NBA · resolved market
Spread: Thunder (-19.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x30e50222a70fdd38e17e2e8580c915a162b52f052f3ad3d145ddef3c6ca8a419
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Thunderof Thunder, Nets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $522,685
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $522,685 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 259 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Nets | 51c | 169,537$86,581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86,580.52 | 871 | 44.7%389 W · 482 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf19d…276fbacked Thunder | 49c | 94,277$46,053 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48,223.98 | 231 | 47.6%110 W · 121 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Thunder | 48c | 67,482$32,152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35,330.1 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbddf…c684backed Nets | 52c | 55,555$28,889 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,888.58 | 726 | 48.3%351 W · 375 L | +30.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Nets | 53c | 36,449$19,259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,258.76 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Nets | 51c | 27,144$13,764 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,763.51 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Thunder | 47c | 22,572$10,609 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,962.95 | 1,044 | 47.5%496 W · 548 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Thunder | 48c | 19,365$9,372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,992.74 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Thunder | 49c | 19,193$9,336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,856.86 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e9…4044backed Nets | 51c | 15,885$8,101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,101.26 | 90 | 53.3%48 W · 42 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc540…f7e5backed Thunder | 49c | 14,082$6,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,181.63 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfecb…19babacked Nets | 52c | 13,810$7,181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,181.13 | 114 | 52.6%60 W · 54 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Thunder | 48c | 11,746$5,632 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,113.92 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x841c…555fbacked Thunder | 49c | 8,757$4,291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,466.07 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +114.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x001a…1fb9backed Thunder | 49c | 8,343$4,088 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,254.93 | 316 | 43.4%137 W · 179 L | -18.0wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Thunder | 48c | 7,057$3,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,657 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Thunder | 49c | 6,133$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,133.33 | 1,194 | 48.8%583 W · 611 L | -22.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Thunder | 55c | 6,055$3,331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,723.89 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…40d5backed Thunder | 49c | 5,224$2,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,664.49 | 219 | 43.4%95 W · 124 L | -12.7wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Thunder | 48c | 4,931$2,367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,563.21 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d13…92f3backed Thunder | 49c | 4,700$2,303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,397 | 702 | 46.4%326 W · 376 L | -20.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7de…4ce8backed Thunder | 49c | 4,688$2,297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,390.87 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7764…e0b1backed Nets | 51c | 4,602$2,347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,347.02 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6648…b36dbacked Nets | 51c | 4,578$2,335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,334.78 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa1…7bc2backed Nets | 51c | 4,568$2,330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,329.68 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa2…30ccbacked Thunder | 49c | 3,878$1,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,977.55 | 389 | 46%179 W · 210 L | -13.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d98…18dcbacked Thunder | 49c | 3,788$1,856 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,931.88 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf70f…ab4fbacked Thunder | 49c | 3,533$1,731 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,801.83 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +99%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x62fb…4d60backed Nets | 50c | 3,401$1,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,700.31 | 355 | 47.3%168 W · 187 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x310a…99dfbacked Nets | 51c | 3,388$1,728 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,727.88 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4193…0d9dbacked Nets | 51c | 3,368$1,718 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,717.68 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46aa…f155backed Nets | 51c | 3,178$1,621 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,620.78 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Thunder | 49c | 3,150$1,544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,606.5 | 715 | 47.7%341 W · 374 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…32c2backed Nets | 53c | 3,100$1,643 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,643 | 415 | 53.3%221 W · 194 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e12…20e9backed Thunder | 49c | 3,098$1,518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,579.96 | 293 | 47.4%139 W · 154 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bea…c4c5backed Nets | 51c | 3,066$1,564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,563.66 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Nets | 51c | 3,000$1,530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,530 | 877 | 50.2%440 W · 437 L | -19.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Thunder | 49c | 3,000$1,470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,530 | 480 | 54.2%260 W · 220 L | +14.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Nets | 53c | 3,000$1,590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,590 | 579 | 50.1%290 W · 289 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Thunder | 65c | 2,899$1,893 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,006.45 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc96b…abf1backed Thunder | 49c | 2,888$1,415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,472.88 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Nets | 51c | 2,621$1,345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,344.74 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00d5…ed84backed Thunder | 47c | 2,574$1,209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,365.14 | 170 | 50%85 W · 85 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7430…3af2backed Nets | 53c | 2,500$1,325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,325 | 261 | 49.4%129 W · 132 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Thunder | 49c | 2,500$1,237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,262.49 | 691 | 49.1%339 W · 352 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Thunder | 49c | 2,391$1,172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,219.05 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e16…0127backed Thunder | 48c | 2,311$1,109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,201.72 | 221 | 43%95 W · 126 L | -12.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Thunder | 49c | 2,300$1,127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,173 | 1,475 | 51.3%756 W · 719 L | +35.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb684…5447backed Nets | 51c | 2,250$1,148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,147.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb6b…dd36backed Nets | 51c | 2,245$1,145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,144.95 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Thunder | 52c | 2,239$1,172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,066.82 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b9…665fbacked Thunder | 49c | 2,236$1,096 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,140.36 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2f3…71f9backed Thunder | 49c | 2,111$1,034 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,076.61 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Thunder | 48c | 2,108$1,022 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,085.66 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e24…60b7backed Nets | 51c | 2,068$1,055 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,054.68 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2fef…38cabacked Thunder | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,020 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 51cpaid | +98.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57af…d0cfbacked Thunder | 49c | 1,958$959 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$998.58 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e82…c8febacked Thunder | 49c | 1,899$931 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$968.49 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cb…03e4backed Thunder | 49c | 1,891$927 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$964.41 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 51cpaid | +98.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4278…bf9cbacked Nets | 51c | 1,865$951 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$951.15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Nets | 53c | 1,850$977 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$977.42 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc13…b14cbacked Thunder | 49c | 1,785$875 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$910.35 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 51cpaid | +98.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd84e…5c4ebacked Nets | 51c | 1,780$908 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$907.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Nets | 52c | 1,755$920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$920.12 | 409 | 47.7%195 W · 214 L | -13.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2497…eb5cbacked Thunder | 49c | 1,723$844 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$878.73 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 51cpaid | +98.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9592…a85bbacked Nets | 19c | 1,712$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.07 | 282 | 45.4%128 W · 154 L | +7.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90ca…6276backed Nets | 51c | 1,678$856 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$855.78 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71df…0556backed Thunder | 49c | 1,632$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$832.32 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb580…27c5backed Thunder | 49c | 1,593$781 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$812.43 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7303…aa9fbacked Nets | 51c | 1,588$810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$809.88 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb837…334cbacked Thunder | 49c | 1,568$768 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$799.68 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 51cpaid | +98.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe99a…625abacked Thunder | 49c | 1,566$767 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$798.66 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c17…5106backed Thunder | 49c | 1,544$757 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$787.44 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 51cpaid | +98.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x18b7…e048backed Thunder | 49c | 1,526$748 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$778.26 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 51cpaid | +98.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Thunder | 48c | 1,508$729 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$778.62 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Nets | 55c | 1,500$825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$825 | 1,332 | 51.2%682 W · 650 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x733d…1ae7backed Nets | 53c | 1,500$795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$795 | 191 | 47.6%91 W · 100 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf630…7e65backed Nets | 53c | 1,500$795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$794.99 | 291 | 49.5%144 W · 147 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Nets | 52c | 1,460$764 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$763.81 | 807 | 37.7%304 W · 503 L | -33.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef7e…de02backed Thunder | 49c | 1,452$711 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$740.52 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Thunder | 49c | 1,436$704 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$731.92 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10e4…3d92backed Nets | 51c | 1,423$726 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$725.73 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21e4…cddebacked Thunder | 49c | 1,422$697 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$725.22 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 51cpaid | +98.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc1ae…f001backed Thunder | 49c | 1,330$652 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$678.3 | 142 | 45.8%65 W · 77 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91f7…4767backed Nets | 49c | 1,180$578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$578.34 | 106 | 51.9%55 W · 51 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea2b…1fc6backed Thunder | 51c | 1,162$592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$569.26 | 382 | 53.4%204 W · 178 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35f7…fe4dbacked Nets | 51c | 1,158$591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590.58 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…8abdbacked Thunder | 48c | 1,042$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.67 | 507 | 54.2%275 W · 232 L | +13.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…69ebbacked Thunder | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 629 | 48.6%306 W · 323 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b90…2194backed Nets | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 197 | 47.7%94 W · 103 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Nets | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530 | 672 | 52.7%354 W · 318 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Nets | 48c | 910.87$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434.52 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55fb…fe7bbacked Nets | 46c | 899.39$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$413.72 | 103 | 42.7%44 W · 59 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…eba1backed Nets | 3c | 838$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.41 | 553 | 16.5%91 W · 462 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a51…b2b6backed Thunder | 49c | 705.31$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.71 | 898 | 53.1%477 W · 421 L | +21.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Thunder | 49c | 571.43$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.43 | 874 | 53.3%466 W · 408 L | +19.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fca…e8edbacked Nets | 22c | 530$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.6 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Thunder | 47c | 526.7$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.15 | 1,139 | 48.3%550 W · 589 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed Nets | 53c | 518.34$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.72 | 147 | 53.1%78 W · 69 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8bee…0ca9backed Nets | 49c | 487$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.63 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 36 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Thunder (-19.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Thunder (-10.5)Thunder won
- 1H Spread: Thunder (-11.5)Thunder won
- Ajay Mitchell: Points O/U 14.5No won
- Chet Holmgren: Points O/U 15.5No won
- Chet Holmgren: Rebounds O/U 8.5No won
- Isaiah Hartenstein: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Isaiah Hartenstein: Points O/U 4.5No won
- Isaiah Hartenstein: Rebounds O/U 7.5No won
- Michael Porter Jr.: Points O/U 20.5No won
- Michael Porter Jr.: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
- Noah Clowney: Points O/U 9.5No won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Points O/U 29.5No won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Points O/U 30.5No won
- Spread: Thunder (-17.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-18.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-23.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-25.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-31.5)Nets won
- Spread: Thunder (-35.5)Nets won
- Spread: Thunder (-37.5)Nets won
- Thunder vs. NetsThunder won
- Thunder vs. Nets: 1H MoneylineThunder won
- Thunder vs. Nets: 1H O/U 104.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Nets: 1H O/U 105.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Nets: 1H O/U 106.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Nets: O/U 192.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Nets: O/U 200.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Nets: O/U 203.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Nets: O/U 208.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Nets: O/U 211.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Nets: O/U 212.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Nets: O/U 213.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Nets: O/U 214.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Nets: O/U 215.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Nets: O/U 216.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.