TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Thunder vs. Nets: O/U 213.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$211,027

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $211,027 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 217 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Over55c24,245$13,335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,334.6466248.5%321 W · 341 L-0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under44c14,000$6,210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,789.992,15351.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L+76.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under48c13,655$6,495 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,159.399,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Over51c6,670$3,402 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,401.71,91054.3%1,038 W · 872 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under46c6,526$2,970 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,556.144,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e6e…be00backed Over52c6,000$3,120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,12045850.4%231 W · 227 L+11.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x84db…aeebbacked Over53c5,000$2,650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,6501,37450.1%689 W · 685 L+34.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9456…766bbacked Under49c4,758$2,331 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,426.58250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x031e…23f5backed Under49c4,566$2,237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,328.66250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5505…c040backed Under49c3,877$1,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,977.272100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick51cpaid+98.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7416…aebfbacked Under49c3,868$1,895 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,972.682100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick51cpaid+98.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x54c8…8d24backed Over51c3,811$1,944 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,943.61250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf0b4…c36cbacked Over51c3,443$1,756 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,755.9320%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc3a1…da15backed Over51c3,355$1,711 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,711.05250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f01…2d9ebacked Over51c3,288$1,677 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,676.88250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Over56c3,097$1,734 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,734.11,28650.8%653 W · 633 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb97e…e1e5backed Over51c2,984$1,522 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,521.8420%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under50c2,853$1,438 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,414.914,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2df1…271fbacked Over51c2,638$1,345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,345.3820%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8d93…faecbacked Over51c2,611$1,332 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,331.620%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2876…ea9cbacked Under49c2,555$1,252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,303.05250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd00f…15cabacked Under49c2,502$1,226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,276.02250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfc76…ad95backed Over51c2,466$1,258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,257.6620%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5dd5…36e9backed Under49c2,458$1,204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,253.58250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4e55…b24bbacked Over51c2,452$1,251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,250.5220%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4559…d24abacked Under49c2,436$1,194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,242.36250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1dd0…4f2bbacked Over51c2,430$1,239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,239.320%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc81c…f207backed Under49c2,426$1,189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,237.26250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a58…bf55backed Under49c2,424$1,188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,236.242100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick50cpaid+102%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x639e…ff3cbacked Under49c2,422$1,187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,235.22250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf43b…ed5bbacked Over51c2,402$1,225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,225.0220%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x82b1…d373backed Under49c2,359$1,156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,203.09250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0535…ee81backed Over51c2,347$1,197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,196.9720%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf6fd…5ac9backed Under49c2,340$1,147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,193.4250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbcfb…837dbacked Under49c2,328$1,141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,187.282100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick51cpaid+98.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9f15…08f3backed Over51c2,302$1,174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,174.0220%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd379…c6f3backed Over51c2,301$1,174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,173.51250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf9ef…d167backed Under49c2,300$1,127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,173250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe83f…3636backed Over51c2,268$1,157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,156.6820%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1bf5…5842backed Over51c2,258$1,152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,151.5820%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7d27…c3babacked Over51c2,256$1,151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,150.56250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x496c…9dbebacked Under49c2,255$1,105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,150.052100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick51cpaid+98.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe6b3…2938backed Over51c2,236$1,140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,140.36250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7604…3780backed Under49c2,216$1,086 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,130.16250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x17bc…00bebacked Over51c2,202$1,123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,123.0220%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5270…d254backed Under49c2,190$1,073 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,116.9250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e71…e1a8backed Under49c2,186$1,071 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,114.86250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b95…994abacked Over51c2,186$1,115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,114.8620%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3943…a8e1backed Under49c2,178$1,067 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,110.78250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfba6…7340backed Under49c2,174$1,065 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,108.742100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick50cpaid+102%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc24c…82c7backed Over51c2,155$1,099 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,099.05250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7739…2c15backed Under49c2,142$1,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,092.422100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick51cpaid+98.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x91a7…8f6dbacked Under49c2,110$1,034 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,076.12100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick50cpaid+102%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xab5c…a81cbacked Under49c2,106$1,032 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,074.062100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick50cpaid+102%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xacf7…50e4backed Under49c2,096$1,027 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,068.962100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick51cpaid+98.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd75f…7b4ebacked Over51c2,089$1,065 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,065.39250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1881…f05dbacked Over51c2,085$1,063 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,063.35250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Under49c2,030$993 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,036.852,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf038…585dbacked Under49c2,028$994 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,034.28250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7bb7…3590backed Over51c2,025$1,033 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,032.75250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x893b…e888backed Under49c2,022$991 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,031.224100%4 W · 0 L+1.9wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+95.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x93d4…dbc9backed Over51c2,022$1,031 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,031.22250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x80a2…adfbbacked Over51c2,001$1,021 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,020.5120%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc6bb…de23backed Under49c1,992$976 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,015.92250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcd23…2423backed Under49c1,982$971 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,010.82250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b2a…369ebacked Under49c1,966$963 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,002.662100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick51cpaid+98.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5ad2…1091backed Under49c1,965$963 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,002.15250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c29…9e63backed Under49c1,964$962 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,001.642100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick50cpaid+102%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa58c…a298backed Over51c1,963$1,001 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,001.13250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf894…f825backed Under49c1,936$953 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$983.36250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf41a…c452backed Over51c1,922$980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$980.2220%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7ecf…2e10backed Over51c1,920$979 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$979.2250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf3d0…17acbacked Over51c1,920$979 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$979.2250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Under49c1,881$922 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$959.311,90854.5%1,040 W · 868 L+53.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0fad…1420backed Under49c1,866$914 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$951.662100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick51cpaid+98.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc8d5…ea78backed Over51c1,859$948 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$948.09250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcacf…c9dcbacked Under49c1,844$904 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$940.44250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2518…bce0backed Over51c1,843$940 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$939.9320%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x37e1…c064backed Under49c1,843$903 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$939.932100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick51cpaid+98.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0a14…0f11backed Under49c1,824$894 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$930.24250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1c97…d8b1backed Under49c1,824$894 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$930.24250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2e25…177abacked Over51c1,802$919 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$919.02250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc923…1a38backed Over51c1,801$919 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$918.51250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9281…f51bbacked Under49c1,788$876 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$911.88250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c64…5fa0backed Over51c1,768$902 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$901.68250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d29…0f85backed Over51c1,756$896 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$895.56250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd847…842cbacked Under49c1,755$860 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$895.052100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick51cpaid+98.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb4d9…615bbacked Over51c1,752$894 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$893.52250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x99f5…f7e1backed Over51c1,750$893 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$892.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde54…5715backed Under49c1,741$853 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$887.912100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick51cpaid+98.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbf2f…2c39backed Under49c1,725$845 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$879.75250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x698b…8a5abacked Over51c1,723$879 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$878.7320%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x82c3…acecbacked Over51c1,723$879 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$878.7320%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x935e…7570backed Over51c1,702$868 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$868.02250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4342…0ce4backed Under49c1,694$830 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$863.942100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick51cpaid+98.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0c49…c5e8backed Over51c1,688$861 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$860.88250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf80d…4024backed Over51c1,655$844 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$844.05250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x379e…36ecbacked Over51c1,652$843 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$842.5220%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x27c3…accebacked Under49c1,650$809 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$841.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x57a6…e452backed Over51c1,622$827 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$827.2220%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 36 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.