NBA · resolved market
Spread: Nuggets (-16.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf6d9a3bf2bc01b6a33447fac232041edbd1639d8534403270fab127075b1d31b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nuggetsof Nuggets, 76ers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $324,826
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $324,826 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 170 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbddf…c684backed 76ers | 55c | 97,877$53,832 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53,832.31 | 726 | 48.3%351 W · 375 L | +30.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Nuggets | 45c | 50,000$22,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,500 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…3782backed 76ers | 55c | 49,757$27,366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,366.08 | 874 | 51.5%450 W · 424 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20d6…3856backed Nuggets | 45c | 48,448$21,948 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,500.22 | 398 | 42.5%169 W · 229 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12ec…41aebacked Nuggets | 45c | 39,308$17,689 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,619.4 | 160 | 39.4%63 W · 97 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8cdc…b83fbacked Nuggets | 45c | 27,027$12,162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,864.67 | 209 | 48.8%102 W · 107 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae8…c2a8backed Nuggets | 48c | 22,401$10,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,650.96 | 240 | 53.8%129 W · 111 L | +12.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Nuggets | 45c | 20,068$8,976 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,091.31 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc974…b33bbacked Nuggets | 45c | 13,348$6,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,297.83 | 249 | 42.2%105 W · 144 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed 76ers | 52c | 12,000$6,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,239.97 | 1,046 | 51.1%534 W · 512 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked 76ers | 57c | 11,469$6,485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,484.7 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed 76ers | 53c | 11,000$5,830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,830 | 584 | 49.7%290 W · 294 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked 76ers | 53c | 8,003$4,242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,241.78 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Nuggets | 49c | 5,918$2,917 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,000.25 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1ae…f001backed 76ers | 53c | 4,500$2,385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,385 | 142 | 45.8%65 W · 77 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f09…9312backed 76ers | 31c | 4,242$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 95 | 47.4%45 W · 50 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Nuggets | 46c | 4,110$1,909 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,200.9 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Nuggets | 59c | 4,003$2,366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,636.26 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Nuggets | 45c | 3,750$1,688 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,062.58 | 1,141 | 48%548 W · 593 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked 76ers | 53c | 3,736$1,981 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,981.26 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb525…bdc7backed 76ers | 55c | 3,644$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 74 | 47.3%35 W · 39 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Nuggets | 53c | 3,632$1,941 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,690.97 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fea…78b1backed Nuggets | 77c | 2,747$2,127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620.27 | 263 | 37.3%98 W · 165 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x412f…30fabacked Nuggets | 45c | 2,700$1,215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,485 | 357 | 44.3%158 W · 199 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Nuggets | 47c | 2,527$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,326.81 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Nuggets | 47c | 2,150$1,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,148.27 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed 76ers | 50c | 2,072$1,032 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,032.04 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Nuggets | 46c | 1,867$862 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,004.8 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Nuggets | 46c | 1,595$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$855.32 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a1c…5a9cbacked 76ers | 4c | 1,345$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 55 | 25.5%14 W · 41 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7430…3af2backed 76ers | 54c | 1,250$675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$675 | 261 | 49.4%129 W · 132 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe77b…f10abacked Nuggets | 45c | 1,038$467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570.92 | 109 | 53.2%58 W · 51 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ca8…ddddbacked 76ers | 53c | 1,003$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$529.97 | 278 | 46.8%130 W · 148 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa438…8605backed 76ers | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -2.1wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf630…7e65backed 76ers | 54c | 999.98$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.99 | 291 | 49.5%144 W · 147 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1632…cb68backed Nuggets | 45c | 920$414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$506 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe137…a117backed Nuggets | 57c | 872.71$497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375.9 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -3.8wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed 76ers | 57c | 764.12$436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435.55 | 806 | 53.6%432 W · 374 L | +16.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Nuggets | 45c | 762$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$422.31 | 146 | 34.9%51 W · 95 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d4c…41c4backed Nuggets | 46c | 642.82$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.12 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +3.9wins | +0.19per pick | 51cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x253d…aa62backed Nuggets | 44c | 611$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.16 | 583 | 47%274 W · 309 L | -12.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed 76ers | 46c | 604.16$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.25 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x691a…d113backed Nuggets | 46c | 601.67$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.9 | 544 | 43%234 W · 310 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Nuggets | 47c | 560.5$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.93 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4823…a48bbacked Nuggets | 46c | 543.48$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.48 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +3.3wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +51.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb6e7…884cbacked 76ers | 55c | 516.11$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.86 | 163 | 38.7%63 W · 100 L | -11.4wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Nuggets | 47c | 500$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265 | 1,197 | 47.5%569 W · 628 L | -32.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b2d…a88dbacked 76ers | 54c | 448$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.92 | 64 | 39.1%25 W · 39 L | -7.7wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x451f…7301backed 76ers | 48c | 434.86$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 78 | 53.8%42 W · 36 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf26…6fe2backed Nuggets | 47c | 410.64$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.64 | 324 | 50.6%164 W · 160 L | -11.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed 76ers | 53c | 400$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212 | 736 | 49.9%367 W · 369 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Nuggets | 46c | 367.04$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.2 | 930 | 36.5%339 W · 591 L | -20.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3100…9bc9backed Nuggets | 47c | 365.5$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.72 | 180 | 43.3%78 W · 102 L | -9.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed 76ers | 53c | 355.53$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.43 | 1,044 | 47.5%496 W · 548 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Nuggets | 72c | 297.85$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.68 | 1,786 | 53.2%950 W · 836 L | +52.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Nuggets | 46c | 296$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.84 | 1,667 | 52.7%878 W · 789 L | +45.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…b218backed Nuggets | 44c | 287.08$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.77 | 292 | 45.5%133 W · 159 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2841…3c5abacked 76ers | 51c | 287$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.37 | 213 | 49.3%105 W · 108 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x820e…9db7backed 76ers | 54c | 276.15$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.12 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.7wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7c67…a0e0backed 76ers | 37c | 270$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 296 | 46.6%138 W · 158 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2de8…1121backed 76ers | 56c | 267.86$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 909 | 57.6%524 W · 385 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked 76ers | 54c | 267.04$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.2 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc455…8640backed 76ers | 54c | 265.4$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.32 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1480…6e8dbacked Nuggets | 46c | 250.19$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.73 | 584 | 50.2%293 W · 291 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Nuggets | 43c | 244.19$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.19 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked 76ers | 46c | 236.67$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.13 | 1,190 | 32%381 W · 809 L | -58.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9592…a85bbacked 76ers | 36c | 214$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.74 | 282 | 45.4%128 W · 154 L | +7.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d7e…3248backed 76ers | 40c | 204.54$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.5 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Nuggets | 71c | 200$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed 76ers | 36c | 200$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 448 | 21.4%96 W · 352 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbec5…8f77backed 76ers | 55c | 200$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 211 | 39.8%84 W · 127 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Nuggets | 43c | 186.63$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.51 | 1,633 | 41.2%672 W · 961 L | +26.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b1…242fbacked 76ers | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 335 | 54.6%183 W · 152 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed 76ers | 56c | 181.02$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.37 | 1,286 | 50.8%653 W · 633 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d84…4b14backed 76ers | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | -4.7wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Nuggets | 47c | 175.84$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.2 | 950 | 47.2%448 W · 502 L | -28.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x307d…9163backed Nuggets | 62c | 171$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.98 | 273 | 57.1%156 W · 117 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6659…4b69backed 76ers | 12c | 166.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 83 | 32.5%27 W · 56 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Nuggets | 48c | 165.98$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.75 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda21…8646backed Nuggets | 44c | 164.39$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.06 | 625 | 41.9%262 W · 363 L | -32.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Nuggets | 45c | 163.93$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.67 | 514 | 38.7%199 W · 315 L | -29.6wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Nuggets | 44c | 158.72$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.88 | 399 | 43.1%172 W · 227 L | -17.1wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Nuggets | 64c | 143.59$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.69 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93a4…6bdbbacked 76ers | 25c | 140$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.42 | 59 | 32.2%19 W · 40 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1349…dc1fbacked 76ers | 54c | 138.89$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 88 | 51.1%45 W · 43 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Nuggets | 43c | 132.39$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.46 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked Nuggets | 68c | 131.73$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.61 | 520 | 53.3%277 W · 243 L | +29.6wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe722…57c5backed 76ers | 53c | 123.45$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.43 | 765 | 52.9%405 W · 360 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2a0…1f3dbacked 76ers | 41c | 122.68$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 167 | 25.7%43 W · 124 L | -12.4wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…61fbbacked Nuggets | 70c | 122.36$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.79 | 361 | 54.8%198 W · 163 L | +17.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9401…38cbbacked Nuggets | 46c | 116.65$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.61 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb70d…5925backed Nuggets | 46c | 115.19$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.74 | 176 | 43.2%76 W · 100 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked Nuggets | 46c | 114.99$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.28 | 648 | 44.8%290 W · 358 L | -32.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3ede…6c27backed Nuggets | 46c | 112$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.48 | 451 | 51.4%232 W · 219 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51ad…5e56backed Nuggets | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.11 | 319 | 54.5%174 W · 145 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56a7…9f37backed Nuggets | 46c | 108.78$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.78 | 208 | 47.1%98 W · 110 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86f2…a659backed Nuggets | 46c | 108.67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.68 | 89 | 43.8%39 W · 50 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04b7…7491backed 76ers | 53c | 107$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.71 | 109 | 55%60 W · 49 L | +6.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb442…bed7backed Nuggets | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.17 | 126 | 52.4%66 W · 60 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b5b…e58abacked 76ers | 11c | 102.38$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.19 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | -4.4wins | -0.15per pick | 41cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Nuggets (-16.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Nuggets (-8.5)Nuggets won
- 76ers vs. NuggetsNuggets won
- 76ers vs. Nuggets: 1H MoneylineNuggets won
- 76ers vs. Nuggets: 1H O/U 119.5Under won
- 76ers vs. Nuggets: 1H O/U 120.5Under won
- 76ers vs. Nuggets: 1H O/U 121.5Under won
- 76ers vs. Nuggets: O/U 232.5Under won
- 76ers vs. Nuggets: O/U 233.5Under won
- 76ers vs. Nuggets: O/U 234.5Under won
- 76ers vs. Nuggets: O/U 235.5Under won
- 76ers vs. Nuggets: O/U 236.5Under won
- Bruce Brown: Points O/U 6.5Yes won
- Christian Braun: Points O/U 10.5Yes won
- Jamal Murray: Points O/U 24.5No won
- Nikola Jokić: Assists O/U 10.5Yes won
- Nikola Jokić: Assists O/U 9.5Yes won
- Nikola Jokić: Points O/U 29.5No won
- Spread: Nuggets (-14.5)Nuggets won
- Spread: Nuggets (-15.5)Nuggets won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.