolia Jeanjeanbacked Leolia Jeanjean · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.17
Murcia: Miguel Damas vs Jan Choinskibacked Miguel Damas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.91
All 16 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.8wins+0.20per pick58cpaid+33.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Connecticut Huskies vs. Duke Blue Devilsbacked Connecticut Huskies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+194.6%+$71.4
Purdue Boilermakers vs. Arizona Wildcatsbacked Purdue Boilermakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.17
Spread: Duke Blue Devils (-6.5)backed Duke Blue Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.87
Missouri Tigers vs. Miami Hurricanesbacked Miami Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+86.9%+$9.22
Iowa Hawkeyes vs. Clemson Tigersbacked Iowa Hawkeyes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+44.2%+$4.57
Spread: Kentucky Wildcats (-2.5)backed Kentucky Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+81%+$8.87
Akron Zips vs. Texas Tech Red Raidersbacked Texas Tech Red Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+32.2%+$3.63
Wyoming Cowboys vs. Wichita State Shockersbacked Wichita State Shockers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+35.7%+$3.92
Liberty Flames vs. George Mason Patriotsbacked Liberty Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+28.5%+$4.42
All 9 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+11.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Team Falcons - Map 1 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.7
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs TYLOO - Map 2 Winnerbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+33.9%+$3.8
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Liquid - Map 2 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$3.9
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Aurora Gaming - Map 2 Winnerbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+45.8%+$4.81
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs B8 - Map 1 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+43.9%+$6.1
Counter-Strike: HEROIC Academy vs ex-Zero Tenacity - Map 2 Winnerbacked ex-Zero Tenacity · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+159.2%+$32.19
Counter-Strike: HEROIC Academy vs ex-Zero Tenacity (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #2 Playoffsbacked HEROIC Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.15
Counter-Strike: Players vs Guara Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked Guara Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.59
Counter-Strike: CSDIILIT vs Bushido Wildcats - Map 1 Winnerbacked Bushido Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+82.8%+$11.49
All 9 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.18per pick52cpaid-48.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
NHL — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Mar 30, 2026, EDT862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+14.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Mar 20, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: KKS Lech Poznań (-1.5)backed FK Shakhtar Donetsk · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+27.7%+$3.25
Aston Villa FC vs. Lille OSC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+32.7%+$3.7
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-03-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+28.1%+$15.45
All 3 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.30per pick71cpaid+42%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Augsburg win on 2026-03-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+37%+$4.05
Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5)backed FC Bayern München · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$4.8
All 2 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Mar 19, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Fujian Sturgeons vs. Beijing Ducksbacked Beijing Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.5
Nanjing Monkey King vs. Zhejiang Golden Bullsbacked Zhejiang Golden Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.3
All 2 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Cincinnati win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+81%+$8.95
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
FC Nantes vs. RC Strasbourg Alsace: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$4.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+33.5%+$6.7
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Everton FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$3.45
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US forces enter Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.70per pick70cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Santos FC win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.49
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.80per pick80cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Ilia Topuria · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$297Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$297.24
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.80per pick80cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
SC Braga vs. FC Porto: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.