TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Pistons vs. Wizards: O/U 229.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$163,621

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $163,621 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 208 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3478…8325backed Under46c6,678$3,072 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,606.12250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb8bf…862dbacked Under47c6,490$3,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,439.72100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.54per pick47cpaid+115.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd059…e463backed Under47c6,376$2,997 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,379.282100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.54per pick47cpaid+115.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb490…94bfbacked Under46c6,032$2,775 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,257.28250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1754…384dbacked Under46c5,992$2,756 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,235.68250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0451…26aabacked Over54c5,976$3,227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,227.0420%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4f5d…db81backed Under47c5,822$2,736 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,085.662100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.54per pick47cpaid+115.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0248…0063backed Over53c5,766$3,056 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,055.98250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xafe9…8616backed Under47c5,736$2,696 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,040.082100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.54per pick47cpaid+115.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe405…2b74backed Under46c5,660$2,604 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,056.4250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5ca3…e874backed Over53c5,656$2,998 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,997.68250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc185…0f71backed Over54c5,638$3,045 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,044.5220%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1b00…64a2backed Over54c5,586$3,016 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,016.4420%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x59e9…7ed8backed Over53c5,350$2,836 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,835.5742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-13.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf927…0bc7backed Over53c5,316$2,817 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,817.48250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x87d5…6911backed Over54c5,118$2,764 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,763.7220%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x17cb…e501backed Over53c4,516$2,393 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,393.4820%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x05a2…4c04backed Under47c4,464$2,098 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,365.92250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x12e4…bf92backed Over53c4,404$2,334 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,334.08250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcda9…9f4dbacked Under46c4,186$1,926 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,260.441100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7595…50ffbacked Over52c3,934$2,046 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,045.6311156.8%63 W · 48 L+8.9wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+18.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x841c…555fbacked Under48c3,811$1,829 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,981.724100%4 W · 0 L+2.1wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+114.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa479…082fbacked Over54c3,619$1,954 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,954.2610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe4a2…2e6cbacked Over54c3,607$1,964 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,964.28250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-13.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x052a…7808backed Under46c3,315$1,525 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,790.1250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x051f…658cbacked Over54c2,966$1,602 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,601.6410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf9f6…03a1backed Under46c2,621$1,206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,415.34250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa322…2082backed Under47c2,525$1,187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,338.252100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1404…f314backed Under46c2,495$1,148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,347.32100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.53per pick48cpaid+110.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb9db…bc96backed Under46c2,440$1,122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,317.62100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7acc…b9f7backed Over54c2,431$1,313 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,312.7420%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x09f4…bbf4backed Under46c2,399$1,104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,295.461100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1ae3…e69abacked Over54c2,380$1,285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,285.2250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb629…ae8abacked Over54c2,378$1,284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,284.1220%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xccc9…4aacbacked Over54c2,370$1,280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,279.8250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd5bb…17a7backed Over54c2,369$1,279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,279.26250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x344a…7af8backed Over54c2,367$1,278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,278.1820%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under45c2,360$1,062 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,297.479,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8003…4d8dbacked Under46c2,355$1,083 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,271.7250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a0…a003backed Over54c2,336$1,261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,261.44250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8931…b15bbacked Over54c2,318$1,252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,251.72250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x69b8…0f63backed Under46c2,272$1,045 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,226.882100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.53per pick48cpaid+110.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x18b5…86b0backed Over53c2,266$1,201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,200.98250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd618…889bbacked Under46c2,257$1,038 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,218.78250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x72a0…d2c7backed Under46c2,218$1,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,197.72250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xae3c…5652backed Over54c2,214$1,196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,195.5620%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5698…8706backed Over54c2,207$1,192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,191.78250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d87…4913backed Under46c2,156$992 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,164.24250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f19…d3ddbacked Over54c2,142$1,157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,156.68250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x17b9…a1c7backed Over54c2,138$1,155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,154.5220%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa4fc…bd33backed Under46c2,135$982 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,152.92100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.53per pick48cpaid+110.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under69c2,123$1,473 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$649.698,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a86…9777backed Under48c2,122$1,019 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,103.443100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+103.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa3a3…1082backed Over54c2,109$1,139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,138.86250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd39c…d8ffbacked Over54c2,065$1,115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,115.1250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0cf9…8138backed Under46c2,056$946 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,110.24250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x78a9…46f5backed Over54c2,050$1,107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,10720%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1120…cd0dbacked Under46c2,040$938 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,101.6250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x20fb…2ad5backed Under46c2,016$927 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,088.642100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.53per pick48cpaid+110.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdf06…25c9backed Over54c2,002$1,081 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,081.0820%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x28a3…3695backed Over54c1,998$1,079 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,078.89250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2372…8852backed Under46c1,980$911 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,069.2250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfc63…1775backed Over54c1,975$1,067 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,066.5250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa43a…a762backed Under46c1,966$904 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,061.64450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-9.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9394…582abacked Over53c1,932$1,024 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,023.96250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x81ac…2693backed Over54c1,925$1,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,039.520%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under44c1,917$840 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,076.984,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x40b5…6723backed Over54c1,905$1,029 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,028.7250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x350e…f6fdbacked Under46c1,834$844 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$990.362100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick49cpaid+106.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcec3…fd80backed Under47c1,833$862 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$971.492100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4cf8…8cc4backed Over54c1,823$984 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$984.42250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbdc6…817dbacked Over54c1,815$980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$980.1250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe1f0…03a0backed Under47c1,800$846 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9542100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7c5e…3006backed Under47c1,788$840 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$947.642100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x350d…9852backed Over53c1,755$930 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$930.15250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8ce2…183dbacked Under46c1,750$805 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$945250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Over54c1,746$943 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$942.846,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc7c9…2987backed Under46c1,737$799 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$937.982100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+110.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x85cf…fc08backed Under46c1,733$797 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$935.822100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc01e…c9cfbacked Under46c1,732$797 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$935.282100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick49cpaid+106.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0856…44c4backed Under46c1,727$794 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$932.58250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1138…4c0bbacked Over54c1,725$932 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$931.5250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7879…3653backed Over58c1,724$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00015952.8%84 W · 75 L+0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x06ef…0a5cbacked Over54c1,662$897 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$897.48250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc2aa…c6ffbacked Under46c1,656$762 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$894.24250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5435…2b09backed Under46c1,647$758 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$889.382100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.53per pick48cpaid+110.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcade…5c29backed Over54c1,593$860 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$860.2220%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6f55…a185backed Over54c1,582$854 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$854.2820%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3fd5…5ef0backed Under46c1,578$726 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$852.122100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4e13…7acfbacked Under46c1,525$702 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$823.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under47c1,520$707 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$812.864,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e1f…4dc5backed Over54c1,510$815 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$815.420%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under43c1,358$585 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$772.993,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d08…2142backed Under77c1,086$840 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.8865872.8%479 W · 179 L+46.1wins+0.07per pick66cpaid+9.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x889c…e375backed Over55c1,000$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55050954.8%279 W · 230 L+14.8wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x39fd…5a3fbacked Over29c999.97$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$289.9919958.3%116 W · 83 L+8.2wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Under44c963.72$426 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$537.231,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1fa3…ab9cbacked Over54c925.11$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50017246.5%80 W · 92 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under54c694.69$377 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$317.572,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under44c689.44$303 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$386.092,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 25 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.