TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Texas Rangers vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 7.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$79,988
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$80,230

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $79,988 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 83 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb45a…192cbacked Over53c49,924$26,299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23,624.8441149.1%202 W · 209 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under51c13,545$6,957 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,956.741,15149.2%566 W · 585 L-0.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under47c10,073$4,734 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,734.2565050.3%327 W · 323 L+0.9wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Under47c9,805$4,617 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,616.581,57248.3%759 W · 813 L-6.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5919…95acbacked Under48c7,563$3,644 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,643.6611454.4%62 W · 52 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Over45c6,493$2,933 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,560.31,04150.1%522 W · 519 L+17.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under48c5,759$2,765 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,764.9567849.3%334 W · 344 L+7.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Under48c3,611$1,744 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,744.3867250.1%337 W · 335 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Under47c3,191$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,499.771,40248.8%684 W · 718 L-11.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under50c3,123$1,550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,549.6746547.1%219 W · 246 L+5.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+6.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Under53c3,049$1,613 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,612.641,06348.2%512 W · 551 L-11.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under53c3,006$1,584 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,584.171,86552%970 W · 895 L+50.8wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+9.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xce99…637ebacked Over51c2,942$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,441.578646.5%40 W · 46 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1a96…0d7cbacked Over47c2,490$1,166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,324.133363.6%21 W · 12 L+4.5wins+0.14per pick50cpaid+23.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Over41c2,120$861 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,259.0515550.3%78 W · 77 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x339a…1eaebacked Under53c2,000$1,060 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,059.9817248.8%84 W · 88 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-2.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xce39…04d6backed Under51c1,998$1,019 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,018.756048.3%29 W · 31 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Over48c1,841$874 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$966.4132152%167 W · 154 L+7.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Over49c1,000$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5101,29250.2%648 W · 644 L+18.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Over54c935.74$508 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$428.039,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over46c928.15$426 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$502.1232348.9%158 W · 165 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0dad…4855backed Over46c904.05$419 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$485.1321052.9%111 W · 99 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa557…5e8abacked Under1c900$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1211914.3%17 W · 102 L+4.7wins+0.04per pick10cpaid+289.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Over49c791.69$389 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$402.211,52148.6%739 W · 782 L-5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Under56c722.64$402 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402.364,03557.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L+72.2wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x13e5…1ea5backed Under55c721.76$397 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$397.257949.4%39 W · 40 L-3.8wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-8.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over61c705.7$430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.186,11655.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L+344.6wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+8.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd51b…9606backed Under51c698.99$359 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$359.522548.4%109 W · 116 L-5.1wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Over51c585$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$284.81,05347.3%498 W · 555 L-14.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ec3…34a7backed Under56c539.23$303 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302.8516351.5%84 W · 79 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3ca4…aa92backed Over47c529.7$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$279.710057%57 W · 43 L+6.2wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+14%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Under54c527.72$284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$284.2595850%479 W · 479 L+4.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Over47c527.01$247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$280.2610539%41 W · 64 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-8.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over52c511.2$266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.516,89950.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L-7.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeab6…d4c6backed Over40c428.33$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25710744.9%48 W · 59 L+4.6wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+2.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3dcf…4eb4backed Under48c413.05$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.262630.8%8 W · 18 L-4.6wins-0.18per pick49cpaid-36.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Over48c334.99$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.111,28449.5%635 W · 649 L-1.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5316…1d07backed Under48c300$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14411647.4%55 W · 61 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf0ac…4ec7backed Under46c300$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1381,17329%340 W · 833 L-0.3wins0.00per pick29cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xed45…3de8backed Over52c300$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1441450%7 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under41c280.93$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.9912,24746.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L-68.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8632…4696backed Under47c234.03$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.9914444.4%64 W · 80 L-7.0wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-7.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb7cb…bc54backed Over46c219.13$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.1314953%79 W · 70 L+10.3wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+14.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5625…6c2abacked Under46c217.39$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008558.8%50 W · 35 L+5.6wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+12.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x22a4…63ebbacked Under54c204.83$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.751,20558.8%708 W · 497 L+31.1wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb2ca…d984backed Under49c204.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10038353.8%206 W · 177 L+16.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x450b…11d7backed Under49c204.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10012655.6%70 W · 56 L+5.4wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x292e…172cbacked Under49c204.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010056%56 W · 44 L+4.9wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa9e8…731cbacked Under51c201.73$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.882552%13 W · 12 L+1.6wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+10.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xab30…379fbacked Under8c200$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164714.9%7 W · 40 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick12cpaid-6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb6fc…b24ebacked Under52c192.03$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10047345.7%216 W · 257 L+2.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid+1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe414…c341backed Under52c145.49$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.9921847.7%104 W · 114 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca2d…39edbacked Over46c127.99$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.6923248.7%113 W · 119 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x73a2…3b68backed Under55c114.81$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.848154.3%44 W · 37 L0.0wins0.00per pick54cpaid-11.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2528…b77dbacked Under54c108$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.691,63055.2%899 W · 731 L+2.2wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0056…a7f7backed Under47c102.01$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.9414442.4%61 W · 83 L-9.9wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-14.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Over51c100$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$492,26145.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L+57.4wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x681d…4cbfbacked Over52c96.15$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.1547850.4%241 W · 237 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x67e6…86edbacked Under47c94.4$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.516440.6%26 W · 38 L-5.7wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-16.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0b95…07e5backed Under52c87.73$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.221947.4%9 W · 10 L-1.5wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-22.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3a51…b2b6backed Under54c79.33$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.153644.4%16 W · 20 L-2.3wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-8.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Under36c75$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$271,04349%511 W · 532 L+3.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x133a…f9d1backed Under53c70$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.19745.4%44 W · 53 L-5.5wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-11.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe363…c894backed Under47c68.03$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.971963.2%12 W · 7 L+3.3wins+0.17per pick46cpaid+24.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Under53c66$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.981,43550%717 W · 718 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa0c5…4291backed Under54c60.11$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.76956.5%39 W · 30 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+8.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe7be…908dbacked Under50c60.06$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.993745.9%17 W · 20 L+0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1bf7…6f57backed Under53c60$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.811250%56 W · 56 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8941…83d7backed Under54c54$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.115351.6%79 W · 74 L-0.7wins0.00per pick52cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4328…11d2backed Over46c50.32$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.176749.3%33 W · 34 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf93e…96eabacked Under53c50$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.5933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-28.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0c69…2b8dbacked Under48c49.35$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.6930750.2%154 W · 153 L-7.5wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b2d…cb6bbacked Over39c39.55$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.04666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+65.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe33d…9512backed Under49c36.49$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.7417244.2%76 W · 96 L-7.2wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-12.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5fea…78b1backed Under34c36.4$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.459431.9%30 W · 64 L-4.3wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-33.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd310…333ebacked Under41c33.01$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.561457.1%8 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x44e4…f624backed Under55c32$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.67653.9%41 W · 35 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb860…e71fbacked Over52c31.25$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+14.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under47c29.69$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.052,29649.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L+37.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x50c3…ace1backed Under57c25$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.286653%459 W · 407 L+16.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x75dc…4f82backed Under66c22.86$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.0930454.3%165 W · 139 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa427…f87fbacked Under53c19.81$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.59948.5%48 W · 51 L-6.5wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-11.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd650…8d74backed Over71c18$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.222556%14 W · 11 L-3.3wins-0.13per pick69cpaid-16.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.