NBA · resolved market
76ers vs. Nuggets: O/U 232.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe625da484dc157bc3bb299065032356ed6209f5331b53d2732c659c4807abcbf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,248
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,248 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7879…3653backed Over | 61c | 8,000$4,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,879.99 | 159 | 52.8%84 W · 75 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 39c | 5,250$2,048 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,202.5 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d08…2142backed Under | 77c | 1,354$1,043 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.39 | 658 | 72.8%479 W · 179 L | +46.1wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Over | 56c | 1,120$623 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$623.26 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Under | 43c | 1,109$473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$636.22 | 475 | 42.3%201 W · 274 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Under | 39c | 982.18$381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600.81 | 146 | 34.9%51 W · 95 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x662d…d041backed Over | 59c | 920$543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$543 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa57e…5e2abacked Under | 41c | 900$369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$531 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked Under | 42c | 810.79$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470.26 | 775 | 49.2%381 W · 394 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 33c | 772.67$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.96 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 58c | 580.96$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.32 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 39c | 513$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.93 | 1,150 | 49.5%569 W · 581 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f6a…04ebbacked Under | 62c | 499.99$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190 | 354 | 47.7%169 W · 185 L | -10.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Over | 56c | 455$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.8 | 1,271 | 38.3%487 W · 784 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Over | 27c | 400$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109 | 1,522 | 49.6%755 W · 767 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15d5…ef7bbacked Under | 39c | 400$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244 | 1,198 | 38.8%465 W · 733 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 48c | 369.37$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.07 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…11d7backed Under | 39c | 358.97$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.97 | 521 | 46.6%243 W · 278 L | -14.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x451f…7301backed Over | 59c | 338.98$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 78 | 53.8%42 W · 36 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54a2…1d43backed Over | 26c | 330.12$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.33 | 188 | 35.1%66 W · 122 L | +24.5wins | +0.13per pick | 22cpaid | +116.5%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc95d…f13bbacked Under | 61c | 328.25$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.25 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeeb0…c9f8backed Under | 41c | 300.92$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.54 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 40c | 280.12$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.93 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x292e…172cbacked Under | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.41 | 434 | 47.5%206 W · 228 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 44c | 249.8$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.76 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f56…4ec1backed Over | 30c | 199.99$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.29per pick | 54cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xae60…1f06backed Under | 39c | 180.85$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.32 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b71…80ecbacked Under | 39c | 177.86$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.86 | 85 | 45.9%39 W · 46 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72a1…1950backed Over | 59c | 170.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 381 | 52.8%201 W · 180 L | +18.2wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa5…a51abacked Over | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 95 | 46.3%44 W · 51 L | -11.2wins | -0.12per pick | 58cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…1805backed Over | 59c | 153.26$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.42 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83b0…687ebacked Over | 59c | 147.66$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.12 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52f8…ad19backed Under | 70c | 142.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.49 | 133 | 42.9%57 W · 76 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 40c | 122.82$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.69 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6276…7f2ebacked Under | 66c | 120.34$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.35 | 191 | 66.5%127 W · 64 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0044…cb2cbacked Over | 20c | 107.27$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.17 | 122 | 27%33 W · 89 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 44c | 104.12$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.81 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Over | 15c | 103$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.45 | 2,208 | 46.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf0a…9fd6backed Under | 64c | 87.12$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.09 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +55.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Under | 40c | 85$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 1,141 | 48%548 W · 593 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe961…c32bbacked Over | 60c | 83.51$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 114 | 59.6%68 W · 46 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ca8…ddddbacked Over | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 278 | 46.8%130 W · 148 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96d9…18a0backed Over | 43c | 82.29$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.51 | 125 | 36%45 W · 80 L | -13.0wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a2…0020backed Over | 71c | 70.1$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 68 | 48.5%33 W · 35 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…8f79backed Under | 39c | 69.98$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.45 | 1,393 | 48.3%673 W · 720 L | +19.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…e00abacked Over | 35c | 67.23$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.47 | 1,532 | 42.5%651 W · 881 L | -17.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83fe…23d9backed Over | 59c | 66$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.94 | 50 | 36%18 W · 32 L | -7.6wins | -0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5a33…9a46backed Over | 42c | 57.98$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.17 | 139 | 53.2%74 W · 65 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Under | 43c | 55$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.35 | 447 | 47%210 W · 237 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 57c | 52.75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.85 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a6a…98ddbacked Over | 59c | 51.15$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 61 | 55.7%34 W · 27 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Under | 42c | 49.99$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 693 | 37.8%262 W · 431 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Over | 42c | 49.08$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.45 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 47c | 45.69$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.64 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…554fbacked Under | 66c | 44.29$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.95 | 163 | 69.9%114 W · 49 L | +18.6wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3437…1e5ebacked Under | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.48 | 134 | 47%63 W · 71 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3123…b44dbacked Under | 39c | 40$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.4 | 144 | 43.1%62 W · 82 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed Under | 59c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.35 | 390 | 55.6%217 W · 173 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec59…8151backed Over | 60c | 30$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +47.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc8a4…5e83backed Over | 64c | 28.17$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Over | 38c | 27.71$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.48 | 514 | 38.7%199 W · 315 L | -29.6wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0e01…7ef0backed Under | 39c | 27.65$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.87 | 203 | 50.2%102 W · 101 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe054…14d1backed Under | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 130 | 43.8%57 W · 73 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- 76ers vs. Nuggets: O/U 232.5this page
- 1H Spread: Nuggets (-8.5)Nuggets won
- 76ers vs. NuggetsNuggets won
- 76ers vs. Nuggets: 1H MoneylineNuggets won
- 76ers vs. Nuggets: 1H O/U 119.5Under won
- 76ers vs. Nuggets: 1H O/U 120.5Under won
- 76ers vs. Nuggets: 1H O/U 121.5Under won
- 76ers vs. Nuggets: O/U 233.5Under won
- 76ers vs. Nuggets: O/U 234.5Under won
- 76ers vs. Nuggets: O/U 235.5Under won
- 76ers vs. Nuggets: O/U 236.5Under won
- Bruce Brown: Points O/U 6.5Yes won
- Christian Braun: Points O/U 10.5Yes won
- Jamal Murray: Points O/U 24.5No won
- Nikola Jokić: Assists O/U 10.5Yes won
- Nikola Jokić: Assists O/U 9.5Yes won
- Nikola Jokić: Points O/U 29.5No won
- Spread: Nuggets (-14.5)Nuggets won
- Spread: Nuggets (-15.5)Nuggets won
- Spread: Nuggets (-16.5)Nuggets won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.