NBA · resolved market
Spread: Pistons (-14.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf5100a620a2f8a61b68804327470752f852dffbc92f5266a4fdfa96bb9210d1c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Pistonsof Pistons, Wizards
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $431,616
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $431,616 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 128 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Pistons | 50c | 280,070$139,346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140,723.76 | 874 | 51.5%450 W · 424 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e0…ad50backed Wizards | 50c | 130,000$65,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65,600 | 431 | 48.7%210 W · 221 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Wizards | 50c | 96,049$48,024 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48,024.38 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Pistons | 49c | 35,449$17,201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,248.47 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Wizards | 50c | 23,487$11,699 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,698.59 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Wizards | 53c | 19,854$10,458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,458.5 | 1,024 | 50.8%520 W · 504 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Pistons | 51c | 18,978$9,671 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,307.05 | 172 | 51.7%89 W · 83 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Pistons | 48c | 11,085$5,271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,814.35 | 1,044 | 47.5%496 W · 548 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Wizards | 51c | 11,000$5,660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,660 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Pistons | 51c | 10,603$5,444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,159.48 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc949…fa93backed Wizards | 53c | 10,381$5,462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,462.09 | 81 | 53.1%43 W · 38 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8083…05a2backed Wizards | 51c | 10,259$5,232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,232 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4435…0840backed Wizards | 51c | 9,804$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 266 | 48.5%129 W · 137 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Wizards | 50c | 8,996$4,504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,503.88 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Wizards | 48c | 8,694$4,139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,139.09 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Wizards | 49c | 6,945$3,414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,413.94 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Pistons | 50c | 6,649$3,324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,324.44 | 1,124 | 48.6%546 W · 578 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4111…54a7backed Wizards | 51c | 5,175$2,640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,640 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.29per pick | 51cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Wizards | 50c | 5,034$2,522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,521.63 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Wizards | 52c | 5,000$2,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,600 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Wizards | 55c | 4,741$2,616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,616.3 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc1ae…f001backed Wizards | 50c | 4,500$2,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,250 | 142 | 45.8%65 W · 77 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Pistons | 48c | 4,067$1,956 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,110.91 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa2…30ccbacked Wizards | 51c | 3,922$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 389 | 46%179 W · 210 L | -13.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d13…92f3backed Wizards | 51c | 3,806$1,941 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,941 | 702 | 46.4%326 W · 376 L | -20.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Wizards | 50c | 3,600$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef99…ef8dbacked Wizards | 51c | 2,856$1,456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,456.43 | 99 | 52.5%52 W · 47 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f3…d99cbacked Wizards | 51c | 1,961$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 485 | 46.4%225 W · 260 L | -14.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Wizards | 50c | 1,597$796 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$795.95 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Pistons | 44c | 1,500$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Pistons | 56c | 1,477$825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$652.19 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Pistons | 48c | 1,425$686 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$739.16 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97d3…8acebacked Wizards | 51c | 1,163$593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$593 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | -4.6wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Wizards | 44c | 795.23$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.65 | 288 | 42.7%123 W · 165 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40ce…bf90backed Pistons | 49c | 700$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x913b…0852backed Pistons | 49c | 686.71$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.24 | 421 | 53%223 W · 198 L | +23.3wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a51…b2b6backed Pistons | 47c | 600$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317 | 898 | 53.1%477 W · 421 L | +21.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf0…8b2bbacked Wizards | 51c | 588$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.88 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Pistons | 49c | 581.63$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.63 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Wizards | 50c | 572.13$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.28 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf469…dcaabacked Wizards | 52c | 535.37$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.39 | 221 | 54.8%121 W · 100 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3860…0efcbacked Wizards | 51c | 517.24$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.79 | 129 | 50.4%65 W · 64 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab30…379fbacked Wizards | 8c | 509$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.93 | 302 | 24.8%75 W · 227 L | +15.5wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Wizards | 49c | 501$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.49 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Wizards | 49c | 484.84$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.63 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Wizards | 50c | 402.33$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.17 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Wizards | 51c | 399.99$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.99 | 807 | 37.7%304 W · 503 L | -33.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed Pistons | 50c | 396.83$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.83 | 1,389 | 54.9%762 W · 627 L | +16.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x451f…7301backed Wizards | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 78 | 53.8%42 W · 36 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cb5…6e63backed Pistons | 49c | 360$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.6 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8d…bb92backed Wizards | 51c | 300$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153 | 255 | 59.2%151 W · 104 L | +13.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca06…1394backed Wizards | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d4a…e7cabacked Wizards | 51c | 277.82$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.69 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -4.7wins | -0.14per pick | 46cpaid | -32%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Pistons | 50c | 239$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.96 | 514 | 38.7%199 W · 315 L | -29.6wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7096…7f78backed Wizards | 49c | 233.33$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.54 | 653 | 49.9%326 W · 327 L | +20.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ef1…352ebacked Pistons | 50c | 218.32$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.16 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Wizards | 52c | 210$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.2 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Wizards | 47c | 206.61$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.79 | 877 | 44.7%392 W · 485 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf059…6dd9backed Wizards | 51c | 205.88$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 492 | 46.3%228 W · 264 L | -15.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa528…2499backed Wizards | 46c | 200.72$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.45 | 831 | 58.1%483 W · 348 L | +18.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd48…d64fbacked Pistons | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x353e…9db2backed Wizards | 49c | 200$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.51 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | -5.6wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6292…d254backed Pistons | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 208 | 46.6%97 W · 111 L | -9.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5142…ee20backed Wizards | 51c | 196.37$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.15 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | +4.3wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2db1…45e5backed Wizards | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 248 | 49.6%123 W · 125 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36f2…dab4backed Wizards | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 79 | 51.9%41 W · 38 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Wizards | 51c | 196$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.96 | 661 | 53.3%352 W · 309 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e56…8243backed Wizards | 52c | 187$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.24 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | -7.3wins | -0.23per pick | 51cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked Wizards | 52c | 187$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.24 | 775 | 49.2%381 W · 394 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Pistons | 51c | 181.32$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.18 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc7…1af9backed Wizards | 60c | 165.3$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | -4.5wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb107…a3f8backed Wizards | 51c | 160$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.6 | 1,018 | 51.6%525 W · 493 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb870…5a8abacked Pistons | 45c | 133.33$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.33 | 918 | 46.2%424 W · 494 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x362a…8683backed Pistons | 49c | 122.45$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.45 | 131 | 55%72 W · 59 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Pistons | 49c | 122.19$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.32 | 399 | 43.1%172 W · 227 L | -17.1wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1480…6e8dbacked Pistons | 48c | 101.81$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.94 | 584 | 50.2%293 W · 291 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Wizards | 52c | 101.69$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.88 | 890 | 48.8%434 W · 456 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf16…65a6backed Pistons | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 257 | 53.7%138 W · 119 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee1…268bbacked Pistons | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 534 | 53.4%285 W · 249 L | +19.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Wizards | 49c | 99$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.51 | 1,715 | 44.5%764 W · 951 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0152…b455backed Wizards | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 660 | 46.4%306 W · 354 L | -21.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Wizards | 49c | 93$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.11 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x641f…049abacked Pistons | 49c | 91.84$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.84 | 180 | 54.4%98 W · 82 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11f1…8a2cbacked Pistons | 49c | 90$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.9 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.5wins | -0.27per pick | 50cpaid | -55.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…4a2cbacked Pistons | 49c | 89$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.39 | 319 | 47.6%152 W · 167 L | -18.8wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Pistons | 49c | 88.75$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.45 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Pistons | 48c | 86.04$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.52 | 1,190 | 32%381 W · 809 L | -58.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Pistons | 51c | 82.84$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.35 | 1,633 | 41.2%672 W · 961 L | +26.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Wizards | 48c | 82.31$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.54 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c48…6af3backed Wizards | 51c | 80.02$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.81 | 74 | 45.9%34 W · 40 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x729c…2b1ebacked Pistons | 50c | 80$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 263 | 54%142 W · 121 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29d9…91a2backed Pistons | 48c | 76$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.52 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e3d…bbfabacked Pistons | 57c | 72.57$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.37 | 60 | 58.3%35 W · 25 L | +4.5wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6fbd…b8d3backed Wizards | 48c | 62.54$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.09 | 672 | 48.8%328 W · 344 L | -10.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82d9…a600backed Wizards | 52c | 61.97$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.22 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7215…57a1backed Pistons | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.82 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5254…372dbacked Wizards | 51c | 58.23$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.7 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d87…4e0dbacked Pistons | 57c | 56$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.08 | 342 | 47.7%163 W · 179 L | -8.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81ae…3615backed Pistons | 47c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.5 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Pistons | 68c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 1,522 | 49.6%755 W · 767 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 25 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Pistons (-14.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Pistons (-9.5)Wizards won
- Alexandre Sarr: Points O/U 12.5No won
- Alexandre Sarr: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Bilal Coulibaly: Points O/U 12.5No won
- Bilal Coulibaly: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Jalen Duren: Points O/U 23.5Yes won
- Pistons vs. WizardsPistons won
- Pistons vs. Wizards: 1H MoneylinePistons won
- Pistons vs. Wizards: 1H O/U 118.5Under won
- Pistons vs. Wizards: O/U 220.5Under won
- Pistons vs. Wizards: O/U 222.5Under won
- Pistons vs. Wizards: O/U 223.5Under won
- Pistons vs. Wizards: O/U 224.5Under won
- Pistons vs. Wizards: O/U 225.5Under won
- Pistons vs. Wizards: O/U 229.5Under won
- Pistons vs. Wizards: O/U 230.5Under won
- Pistons vs. Wizards: O/U 231.5Under won
- Pistons vs. Wizards: O/U 232.5Under won
- Spread: Pistons (-13.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Pistons (-15.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Pistons (-16.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Pistons (-17.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Pistons (-19.5)Pistons won
- Tobias Harris: Points O/U 13.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.