TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

La Bisbal: Lucrezia Stefanini vs Tamara Korpatsch

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Tamara Korpatschof Lucrezia Stefanini, Tamara Korpatsch
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$62,679
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$74,364

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $62,679 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd218…b5c9backed Lucrezia Stefanini11c2,997$328 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$327.726,72036.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L-95.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4699…5051backed Lucrezia Stefanini10c1,807$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.699737.9%77 W · 896 L-20.2wins-0.02per pick10cpaid-28.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Lucrezia Stefanini10c1,768$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.624,18544.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L+14.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-17.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Lucrezia Stefanini6c1,667$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.0285348.7%415 W · 438 L+6.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Lucrezia Stefanini13c1,142$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.323,07244.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L-30.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-23%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Lucrezia Stefanini14c1,077$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.237,01843.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L+124.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5f8d…8b2cbacked Lucrezia Stefanini11c1,069$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.9538013.9%53 W · 327 L-38.3wins-0.10per pick24cpaid-55.2%equal weight39-0.09 edge/pick
0xc4c3…2e3fbacked Lucrezia Stefanini16c498.79$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.81336.1%2 W · 31 L-2.3wins-0.07per pick13cpaid-44.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked Lucrezia Stefanini10c493.35$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.782,52339.6%1,000 W · 1,523 L-3.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaa39…e4afbacked Lucrezia Stefanini6c476.82$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.872714.8%4 W · 23 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick12cpaid-17.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x14e4…eabbbacked Lucrezia Stefanini10c439.3$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.9343353.6%232 W · 201 L+32.2wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+17.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf46b…c51dbacked Lucrezia Stefanini6c416.76$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.0163052.4%330 W · 300 L+12.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked Lucrezia Stefanini6c416.76$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.0160355.4%334 W · 269 L+19.8wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5a47…5e77backed Lucrezia Stefanini11c321.05$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.023528.6%10 W · 25 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick28cpaid-10.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Lucrezia Stefanini22c317.1$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.462,22945%1,002 W · 1,227 L+3.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9694…b7adbacked Lucrezia Stefanini26c307.65$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.992,05859.5%1,225 W · 833 L-1.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Lucrezia Stefanini6c293.62$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.621,67850.8%852 W · 826 L+30.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Lucrezia Stefanini6c281.78$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.714,92138.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L-20.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbe29…eb76backed Lucrezia Stefanini13c275.74$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.1918330.1%55 W · 128 L-8.8wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-19.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xeca6…08ffbacked Lucrezia Stefanini8c253.47$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.283020%6 W · 24 L-3.1wins-0.10per pick30cpaid-29.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd038…8f51backed Lucrezia Stefanini12c250$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304,28840.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L-139.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbc08…6b85backed Tamara Korpatsch74c181.78$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.261,10352.9%583 W · 520 L+2.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b85…bf37backed Lucrezia Stefanini14c179.25$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.1479951.1%408 W · 391 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd5a6…6991backed Lucrezia Stefanini16c144.97$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.1910847.2%51 W · 57 L+8.7wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+23.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xbb9f…557bbacked Lucrezia Stefanini12c126.27$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.5330131.9%96 W · 205 L-9.5wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x537a…7447backed Lucrezia Stefanini15c110.68$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.1330351.8%157 W · 146 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-6.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e4a…f43dbacked Lucrezia Stefanini11c97.57$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.1813033.8%44 W · 86 L+4.6wins+0.04per pick30cpaid+10%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfa36…7ad3backed Lucrezia Stefanini13c77.43$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.0720%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb4c9…a454backed Lucrezia Stefanini21c75.8$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.9232043.8%140 W · 180 L-5.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-9.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Lucrezia Stefanini17c74.43$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.453,27013.8%450 W · 2,820 L-549.1wins-0.17per pick31cpaid-57.4%equal weight31-0.17 edge/pick
0x6f2e…7c7bbacked Tamara Korpatsch74c69.43$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.011,06557.4%611 W · 454 L+20.9wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb2e3…4874backed Tamara Korpatsch79c66.01$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.5991880.5%739 W · 179 L+39.3wins+0.04per pick76cpaid+5.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Lucrezia Stefanini26c50$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133,90150.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L-13.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x27b1…3813backed Tamara Korpatsch74c49.22$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.81,16849.1%573 W · 595 L-2.7wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb594…c1a0backed Tamara Korpatsch74c45.55$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.847768.8%53 W · 24 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick70cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf390…d1bbbacked Lucrezia Stefanini26c42.84$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.285433.3%18 W · 36 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid+14.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5af4…9ca3backed Tamara Korpatsch74c33.26$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.651100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9ef1…5acabacked Tamara Korpatsch74c20.67$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.341,79460.2%1,080 W · 714 L+6.8wins0.00per pick60cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe625…feedbacked Tamara Korpatsch79c19.75$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.15333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.36per pick70cpaid-57.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe25c…ae63backed Tamara Korpatsch73c15.2$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.152750.3%265 W · 262 L-6.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.