Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Santa Clara Broncos vs. Kentucky Wildcats: O/U 160.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6a543d8326c2f1306e606fc3297546d451d71cea019fa9b584c68e0c008a9323
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $44,288
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $44,288 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 75 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over | 47c | 6,000$2,820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,180 | 906 | 45.4%411 W · 495 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 53c | 5,882$3,117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,117.45 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Under | 51c | 4,956$2,528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,527.7 | 616 | 52.8%325 W · 291 L | +21.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1f7…c4e5backed Over | 48c | 2,657$1,270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,386.92 | 133 | 43.6%58 W · 75 L | -7.8wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…bf0bbacked Over | 49c | 2,545$1,247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,297.91 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +6.3wins | +0.18per pick | 44cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 42c | 2,374$990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,384.22 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x961a…1f13backed Over | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42d0…77e2backed Over | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,060 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6560…e164backed Over | 49c | 1,990$975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,014.9 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe864…ce58backed Over | 49c | 1,156$566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$589.52 | 180 | 48.9%88 W · 92 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7248…8cb4backed Over | 49c | 1,100$539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$561 | 163 | 41.7%68 W · 95 L | -9.2wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x95b7…d633backed Over | 47c | 1,100$517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$583 | 144 | 47.9%69 W · 75 L | +8.4wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 47c | 1,065$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$564.54 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b8a…f4a4backed Over | 47c | 1,020$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540.39 | 185 | 56.8%105 W · 80 L | +14.2wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x91db…6fb2backed Over | 49c | 1,014$497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$517.14 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa59…75ecbacked Over | 48c | 1,002$481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$521 | 143 | 46.9%67 W · 76 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…dbc6backed Over | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 104 | 43.3%45 W · 59 L | -6.1wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x201a…66a8backed Over | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | -4.6wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x397b…31bebacked Over | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.35per pick | 48cpaid | +74.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5a0e…691dbacked Over | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.5wins | -0.23per pick | 50cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9d66…22d1backed Under | 53c | 991.28$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525.38 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x323f…370ebacked Under | 58c | 846.97$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.76 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d58…1aeabacked Over | 49c | 818$401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$417.18 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 42c | 729.31$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423 | 1,152 | 48.9%563 W · 589 L | +3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 53c | 708.91$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.72 | 187 | 44.9%84 W · 103 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x335d…8f03backed Over | 49c | 666.16$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.74 | 87 | 48.3%42 W · 45 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7771…009fbacked Over | 49c | 654.03$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.3 | 123 | 44.7%55 W · 68 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb99…0730backed Over | 49c | 544.92$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.91 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4a9…4d64backed Over | 49c | 539$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.89 | 72 | 31.9%23 W · 49 L | -7.6wins | -0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6b44…be1ebacked Over | 49c | 494.92$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.41 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6eaa…9baebacked Under | 53c | 401$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.53 | 104 | 58.7%61 W · 43 L | +8.4wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x20d6…3856backed Over | 40c | 382.82$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.69 | 212 | 62.3%132 W · 80 L | +34.7wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +37%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x7096…7f78backed Under | 53c | 374.07$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.26 | 222 | 50%111 W · 111 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 53c | 373.71$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.07 | 780 | 52.2%407 W · 373 L | +19.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa570…3818backed Under | 57c | 353.58$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56c8…46fabacked Over | 44c | 351.93$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Under | 58c | 307.83$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.82 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | +8.3wins | +0.11per pick | 40cpaid | +39.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x94d8…37e6backed Under | 52c | 306.67$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.47 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…11d7backed Over | 48c | 289.12$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.34 | 1,251 | 50.6%633 W · 618 L | +12.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b54…db07backed Under | 57c | 261.34$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.96 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…3a38backed Under | 51c | 222.77$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.61 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x41f9…84e6backed Under | 53c | 198.26$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.08 | 206 | 42.7%88 W · 118 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26c9…3aedbacked Over | 50c | 193.31$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.66 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Over | 41c | 171$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.89 | 505 | 48.9%247 W · 258 L | +13.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb16…cb20backed Over | 50c | 165.59$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.79 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 52c | 164.79$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.66 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc88…1bfcbacked Under | 51c | 164.33$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.81 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x765c…f214backed Over | 50c | 160.49$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.25 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +13%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc676…f35cbacked Over | 49c | 155$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.05 | 82 | 48.8%40 W · 42 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Under | 53c | 153.65$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.43 | 218 | 50.5%110 W · 108 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Under | 51c | 153.64$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.36 | 1,436 | 47.5%682 W · 754 L | -18.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb793…2a18backed Under | 51c | 142.35$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.6 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2367…d616backed Over | 50c | 140.94$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.47 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf4…66bbbacked Under | 57c | 139.15$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.31 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c7d…d1c9backed Under | 60c | 132.21$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.33 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd43e…a97dbacked Under | 51c | 130.88$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.75 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Over | 49c | 130.52$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.57 | 1,234 | 44.8%553 W · 681 L | -32.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Over | 40c | 102.38$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.43 | 939 | 41.6%391 W · 548 L | +25.4wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Under | 53c | 99.13$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.54 | 624 | 51.1%319 W · 305 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda60…595cbacked Over | 43c | 78.85$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.95 | 70 | 45.7%32 W · 38 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Over | 42c | 76.96$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.44 | 220 | 47.7%105 W · 115 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Over | 48c | 70.59$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.7 | 507 | 45.2%229 W · 278 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x700a…58a5backed Over | 44c | 49.57$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.76 | 86 | 40.7%35 W · 51 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5127…f137backed Under | 53c | 46.76$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.78 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | -6.0wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Over | 64c | 46.63$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.86 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Over | 48c | 46.59$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.23 | 227 | 56.4%128 W · 99 L | +18.5wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5f39…d603backed Under | 53c | 44.25$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.45 | 330 | 58.2%192 W · 138 L | +24.2wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9d02…46e2backed Over | 41c | 43.32$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.71 | 86 | 40.7%35 W · 51 L | -8.7wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -20%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 51c | 41.55$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.19 | 922 | 46%424 W · 498 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe20c…bf55backed Under | 40c | 37.97$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.19 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x15e3…b3e8backed Under | 58c | 34.31$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.83 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd469…0084backed Over | 44c | 26.86$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.04 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1ff2…cf14backed Over | 48c | 25.73$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.38 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed Under | 57c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 134 | 57.5%77 W · 57 L | +7.6wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…d6a5backed Under | 80c | 15$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Santa Clara Broncos vs. Kentucky Wildcats: O/U 160.5this page
- Santa Clara Broncos vs. Kentucky WildcatsKentucky Wildcats won
- Santa Clara Broncos vs. Kentucky Wildcats: O/U 145.5Over won
- Santa Clara Broncos vs. Kentucky Wildcats: O/U 146.5Over won
- Santa Clara Broncos vs. Kentucky Wildcats: O/U 147.5Over won
- Santa Clara Broncos vs. Kentucky Wildcats: O/U 150.5Over won
- Santa Clara Broncos vs. Kentucky Wildcats: O/U 151.5Over won
- Santa Clara Broncos vs. Kentucky Wildcats: O/U 152.5Over won
- Santa Clara Broncos vs. Kentucky Wildcats: O/U 154.5Over won
- Santa Clara Broncos vs. Kentucky Wildcats: O/U 156.5Over won
- Santa Clara Broncos vs. Kentucky Wildcats: O/U 157.5Over won
- Santa Clara Broncos vs. Kentucky Wildcats: O/U 158.5Over won
- Spread: Kentucky Wildcats (-1.5)Kentucky Wildcats won
- Spread: Kentucky Wildcats (-2.5)Kentucky Wildcats won
- Spread: Kentucky Wildcats (-3.5)Kentucky Wildcats won
- Spread: Kentucky Wildcats (-4.5)Kentucky Wildcats won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.