Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Santa Clara Broncos vs. Kentucky Wildcats: O/U 157.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb4fd9933c2e128102159d0886a6452060858fb263cf684d014b0efa2d4364b41
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $114,570
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $114,570 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 71 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x20d6…3856backed Under | 50c | 33,004$16,502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,501.78 | 212 | 62.3%132 W · 80 L | +34.7wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +37%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xa080…234fbacked Under | 50c | 32,000$16,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,000 | 81 | 48.1%39 W · 42 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Over | 50c | 28,294$14,147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,147.12 | 1,436 | 47.5%682 W · 754 L | -18.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 50c | 15,411$7,670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,740.38 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e12…20e9backed Over | 50c | 11,895$5,948 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,947.5 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Over | 50c | 9,665$4,832 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,832.34 | 841 | 47.4%399 W · 442 L | -13.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78f7…2c5dbacked Over | 50c | 8,345$4,173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,172.67 | 216 | 46.8%101 W · 115 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 50c | 7,500$3,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,750 | 906 | 45.4%411 W · 495 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 50c | 3,327$1,663 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,663.45 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Under | 51c | 2,974$1,517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,516.62 | 279 | 47.3%132 W · 147 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Under | 50c | 2,222$1,111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,111 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7248…8cb4backed Over | 52c | 2,200$1,133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,067 | 163 | 41.7%68 W · 95 L | -9.2wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…dbc6backed Over | 52c | 2,000$1,030 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$970 | 104 | 43.3%45 W · 59 L | -6.1wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x30a4…8441backed Under | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 422 | 46.2%195 W · 227 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b1e…6738backed Over | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$980 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae82…faf0backed Over | 50c | 1,983$991 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$991.25 | 63 | 42.9%27 W · 36 L | -6.3wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3f…e00bbacked Over | 49c | 1,526$748 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$778.26 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf606…440abacked Over | 50c | 1,487$743 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$743.44 | 183 | 49.2%90 W · 93 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Over | 49c | 1,477$724 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$753.24 | 462 | 46.5%215 W · 247 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b8a…f4a4backed Over | 51c | 1,010$515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$494.9 | 185 | 56.8%105 W · 80 L | +14.2wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6560…e164backed Over | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7771…009fbacked Over | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 123 | 44.7%55 W · 68 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd2b…9ff9backed Over | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Over | 50c | 895.1$448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447.55 | 605 | 48.9%296 W · 309 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Over | 50c | 793$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396.5 | 158 | 58.2%92 W · 66 L | +10.4wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked Under | 51c | 680.27$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.94 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.25per pick | 53cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe864…ce58backed Over | 52c | 644.62$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.42 | 180 | 48.9%88 W · 92 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Over | 50c | 441.11$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.55 | 71 | 45.1%32 W · 39 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a2…ae70backed Over | 50c | 431.19$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.6 | 148 | 54.1%80 W · 68 L | +7.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b7a…bc22backed Under | 51c | 388.73$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.25 | 143 | 25.9%37 W · 106 L | -8.7wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…dd09backed Under | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | -5.4wins | -0.16per pick | 47cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8532…738bbacked Under | 51c | 297.38$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.66 | 170 | 51.2%87 W · 83 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ffd…41d1backed Over | 50c | 297.38$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.69 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c11…9b33backed Over | 50c | 271.74$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.87 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Under | 51c | 208.16$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.16 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 574 | 48.3%277 W · 297 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6236…6881backed Over | 50c | 198.25$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.13 | 93 | 47.3%44 W · 49 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 50c | 188.52$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.24 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9831…62dfbacked Over | 52c | 185.09$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.84 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.21per pick | 50cpaid | -54.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x54c4…f835backed Over | 52c | 172.56$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.83 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae1…d271backed Under | 49c | 169.67$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.14 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 50cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f39…d603backed Over | 50c | 167.2$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.04 | 330 | 58.2%192 W · 138 L | +24.2wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9653…80b1backed Under | 49c | 158.99$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.9 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.2wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked Over | 50c | 147.78$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.89 | 296 | 50.7%150 W · 146 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8df…e13ebacked Under | 49c | 139.62$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.41 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Over | 50c | 138.39$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.19 | 624 | 51.1%319 W · 305 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54ac…b570backed Under | 49c | 129.88$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.64 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ed6…cafebacked Over | 52c | 123.46$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.26 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4bdb…e382backed Over | 52c | 117.06$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.19 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 48c | 112.65$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.32 | 1,234 | 44.8%553 W · 681 L | -32.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a2d…4f43backed Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Over | 50c | 99.13$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.56 | 1,070 | 46.9%502 W · 568 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb171…7d2bbacked Over | 50c | 79.3$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.65 | 95 | 54.7%52 W · 43 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Under | 48c | 73.75$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.4 | 490 | 43.1%211 W · 279 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Under | 50c | 70$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 918 | 48.9%449 W · 469 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5ed…96e1backed Under | 51c | 58.31$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.74 | 71 | 62%44 W · 27 L | +8.4wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc1f7…c4e5backed Over | 49c | 53.82$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.45 | 133 | 43.6%58 W · 75 L | -7.8wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3437…1e5ebacked Under | 48c | 51.63$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.78 | 99 | 52.5%52 W · 47 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Over | 50c | 49.56$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.78 | 485 | 51.1%248 W · 237 L | +15.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15e3…b3e8backed Under | 49c | 40.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.83 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bba…6596backed Over | 50c | 39.65$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.83 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1872…bcabbacked Over | 50c | 39.65$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.83 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5913…3bbebacked Over | 50c | 39.65$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.83 | 70 | 57.1%40 W · 30 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e0a…745dbacked Over | 50c | 39.65$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.83 | 241 | 48.5%117 W · 124 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf02…3a63backed Over | 50c | 39.65$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.83 | 328 | 50%164 W · 164 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Under | 50c | 39.29$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 353 | 38.5%136 W · 217 L | -18.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa938…3bc3backed Under | 51c | 38.87$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.83 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…b20dbacked Over | 50c | 29.74$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.87 | 349 | 52.1%182 W · 167 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Over | 50c | 27.54$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.77 | 609 | 54.5%332 W · 277 L | +15.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 50c | 24.32$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.13 | 251 | 45.8%115 W · 136 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11f1…8a2cbacked Over | 50c | 19.96$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.93 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Santa Clara Broncos vs. Kentucky Wildcats: O/U 157.5this page
- Santa Clara Broncos vs. Kentucky WildcatsKentucky Wildcats won
- Santa Clara Broncos vs. Kentucky Wildcats: O/U 145.5Over won
- Santa Clara Broncos vs. Kentucky Wildcats: O/U 146.5Over won
- Santa Clara Broncos vs. Kentucky Wildcats: O/U 147.5Over won
- Santa Clara Broncos vs. Kentucky Wildcats: O/U 150.5Over won
- Santa Clara Broncos vs. Kentucky Wildcats: O/U 151.5Over won
- Santa Clara Broncos vs. Kentucky Wildcats: O/U 152.5Over won
- Santa Clara Broncos vs. Kentucky Wildcats: O/U 154.5Over won
- Santa Clara Broncos vs. Kentucky Wildcats: O/U 156.5Over won
- Santa Clara Broncos vs. Kentucky Wildcats: O/U 158.5Over won
- Santa Clara Broncos vs. Kentucky Wildcats: O/U 160.5Over won
- Spread: Kentucky Wildcats (-1.5)Kentucky Wildcats won
- Spread: Kentucky Wildcats (-2.5)Kentucky Wildcats won
- Spread: Kentucky Wildcats (-3.5)Kentucky Wildcats won
- Spread: Kentucky Wildcats (-4.5)Kentucky Wildcats won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.