TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xfa36…7ad3

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
31
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: CS2, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category CS2 at 52 out of 100; worst Other European Leagues at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT1020%2 W · 8 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick15cpaid-44.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Warriors vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+162.5%+$17.54
Thunder vs. Netsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$105.6
Jazz vs. Timberwolvesbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.1
Warriors vs. Celticsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.73
76ers vs. Nuggetsbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.63
Pacers vs. Knicksbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Pistons vs. Wizardsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$79.71
Rockets vs. Netsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$11
Kings vs. Lakersbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$20.1
Mavericks vs. Pelicansbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+192.7%+$25.03
All 10 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2026, EDT50%0 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Dec 11, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.17per pick33cpaid+189.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Panathinaikós AO win on 2025-12-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST-100%-$10.99
Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2025-12-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST+479.7%+$51.23
All 2 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Mar 17, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Gen.G vs JD Gaming (BO5) - First Stand Group Bbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$27
LoL: G2 Esports vs Team Secret Whales (BO5) - First Stand Group Abacked Team Secret Whales · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.82
All 2 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 17, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sporting CP vs. FK Bodø/Glimt end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.63
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2025-12-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$16.23
All 2 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-02-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$11.48
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2025-12-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$10.9
All 2 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 27, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
La Bisbal: Lucrezia Stefanini vs Tamara Korpatschbacked Lucrezia Stefanini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.07
Madrid Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Naomi Osakabacked Naomi Osaka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.36
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Dec 28, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Equatorial Guinea win on 2025-12-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$16
Will Tunisia win on 2025-12-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$18.83
All 2 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+68%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group Abacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+68%+$8.31
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Dec 13, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elche CF win on 2025-12-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$11.25
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Dec 27, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Udinese Calcio win on 2025-12-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$13.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 19, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Team Essence vs InterActive Philippines (BO3) - EPL World Series Southeast Asia Group Stagebacked Team Essence · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.