TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Spread: Kentucky Wildcats (-2.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Kentucky Wildcatsof Kentucky Wildcats, Santa Clara Broncos
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$94,893

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $94,893 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 85 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5bff…ffbebacked Santa Clara Broncos46c36,533$16,802 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,802.095143.1%22 W · 29 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Kentucky Wildcats54c26,853$14,488 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,365.0946246.5%215 W · 247 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Kentucky Wildcats53c13,617$7,265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,351.62,89650%1,448 W · 1,448 L+71.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa080…234fbacked Santa Clara Broncos47c10,216$4,765 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,765.158148.1%39 W · 42 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb2a4…cf8abacked Santa Clara Broncos48c9,932$4,767 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,767.365759.6%34 W · 23 L+4.7wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+22.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Kentucky Wildcats52c9,898$5,189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,708.8712,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x021c…232fbacked Kentucky Wildcats53c7,891$4,182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,708.589250%46 W · 46 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7dd0…dc3dbacked Santa Clara Broncos48c5,200$2,496 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,49610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa7b8…42a5backed Kentucky Wildcats52c5,153$2,679 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,473.281100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Santa Clara Broncos45c4,108$1,852 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,851.745,55347.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L+26.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Santa Clara Broncos50c2,747$1,381 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,380.8125145.8%115 W · 136 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Santa Clara Broncos47c2,497$1,174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,173.7917742.9%76 W · 101 L+0.8wins0.00per pick42cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4b8a…f4a4backed Santa Clara Broncos50c2,485$1,237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,236.7818556.8%105 W · 80 L+14.2wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+15.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Kentucky Wildcats52c2,000$1,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96024451.2%125 W · 119 L-0.7wins0.00per pick52cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb9b4…75a0backed Kentucky Wildcats50c1,991$996 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$995.19244.6%41 W · 51 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick47cpaid+0.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Santa Clara Broncos47c1,939$911 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$911.4218744.9%84 W · 103 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6027…4320backed Kentucky Wildcats52c1,928$1,003 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$925.511,39752.7%736 W · 661 L+26.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Santa Clara Broncos48c1,923$923 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$923.11,15248.9%563 W · 589 L+3.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x05b9…2adfbacked Kentucky Wildcats55c1,802$991 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$811.0957248.1%275 W · 297 L-27.3wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-8.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xacae…6798backed Santa Clara Broncos47c1,190$559 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$559.0810749.5%53 W · 54 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xaa59…75ecbacked Kentucky Wildcats53c1,000$530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47014346.9%67 W · 76 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5a61…1787backed Kentucky Wildcats53c995.62$528 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$467.9416445.1%74 W · 90 L+8.4wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+14.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0549…c052backed Kentucky Wildcats54c767.47$414 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$353.041947.4%9 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x67a8…1f1ebacked Santa Clara Broncos58c541.1$314 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$313.723946.2%18 W · 21 L-0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbf26…6fe2backed Santa Clara Broncos46c538.75$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.832748.1%13 W · 14 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba8d…009dbacked Kentucky Wildcats55c510.53$281 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$229.747451.4%38 W · 36 L+8.3wins+0.11per pick40cpaid+39.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Santa Clara Broncos53c486.46$258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257.564,38240.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L+23.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x913b…0852backed Santa Clara Broncos51c349.73$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.6352843.6%230 W · 298 L-19.0wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7a33…2534backed Kentucky Wildcats55c300$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1355556.4%31 W · 24 L+6.4wins+0.12per pick45cpaid+18.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x450b…11d7backed Kentucky Wildcats51c272.11$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.331,25150.6%633 W · 618 L+12.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x335d…8f03backed Kentucky Wildcats52c236.71$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.498748.3%42 W · 45 L+0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x20ad…a7c6backed Kentucky Wildcats52c206.7$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.1335338.5%136 W · 217 L-18.1wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-14.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf6a7…0af9backed Kentucky Wildcats53c200$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$941850%9 W · 9 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+1.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x292e…172cbacked Kentucky Wildcats51c194.36$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.2483350.2%418 W · 415 L+0.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x36aa…a683backed Santa Clara Broncos48c173.3$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.2717446.6%81 W · 93 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Santa Clara Broncos49c165.77$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.211,23444.8%553 W · 681 L-32.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-8.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc6a1…b1ecbacked Kentucky Wildcats52c149.55$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.786349.2%31 W · 32 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4818…bf0bbacked Kentucky Wildcats52c133.27$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.973661.1%22 W · 14 L+6.3wins+0.18per pick44cpaid+31.2%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xb7e9…bdacbacked Kentucky Wildcats52c130.81$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.798046.3%37 W · 43 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-11.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1813…4dfebacked Santa Clara Broncos45c129.02$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.0630054%162 W · 138 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e9a…a9a8backed Kentucky Wildcats52c119.99$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.599866.3%65 W · 33 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+7.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x843a…2687backed Santa Clara Broncos46c107.75$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.577450%37 W · 37 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe12b…a340backed Kentucky Wildcats49c101.15$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.59742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-16.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x74e0…af4bbacked Kentucky Wildcats52c100$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.22per pick49cpaid+44.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Kentucky Wildcats55c90.12$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.562,01250%1,006 W · 1,006 L+22.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc056…7126backed Santa Clara Broncos44c86.65$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.13333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc0a2…3c41backed Kentucky Wildcats53c84.32$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.634463.6%28 W · 16 L+5.5wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+30.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x20d6…3856backed Kentucky Wildcats50c82.07$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.2821262.3%132 W · 80 L+34.7wins+0.16per pick46cpaid+37%equal weight66+0.15 edge/pick
0x7851…d471backed Santa Clara Broncos48c74.34$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.693256.3%18 W · 14 L+2.1wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+18%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked Kentucky Wildcats51c74.32$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.4250745.2%229 W · 278 L+0.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x927f…b921backed Santa Clara Broncos46c72.45$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.337146.5%33 W · 38 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Kentucky Wildcats52c70.67$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.13,68442.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L+32.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Kentucky Wildcats55c68.8$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.9617643.8%77 W · 99 L-8.2wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-8.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x50e0…776ebacked Santa Clara Broncos45c68.2$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.695038%19 W · 31 L-4.9wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-28.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x54ed…d4b2backed Santa Clara Broncos48c57.15$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.432454.2%13 W · 11 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+10%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe864…ce58backed Santa Clara Broncos48c57.15$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.4318048.9%88 W · 92 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x986c…dbc6backed Kentucky Wildcats52c50$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2410443.3%45 W · 59 L-6.1wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-11.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2b1e…6738backed Kentucky Wildcats52c50$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245054%27 W · 23 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+10.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe64…873ebacked Santa Clara Broncos48c49.56$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.793842.1%16 W · 22 L-2.5wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-14.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2425…0cc5backed Santa Clara Broncos49c45.12$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.1110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd23d…9d38backed Santa Clara Broncos57c43.69$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.791533.3%5 W · 10 L-1.9wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-37.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Santa Clara Broncos46c42.55$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.574,55250.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L-36.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Santa Clara Broncos45c41.66$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.7764647.5%307 W · 339 L+5.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x76d9…bc1dbacked Santa Clara Broncos49c41.27$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.2210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x67e6…86edbacked Santa Clara Broncos45c41.06$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.4829650.7%150 W · 146 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa2ac…5baebacked Santa Clara Broncos48c39.91$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.1610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x02f7…be08backed Kentucky Wildcats53c39.64$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.631100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a73…de17backed Kentucky Wildcats53c37.41$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.58757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+7.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xce4d…ade4backed Santa Clara Broncos45c36.75$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.54137.7%1 W · 12 L-4.6wins-0.35per pick43cpaid-85.5%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0xa2b4…4950backed Kentucky Wildcats53c36.58$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.191100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7900…3072backed Santa Clara Broncos48c36.31$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.4310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Santa Clara Broncos44c32.24$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.195,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x69bb…a8cabacked Kentucky Wildcats52c32.14$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.431100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa7ff…55f2backed Kentucky Wildcats52c30.5$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.64333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc1f7…c4e5backed Kentucky Wildcats51c30$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.713343.6%58 W · 75 L-7.8wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-14.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8632…4696backed Santa Clara Broncos44c29.9$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.1616650%83 W · 83 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2077…8161backed Kentucky Wildcats50c29.58$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.797561.3%46 W · 29 L+6.4wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+15.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x033f…618ebacked Santa Clara Broncos56c29.39$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.4627955.2%154 W · 125 L+22.0wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+22.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xdc19…8c3ebacked Kentucky Wildcats52c27.92$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x658b…1bf6backed Kentucky Wildcats55c27.03$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.172171.4%15 W · 6 L+3.1wins+0.15per pick57cpaid+25.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xa71a…2b37backed Kentucky Wildcats52c26.33$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.64250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick57cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed Kentucky Wildcats51c21.18$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.3857655%317 W · 259 L+17.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8f19…b0cabacked Santa Clara Broncos72c21.13$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.121464.3%9 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb860…e71fbacked Kentucky Wildcats55c19.83$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.87977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.8wins+0.20per pick58cpaid+33.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x40d9…b54dbacked Kentucky Wildcats56c19.08$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.41428.6%4 W · 10 L-1.4wins-0.10per pick38cpaid-44.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.