NBA · resolved market
Pistons vs. Wizards: O/U 232.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x16b320169de30b3f2e0ecd28228027e7de33639389c3487e3b22dadbffe32d9a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $981,634
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $981,634 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 169 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Over | 50c | 629,695$316,824 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316,823.5 | 874 | 51.5%450 W · 424 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Under | 51c | 251,625$127,325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124,300.37 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 50c | 144,892$72,610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72,282.06 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Under | 50c | 100,000$50,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50,000 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Under | 50c | 76,878$38,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38,428.38 | 1,044 | 47.5%496 W · 548 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Under | 49c | 51,197$25,215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,982.53 | 662 | 48.5%321 W · 341 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93ab…9723backed Over | 48c | 45,000$21,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,450 | 603 | 51.4%310 W · 293 L | +16.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 50c | 39,341$19,683 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,657.87 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05f6…8cecbacked Under | 53c | 32,729$17,346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,382.57 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 50c | 29,085$14,682 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,403.82 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Over | 48c | 18,902$9,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,060.11 | 348 | 51.7%180 W · 168 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c75…329abacked Over | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over | 47c | 7,150$3,335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,335.14 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Under | 50c | 6,964$3,482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,481.75 | 545 | 39.6%216 W · 329 L | -28.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Over | 49c | 4,903$2,424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,423.74 | 1,286 | 50.8%653 W · 633 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf83…b4a7backed Under | 50c | 4,422$2,211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,211 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Under | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 795 | 49.7%395 W · 400 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Under | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 579 | 50.1%290 W · 289 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Over | 49c | 3,936$1,946 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,945.79 | 589 | 53.7%316 W · 273 L | +15.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbca…b7b7backed Over | 48c | 3,644$1,749 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,749.12 | 250 | 49.2%123 W · 127 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed Under | 50c | 3,160$1,580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,580 | 172 | 49.4%85 W · 87 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 50c | 3,147$1,575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,571.67 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Under | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500 | 1,332 | 51.2%682 W · 650 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 38c | 2,976$1,125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,125 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Under | 51c | 2,941$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,441.18 | 564 | 53.9%304 W · 260 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Over | 48c | 2,700$1,287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,287 | 1,194 | 48.8%583 W · 611 L | -22.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Over | 49c | 2,259$1,117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,116.89 | 716 | 54.1%387 W · 329 L | +21.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc51a…a0d9backed Over | 48c | 2,204$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050.47 | 274 | 55.5%152 W · 122 L | +15.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…d83abacked Under | 49c | 2,050$1,015 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,035.5 | 87 | 47.1%41 W · 46 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf05d…ac5ebacked Over | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960 | 251 | 55%138 W · 113 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 50c | 1,668$835 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$832.68 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Under | 53c | 1,640$869 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$770.88 | 1,046 | 51.1%534 W · 512 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69ac…03e9backed Over | 49c | 1,591$773 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$772.92 | 79 | 48.1%38 W · 41 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c6f…014ebacked Over | 47c | 1,067$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.49 | 183 | 45.4%83 W · 100 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabde…d41fbacked Over | 48c | 900$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432 | 419 | 47.7%200 W · 219 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca40…83f6backed Over | 47c | 801$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.47 | 129 | 45.7%59 W · 70 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa54d…deb8backed Over | 48c | 674$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.52 | 112 | 42%47 W · 65 L | -13.8wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 36c | 673.16$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.48 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 50c | 654.05$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.13 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fea…78b1backed Under | 65c | 615.67$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.84 | 263 | 37.3%98 W · 165 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc991…abd4backed Over | 48c | 613.63$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.54 | 487 | 51.7%252 W · 235 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa917…4e8dbacked Under | 51c | 568.63$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.63 | 98 | 45.9%45 W · 53 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Under | 50c | 560$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 874 | 53.3%466 W · 408 L | +19.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf469…dcaabacked Over | 48c | 514.69$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.05 | 221 | 54.8%121 W · 100 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f0…c9e4backed Under | 51c | 496$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.04 | 238 | 50.4%120 W · 118 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9510…16dfbacked Over | 48c | 440.74$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.56 | 304 | 53.3%162 W · 142 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4be…a13dbacked Under | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.16 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -4.9wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x93a2…5181backed Over | 42c | 358$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.82 | 150 | 38%57 W · 93 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ac…2a18backed Over | 48c | 350.63$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.3 | 178 | 50%89 W · 89 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ad…6979backed Over | 48c | 335.17$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.88 | 576 | 50%288 W · 288 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe02…5fb3backed Over | 48c | 332.79$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.74 | 423 | 52.5%222 W · 201 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4880…5626backed Over | 48c | 329.23$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.03 | 186 | 48.9%91 W · 95 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a37…180cbacked Over | 51c | 328.25$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.36 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94cb…6cf5backed Over | 32c | 327.46$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.09 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb11f…f01cbacked Over | 34c | 324.43$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.98 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Over | 29c | 316.11$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.64 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcd8…9908backed Over | 48c | 315$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.15 | 225 | 52.4%118 W · 107 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x006a…14edbacked Under | 63c | 300$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111 | 161 | 59.6%96 W · 65 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Over | 37c | 300$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 1,522 | 49.6%755 W · 767 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44ca…907cbacked Over | 48c | 294$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.12 | 456 | 46.7%213 W · 243 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked Under | 51c | 285$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.65 | 775 | 49.2%381 W · 394 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a67…ef6bbacked Over | 48c | 282$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.36 | 267 | 56.2%150 W · 117 L | +12.6wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b84…2f73backed Under | 79c | 253.61$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.61 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 60cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a51…b2b6backed Over | 48c | 243.41$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.84 | 898 | 53.1%477 W · 421 L | +21.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeac8…7d97backed Under | 78c | 242.53$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.66 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 72cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe11c…c7f7backed Under | 52c | 239.42$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.92 | 92 | 60.9%56 W · 36 L | +10.3wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Over | 20c | 226.71$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.16 | 1,170 | 50.3%588 W · 582 L | +46.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16ea…9400backed Under | 51c | 206.2$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.4 | 1,322 | 49.9%660 W · 662 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8532…738bbacked Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 324 | 50.3%163 W · 161 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7096…7f78backed Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 653 | 49.9%326 W · 327 L | +20.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Over | 49c | 200$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97 | 950 | 47.2%448 W · 502 L | -28.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9804…d512backed Under | 80c | 200$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 103 | 49.5%51 W · 52 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f15…0ce5backed Over | 27c | 195.9$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.67 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x718d…2b46backed Under | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 463 | 46.4%215 W · 248 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Under | 67c | 185.59$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.56 | 903 | 57%515 W · 388 L | +40.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbec4…637fbacked Over | 47c | 178.71$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.99 | 531 | 49.3%262 W · 269 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbde2…3fcfbacked Under | 51c | 173.85$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.56 | 89 | 56.2%50 W · 39 L | +5.1wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf429…969ebacked Under | 53c | 170.15$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.97 | 338 | 37.3%126 W · 212 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc308…c3b9backed Over | 48c | 168.92$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.08 | 313 | 54.6%171 W · 142 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb81f…2fd6backed Under | 50c | 160$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -4.2wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x63d8…e52ebacked Over | 26c | 155.99$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea78…a74ebacked Over | 48c | 147$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.56 | 565 | 47.8%270 W · 295 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Under | 73c | 145$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.36 | 113 | 54.9%62 W · 51 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9094…dcabbacked Over | 48c | 144.48$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.35 | 236 | 55.5%131 W · 105 L | +12.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5818…39e2backed Under | 51c | 144$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.56 | 139 | 50.4%70 W · 69 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 50c | 120.27$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.14 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda21…8646backed Over | 47c | 114$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.58 | 625 | 41.9%262 W · 363 L | -32.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Over | 34c | 113$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.46 | 313 | 45%141 W · 172 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Over | 48c | 109.37$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.5 | 890 | 48.8%434 W · 456 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbecc…f560backed Under | 51c | 109.15$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.33 | 251 | 53.8%135 W · 116 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0152…b455backed Over | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 660 | 46.4%306 W · 354 L | -21.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee1…268bbacked Over | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 534 | 53.4%285 W · 249 L | +19.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ccf…9ea3backed Over | 48c | 101.1$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.53 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd815…1cdebacked Under | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 84 | 56%47 W · 37 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08d1…28adbacked Over | 48c | 93.83$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.04 | 109 | 47.7%52 W · 57 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa528…2499backed Over | 48c | 88.69$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.57 | 831 | 58.1%483 W · 348 L | +18.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f39…d603backed Under | 51c | 85.95$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.81 | 917 | 46.9%430 W · 487 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf14…5d95backed Over | 26c | 78.43$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 100 | 28%28 W · 72 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62ff…ec56backed Over | 48c | 75.29$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.19 | 252 | 45.2%114 W · 138 L | -11.7wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a25…bb6bbacked Over | 48c | 73.5$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.28 | 340 | 47.1%160 W · 180 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 25 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Pistons vs. Wizards: O/U 232.5this page
- 1H Spread: Pistons (-9.5)Wizards won
- Alexandre Sarr: Points O/U 12.5No won
- Alexandre Sarr: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Bilal Coulibaly: Points O/U 12.5No won
- Bilal Coulibaly: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Jalen Duren: Points O/U 23.5Yes won
- Pistons vs. WizardsPistons won
- Pistons vs. Wizards: 1H MoneylinePistons won
- Pistons vs. Wizards: 1H O/U 118.5Under won
- Pistons vs. Wizards: O/U 220.5Under won
- Pistons vs. Wizards: O/U 222.5Under won
- Pistons vs. Wizards: O/U 223.5Under won
- Pistons vs. Wizards: O/U 224.5Under won
- Pistons vs. Wizards: O/U 225.5Under won
- Pistons vs. Wizards: O/U 229.5Under won
- Pistons vs. Wizards: O/U 230.5Under won
- Pistons vs. Wizards: O/U 231.5Under won
- Spread: Pistons (-13.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Pistons (-14.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Pistons (-15.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Pistons (-16.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Pistons (-17.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Pistons (-19.5)Pistons won
- Tobias Harris: Points O/U 13.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.