TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Thunder vs. Nets

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Thunderof Thunder, Nets
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,106,129

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,106,129 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 129 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3b5c…126ebacked Nets5c240,409$12,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,020.4527747.7%132 W · 145 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfbf3…b218backed Nets5c152,000$7,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,60029245.5%133 W · 159 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe790…eadcbacked Nets6c57,160$3,251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,250.7720744%91 W · 116 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-25.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xad2c…98f8backed Nets0c55,542$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.03520%1 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick18cpaid-47.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9f05…8937backed Nets5c48,701$2,589 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,588.9847028.1%132 W · 338 L+27.2wins+0.06per pick22cpaid+13.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x91fd…1cdebacked Nets5c47,605$2,380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,380.2777348.5%375 W · 398 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x20d6…3856backed Nets5c46,442$2,322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,322.1139842.5%169 W · 229 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-0.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x37de…f512backed Nets5c31,082$1,554 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,554.111,39026%361 W · 1,029 L-5.6wins0.00per pick26cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x44a1…bd21backed Nets1c28,604$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.6226637.2%99 W · 167 L-10.5wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-25.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1fa8…c667backed Nets7c20,585$1,388 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,388.33925.6%10 W · 29 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c10…8977backed Nets6c20,089$1,207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,207.0962347.7%297 W · 326 L-9.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-1.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1cf5…6440backed Nets6c20,000$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,10046928.4%133 W · 336 L+2.3wins0.00per pick28cpaid-4.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x8716…bd57backed Nets6c19,998$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,199.8841832.8%137 W · 281 L-10.5wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-18.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Nets5c18,500$925 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9254,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4309…7456backed Nets5c16,208$813 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$813.3361336.1%221 W · 392 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Nets6c15,500$930 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9301,78228%499 W · 1,283 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x44f7…266fbacked Nets0c12,742$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.484573.5%16 W · 441 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick3cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdaef…e17dbacked Nets5c11,899$595 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$594.965032%16 W · 34 L-2.9wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-29.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x13c9…5e53backed Nets0c10,500$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4030544.6%136 W · 169 L-10.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-10.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe29e…fa35backed Nets0c10,333$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3034136.1%123 W · 218 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-23.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbce9…03e9backed Nets0c10,155$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.058820%0 W · 882 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc8ec…e8f1backed Nets6c10,000$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60024831.9%79 W · 169 L+7.3wins+0.03per pick29cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa1d7…7056backed Nets5c9,700$484 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48420%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa5f6…a659backed Nets5c9,600$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48027241.9%114 W · 158 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa25d…2227backed Nets2c7,890$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.7910641.5%44 W · 62 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-21.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Nets6c7,261$433 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$433.043,12044.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L-7.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbf90…8e17backed Nets5c5,594$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.7647436.7%174 W · 300 L-16.8wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-17.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5f82…9b01backed Nets6c5,112$307 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306.7216635.5%59 W · 107 L-8.4wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-13.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7ba9…0516backed Nets6c5,000$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3007412.2%9 W · 65 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick13cpaid-25.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x64e9…eb4cbacked Nets5c5,000$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25035251.1%180 W · 172 L+8.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b9a…5f69backed Nets1c4,697$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.485213.8%20 W · 501 L+0.6wins0.00per pick4cpaid-36.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x79cb…331ebacked Nets0c4,505$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.398783%26 W · 852 L-22.3wins-0.03per pick5cpaid-62%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4e44…2af6backed Nets6c3,647$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218.8220%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2628…757bbacked Nets0c3,499$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.53912.8%5 W · 34 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick17cpaid-59.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Nets5c3,278$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.899,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0eb3…f766backed Nets5c3,171$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.5648944.2%216 W · 273 L-12.3wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Nets5c2,972$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.841,56247.4%741 W · 821 L-6.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaff3…6eccbacked Nets3c2,916$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.9133139.3%130 W · 201 L-9.4wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-15%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9592…a85bbacked Nets3c2,400$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.528245.4%128 W · 154 L+7.8wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb24d…c330backed Nets2c2,183$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.751020%2 W · 8 L-1.6wins-0.16per pick36cpaid-48.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9fca…e8edbacked Nets2c1,900$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.35738.6%22 W · 35 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+11.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfa36…7ad3backed Nets6c1,739$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.61020%2 W · 8 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick15cpaid-44.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x13b5…7e1cbacked Nets6c1,667$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004843.8%21 W · 27 L-3.7wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-32%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdaef…cbb2backed Nets6c1,587$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.213154.8%17 W · 14 L+4.0wins+0.13per pick42cpaid+31.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xda2e…8904backed Nets6c1,517$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$919343%40 W · 53 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xf16d…b7f9backed Nets13c1,270$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.4419434.5%67 W · 127 L-10.2wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-20%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x56f5…3723backed Nets8c1,250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10030%0 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb64…5e23backed Nets6c1,159$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.5426530.9%82 W · 183 L+0.8wins0.00per pick31cpaid-5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e2d…40b1backed Nets5c1,148$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.4132330.7%99 W · 224 L-12.1wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-15.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2c9c…6824backed Nets5c1,000$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504429.5%13 W · 31 L+2.6wins+0.06per pick24cpaid+23%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf33d…24cabacked Nets6c1,000$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6019432%62 W · 132 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-21.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e98…110bbacked Nets5c1,000$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5030845.8%141 W · 167 L-1.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-10.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8374…4015backed Nets5c1,000$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50850%4 W · 4 L+1.7wins+0.21per pick29cpaid+12%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5ea8…b084backed Nets5c999.95$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5013435.8%48 W · 86 L-7.4wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-23.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3316…b6a4backed Nets6c944$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.642352.2%12 W · 11 L+2.4wins+0.10per pick42cpaid+12.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0072…3d75backed Nets6c872$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.3214738.1%56 W · 91 L-8.9wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-14.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8eac…bca8backed Nets6c833.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb8bd…478fbacked Nets6c833.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5019443.3%84 W · 110 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-8.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Nets4c824.58$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.782,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x518d…3b83backed Nets6c800$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-57.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4488…579cbacked Nets5c750$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.577549.2%381 W · 394 L-2.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x85d2…cbd0backed Nets6c727.3$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.64540%2 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.15per pick25cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xba14…b792backed Nets5c677$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.8569929.8%208 W · 491 L0.0wins0.00per pick30cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaabb…5554backed Nets5c600$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3068944%303 W · 386 L+16.8wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc9f…905bbacked Nets6c600$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3662539.4%246 W · 379 L-18.0wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed Nets3c560$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1436023.1%83 W · 277 L-15.6wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-49.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5b7c…8d4cbacked Nets6c500$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304513.3%6 W · 39 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick14cpaid-40.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x72b4…cdb2backed Nets6c500$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305356.6%30 W · 23 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick57cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x48e3…c148backed Nets5c500$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25316.5%2 W · 29 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick12cpaid-53.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Nets5c500$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2535049.4%173 W · 177 L+17.0wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+9.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe7ff…c9ddbacked Nets6c500$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3020329.6%60 W · 143 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick27cpaid+9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8803…cd6ebacked Nets10c500$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505824.1%14 W · 44 L-3.0wins-0.05per pick29cpaid-15.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1e3c…e044backed Nets6c500$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305516.4%9 W · 46 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick17cpaid-20.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb797…4f61backed Nets9c499.94$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.996535.4%23 W · 42 L-5.0wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-27.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x85c2…9730backed Nets6c440.5$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.4368542.6%292 W · 393 L-6.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8e87…20cabacked Nets6c423.52$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.41933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-47.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x96ca…5a71backed Nets6c416.67$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2518533%61 W · 124 L-19.5wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-30.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x0ef3…df7fbacked Nets6c416.67$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2515635.3%55 W · 101 L-4.1wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-13.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe0c…04b6backed Nets6c416.67$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253534.3%12 W · 23 L-2.0wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-33%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xeca1…57e4backed Nets7c411.67$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.519245.3%87 W · 105 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba35…92bdbacked Nets6c400$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2425930.5%79 W · 180 L-9.4wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-15.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x15d5…ef7bbacked Nets6c400$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241,19838.8%465 W · 733 L+11.6wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x07dd…0876backed Nets11c348$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.629849%48 W · 50 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick51cpaid+0.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Nets9c335.74$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.0241038%156 W · 254 L-16.8wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-20.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7690…dfcebacked Nets6c333.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2023644.1%104 W · 132 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x16b8…cdb5backed Nets6c333.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202817.9%5 W · 23 L-2.3wins-0.08per pick26cpaid-55.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x17d2…1277backed Nets6c333.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20214.8%1 W · 20 L-2.4wins-0.11per pick16cpaid-47.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfe3f…abe7backed Nets6c333.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20140%0 W · 14 L-1.7wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7b55…01c6backed Nets6c333.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208134.6%28 W · 53 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick31cpaid-10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4706…286ebacked Nets9c300$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2760944.8%273 W · 336 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x814c…7ffabacked Nets9c300$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2764347.7%307 W · 336 L+14.5wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x64e8…7819backed Nets12c300$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3673131.1%227 W · 504 L-3.5wins0.00per pick32cpaid-5.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x5c16…0272backed Nets5c300$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1518233%60 W · 122 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-20.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x60ee…9718backed Nets5c300$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158129.6%24 W · 57 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-25.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x41e1…f058backed Nets5c300$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15119.1%1 W · 10 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick11cpaid-69.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x527c…5a2bbacked Nets7c285.71$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2070%0 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Nets4c250$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101,75848.7%856 W · 902 L+28.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7056…88fcbacked Nets6c250$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1557233.2%190 W · 382 L+1.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Nets6c244.67$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.6862144%273 W · 348 L+0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-16.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xecd8…ac23backed Nets6c243.67$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.621040%4 W · 6 L+2.0wins+0.20per pick20cpaid+29.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 36 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.