NBA · resolved market

76ers vs. Nuggets: O/U 235.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x35abacb819ff357f3e44668cb1bbb7be465f19ad3e7203b983a03d8f44e4eeeb

Rebuilt 19 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Underof Over, Under
Resolved: Mar 18, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $63,424

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $63,424 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 73 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xee61…debfbacked Under	48c	18,010$8,610 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9,400.17	9,722	49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Under	49c	12,937$6,374 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,563.45	1,908	54.5%1,040 W · 868 L	+53.7wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Over	51c	11,210$5,735 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,734.63	1,915	49.3%944 W · 971 L	+19.7wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc949…fa93backed Over	53c	10,000$5,300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,299.99	81	53.1%43 W · 38 L	+1.8wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over	51c	7,328$3,714 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,713.74	4,682	49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L	+27.2wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Over	51c	5,899$3,022 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,021.88	1,044	47.5%496 W · 548 L	-12.8wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under	49c	3,651$1,792 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,859.04	4,781	50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L	+20.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x351e…de8abacked Over	52c	3,650$1,898 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,898	377	47.5%179 W · 198 L	-3.1wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbca…b7b7backed Under	49c	3,508$1,719 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,789.08	250	49.2%123 W · 127 L	-2.7wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Over	51c	1,369$696 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$696.22	3,285	49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L	+5.3wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb4e6…4a4dbacked Under	48c	1,327$637 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$690.08	62	58.1%36 W · 26 L	-1.9wins	-0.03per pick	61cpaid	-10.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0556…132abacked Over	52c	1,150$598 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$598	93	46.2%43 W · 50 L	-3.6wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-8.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under	49c	1,145$567 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$578.46	3,902	47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L	-17.9wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x68d8…4cc6backed Over	53c	850.94$451 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$451	144	55.6%80 W · 64 L	+4.1wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2579…9d48backed Over	53c	834.91$442 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$442.5	193	59.6%115 W · 78 L	+14.1wins	+0.07per pick	52cpaid	+14%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xba8d…009dbacked Over	15c	834.1$126 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$125.78	146	34.9%51 W · 95 L	-5.9wins	-0.04per pick	39cpaid	-22.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Over	51c	807$412 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$411.57	1,667	52.7%878 W · 789 L	+45.5wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xccf1…25a0backed Over	15c	762.33$114 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$114.35	1,522	49.6%755 W · 767 L	+27.6wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Under	48c	762$366 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$396.24	6,213	50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L	+53.8wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9385…2484backed Under	47c	670.21$315 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$355.21	93	52.7%49 W · 44 L	+6.5wins	+0.07per pick	46cpaid	+17.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Over	52c	628.81$327 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$326.98	1,562	47.4%741 W · 821 L	-6.3wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1480…6e8dbacked Under	49c	442.47$217 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$225.66	584	50.2%293 W · 291 L	+6.8wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over	45c	422.15$189 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$188.8	8,988	47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L	+96.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under	47c	346.02$163 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$183.06	2,400	43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L	-82.9wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x20ad…a7c6backed Over	52c	302.97$158 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$158.11	514	38.7%199 W · 315 L	-29.6wins	-0.06per pick	44cpaid	-18.8%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe5af…f9e3backed Under	48c	270.83$130 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$140.83	234	46.2%108 W · 126 L	-8.0wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6eaa…9baebacked Under	49c	220.71$108 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$112.56	135	54.1%73 W · 62 L	+8.2wins	+0.06per pick	48cpaid	+9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Over	37c	217.84$81 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80.6	2,468	50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L	+38.4wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Under	49c	208.55$101 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$107.35	2,507	48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L	+19.8wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x913b…0852backed Under	48c	202.45$98 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$104.38	421	53%223 W · 198 L	+23.3wins	+0.06per pick	47cpaid	+8.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Over	20c	200.75$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.15	1,271	38.3%487 W · 784 L	-13.4wins	-0.01per pick	39cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x849f…0665backed Under	48c	200$96 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$104	950	47.2%448 W · 502 L	-28.5wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8031…67e0backed Over	51c	200$102 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$102	258	46.9%121 W · 137 L	-4.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under	47c	199.12$94 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$105.27	2,346	48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L	-14.3wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Over	51c	190.98$97 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97.4	1,433	47.2%676 W · 757 L	-12.8wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked Under	51c	181.32$93 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$88.75	1,573	53.4%840 W · 733 L	-12.8wins	-0.01per pick	54cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9466…1f15backed Over	53c	150.94$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	208	47.1%98 W · 110 L	-4.9wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb6fc…b24ebacked Over	36c	138.89$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	454	45.4%206 W · 248 L	-6.2wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x67e6…86edbacked Under	48c	127.31$61 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$66.51	648	44.8%290 W · 358 L	-32.3wins	-0.05per pick	50cpaid	-10.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x362a…8683backed Under	48c	108.33$52 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$56.33	131	55%72 W · 59 L	+5.0wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5f39…d603backed Under	48c	104.38$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$54.39	917	46.9%430 W · 487 L	-19.9wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x003d…56b3backed Over	53c	99.06$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.5	13	61.5%8 W · 5 L	+1.3wins	+0.10per pick	52cpaid	+18.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Over	53c	94.33$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.99	2,602	50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L	-20.7wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Over	37c	92.7$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.2	3,551	46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L	+1.9wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under	47c	81.45$38 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$43.17	5,053	50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L	+110.9wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d49…e00abacked Over	21c	78.67$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.18	1,532	42.5%651 W · 881 L	-17.3wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf1ad…6979backed Over	52c	75.99$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.51	576	50%288 W · 288 L	+1.3wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x08d1…28adbacked Under	49c	74.39$36 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$37.94	109	47.7%52 W · 57 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-5.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Under	49c	71.06$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36.24	2,753	50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L	+47.0wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xce39…04d6backed Under	47c	67.71$32 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35.89	378	42.9%162 W · 216 L	-5.6wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe2ba…882abacked Over	54c	66$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.64	56	50%28 W · 28 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3437…1e5ebacked Under	47c	63.83$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33.83	134	47%63 W · 71 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfe2b…8fe6backed Under	48c	56.38$27 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29.24	62	61.3%38 W · 24 L	+7.6wins	+0.12per pick	49cpaid	+19.5%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0xa6b8…4bdfbacked Over	19c	55.58$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.76	106	37.7%40 W · 66 L	+9.3wins	+0.09per pick	29cpaid	+47.8%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x15ee…512dbacked Under	48c	51.99$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.04	620	49%304 W · 316 L	+4.3wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Under	49c	50$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.6	870	49.3%429 W · 441 L	+1.3wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x257b…c08bbacked Under	48c	42.02$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.85	49	46.9%23 W · 26 L	-0.8wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1121…6604backed Under	48c	42$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.84	327	47.4%155 W · 172 L	-3.4wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf02…3a63backed Under	48c	42$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.84	329	47.4%156 W · 173 L	-2.3wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x290e…0783backed Over	50c	38.63$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.51	69	49.3%34 W · 35 L	-1.3wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-9.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x56a7…9f37backed Over	52c	37.24$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.36	208	47.1%98 W · 110 L	-3.4wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xca2d…39edbacked Over	50c	34.82$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.41	236	51.3%121 W · 115 L	+11.3wins	+0.05per pick	46cpaid	+9.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4488…579cbacked Over	52c	32$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.64	775	49.2%381 W · 394 L	-2.4wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x367b…a306backed Under	47c	31.91$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.91	32	59.4%19 W · 13 L	+2.5wins	+0.08per pick	52cpaid	+15.5%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x14e4…eabbbacked Under	48c	31.25$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.25	931	45.8%426 W · 505 L	-25.4wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xde58…b901backed Over	53c	28.3$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	37	54.1%20 W · 17 L	+0.7wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+4.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3eff…ae12backed Under	49c	26.84$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.69	281	47.7%134 W · 147 L	-10.5wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5210…2037backed Under	50c	26.8$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.4	29	44.8%13 W · 16 L	-2.1wins	-0.07per pick	52cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdf29…6870backed Over	52c	24.54$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.76	39	46.2%18 W · 21 L	-2.5wins	-0.06per pick	53cpaid	-14.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Under	62c	23.26$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.84	2,949	51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L	+119.4wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0f60…026abacked Over	51c	23.15$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.85	101	44.6%45 W · 56 L	-3.8wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x27b8…6763backed Over	52c	22.63$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.77	10	20%2 W · 8 L	-3.2wins	-0.32per pick	52cpaid	-58.2%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x16ea…9400backed Over	51c	20.9$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.75	1,322	49.9%660 W · 662 L	+13.7wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

76ers vs. Nuggets: O/U 235.5this page
1H Spread: Nuggets (-8.5)Nuggets won
76ers vs. NuggetsNuggets won
76ers vs. Nuggets: 1H MoneylineNuggets won
76ers vs. Nuggets: 1H O/U 119.5Under won
76ers vs. Nuggets: 1H O/U 120.5Under won
76ers vs. Nuggets: 1H O/U 121.5Under won
76ers vs. Nuggets: O/U 232.5Under won
76ers vs. Nuggets: O/U 233.5Under won
76ers vs. Nuggets: O/U 234.5Under won
76ers vs. Nuggets: O/U 236.5Under won
Bruce Brown: Points O/U 6.5Yes won
Christian Braun: Points O/U 10.5Yes won
Jamal Murray: Points O/U 24.5No won
Nikola Jokić: Assists O/U 10.5Yes won
Nikola Jokić: Assists O/U 9.5Yes won
Nikola Jokić: Points O/U 29.5No won
Spread: Nuggets (-14.5)Nuggets won
Spread: Nuggets (-15.5)Nuggets won
Spread: Nuggets (-16.5)Nuggets won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

76ers vs. Nuggets: O/U 235.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event