NBA · resolved market
Spread: Pistons (-16.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4bced04ba4c15a6dda1c185763b498a5adb162361c46cd42f78396184393cc4a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Pistonsof Pistons, Wizards
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $520,486
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $520,486 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 582 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xada5…c2a4backed Wizards | 58c | 102,492$59,677 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59,677.05 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…3782backed Pistons | 41c | 73,002$29,931 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43,071.45 | 874 | 51.5%450 W · 424 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa729…9326backed Wizards | 54c | 53,000$28,620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,620 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Wizards | 45c | 17,948$8,112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,111.5 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Pistons | 55c | 14,748$8,183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,564.91 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd916…fdcabacked Pistons | 46c | 10,091$4,642 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,449.14 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Pistons | 42c | 9,903$4,113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,790.58 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa778…0a56backed Wizards | 54c | 9,331$5,039 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,038.74 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +59.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a7b…7076backed Wizards | 54c | 9,105$4,917 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,916.7 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 51cpaid | +52.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8810…6677backed Wizards | 54c | 8,405$4,539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,538.7 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 51cpaid | +52.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa522…deb9backed Pistons | 46c | 8,378$3,854 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,524.12 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.34per pick | 46cpaid | +75.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf502…436bbacked Pistons | 46c | 7,662$3,525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,137.48 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.33per pick | 47cpaid | +71.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x326f…6f64backed Pistons | 46c | 7,432$3,419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,013.28 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.31per pick | 49cpaid | +65.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c6…1148backed Pistons | 46c | 7,314$3,364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,949.56 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93d9…d718backed Wizards | 54c | 7,103$3,836 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,835.62 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb84…5557backed Pistons | 46c | 6,727$3,094 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,632.58 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.34per pick | 46cpaid | +77%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf62e…a5b7backed Pistons | 46c | 6,592$3,032 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,559.68 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.29per pick | 46cpaid | +65.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x389e…a8bebacked Pistons | 46c | 6,506$2,993 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,513.24 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +64.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xebfd…5697backed Pistons | 46c | 6,330$2,912 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,418.2 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.6wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +107.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1759…c01ebacked Pistons | 46c | 6,177$2,841 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,335.58 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 48cpaid | +54.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0701…5f39backed Pistons | 46c | 6,175$2,841 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,334.5 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66e5…72acbacked Pistons | 46c | 6,156$2,832 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,324.24 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.6wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +110.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8899…4595backed Pistons | 46c | 6,151$2,829 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,321.54 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.54per pick | 47cpaid | +115.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9da3…cae9backed Pistons | 46c | 6,077$2,795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,281.58 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.7wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +115.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Pistons | 42c | 5,648$2,389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,258.67 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45c8…f681backed Pistons | 46c | 5,609$2,580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,028.86 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.6wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +110%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2a17…b241backed Wizards | 54c | 5,493$2,966 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,966.22 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +59.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32ae…a393backed Pistons | 46c | 5,447$2,506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,941.38 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +3.2wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8228…064abacked Pistons | 46c | 5,380$2,475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,905.2 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc892…f64bbacked Wizards | 54c | 5,314$2,870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,869.56 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +59.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa7d8…8662backed Wizards | 54c | 5,195$2,805 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,805.3 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +48.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Wizards | 57c | 5,150$2,954 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,954 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b4f…b762backed Wizards | 54c | 5,144$2,778 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,777.76 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +48.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Pistons | 42c | 5,000$2,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,900.15 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7260…ea1abacked Pistons | 46c | 5,000$2,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,700 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8feb…8aabbacked Wizards | 54c | 4,926$2,660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,660.04 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.21per pick | 39cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2d0…1055backed Wizards | 54c | 4,911$2,652 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,651.94 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.26per pick | 52cpaid | +52.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Pistons | 56c | 4,770$2,670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,099.87 | 589 | 53.7%316 W · 273 L | +15.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90f9…f80bbacked Wizards | 54c | 4,581$2,474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,473.74 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e13…8918backed Wizards | 54c | 4,390$2,371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,370.6 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdfe1…6657backed Pistons | 46c | 4,331$1,992 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,338.74 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.7wins | +0.39per pick | 47cpaid | +81.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbd76…00f4backed Pistons | 46c | 4,204$1,934 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,270.16 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b6…fa47backed Pistons | 41c | 4,175$1,712 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,463.25 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…684dbacked Wizards | 53c | 4,082$2,163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,163.27 | 1,645 | 47.5%782 W · 863 L | +40.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba3…4db3backed Wizards | 54c | 3,905$2,109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,108.7 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc974…b33bbacked Pistons | 41c | 3,874$1,589 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,285.92 | 249 | 42.2%105 W · 144 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x59f7…1fdbbacked Pistons | 46c | 3,857$1,774 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,082.78 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4bc…9a34backed Wizards | 54c | 3,845$2,076 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,076.3 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 51cpaid | +52.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd8…55d5backed Wizards | 54c | 3,786$2,044 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,044.44 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 51cpaid | +52.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x243b…cfccbacked Pistons | 46c | 3,765$1,732 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,033.1 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +18%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe71c…b65ebacked Pistons | 46c | 3,682$1,694 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,988.28 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +49.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc64d…f923backed Wizards | 54c | 3,681$1,988 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,987.74 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf9…3a79backed Wizards | 54c | 3,595$1,941 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,941.3 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0cc…0acbbacked Wizards | 54c | 3,398$1,835 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,834.92 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a8…d578backed Wizards | 54c | 3,382$1,826 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,826.28 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d83…c939backed Wizards | 54c | 3,251$1,756 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,755.54 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d62…8e47backed Wizards | 54c | 3,224$1,741 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,740.96 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ca0…db3fbacked Wizards | 54c | 3,212$1,734 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,734.48 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9776…cfe1backed Pistons | 46c | 3,039$1,398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,641.06 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x69ac…03e9backed Pistons | 56c | 2,960$1,657 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,302.69 | 79 | 48.1%38 W · 41 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47a3…ec5dbacked Pistons | 46c | 2,936$1,351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,585.44 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5e…e7dbbacked Pistons | 41c | 2,924$1,199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,725.22 | 286 | 49.7%142 W · 144 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4119…c46bbacked Wizards | 54c | 2,883$1,557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,556.82 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61b0…ba27backed Wizards | 54c | 2,798$1,511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,510.92 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32aa…105abacked Pistons | 46c | 2,738$1,259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,478.52 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a3…bd63backed Pistons | 46c | 2,671$1,229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,442.34 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8991…9e3fbacked Wizards | 54c | 2,638$1,425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,424.52 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf12…c45dbacked Wizards | 54c | 2,638$1,425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,424.52 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76b4…ca9bbacked Wizards | 58c | 2,600$1,508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,507.98 | 442 | 52.3%231 W · 211 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x499f…7c54backed Pistons | 46c | 2,574$1,184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,389.96 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ef…5681backed Pistons | 46c | 2,556$1,176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,380.24 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd703…5746backed Pistons | 46c | 2,549$1,173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,376.46 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd913…2c5cbacked Pistons | 46c | 2,544$1,170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,373.76 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc6…b8f0backed Pistons | 46c | 2,542$1,169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,372.68 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50a8…c523backed Pistons | 46c | 2,511$1,155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,355.94 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6168…fb7ebacked Pistons | 46c | 2,492$1,146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,345.68 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.39per pick | 41cpaid | +57.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5303…a653backed Pistons | 46c | 2,459$1,131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,327.86 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdab4…8c6bbacked Pistons | 46c | 2,456$1,130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,326.24 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x069c…2432backed Pistons | 46c | 2,455$1,129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,325.7 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.7wins | +0.39per pick | 47cpaid | +82.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x662e…450fbacked Pistons | 46c | 2,448$1,126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,321.92 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8249…e0dfbacked Pistons | 46c | 2,402$1,105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,297.08 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97d9…3c6cbacked Pistons | 46c | 2,401$1,104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,296.54 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.22per pick | 50cpaid | +42.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Wizards | 59c | 2,400$1,418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,418.47 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdda7…59f5backed Pistons | 46c | 2,399$1,104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,295.46 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +111.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xafd9…34a1backed Pistons | 46c | 2,398$1,103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,294.92 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f8c…75b8backed Pistons | 46c | 2,397$1,103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,294.38 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e96…dc07backed Wizards | 54c | 2,397$1,294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,294.38 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb03…5e5abacked Pistons | 46c | 2,397$1,103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,294.38 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b84…2a20backed Pistons | 46c | 2,394$1,101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,292.76 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa283…deeebacked Pistons | 46c | 2,391$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,291.14 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b2…a3b7backed Pistons | 46c | 2,374$1,092 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,281.96 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf089…ceb8backed Pistons | 46c | 2,372$1,091 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,280.88 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd41…baf2backed Pistons | 46c | 2,365$1,088 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,277.1 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +22%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96ea…1ed0backed Pistons | 46c | 2,354$1,083 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,271.15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5611…7888backed Pistons | 46c | 2,350$1,081 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,269 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x728e…8e52backed Pistons | 46c | 2,343$1,078 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,265.22 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +53.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc2aa…5d0ebacked Pistons | 46c | 2,340$1,076 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,263.6 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Pistons | 53c | 2,329$1,236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,093.36 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7972…8d16backed Pistons | 46c | 2,326$1,070 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,256.04 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x118c…18c2backed Pistons | 46c | 2,322$1,068 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,253.88 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 25 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Pistons (-16.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Pistons (-9.5)Wizards won
- Alexandre Sarr: Points O/U 12.5No won
- Alexandre Sarr: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Bilal Coulibaly: Points O/U 12.5No won
- Bilal Coulibaly: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Jalen Duren: Points O/U 23.5Yes won
- Pistons vs. WizardsPistons won
- Pistons vs. Wizards: 1H MoneylinePistons won
- Pistons vs. Wizards: 1H O/U 118.5Under won
- Pistons vs. Wizards: O/U 220.5Under won
- Pistons vs. Wizards: O/U 222.5Under won
- Pistons vs. Wizards: O/U 223.5Under won
- Pistons vs. Wizards: O/U 224.5Under won
- Pistons vs. Wizards: O/U 225.5Under won
- Pistons vs. Wizards: O/U 229.5Under won
- Pistons vs. Wizards: O/U 230.5Under won
- Pistons vs. Wizards: O/U 231.5Under won
- Pistons vs. Wizards: O/U 232.5Under won
- Spread: Pistons (-13.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Pistons (-14.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Pistons (-15.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Pistons (-17.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Pistons (-19.5)Pistons won
- Tobias Harris: Points O/U 13.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.