Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2025-12-11?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x51a6ad769222da69d823c2cab73aa41740a3090381bbdd4326c58c56d3efcd1b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $109,148
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $112,067
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $109,148 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 149 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed No | 50c | 40,000$20,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,000 | 212 | 37.3%79 W · 133 L | -11.1wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Yes | 41c | 15,978$6,551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,551.18 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 59c | 15,419$9,098 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,097.65 | 522 | 43.9%229 W · 293 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa25…05e8backed No | 58c | 12,000$7,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,000 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -61.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 51c | 8,869$4,537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,536.52 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cb…28adbacked No | 59c | 6,805$4,009 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,796.19 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +3.0wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +83.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa196…5b78backed Yes | 41c | 3,023$1,239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,239.33 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6884…6ccfbacked Yes | 43c | 2,998$1,298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,298.17 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 51c | 2,543$1,310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,233.45 | 848 | 50.8%431 W · 417 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba6…0f07backed No | 40c | 2,500$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,499.98 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Yes | 41c | 2,388$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$989.83 | 330 | 55.2%182 W · 148 L | +21.0wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…8464backed Yes | 44c | 2,273$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 97 | 48.5%47 W · 50 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Yes | 41c | 1,858$763 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$762.96 | 338 | 47%159 W · 179 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 42c | 1,700$714 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$714 | 333 | 49.8%166 W · 167 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…4bccbacked Yes | 43c | 1,631$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 41c | 1,449$601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$601.37 | 428 | 44.9%192 W · 236 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 28c | 1,362$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.92 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4446…1fd0backed No | 79c | 1,265$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.84 | 18 | 83.3%15 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.13per pick | 71cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 43c | 1,071$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456.32 | 199 | 34.7%69 W · 130 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes | 44c | 1,005$442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$442.05 | 84 | 20.2%17 W · 67 L | -12.1wins | -0.14per pick | 35cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5675…f99cbacked Yes | 41c | 1,000$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06eb…1a5fbacked Yes | 40c | 1,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 56c | 931.08$521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.68 | 279 | 39.8%111 W · 168 L | -15.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Yes | 54c | 807.15$436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$436.42 | 86 | 58.1%50 W · 36 L | +5.6wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3013…e5b2backed No | 39c | 773.3$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$468.16 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.5wins | +0.22per pick | 41cpaid | +50.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a6…fa77backed No | 41c | 731.71$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$431.71 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -39%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 60c | 651.26$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.98 | 741 | 55.9%414 W · 327 L | +19.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b7…0adbbacked Yes | 42c | 646.66$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.6 | 25 | 76%19 W · 6 L | +5.7wins | +0.23per pick | 53cpaid | +43%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5a2b…c3cbbacked No | 38c | 644.92$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.85 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9de2…3adbbacked Yes | 10c | 634.88$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Yes | 42c | 623.53$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.48 | 75 | 50.7%38 W · 37 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc23d…82c8backed Yes | 57c | 618$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.75 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +102.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204b…a4eebacked Yes | 63c | 596.68$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.91 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Yes | 41c | 500$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Yes | 42c | 499$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.57 | 103 | 60.2%62 W · 41 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92d8…9762backed Yes | 30c | 494.75$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.5 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +7.2wins | +0.27per pick | 33cpaid | +79.4%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b7…6e7ebacked Yes | 42c | 485.1$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.8 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +18%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Yes | 42c | 476.3$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 84 | 56%47 W · 37 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed No | 70c | 400.8$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.24 | 122 | 47.5%58 W · 64 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Yes | 39c | 383.95$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.74 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Yes | 14c | 376$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.97 | 80 | 27.5%22 W · 58 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa1a…d9abbacked Yes | 43c | 374.46$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.18per pick | 37cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9a9c…5480backed Yes | 41c | 369.4$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.45 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -3.3wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6036…d2ccbacked Yes | 41c | 366.99$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.47 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Yes | 42c | 357.14$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad89…f6e1backed Yes | 31c | 337.75$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.37 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +388.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Yes | 32c | 332.79$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 109 | 41.3%45 W · 64 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 41c | 327$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.07 | 449 | 52.6%236 W · 213 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Yes | 41c | 300$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123 | 103 | 32%33 W · 70 L | -5.8wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Yes | 42c | 300$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 154 | 59.1%91 W · 63 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked No | 45c | 300$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165 | 86 | 36%31 W · 55 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2422…28febacked Yes | 41c | 273.17$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7256…30c9backed No | 60c | 261.5$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.94 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbebb…1465backed Yes | 41c | 241.88$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c36…9433backed Yes | 42c | 240.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0a0…35cdbacked Yes | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0613…4d1cbacked Yes | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.5wins | +0.18per pick | 46cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed Yes | 40c | 227.42$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.97 | 158 | 46.8%74 W · 84 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes | 42c | 210.04$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.22 | 197 | 36%71 W · 126 L | +9.3wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x215b…3e6cbacked Yes | 41c | 200$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4702…457fbacked Yes | 43c | 186.05$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.12per pick | 41cpaid | +47.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b1…19bbbacked No | 61c | 164.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.49 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +80.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d3…bb8ebacked Yes | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 73 | 54.8%40 W · 33 L | +7.9wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4acf…a07fbacked Yes | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Yes | 42c | 156.56$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.76 | 55 | 18.2%10 W · 45 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 25cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x154b…4917backed Yes | 41c | 154$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.14 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70b0…b71fbacked Yes | 14c | 151.25$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.55 | 45 | 22.2%10 W · 35 L | -7.5wins | -0.17per pick | 39cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x03f7…c0ccbacked Yes | 43c | 150$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.5 | 105 | 39%41 W · 64 L | -5.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a93…32a0backed No | 40c | 150$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 41c | 138.38$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.34 | 82 | 40.2%33 W · 49 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x644b…ec38backed No | 39c | 128.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.21 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ccf…b312backed Yes | 42c | 119.05$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +2.3wins | +0.15per pick | 38cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…477abacked Yes | 42c | 118.93$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.95 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb327…0fccbacked Yes | 42c | 117.67$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +4.5wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +62.7%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Yes | 37c | 112.72$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.63 | 116 | 44%51 W · 65 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08cc…da60backed Yes | 44c | 110$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked Yes | 65c | 101.82$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.84 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -22%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe666…14f5backed No | 41c | 100$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +4.5wins | +0.45per pick | 45cpaid | +102.1%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae9…74acbacked No | 40c | 100$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa09a…5cb8backed Yes | 61c | 100$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf70…7d5fbacked No | 38c | 100$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f83…a491backed No | 36c | 100$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.2 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31b9…b28abacked No | 41c | 100$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.40per pick | 40cpaid | +100.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdd3a…9993backed No | 58c | 97.71$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.42 | 66 | 56.1%37 W · 29 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda5c…ed5bbacked Yes | 41c | 97.56$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc41b…4fdfbacked No | 41c | 97.56$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.56 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6981…8ac5backed Yes | 43c | 96.05$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.77 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fd8…bfe0backed Yes | 43c | 90.57$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.95 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb29…ea29backed No | 39c | 89.26$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.45 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x844b…2580backed No | 58c | 88.97$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.37 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.28per pick | 58cpaid | +48.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked No | 58c | 87.06$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.57 | 136 | 50%68 W · 68 L | -9.6wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6564…8846backed Yes | 43c | 79.98$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.39 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 38c | 75$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.5 | 105 | 44.8%47 W · 58 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5422…6c3fbacked No | 40c | 75$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 64 | 46.9%30 W · 34 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fa…51e5backed No | 58c | 74.5$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.3 | 56 | 60.7%34 W · 22 L | +4.0wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc24a…922bbacked Yes | 43c | 74.42$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes | 42c | 73.81$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6134…98b0backed Yes | 43c | 72.28$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.08 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa9b…51ffbacked Yes | 42c | 70.87$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cd…9a4cbacked No | 60c | 70.47$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.47 | 28 | 85.7%24 W · 4 L | +6.4wins | +0.23per pick | 63cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2025-12-11?this page
- Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2025-12-11?Yes won
- Will RC Celta de Vigo vs. Bologna FC 1909 end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.