Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2025-12-11?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x16ff3ba5b74bc4a4a169fa12264015babd2e96e415efdb57c7a4b5f9834d4af5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $52,292
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $61,683
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $52,292 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 107 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe161…4ebfbacked Yes | 27c | 7,131$1,895 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,235.38 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +167.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 50c | 6,280$3,155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,154.94 | 522 | 43.9%229 W · 293 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 72c | 3,887$2,813 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,812.94 | 848 | 50.8%431 W · 417 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6c…4b49backed Yes | 32c | 3,130$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,129.64 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 30c | 3,052$919 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,133.13 | 199 | 34.7%69 W · 130 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 78c | 2,699$2,113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,112.84 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 69c | 2,691$1,854 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,853.62 | 449 | 52.6%236 W · 213 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc89b…451fbacked Yes | 31c | 1,823$565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,257.76 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +132.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a22…c3b5backed Yes | 13c | 1,709$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,489.09 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 25cpaid | +125.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 65c | 1,626$1,063 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$563.53 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1358…1af4backed No | 70c | 1,600$1,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,119.99 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Yes | 14c | 1,249$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,074.14 | 55 | 18.2%10 W · 45 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 25cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3334…a65dbacked Yes | 27c | 1,150$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$835.28 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7809…64ccbacked No | 69c | 710.65$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$491.54 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -2.9wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed No | 71c | 704.24$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 99 | 54.5%54 W · 45 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 69c | 684.11$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470.27 | 338 | 47%159 W · 179 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76da…30a2backed Yes | 15c | 666.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$566.67 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4acf…a07fbacked Yes | 15c | 634.93$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$539.69 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a53…8c81backed Yes | 15c | 623.07$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$529.61 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 34cpaid | +56.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked No | 78c | 579.34$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450.04 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -22%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8bd…df80backed Yes | 16c | 356.25$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.25 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +11%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeab3…c6bbbacked Yes | 15c | 333.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.33 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.14per pick | 44cpaid | +53.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 68c | 327.8$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.9 | 279 | 39.8%111 W · 168 L | -15.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d3…bb8ebacked Yes | 31c | 322.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.58 | 73 | 54.8%40 W · 33 L | +7.9wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d7…a70cbacked Yes | 39c | 300$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8a0…f967backed Yes | 13c | 300$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5dc2…4837backed No | 69c | 299.99$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.99 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2422…28febacked Yes | 32c | 275$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41da…0b58backed Yes | 28c | 275$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 15cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x040d…3527backed Yes | 26c | 250$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88c9…3734backed No | 70c | 219.35$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.54 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +36%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2076…bf0dbacked Yes | 23c | 200$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +2.5wins | +0.36per pick | 35cpaid | +87.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2d56…d1b1backed Yes | 31c | 200$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb960…8c47backed Yes | 13c | 200$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.16per pick | 17cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked No | 70c | 199.99$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139 | 130 | 54.6%71 W · 59 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed No | 71c | 199.99$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.99 | 212 | 43.9%93 W · 119 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3013…e5b2backed Yes | 28c | 178.57$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.57 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.5wins | +0.22per pick | 41cpaid | +50.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc713…c8d0backed Yes | 16c | 172.58$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.78 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +296%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked No | 69c | 167.99$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.91 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x380c…1099backed Yes | 15c | 164.58$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.58 | 109 | 63.3%69 W · 40 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c2a…c9c8backed Yes | 32c | 156.26$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.26 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.26per pick | 37cpaid | +66.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd0b4…9dc2backed Yes | 16c | 156.25$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.25 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d33…e208backed Yes | 31c | 151.61$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.61 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +3.6wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6dec…be12backed Yes | 15c | 136.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.67 | 42 | 26.2%11 W · 31 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 21cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeee2…035dbacked Yes | 15c | 133.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.33 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 26cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x927b…3735backed Yes | 15c | 133.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.33 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ccf…b312backed Yes | 31c | 119.35$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.35 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +2.3wins | +0.15per pick | 38cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb12…f057backed No | 68c | 117$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.56 | 105 | 54.3%57 W · 48 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 30c | 110$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77 | 147 | 40.8%60 W · 87 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03de…4bfdbacked No | 69c | 110$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.9 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | -4.5wins | -0.10per pick | 59cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xecc6…a1c4backed Yes | 14c | 107.14$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.14 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda70…828bbacked Yes | 29c | 105$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.55 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +4.1wins | +0.14per pick | 38cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc049…48abbacked Yes | 15c | 105$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.25 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +2.0wins | +0.12per pick | 35cpaid | +91.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe666…14f5backed Yes | 28c | 100$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +4.5wins | +0.45per pick | 45cpaid | +102.1%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x0cb1…5286backed Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | +5.1wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8fba…5dc5backed Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0157…d8dcbacked Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31b9…b28abacked Yes | 28c | 100$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.40per pick | 40cpaid | +100.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x88ff…fa1bbacked Yes | 16c | 100$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.26per pick | 31cpaid | +101.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x977e…f89fbacked Yes | 14c | 100$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.8wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +199.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Yes | 29c | 99$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.29 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8816…7082backed Yes | 26c | 96.15$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.15 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb32e…a46abacked Yes | 28c | 90$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.8 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ec…daabbacked No | 72c | 89.37$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.08 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 75cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1393…8392backed Yes | 30c | 87$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.65 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +45.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x625a…7bb3backed Yes | 18c | 82.26$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.26 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +58.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5a0e…9036backed Yes | 31c | 80.65$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.65 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 37cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6738…13eebacked Yes | 32c | 78.66$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.66 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79df…1661backed Yes | 32c | 78.13$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.13 | 81 | 38.3%31 W · 50 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 69c | 74$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.06 | 428 | 44.9%192 W · 236 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed No | 68c | 73$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.64 | 94 | 44.7%42 W · 52 L | -7.2wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -18%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x795f…1871backed No | 74c | 67.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked No | 61c | 67.28$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.85 | 86 | 36%31 W · 55 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac43…4925backed Yes | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.67 | 85 | 43.5%37 W · 48 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf2e…c770backed Yes | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.5 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5427…bb86backed Yes | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.5 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +3.4wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfa36…7ad3backed Yes | 17c | 61.91$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.23 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +189.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d19…bf25backed Yes | 17c | 61.4$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.9 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +4.4wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x06f4…758dbacked Yes | 30c | 60$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb957…d44fbacked Yes | 37c | 54.43$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.43 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +88.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fc9…fa88backed No | 25c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1947…94bcbacked No | 69c | 50$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.5 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01fa…c2edbacked Yes | 30c | 48.56$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.99 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.22per pick | 48cpaid | +47.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9de2…3adbbacked Yes | 31c | 44.57$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.76 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed No | 68c | 44$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.92 | 158 | 46.8%74 W · 84 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e79…089bbacked No | 72c | 43.85$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.48 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.21per pick | 58cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd306…4320backed Yes | 28c | 42.85$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.85 | 65 | 21.5%14 W · 51 L | -5.2wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7879…4345backed No | 69c | 41.6$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.7 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.7wins | -0.27per pick | 57cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x084d…7e47backed No | 70c | 39.86$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.9 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcad…0a68backed No | 77c | 33.4$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.56 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc889…175cbacked No | 38c | 32.57$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.35 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x541b…e50fbacked Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.25 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +175.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c78…1af0backed Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.25 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +46.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a72…e01fbacked Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.25 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +167.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed No | 61c | 26.33$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.06 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42bb…2138backed No | 69c | 25$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.25per pick | 59cpaid | -55%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4bdf…9652backed No | 75c | 24$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.92 | 50 | 60%30 W · 20 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 79c | 20.65$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.3 | 116 | 44%51 W · 65 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d3…432abacked No | 70c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 68cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x194f…81b6backed No | 70c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.29per pick | 58cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2025-12-11?this page
- Will RC Celta de Vigo vs. Bologna FC 1909 end in a draw?No won
- Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2025-12-11?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.