NBA · resolved market
Spread: Nuggets (-15.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x81a80bb79a0ce7949e3d38d34879f47c9b8a8464fd49195ab65eeb851b859bf8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nuggetsof Nuggets, 76ers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $782,989
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $782,989 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 279 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbddf…c684backed 76ers | 52c | 308,791$159,338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159,337.75 | 726 | 48.3%351 W · 375 L | +30.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Nuggets | 48c | 127,297$61,394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65,902.6 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93ab…9723backed 76ers | 52c | 127,283$66,187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66,187.15 | 603 | 51.4%310 W · 293 L | +16.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed 76ers | 51c | 103,072$52,567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52,566.87 | 662 | 48.5%321 W · 341 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Nuggets | 48c | 87,653$42,363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45,289.96 | 1,044 | 47.5%496 W · 548 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Nuggets | 48c | 71,022$34,086 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36,936.33 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…3782backed 76ers | 50c | 50,223$25,133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,133.01 | 874 | 51.5%450 W · 424 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Nuggets | 49c | 48,567$23,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,917.07 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3a…eb9abacked Nuggets | 51c | 38,235$19,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,735.29 | 114 | 57.9%66 W · 48 L | +6.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Nuggets | 48c | 37,375$18,053 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,322.53 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23c8…f293backed Nuggets | 48c | 32,810$15,749 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,061.2 | 286 | 43%123 W · 163 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf11…8399backed 76ers | 51c | 22,065$11,304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,303.82 | 375 | 39.5%148 W · 227 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c1…9fe2backed Nuggets | 49c | 19,700$9,653 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,047 | 72 | 40.3%29 W · 43 L | -5.9wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x011c…31dfbacked Nuggets | 49c | 19,616$9,612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,004.33 | 334 | 47.9%160 W · 174 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Nuggets | 48c | 13,293$6,381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,912.36 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Nuggets | 49c | 13,061$6,441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,619.55 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked 76ers | 48c | 12,757$6,123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,123.38 | 871 | 44.7%389 W · 482 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Nuggets | 50c | 12,472$6,236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,236 | 1,024 | 50.8%520 W · 504 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae8…c2a8backed Nuggets | 52c | 12,135$6,310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,824.8 | 240 | 53.8%129 W · 111 L | +12.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe33f…eed7backed Nuggets | 49c | 11,297$5,536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,761.47 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Nuggets | 48c | 10,245$4,912 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,332.95 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Nuggets | 49c | 9,749$4,734 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,014.34 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbca…b7b7backed Nuggets | 49c | 8,362$4,097 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,264.62 | 250 | 49.2%123 W · 127 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Nuggets | 48c | 8,246$3,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,247.09 | 1,139 | 48.3%550 W · 589 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac1a…f708backed 76ers | 50c | 8,005$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,999.9 | 194 | 45.4%88 W · 106 L | -7.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8cdc…b83fbacked Nuggets | 48c | 7,917$3,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,116.67 | 209 | 48.8%102 W · 107 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Nuggets | 49c | 7,328$3,566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,761.63 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf19d…276fbacked Nuggets | 48c | 6,654$3,194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,459.86 | 231 | 47.6%110 W · 121 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc51a…a0d9backed 76ers | 52c | 6,500$3,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,379.99 | 274 | 55.5%152 W · 122 L | +15.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Nuggets | 50c | 6,200$3,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,100 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48e2…2a5fbacked 76ers | 50c | 5,780$2,890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,890 | 175 | 50.9%89 W · 86 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe49e…dc8bbacked 76ers | 50c | 5,729$2,865 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,864.67 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c74…4ef0backed Nuggets | 49c | 5,574$2,731 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,842.76 | 187 | 49.2%92 W · 95 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…2c8bbacked Nuggets | 48c | 5,448$2,636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,812.08 | 357 | 49.6%177 W · 180 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Nuggets | 53c | 5,000$2,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,350 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8cc7…0602backed Nuggets | 49c | 4,854$2,379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,475.78 | 93 | 52.7%49 W · 44 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4244…03a6backed Nuggets | 49c | 4,327$2,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,206.53 | 183 | 49.2%90 W · 93 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24b3…a5a4backed Nuggets | 49c | 4,082$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,081.63 | 112 | 49.1%55 W · 57 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67b6…00bcbacked 76ers | 52c | 4,000$2,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,080 | 242 | 52.5%127 W · 115 L | +18.7wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xde79…2a1bbacked 76ers | 50c | 3,928$1,964 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,964 | 173 | 49.7%86 W · 87 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Nuggets | 48c | 3,817$1,841 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,976.34 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8cb…8f46backed 76ers | 52c | 3,500$1,820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,820 | 144 | 48.6%70 W · 74 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Nuggets | 48c | 3,000$1,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,560 | 877 | 50.2%440 W · 437 L | -19.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Nuggets | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500 | 480 | 54.2%260 W · 220 L | +14.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x975b…3760backed Nuggets | 48c | 2,800$1,344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,455.98 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78bb…591fbacked 76ers | 52c | 2,747$1,428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,428.3 | 304 | 46.7%142 W · 162 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Nuggets | 51c | 2,574$1,313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,261.47 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Nuggets | 48c | 2,500$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,300 | 1,475 | 51.3%756 W · 719 L | +35.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Nuggets | 48c | 2,475$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,274.75 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77fe…551dbacked Nuggets | 49c | 2,400$1,176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,224 | 244 | 50%122 W · 122 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1748…a816backed Nuggets | 49c | 2,398$1,175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,222.96 | 173 | 44.5%77 W · 96 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…d83abacked Nuggets | 48c | 2,068$983 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,085.07 | 87 | 47.1%41 W · 46 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8e9…5c74backed 76ers | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Nuggets | 51c | 1,963$998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$964.87 | 646 | 51.7%334 W · 312 L | -14.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Nuggets | 52c | 1,923$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$923.07 | 266 | 37.2%99 W · 167 L | -10.5wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e1e…bb68backed 76ers | 54c | 1,852$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 95 | 56.8%54 W · 41 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Nuggets | 47c | 1,836$872 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$964.12 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe02…5fb3backed 76ers | 53c | 1,812$959 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$959.25 | 423 | 52.5%222 W · 201 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Nuggets | 48c | 1,806$867 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$938.89 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b2d…a88dbacked Nuggets | 50c | 1,792$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$891.5 | 64 | 39.1%25 W · 39 L | -7.7wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed 76ers | 51c | 1,759$897 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$897.15 | 1,141 | 48%548 W · 593 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf05d…ac5ebacked 76ers | 53c | 1,700$901 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$901 | 251 | 55%138 W · 113 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Nuggets | 50c | 1,652$826 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$826.17 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb75…2cdfbacked Nuggets | 52c | 1,519$790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$729.23 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d13…92f3backed Nuggets | 49c | 1,457$714 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$743.1 | 702 | 46.4%326 W · 376 L | -20.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef99…ef8dbacked Nuggets | 51c | 1,342$685 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$657.68 | 99 | 52.5%52 W · 47 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91f7…4767backed Nuggets | 49c | 1,260$617 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$642.6 | 106 | 51.9%55 W · 51 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Nuggets | 49c | 1,259$617 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$642.09 | 478 | 56.5%270 W · 208 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9510…16dfbacked 76ers | 52c | 1,249$649 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$649.38 | 304 | 53.3%162 W · 142 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Nuggets | 48c | 1,167$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$606.84 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc991…abd4backed 76ers | 52c | 1,157$602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$601.69 | 487 | 51.7%252 W · 235 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd93b…cd48backed 76ers | 50c | 1,032$516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$516 | 179 | 53.1%95 W · 84 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Nuggets | 50c | 1,027$513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$513.48 | 1,562 | 47.4%741 W · 821 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Nuggets | 49c | 1,012$494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$517.84 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabde…d41fbacked 76ers | 52c | 1,010$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525.25 | 419 | 47.7%200 W · 219 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Nuggets | 49c | 1,001$491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510.16 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…69ebbacked 76ers | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 629 | 48.6%306 W · 323 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5623…6930backed 76ers | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 239 | 38.1%91 W · 148 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbce5…02f1backed Nuggets | 49c | 991.79$486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$505.29 | 186 | 51.6%96 W · 90 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcd8…9908backed 76ers | 52c | 890.98$463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$463.31 | 225 | 52.4%118 W · 107 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c98…944ebacked 76ers | 53c | 881.25$467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$466.71 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.18per pick | 40cpaid | -59.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d27…676ebacked 76ers | 52c | 850$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444.67 | 139 | 54%75 W · 64 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa307…8ea3backed Nuggets | 50c | 839.3$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.65 | 203 | 52.2%106 W · 97 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6292…d254backed 76ers | 50c | 800$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 208 | 46.6%97 W · 111 L | -9.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a67…ef6bbacked 76ers | 52c | 772$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.44 | 267 | 56.2%150 W · 117 L | +12.6wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked 76ers | 47c | 743$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.21 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Nuggets | 50c | 741$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.5 | 1,667 | 52.7%878 W · 789 L | +45.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e00…eb46backed 76ers | 50c | 721.5$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.75 | 363 | 51.2%186 W · 177 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed 76ers | 52c | 694.62$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.06 | 1,286 | 50.8%653 W · 633 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a51…b2b6backed 76ers | 52c | 674.03$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.5 | 898 | 53.1%477 W · 421 L | +21.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4630…1968backed 76ers | 52c | 624.41$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.69 | 126 | 50%63 W · 63 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fbc…8a18backed Nuggets | 48c | 596$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.92 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -3.6wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…aa15backed Nuggets | 48c | 595.83$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.83 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -5.2wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3d84…4b14backed 76ers | 52c | 580.99$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | -4.7wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e0…d084backed 76ers | 52c | 576.92$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 224 | 47.8%107 W · 117 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacb6…e3bbbacked 76ers | 53c | 566.04$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 62 | 66.1%41 W · 21 L | +9.0wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x93f1…b99dbacked 76ers | 52c | 562.5$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.5 | 144 | 66%95 W · 49 L | +17.1wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3ede…6c27backed 76ers | 50c | 560$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.88 | 451 | 51.4%232 W · 219 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Nuggets | 48c | 541.67$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.67 | 874 | 53.3%466 W · 408 L | +19.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x960e…77d6backed Nuggets | 50c | 540$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Nuggets (-15.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Nuggets (-8.5)Nuggets won
- 76ers vs. NuggetsNuggets won
- 76ers vs. Nuggets: 1H MoneylineNuggets won
- 76ers vs. Nuggets: 1H O/U 119.5Under won
- 76ers vs. Nuggets: 1H O/U 120.5Under won
- 76ers vs. Nuggets: 1H O/U 121.5Under won
- 76ers vs. Nuggets: O/U 232.5Under won
- 76ers vs. Nuggets: O/U 233.5Under won
- 76ers vs. Nuggets: O/U 234.5Under won
- 76ers vs. Nuggets: O/U 235.5Under won
- 76ers vs. Nuggets: O/U 236.5Under won
- Bruce Brown: Points O/U 6.5Yes won
- Christian Braun: Points O/U 10.5Yes won
- Jamal Murray: Points O/U 24.5No won
- Nikola Jokić: Assists O/U 10.5Yes won
- Nikola Jokić: Assists O/U 9.5Yes won
- Nikola Jokić: Points O/U 29.5No won
- Spread: Nuggets (-14.5)Nuggets won
- Spread: Nuggets (-16.5)Nuggets won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.