TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Naples: Jakub Paul vs Alexandre Muller

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Alexandre Mullerof Jakub Paul, Alexandre Muller
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$65,467

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $65,467 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 89 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9c98…27d8backed Jakub Paul25c9,530$2,383 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,382.520%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc213…a83abacked Alexandre Muller75c3,466$2,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$866.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0027…c9b4backed Alexandre Muller75c3,175$2,381 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$793.75250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-33.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Jakub Paul20c3,091$630 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$629.777,01843.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L+124.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xebca…a349backed Alexandre Muller75c2,884$2,163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$721366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+9.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Alexandre Muller73c2,121$1,552 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$569.0711,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Jakub Paul17c2,049$349 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$348.788,21745.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L+166.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5a84…e271backed Alexandre Muller76c1,629$1,245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$384.1113959%82 W · 57 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick62cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x33c6…6daabacked Jakub Paul1c1,500$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15160%0 W · 16 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Jakub Paul15c1,316$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.072,74630.8%846 W · 1,900 L-67.1wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-36.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8fef…5946backed Alexandre Muller77c1,259$964 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$295.159761.9%60 W · 37 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+19.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9ed9…9949backed Jakub Paul26c1,000$259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259.246553.8%250 W · 215 L-1.4wins0.00per pick54cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Jakub Paul27c898.77$239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$238.564,93441.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L-77.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd48d…5182backed Alexandre Muller73c800$584 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.0524558.8%144 W · 101 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Jakub Paul25c800$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002,22945%1,002 W · 1,227 L+3.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Jakub Paul16c628.62$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.632,98239.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L-109.1wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-30.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Jakub Paul23c548$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.041,80943.8%793 W · 1,016 L-2.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Alexandre Muller78c462.62$362 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.753,07244.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L-30.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-23%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9209…b4d5backed Jakub Paul26c461.38$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.966547.7%31 W · 34 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9694…b7adbacked Alexandre Muller76c460.52$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.522,05859.5%1,225 W · 833 L-1.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4b49…0397backed Jakub Paul24c382.36$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.7758734.6%203 W · 384 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa146…1d57backed Alexandre Muller79c330.8$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.85064%32 W · 18 L-5.0wins-0.10per pick74cpaid-13.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Jakub Paul25c323.31$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.031,26529.2%370 W · 895 L-13.3wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9cf7…e5a5backed Jakub Paul32c312.5$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,26634.2%433 W · 833 L-43.2wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x84d7…298fbacked Alexandre Muller74c306.39$226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.7926535.5%94 W · 171 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-10.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd82a…5fcfbacked Jakub Paul23c300$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6918943.4%82 W · 107 L-8.8wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-11%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Jakub Paul5c300$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154599.6%44 W · 415 L+1.9wins0.00per pick9cpaid-18.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Jakub Paul23c272$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.567,72447.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L+41.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d8c…35b0backed Alexandre Muller76c263.36$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.3622465.2%146 W · 78 L+9.3wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+5.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcd8c…f75abacked Alexandre Muller76c263.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.1632763.9%209 W · 118 L+15.6wins+0.05per pick59cpaid+11.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Jakub Paul15c260.93$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.522,48945.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L-27.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-21.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9f13…e0fdbacked Alexandre Muller76c250.84$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.976140.6%309 W · 452 L-15.3wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd88a…1eefbacked Jakub Paul24c218$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.2454434.2%186 W · 358 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-2.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x25bf…7a56backed Alexandre Muller73c216.21$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.712,33546.6%1,088 W · 1,247 L+55.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd038…8f51backed Jakub Paul23c208.01$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.724,28840.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L-139.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x150c…add3backed Alexandre Muller77c207.79$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.7920670.4%145 W · 61 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick69cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4488…579cbacked Alexandre Muller76c203.99$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.9655660.3%335 W · 221 L+13.6wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x216b…fe46backed Jakub Paul24c200$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4830452%158 W · 146 L+9.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+8.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x70b6…aa2fbacked Jakub Paul7c199.99$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14575.3%3 W · 54 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick7cpaid-33.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Alexandre Muller71c198.02$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.451,13250.3%569 W · 563 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed Jakub Paul24c190$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.610242.2%43 W · 59 L-3.4wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xda22…6d2abacked Alexandre Muller72c180.56$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.5635344.8%158 W · 195 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Alexandre Muller76c169$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.1799044.8%444 W · 546 L-10.8wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-17.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Jakub Paul21c155$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.861,02833.6%345 W · 683 L-3.6wins0.00per pick34cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbf25…636dbacked Jakub Paul26c153.85$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404443.2%19 W · 25 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+19.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xed19…83babacked Jakub Paul13c150.08$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.0184736%305 W · 542 L-35.7wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-26.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x64e8…7819backed Jakub Paul24c150$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$361,88235.5%669 W · 1,213 L+26.8wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa60b…c728backed Jakub Paul24c150$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$369745.4%44 W · 53 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick44cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf0c0…b68ebacked Jakub Paul10c140$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145623.2%13 W · 43 L+3.9wins+0.07per pick16cpaid+29.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5f65…c1d0backed Jakub Paul27c140$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.430349.8%151 W · 152 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc0f3…f7dfbacked Alexandre Muller73c137$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.9938268.1%260 W · 122 L+5.8wins+0.02per pick67cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb69…c3e5backed Alexandre Muller76c130$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.21,07655.5%597 W · 479 L+8.5wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Jakub Paul19c129.99$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.217,81650.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L+95.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Jakub Paul23c122.54$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.653,27013.8%450 W · 2,820 L-549.1wins-0.17per pick31cpaid-57.4%equal weight31-0.17 edge/pick
0x079f…a9d1backed Alexandre Muller78c120$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.5434744.4%154 W · 193 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x099f…c1e1backed Alexandre Muller74c106.18$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.1395846.6%446 W · 512 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0b95…07e5backed Alexandre Muller76c104.39$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.296349.2%31 W · 32 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd68e…8048backed Alexandre Muller76c104.15$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.7441272.8%300 W · 112 L+8.0wins+0.02per pick71cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf3c8…e340backed Jakub Paul13c100$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1316718.6%31 W · 136 L-23.4wins-0.14per pick33cpaid-54.7%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0x0154…30f7backed Alexandre Muller76c98.68$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.6852457.4%301 W · 223 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8dec…60c2backed Alexandre Muller75c98.63$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.5834950.4%176 W · 173 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x62bd…3dfbbacked Jakub Paul26c94.38$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.542142.9%9 W · 12 L+2.3wins+0.11per pick32cpaid+36.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Jakub Paul26c91.99$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.377,13949.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L+109.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd866…55e0backed Jakub Paul19c84.43$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.7838460.4%232 W · 152 L+29.2wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7c56…0615backed Jakub Paul22c77.84$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.8559440.2%239 W · 355 L-5.8wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2273…7e01backed Alexandre Muller73c67.39$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.5115954.1%86 W · 73 L+8.8wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+10%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1c70…b25ebacked Alexandre Muller76c65.79$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.7959965.8%394 W · 205 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick65cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd49a…7c65backed Jakub Paul23c65$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.9714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.8wins-0.26per pick40cpaid-60.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Jakub Paul26c60.72$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.696,78648.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L+56.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba49…e8acbacked Jakub Paul26c57.89$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157038.6%27 W · 43 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-14.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7e2a…a58dbacked Alexandre Muller73c48.08$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.9316369.3%113 W · 50 L+16.6wins+0.10per pick59cpaid+14.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xe00d…4251backed Alexandre Muller76c46.05$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.0519761.4%121 W · 76 L-5.3wins-0.03per pick64cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x51eb…6bfabacked Alexandre Muller76c46.05$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.052,56163%1,613 W · 948 L-10.2wins0.00per pick63cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc383…a540backed Jakub Paul24c42.6$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.29443.6%41 W · 53 L-4.4wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-12.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0f81…74d4backed Alexandre Muller71c42.25$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.25837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.9wins-0.24per pick61cpaid-38.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9548…1226backed Alexandre Muller74c40.54$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.547875.6%59 W · 19 L+8.5wins+0.11per pick65cpaid+15.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xab90…a576backed Alexandre Muller80c38.22$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.64850%4 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-31.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd499…7d5bbacked Alexandre Muller68c36.82$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.8214555.2%80 W · 65 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0e72…54f0backed Alexandre Muller79c31.65$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.656248.4%30 W · 32 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick51cpaid+6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x96bc…d2b5backed Alexandre Muller77c25.97$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.9741668%283 W · 133 L+23.6wins+0.06per pick62cpaid+8.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdd77…ef21backed Alexandre Muller71c24.52$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.0865264.1%418 W · 234 L+21.6wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+2.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc54c…6a13backed Alexandre Muller78c22.57$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.0414355.9%80 W · 63 L+7.2wins+0.05per pick51cpaid-8.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0e4a…fcd8backed Alexandre Muller71c22.28$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.5224460.7%148 W · 96 L+13.3wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+7.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x56ae…224cbacked Alexandre Muller74c19.94$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.124153.7%22 W · 19 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a25…bb6bbacked Alexandre Muller77c19.29$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.497354.8%40 W · 33 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x04b4…8d0bbacked Alexandre Muller78c19.29$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.311352.2%59 W · 54 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc934…e226backed Alexandre Muller71c15.66$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.561250%6 W · 6 L+1.4wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+27.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb860…e71fbacked Alexandre Muller73c15$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.051656.3%9 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick64cpaid-23.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x97a8…078dbacked Alexandre Muller72c14.12$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.0125661.3%157 W · 99 L+5.7wins+0.02per pick59cpaid-0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.