TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

76ers vs. Nuggets

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Nuggetsof 76ers, Nuggets
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,527,231

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,527,231 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 253 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xbddf…c684backed 76ers10c409,253$39,925 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39,925.2972648.3%351 W · 375 L+30.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa455…3ef0backed 76ers0c116,651$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.6520%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1a90…077cbacked 76ers0c100,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001233.3%4 W · 8 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick29cpaid-21.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb45a…192cbacked 76ers10c69,459$6,946 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,945.8654539.6%216 W · 329 L-28.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-11.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x433f…a0dcbacked 76ers0c50,856$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.2116919.5%33 W · 136 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-27.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x27cb…169ebacked 76ers10c39,791$3,979 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,979.0627424.5%67 W · 207 L-10.0wins-0.04per pick28cpaid-13.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd995…2b51backed 76ers2c33,690$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7502536%9 W · 16 L+3.5wins+0.14per pick22cpaid+28.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x725c…7190backed 76ers0c30,000$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1fa8…c667backed 76ers10c24,614$2,452 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,452.433925.6%10 W · 29 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8716…bd57backed 76ers10c23,998$2,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,399.841832.8%137 W · 281 L-10.5wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-18.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd0e7…b14fbacked 76ers11c20,928$2,360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,359.9134851.7%180 W · 168 L+1.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0eb7…1f17backed 76ers10c20,000$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00042348%203 W · 220 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-15%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x79cb…331ebacked 76ers0c14,154$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.28783%26 W · 852 L-22.3wins-0.03per pick5cpaid-62%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d9b…a5ebbacked 76ers2c13,169$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32013544.4%60 W · 75 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x4309…7456backed 76ers10c13,035$1,317 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,317.0461336.1%221 W · 392 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed 76ers11c12,100$1,281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,280.51,78228%499 W · 1,283 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x76ab…506dbacked 76ers11c11,700$1,287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2874551.1%23 W · 22 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+9.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x299f…2140backed 76ers10c11,052$1,105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,105.151,14148%548 W · 593 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4137…586cbacked 76ers10c10,059$1,005 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,005.2947043.8%206 W · 264 L-22.2wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-12.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x18bb…e5cdbacked 76ers11c10,000$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1009018.9%17 W · 73 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-21.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa5f6…a659backed 76ers10c10,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00027241.9%114 W · 158 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x37de…f512backed 76ers9c10,000$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9001,39026%361 W · 1,029 L-5.6wins0.00per pick26cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb853…0d33backed 76ers10c10,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00035438.1%135 W · 219 L+1.5wins0.00per pick38cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b47…d615backed 76ers10c10,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00057950.1%290 W · 289 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa25d…2227backed 76ers6c10,000$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$599.9910641.5%44 W · 62 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-21.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb6ce…a992backed 76ers1c7,646$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$951612.5%2 W · 14 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick16cpaid-73.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x128f…db9dbacked 76ers5c7,256$336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$336.2520651.5%106 W · 100 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+9.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b9a…5f69backed 76ers0c7,000$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145213.8%20 W · 501 L+0.6wins0.00per pick4cpaid-36.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x089b…2193backed 76ers3c7,000$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18927731.4%87 W · 190 L-7.7wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-3.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed 76ers10c6,191$619 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$619.11,16352.8%614 W · 549 L+22.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x01f5…5cfbbacked 76ers9c6,160$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55016421.3%35 W · 129 L-10.7wins-0.07per pick28cpaid-30.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb6b7…8c64backed 76ers9c5,570$501 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501.320%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x046c…8ca3backed 76ers9c5,500$495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4959330.1%28 W · 65 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-22.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0ca8…ddddbacked 76ers8c5,189$406 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$406.0327846.8%130 W · 148 L-7.5wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9f05…8937backed 76ers9c5,000$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45047028.1%132 W · 338 L+27.2wins+0.06per pick22cpaid+13.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x41b4…de82backed 76ers9c5,000$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45058740%235 W · 352 L+24.3wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc6ae…afe9backed 76ers10c5,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50010225.5%26 W · 76 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-32.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2103…4ff5backed 76ers1c4,770$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.97468.7%4 W · 42 L+0.1wins0.00per pick9cpaid+23.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbce9…03e9backed 76ers0c4,463$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.268820%0 W · 882 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a15…52d6backed 76ers13c4,436$574 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$573.9717651.7%91 W · 85 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe3b4…7730backed 76ers8c4,341$333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$333300%0 W · 30 L-2.3wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xca87…8e3dbacked 76ers9c4,047$364 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$364.241428.6%4 W · 10 L-2.6wins-0.19per pick47cpaid-52.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xebb4…abe5backed 76ers2c3,975$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.1970%0 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfd3a…23f8backed 76ers1c3,400$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$422454.2%13 W · 11 L+2.0wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+13.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed 76ers10c3,000$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28586641.5%359 W · 507 L-2.2wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1418…6fefbacked 76ers9c2,300$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218.543438.5%167 W · 267 L-1.9wins0.00per pick39cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbf90…8e17backed 76ers10c2,102$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.3247436.7%174 W · 300 L-16.8wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-17.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1a1c…5a9cbacked 76ers2c2,076$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$405525.5%14 W · 41 L-3.3wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-26.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe7a9…66a1backed 76ers1c1,900$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.82623.1%6 W · 20 L-4.4wins-0.17per pick40cpaid-40.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xa1a9…e22ebacked 76ers12c1,857$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$228.1416440.9%67 W · 97 L+9.5wins+0.06per pick35cpaid+12.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa2fc…a7c1backed 76ers11c1,818$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-24.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8d27…676ebacked 76ers10c1,818$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.9813954%75 W · 64 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked 76ers14c1,774$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.654,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x808c…b77ebacked 76ers10c1,552$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.192138.1%8 W · 13 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-13.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x94ca…5482backed 76ers3c1,484$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.575935.6%21 W · 38 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-22.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc2c1…b52abacked 76ers9c1,475$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.081855.6%10 W · 8 L+2.4wins+0.13per pick42cpaid-0.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5e2d…40b1backed 76ers9c1,461$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.5232330.7%99 W · 224 L-12.1wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-15.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x16db…ac64backed 76ers7c1,370$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.915922%13 W · 46 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick26cpaid-37.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6c03…d894backed 76ers1c1,289$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.185848.3%28 W · 30 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-14.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xed8f…5aa7backed 76ers10c1,280$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12817144.4%76 W · 95 L+0.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba8d…009dbacked 76ers16c1,250$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20014634.9%51 W · 95 L-5.9wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-22.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfb87…0335backed 76ers10c1,200$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12013346.6%62 W · 71 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed 76ers8c1,149$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.842,16940.8%885 W · 1,284 L-8.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4684…3944backed 76ers2c1,133$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.211717.6%3 W · 14 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick18cpaid-22.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x43cb…4bccbacked 76ers10c1,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10029635.8%106 W · 190 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc9f…905bbacked 76ers11c1,000$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11062539.4%246 W · 379 L-18.0wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbaea…4bbfbacked 76ers10c1,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10040541%166 W · 239 L+0.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5127…de1ebacked 76ers5c1,000$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5017944.1%79 W · 100 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-11.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe980…5a40backed 76ers4c949.81$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.52339.1%9 W · 14 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-30.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed 76ers3c941.79$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.6836023.1%83 W · 277 L-15.6wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-49.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc371…1e28backed 76ers7c917.99$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.9842335.9%152 W · 271 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-14.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x495c…1574backed 76ers11c909.09$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007423%17 W · 57 L+3.5wins+0.05per pick18cpaid+20.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa82f…ba73backed 76ers11c887$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.573633.3%12 W · 24 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-18.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6032…5a32backed 76ers10c820$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-51.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x86b1…c094backed 76ers6c819$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.6244821.4%96 W · 352 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick22cpaid-17.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f61…ea25backed 76ers11c800$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$882045%9 W · 11 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick41cpaid-29.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0f69…23cbbacked 76ers10c800$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80219.5%2 W · 19 L-1.9wins-0.09per pick18cpaid-25.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xba14…b792backed 76ers9c743$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.8769929.8%208 W · 491 L0.0wins0.00per pick30cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4488…579cbacked 76ers11c742$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.6277549.2%381 W · 394 L-2.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf58a…c3d8backed 76ers7c714.29$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-30%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe2cc…893cbacked 76ers8c698.84$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.7132236.3%117 W · 205 L-21.2wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-33.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed 76ers10c624.97$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.51,56247.4%741 W · 821 L-6.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x12e2…309ebacked 76ers6c609.93$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$383716.2%6 W · 31 L-2.9wins-0.08per pick24cpaid-58.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x23bf…805cbacked 76ers13c609.39$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.457537.4%215 W · 360 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick36cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaabb…5554backed 76ers10c600$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5768944%303 W · 386 L+16.8wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2268…05bdbacked 76ers10c581.82$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$603948.7%19 W · 20 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+13.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc4a6…6d23backed 76ers10c520.54$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.0520047.5%95 W · 105 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x38fa…87b5backed 76ers11c518.18$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5733632.4%109 W · 227 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3045…8f78backed 76ers10c500$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5043653.2%232 W · 204 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8ffe…4ef8backed 76ers11c500$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$552352.2%12 W · 11 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x71ed…67c2backed 76ers10c500$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503935.9%14 W · 25 L0.0wins0.00per pick36cpaid-3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd43f…0bb0backed 76ers7c499.99$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3535532.4%115 W · 240 L-12.7wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-17%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed 76ers10c496.11$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.615,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcacf…35ffbacked 76ers3c472.7$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.977211%7 W · 714 L-2.6wins0.00per pick1cpaid-32.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb28…02bbbacked 76ers11c471.93$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.9436843.8%161 W · 207 L+10.5wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1b9e…eb82backed 76ers11c471.82$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.434248.8%167 W · 175 L+12.5wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-1.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd6f4…0566backed 76ers10c450$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4585344%375 W · 478 L+1.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-15.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x55ab…4f88backed 76ers13c450$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.521848.2%105 W · 113 L+11.0wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+0.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x64e8…7819backed 76ers13c449.99$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.5373131.1%227 W · 504 L-3.5wins0.00per pick32cpaid-5.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x9eea…2625backed 76ers3c434.52$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158337.3%31 W · 52 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.