NBA · resolved market
76ers vs. Nuggets: O/U 236.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7bf1b88ff322dbcbe3d7db27174c03079f4c8033e120a26bc888e7f5e842607b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $166,188
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $166,188 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 155 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Over | 49c | 25,000$12,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,250 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Under | 56c | 24,961$14,074 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,887.46 | 365 | 49.6%181 W · 184 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Over | 49c | 21,730$10,644 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,643.75 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Under | 51c | 20,000$10,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,800 | 1,124 | 48.6%546 W · 578 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb75…aaf9backed Under | 52c | 13,360$6,934 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,426.52 | 77 | 59.7%46 W · 31 L | +5.5wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Under | 51c | 10,000$5,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,900 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91fd…1cdebacked Under | 51c | 10,000$5,082 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,917.81 | 773 | 48.5%375 W · 398 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 62c | 7,911$4,905 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,006.29 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Over | 51c | 6,078$3,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,100 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 47c | 4,721$2,228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,227.74 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfdd5…1501backed Over | 50c | 4,521$2,261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,260.5 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 45c | 4,418$1,966 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,966.06 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 41c | 3,882$1,585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,585.39 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5fea…78b1backed Over | 38c | 3,826$1,463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,462.62 | 263 | 37.3%98 W · 165 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8bee…0ca9backed Over | 49c | 3,430$1,695 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,695.24 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Under | 51c | 2,254$1,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,104.46 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 48c | 2,245$1,078 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,077.58 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Over | 40c | 2,100$844 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$844 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc14f…7d8dbacked Over | 51c | 2,010$1,025 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,025 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9aa…67e1backed Over | 51c | 2,000$1,019 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,018.76 | 80 | 41.3%33 W · 47 L | -8.7wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x57b1…4b99backed Over | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 108 | 47.2%51 W · 57 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57bc…e7e0backed Under | 50c | 1,956$978 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$978 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +46.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ee…1a13backed Under | 50c | 1,899$950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$949.5 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 50cpaid | +51.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 50c | 1,896$942 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$954.07 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Over | 49c | 1,838$901 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900.62 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Under | 50c | 1,798$899 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$899.25 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb307…be4abacked Over | 50c | 1,600$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 188 | 42.6%80 W · 108 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 52c | 1,495$775 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$719.91 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Under | 62c | 1,445$896 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$549.04 | 1,522 | 49.6%755 W · 767 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Under | 50c | 1,320$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$659.77 | 1,044 | 47.5%496 W · 548 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Over | 34c | 1,299$442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$442.05 | 146 | 34.9%51 W · 95 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Under | 51c | 1,275$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$624.51 | 649 | 44.7%290 W · 359 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Under | 62c | 1,230$763 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$467.4 | 1,384 | 39.4%545 W · 839 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…4583backed Under | 51c | 1,200$612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$588 | 138 | 57.2%79 W · 59 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fa3…ab9cbacked Under | 43c | 1,165$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$664.78 | 172 | 46.5%80 W · 92 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 56c | 1,078$602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$475.67 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 48c | 1,062$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504.39 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x006a…14edbacked Under | 45c | 999.98$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$549.99 | 161 | 59.6%96 W · 65 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebba…383cbacked Under | 51c | 980.35$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.37 | 240 | 50.8%122 W · 118 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61ad…915dbacked Over | 51c | 803.92$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 48c | 800.87$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.54 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Over | 49c | 799.97$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.99 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2694…a27bbacked Under | 50c | 666$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 47c | 655.43$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.83 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Under | 51c | 633.33$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.33 | 672 | 52.7%354 W · 318 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00ce…3f01backed Under | 52c | 613.38$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.38 | 321 | 51.7%166 W · 155 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10c6…19b6backed Under | 69c | 600$414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186 | 82 | 53.7%44 W · 38 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfaa…3858backed Over | 50c | 510$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8532…738bbacked Under | 51c | 500$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245 | 324 | 50.3%163 W · 161 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9b…a5ebbacked Under | 52c | 480.77$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.77 | 135 | 44.4%60 W · 75 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc597…4f42backed Under | 80c | 468.55$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.71 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54a2…1d43backed Over | 14c | 449.99$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 188 | 35.1%66 W · 122 L | +24.5wins | +0.13per pick | 22cpaid | +116.5%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Under | 62c | 441$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.58 | 1,055 | 49.9%526 W · 529 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Under | 70c | 422.01$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.71 | 2,208 | 46.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c56…0615backed Under | 50c | 420$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 182 | 42.9%78 W · 104 L | -10.6wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8934…afb3backed Over | 48c | 379.37$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.82 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb1e9…6d8ebacked Under | 51c | 350$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.5 | 154 | 46.1%71 W · 83 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under | 62c | 348.55$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.19 | 1,786 | 53.2%950 W · 836 L | +52.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Over | 45c | 344.49$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.02 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x480e…90c7backed Under | 53c | 320.11$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.45 | 154 | 46.8%72 W · 82 L | -12.0wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 51c | 312.15$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.45 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x691a…d113backed Over | 48c | 285$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.8 | 544 | 43%234 W · 310 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e4b…1ff9backed Under | 51c | 283.69$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.01 | 163 | 47.2%77 W · 86 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5af…f9e3backed Under | 51c | 254.9$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.9 | 234 | 46.2%108 W · 126 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Over | 17c | 254.29$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.23 | 1,271 | 38.3%487 W · 784 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x353e…9db2backed Over | 8c | 250$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.85 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | -5.6wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 49c | 235.21$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.25 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Under | 68c | 235.19$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.6 | 903 | 57%515 W · 388 L | +40.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Over | 34c | 226.45$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.1 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec3b…fbabbacked Under | 75c | 218.45$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.8 | 80 | 57.5%46 W · 34 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Over | 49c | 205$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.45 | 786 | 52.4%412 W · 374 L | +14.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd420…df90backed Over | 49c | 203.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.96 | 514 | 51.9%267 W · 247 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51ad…5e56backed Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 319 | 54.5%174 W · 145 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe49b…adf9backed Over | 50c | 200$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +2.8wins | +0.15per pick | 43cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Over | 34c | 200$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.8 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb612…2df3backed Over | 51c | 196.63$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -4.5wins | -0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2986…763bbacked Under | 51c | 196.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.07 | 337 | 48.1%162 W · 175 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9868…907ebacked Over | 18c | 194.18$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.84 | 106 | 23.6%25 W · 81 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf469…dcaabacked Over | 49c | 186.31$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.29 | 221 | 54.8%121 W · 100 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed Over | 45c | 171$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.95 | 155 | 43.9%68 W · 87 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…e00abacked Over | 38c | 142.69$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.54 | 1,532 | 42.5%651 W · 881 L | -17.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dec…60c2backed Over | 48c | 141.08$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.57 | 180 | 52.2%94 W · 86 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Over | 41c | 131$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.71 | 1,170 | 50.3%588 W · 582 L | +46.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8a1…2974backed Under | 47c | 130$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.9 | 173 | 31.8%55 W · 118 L | -8.0wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked Over | 38c | 122.47$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.62 | 520 | 53.3%277 W · 243 L | +29.6wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8441…7925backed Over | 37c | 121.49$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.57 | 182 | 61%111 W · 71 L | +16.2wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6275…4e76backed Under | 52c | 115.38$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.38 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb9…a8b3backed Under | 51c | 115.2$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.45 | 236 | 57.2%135 W · 101 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…61fbbacked Over | 36c | 115.03$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.75 | 361 | 54.8%198 W · 163 L | +17.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Over | 41c | 115$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.85 | 655 | 42.9%281 W · 374 L | +17.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x913b…0852backed Under | 49c | 113.92$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.58 | 421 | 53%223 W · 198 L | +23.3wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Over | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 454 | 45.4%206 W · 248 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…8f79backed Under | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 1,393 | 48.3%673 W · 720 L | +19.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed Over | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 448 | 21.4%96 W · 352 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1248…8db1backed Under | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf029…3998backed Over | 34c | 100$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 19cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86f3…685cbacked Under | 76c | 100$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 125 | 58.4%73 W · 52 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92cf…8b35backed Under | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 1,110 | 52%577 W · 533 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c5…378abacked Under | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 157 | 44.6%70 W · 87 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9069…9c14backed Under | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 145 | 57.2%83 W · 62 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- 76ers vs. Nuggets: O/U 236.5this page
- 1H Spread: Nuggets (-8.5)Nuggets won
- 76ers vs. NuggetsNuggets won
- 76ers vs. Nuggets: 1H MoneylineNuggets won
- 76ers vs. Nuggets: 1H O/U 119.5Under won
- 76ers vs. Nuggets: 1H O/U 120.5Under won
- 76ers vs. Nuggets: 1H O/U 121.5Under won
- 76ers vs. Nuggets: O/U 232.5Under won
- 76ers vs. Nuggets: O/U 233.5Under won
- 76ers vs. Nuggets: O/U 234.5Under won
- 76ers vs. Nuggets: O/U 235.5Under won
- Bruce Brown: Points O/U 6.5Yes won
- Christian Braun: Points O/U 10.5Yes won
- Jamal Murray: Points O/U 24.5No won
- Nikola Jokić: Assists O/U 10.5Yes won
- Nikola Jokić: Assists O/U 9.5Yes won
- Nikola Jokić: Points O/U 29.5No won
- Spread: Nuggets (-14.5)Nuggets won
- Spread: Nuggets (-15.5)Nuggets won
- Spread: Nuggets (-16.5)Nuggets won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.