Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Santa Clara Broncos vs. Kentucky Wildcats: O/U 158.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2b9599a36fe5af07e4009e36433ef16907cf71e2ea2da1c31eaac338b8d93210
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $128,768
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $128,768 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 69 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5ec1…057cbacked Under | 54c | 32,791$17,844 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,843.73 | 89 | 57.3%51 W · 38 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 46c | 20,689$9,423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,265.93 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa080…234fbacked Under | 53c | 20,175$10,691 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,691.08 | 81 | 48.1%39 W · 42 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a2…ae70backed Over | 47c | 19,826$9,318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,507.58 | 148 | 54.1%80 W · 68 L | +7.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Over | 47c | 9,694$4,556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,137.83 | 223 | 49.3%110 W · 113 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 53c | 4,744$2,513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,512.69 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 46c | 3,954$1,828 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,126.25 | 187 | 44.9%84 W · 103 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Over | 38c | 2,092$798 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,293.96 | 841 | 47.4%399 W · 442 L | -13.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Over | 48c | 1,667$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$866.84 | 158 | 58.2%92 W · 66 L | +10.4wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 36c | 1,651$586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,064.45 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacae…6798backed Over | 47c | 1,556$731 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$824.85 | 107 | 49.5%53 W · 54 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0ef…39b6backed Under | 79c | 1,501$1,186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,186.42 | 64 | 64.1%41 W · 23 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 39c | 1,363$536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$827.81 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Under | 28c | 1,348$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.91 | 1,074 | 43.3%465 W · 609 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Over | 46c | 1,186$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$635.86 | 462 | 46.5%215 W · 247 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…684dbacked Over | 47c | 1,006$473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$533.3 | 231 | 49.8%115 W · 116 L | +14.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Under | 52c | 941.12$489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.38 | 394 | 54.6%215 W · 179 L | +21.3wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Over | 45c | 620.02$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.55 | 536 | 35.6%191 W · 345 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ca…d984backed Under | 53c | 561.1$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.38 | 162 | 53.1%86 W · 76 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a25…3c70backed Over | 21c | 485.53$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.84 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 40c | 438.39$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.04 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d34…3406backed Under | 73c | 408.12$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.93 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2123…8d70backed Under | 54c | 399.11$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.52 | 91 | 51.6%47 W · 44 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Over | 48c | 362.83$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.67 | 1,231 | 47%578 W · 653 L | -17.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7096…7f78backed Over | 29c | 342.34$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.06 | 222 | 50%111 W · 111 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Over | 48c | 227.94$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.43 | 1,234 | 44.8%553 W · 681 L | -32.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8dec…60c2backed Over | 47c | 208.11$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 142 | 45.8%65 W · 77 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2db1…45e5backed Over | 48c | 206.51$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.39 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Over | 17c | 199.01$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.18 | 586 | 52.9%310 W · 276 L | +23.3wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Over | 33c | 192.09$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.43 | 353 | 38.5%136 W · 217 L | -18.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xae09…60a2backed Over | 48c | 171$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.92 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 46c | 153.9$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.35 | 251 | 45.8%115 W · 136 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb4…3839backed Under | 51c | 128.65$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.61 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -3.4wins | -0.20per pick | 49cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Over | 47c | 127.52$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.59 | 300 | 54%162 W · 138 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6db…fcfcbacked Under | 52c | 101.11$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.58 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea74…cf99backed Over | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Over | 64c | 99.24$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.65 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked Under | 53c | 92.41$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.01 | 296 | 50.7%150 W · 146 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x175c…cd79backed Under | 52c | 85.97$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.71 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2de6…e187backed Over | 47c | 81.09$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.14 | 75 | 46.7%35 W · 40 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Over | 46c | 80.17$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.29 | 624 | 51.1%319 W · 305 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5016…ada1backed Under | 52c | 79.82$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.51 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc6…ae58backed Under | 52c | 68.4$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd454…b47fbacked Under | 53c | 67.33$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.69 | 218 | 50.9%111 W · 107 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc0…099dbacked Under | 53c | 65.46$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.69 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x08d1…28adbacked Under | 54c | 63.41$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.24 | 59 | 44.1%26 W · 33 L | -4.2wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Under | 52c | 60.94$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.74 | 220 | 47.7%105 W · 115 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe903…0b88backed Over | 28c | 56.58$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.58 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -3.8wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0e72…54f0backed Over | 46c | 53.88$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.09 | 85 | 43.5%37 W · 48 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe2ba…3ba9backed Over | 55c | 52.36$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.56 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61e4…fb60backed Over | 47c | 49.56$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.27 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +3.0wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…d6a5backed Under | 74c | 45.43$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.6 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c4a…4fb5backed Under | 55c | 45.19$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.78 | 74 | 59.5%44 W · 30 L | +5.9wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed Under | 40c | 45$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.2 | 97 | 25.8%25 W · 72 L | -7.5wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa24d…38b2backed Under | 50c | 43.47$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.73 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +2.8wins | +0.13per pick | 42cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5e78…70c7backed Over | 48c | 40.52$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.07 | 25 | 72%18 W · 7 L | +4.7wins | +0.19per pick | 53cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x91e0…26a0backed Under | 41c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.4 | 74 | 43.2%32 W · 42 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6894…59d8backed Over | 51c | 38.88$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.05 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -4.7wins | -0.17per pick | 53cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x98cf…b8eabacked Under | 55c | 35.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.72 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -4.9wins | -0.45per pick | 54cpaid | -82.8%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xd774…82cdbacked Under | 53c | 35.8$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.97 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Over | 45c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 43 | 72.1%31 W · 12 L | +10.4wins | +0.24per pick | 48cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x718d…2b46backed Under | 80c | 27.36$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.89 | 155 | 59.4%92 W · 63 L | +15.8wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Over | 47c | 25.91$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.86 | 83 | 72.3%60 W · 23 L | +14.6wins | +0.18per pick | 55cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x5101…4a4fbacked Over | 46c | 24.78$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.38 | 226 | 56.2%127 W · 99 L | +14.1wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x70fb…d507backed Under | 63c | 24.51$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.43 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | +4.7wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc9db…6789backed Over | 48c | 24.17$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.57 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x955f…2e25backed Over | 47c | 21.81$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.56 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +3.7wins | +0.20per pick | 49cpaid | +46.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0893…c760backed Over | 51c | 20.02$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.81 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +2.7wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x524f…bcbdbacked Under | 55c | 19$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.45 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -4.1wins | -0.37per pick | 55cpaid | -68.9%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Santa Clara Broncos vs. Kentucky Wildcats: O/U 158.5this page
- Santa Clara Broncos vs. Kentucky WildcatsKentucky Wildcats won
- Santa Clara Broncos vs. Kentucky Wildcats: O/U 145.5Over won
- Santa Clara Broncos vs. Kentucky Wildcats: O/U 146.5Over won
- Santa Clara Broncos vs. Kentucky Wildcats: O/U 147.5Over won
- Santa Clara Broncos vs. Kentucky Wildcats: O/U 150.5Over won
- Santa Clara Broncos vs. Kentucky Wildcats: O/U 151.5Over won
- Santa Clara Broncos vs. Kentucky Wildcats: O/U 152.5Over won
- Santa Clara Broncos vs. Kentucky Wildcats: O/U 154.5Over won
- Santa Clara Broncos vs. Kentucky Wildcats: O/U 156.5Over won
- Santa Clara Broncos vs. Kentucky Wildcats: O/U 157.5Over won
- Santa Clara Broncos vs. Kentucky Wildcats: O/U 160.5Over won
- Spread: Kentucky Wildcats (-1.5)Kentucky Wildcats won
- Spread: Kentucky Wildcats (-2.5)Kentucky Wildcats won
- Spread: Kentucky Wildcats (-3.5)Kentucky Wildcats won
- Spread: Kentucky Wildcats (-4.5)Kentucky Wildcats won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.