NBA · resolved market
Spread: Nuggets (-14.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1313eac0009ebc401e64c52bd1fd1f85715c486cca5849d1913f7595a7a45553
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nuggetsof Nuggets, 76ers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $584,868
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $584,868 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 178 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbddf…c684backed 76ers | 48c | 177,059$84,777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84,777.33 | 726 | 48.3%351 W · 375 L | +30.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…3782backed 76ers | 48c | 100,369$48,171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48,170.75 | 874 | 51.5%450 W · 424 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Nuggets | 52c | 100,000$52,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47,999.91 | 326 | 53.1%173 W · 153 L | +19.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Nuggets | 52c | 91,395$47,644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43,750.55 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08c5…43edbacked Nuggets | 52c | 80,000$41,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38,400 | 443 | 52.4%232 W · 211 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…c2a4backed 76ers | 47c | 51,005$24,182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,182.5 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Nuggets | 54c | 46,067$25,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,066.91 | 365 | 49.6%181 W · 184 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed 76ers | 46c | 41,367$19,081 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,081.08 | 662 | 48.5%321 W · 341 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Nuggets | 53c | 41,005$21,595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,409.8 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Nuggets | 52c | 34,492$17,837 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,655.02 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e8a…d340backed 76ers | 0c | 26,554$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.55 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3a…eb9abacked Nuggets | 53c | 24,862$13,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,561.86 | 114 | 57.9%66 W · 48 L | +6.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Nuggets | 52c | 24,344$12,659 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,685.12 | 1,044 | 47.5%496 W · 548 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Nuggets | 52c | 22,109$11,570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,539.89 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf19d…276fbacked 76ers | 47c | 21,233$9,980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,979.5 | 231 | 47.6%110 W · 121 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked 76ers | 48c | 20,000$9,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,600 | 348 | 54%188 W · 160 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x351e…de8abacked 76ers | 48c | 17,940$8,611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,611.2 | 377 | 47.5%179 W · 198 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x001a…1fb9backed 76ers | 48c | 16,513$7,926 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,926.24 | 316 | 43.4%137 W · 179 L | -18.0wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe33f…eed7backed 76ers | 48c | 13,761$6,605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,605.28 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Nuggets | 52c | 12,000$6,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,759.95 | 584 | 49.7%290 W · 294 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf059…6dd9backed 76ers | 48c | 10,833$5,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,200 | 492 | 46.3%228 W · 264 L | -15.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc949…fa93backed Nuggets | 53c | 10,000$5,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,700 | 81 | 53.1%43 W · 38 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8e9…5c74backed 76ers | 48c | 8,173$3,923 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,922.94 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7088…8b9bbacked 76ers | 48c | 8,125$3,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,900 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c74…4ef0backed Nuggets | 52c | 7,512$3,906 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,605.54 | 187 | 49.2%92 W · 95 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a4…cf8abacked 76ers | 45c | 5,547$2,513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,513.25 | 247 | 44.1%109 W · 138 L | -10.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f6e…84b4backed 76ers | 48c | 4,135$1,985 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,984.74 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4244…03a6backed Nuggets | 55c | 4,000$2,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,800 | 183 | 49.2%90 W · 93 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Nuggets | 55c | 3,860$2,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,739.98 | 646 | 51.7%334 W · 312 L | -14.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed 76ers | 45c | 3,417$1,538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,537.61 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f3…b430backed 76ers | 45c | 3,387$1,524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,524.15 | 52 | 38.5%20 W · 32 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…d83abacked Nuggets | 52c | 2,002$1,051 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$951 | 87 | 47.1%41 W · 46 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Nuggets | 53c | 1,879$987 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$892.39 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed 76ers | 44c | 1,800$792 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$792 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a51…b2b6backed 76ers | 48c | 1,634$784 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$784.38 | 898 | 53.1%477 W · 421 L | +21.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed 76ers | 49c | 1,559$758 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$757.96 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd93b…cd48backed 76ers | 48c | 1,365$655 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$655 | 179 | 53.1%95 W · 84 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa3…172fbacked 76ers | 48c | 1,235$593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$592.8 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | -6.6wins | -0.17per pick | 49cpaid | -36%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed 76ers | 45c | 1,159$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520.29 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x691a…d113backed Nuggets | 52c | 1,154$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$553.92 | 544 | 43%234 W · 310 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4823…a48bbacked Nuggets | 52c | 1,140$593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$547.38 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +3.3wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +51.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b3…501cbacked Nuggets | 50c | 1,035$518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$517.24 | 84 | 45.2%38 W · 46 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed 76ers | 47c | 980.37$461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460.78 | 1,194 | 48.8%583 W · 611 L | -22.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe02…5fb3backed 76ers | 49c | 768.31$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.47 | 423 | 52.5%222 W · 201 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Nuggets | 56c | 703$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.32 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e00…eb46backed 76ers | 48c | 689.15$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.79 | 363 | 51.2%186 W · 177 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…aa15backed Nuggets | 52c | 659.62$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.62 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -5.2wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8d27…676ebacked 76ers | 49c | 612$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.88 | 139 | 54%75 W · 64 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Nuggets | 57c | 583$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.69 | 1,522 | 49.6%755 W · 767 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…dbc6backed Nuggets | 55c | 549.96$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.96 | 476 | 51.7%246 W · 230 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fbc…8a18backed Nuggets | 52c | 540$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.2 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -3.6wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x960e…77d6backed Nuggets | 54c | 509.26$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.26 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Nuggets | 51c | 473.87$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.2 | 1,141 | 48%548 W · 593 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d84…4b14backed 76ers | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | -4.7wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed 76ers | 47c | 406.3$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.09 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf0e…3197backed Nuggets | 54c | 400$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184 | 619 | 57.5%356 W · 263 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Nuggets | 53c | 379.14$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.2 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f0…c9e4backed Nuggets | 52c | 377$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.96 | 238 | 50.4%120 W · 118 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8de5…e8bbbacked Nuggets | 55c | 366.62$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.62 | 131 | 54.2%71 W · 60 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked 76ers | 47c | 322.08$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.21 | 146 | 34.9%51 W · 95 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44ca…907cbacked 76ers | 45c | 320$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 456 | 46.7%213 W · 243 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed 76ers | 45c | 314.5$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.53 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69ac…03e9backed 76ers | 49c | 306.12$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 79 | 48.1%38 W · 41 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3f…44f1backed Nuggets | 52c | 300$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 254 | 52.8%134 W · 120 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed 76ers | 46c | 279.74$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.53 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab3b…bac1backed 76ers | 47c | 263.94$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +4.9wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +32%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Nuggets | 53c | 250$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.5 | 2,657 | 49.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L | +42.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x353e…9db2backed 76ers | 46c | 229$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.51 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | -5.6wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe5af…f9e3backed Nuggets | 56c | 227.98$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.31 | 234 | 46.2%108 W · 126 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa2e…b357backed Nuggets | 53c | 222.64$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.64 | 74 | 33.8%25 W · 49 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked 76ers | 49c | 222.53$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.04 | 592 | 50.2%297 W · 295 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df2…d357backed Nuggets | 56c | 213.09$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.76 | 76 | 59.2%45 W · 31 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked 76ers | 44c | 205.81$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.24 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Nuggets | 53c | 205.1$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.16 | 514 | 38.7%199 W · 315 L | -29.6wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcc00…79f8backed 76ers | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 152 | 40.8%62 W · 90 L | -12.1wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdfca…2db8backed 76ers | 48c | 192$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.16 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | -4.6wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0152…b455backed Nuggets | 52c | 190.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.49 | 660 | 46.4%306 W · 354 L | -21.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Nuggets | 53c | 188.3$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.5 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ad…6979backed Nuggets | 52c | 184.7$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.9 | 576 | 50%288 W · 288 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d1f…769fbacked Nuggets | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 35 | 82.9%29 W · 6 L | +6.2wins | +0.18per pick | 65cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x401d…23c6backed Nuggets | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -2.4wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x443b…e8bbbacked 76ers | 46c | 173.91$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 137 | 50.4%69 W · 68 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfb5…f5ecbacked Nuggets | 53c | 166.07$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.05 | 220 | 48.6%107 W · 113 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5818…39e2backed Nuggets | 52c | 165$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.2 | 139 | 50.4%70 W · 69 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c50…2de6backed Nuggets | 52c | 165$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.2 | 168 | 45.2%76 W · 92 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88ba…b99abacked Nuggets | 56c | 164.29$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.29 | 100 | 50%50 W · 50 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea78…a74ebacked 76ers | 45c | 160$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 565 | 47.8%270 W · 295 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb107…a3f8backed Nuggets | 55c | 160$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 1,018 | 51.6%525 W · 493 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02a9…642dbacked 76ers | 48c | 154.35$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.09 | 181 | 43.1%78 W · 103 L | -12.3wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x91f7…4767backed Nuggets | 52c | 154.28$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.06 | 106 | 51.9%55 W · 51 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed 76ers | 46c | 150$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe722…57c5backed 76ers | 45c | 144.92$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.21 | 765 | 52.9%405 W · 360 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf17e…c12ebacked Nuggets | 53c | 140.09$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.84 | 48 | 60.4%29 W · 19 L | +4.5wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fa…b505backed Nuggets | 53c | 132.55$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.3 | 112 | 44.6%50 W · 62 L | -6.0wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa663…1363backed 76ers | 48c | 118.6$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.93 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3af5…caebbacked Nuggets | 53c | 113.21$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.21 | 118 | 50%59 W · 59 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a2…0020backed 76ers | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.76 | 68 | 48.5%33 W · 35 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8726…0f36backed Nuggets | 52c | 104$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.92 | 282 | 43.3%122 W · 160 L | -13.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee1…268bbacked 76ers | 49c | 102.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 534 | 53.4%285 W · 249 L | +19.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fcd…f802backed Nuggets | 53c | 100.38$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.18 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Nuggets (-14.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Nuggets (-8.5)Nuggets won
- 76ers vs. NuggetsNuggets won
- 76ers vs. Nuggets: 1H MoneylineNuggets won
- 76ers vs. Nuggets: 1H O/U 119.5Under won
- 76ers vs. Nuggets: 1H O/U 120.5Under won
- 76ers vs. Nuggets: 1H O/U 121.5Under won
- 76ers vs. Nuggets: O/U 232.5Under won
- 76ers vs. Nuggets: O/U 233.5Under won
- 76ers vs. Nuggets: O/U 234.5Under won
- 76ers vs. Nuggets: O/U 235.5Under won
- 76ers vs. Nuggets: O/U 236.5Under won
- Bruce Brown: Points O/U 6.5Yes won
- Christian Braun: Points O/U 10.5Yes won
- Jamal Murray: Points O/U 24.5No won
- Nikola Jokić: Assists O/U 10.5Yes won
- Nikola Jokić: Assists O/U 9.5Yes won
- Nikola Jokić: Points O/U 29.5No won
- Spread: Nuggets (-15.5)Nuggets won
- Spread: Nuggets (-16.5)Nuggets won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.