TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

76ers vs. Nuggets: O/U 233.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$29,073

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,073 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 93 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd106…c79cbacked Over53c5,805$3,098 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,098.274,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Over57c5,450$3,107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,106.56,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under43c4,002$1,725 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,276.334,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x20d6…3856backed Under47c2,000$940 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,059.9939842.5%169 W · 229 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-0.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under47c1,553$723 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$830.319,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under44c1,411$621 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$790.043,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1d08…2142backed Under80c1,346$1,071 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$275.1965872.8%479 W · 179 L+46.1wins+0.07per pick66cpaid+9.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xacae…6798backed Under44c1,045$460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$585.411241.1%46 W · 66 L-5.2wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-7.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd0e7…b14fbacked Over56c860$482 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$481.634851.7%180 W · 168 L+1.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Over56c826$463 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$462.561,66752.7%878 W · 789 L+45.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Under61c790.69$485 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$305.793,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xccf1…25a0backed Over25c749.33$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.181,52249.6%755 W · 767 L+27.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x54a2…1d43backed Over16c735.38$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.2218835.1%66 W · 122 L+24.5wins+0.13per pick22cpaid+116.5%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Under44c640.26$282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$358.552,75350.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L+47.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Over56c544.36$305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304.841,29448.1%623 W · 671 L+0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9592…a85bbacked Over54c525.92$286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$285.8428245.4%128 W · 154 L+7.8wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under43c520.57$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$296.693,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under44c516.06$227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$288.992,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x21ff…5e2abacked Under48c500$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2604042.5%17 W · 23 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfab5…aa48backed Over39c420.92$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.41030%3 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-22.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Over51c390.87$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20095452.3%499 W · 455 L-17.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4488…579cbacked Over27c375.56$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.2577549.2%381 W · 394 L-2.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Over46c352.02$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.612,46850.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L+38.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under47c347.92$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.44,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under65c337.3$218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.421,78653.2%950 W · 836 L+52.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x44ca…907cbacked Under44c320$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.245646.7%213 W · 243 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5fea…78b1backed Under75c305.57$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.6526337.3%98 W · 165 L-1.0wins0.00per pick38cpaid-20.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9013…e7e0backed Over35c285.43$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10040344.4%179 W · 224 L-23.9wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-13.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2155…f351backed Under67c234.27$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.271580%12 W · 3 L+2.6wins+0.17per pick63cpaid+26.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x10c6…19b6backed Under65c200$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$708253.7%44 W · 38 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over26c188.93$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.962,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1629…8510backed Under45c177.78$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.7810249%50 W · 52 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-6.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfc53…2bb7backed Under77c177.17$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.65837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick31cpaid-28.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x451f…7301backed Over57c175.44$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007853.8%42 W · 36 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick55cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa559…6dbbbacked Under58c170.34$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.9488057.5%506 W · 374 L+34.6wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+2.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xea78…a74ebacked Under44c160$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.656547.8%270 W · 295 L+9.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under44c156.82$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.822,73646.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L-67.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Over57c155$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.352,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Under44c147$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.321,71544.5%764 W · 951 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under60c144.42$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.248,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3b43…fae9backed Over38c133.16$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5031151.1%159 W · 152 L+0.8wins0.00per pick51cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xca2d…39edbacked Under44c131.97$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.923651.3%121 W · 115 L+11.3wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+9.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4378…5bb8backed Under73c130.38$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.297255.6%40 W · 32 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Under46c116.67$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.091,43347.2%676 W · 757 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe42d…62febacked Under45c113.33$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.3321352.1%111 W · 102 L-6.7wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd8b5…9153backed Under44c110.43$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.843138.7%12 W · 19 L-2.5wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-23.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3100…9bc9backed Under47c99.99$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.9918043.3%78 W · 102 L-9.4wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-16.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed Under71c98.64$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.8165542.9%281 W · 374 L+17.2wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-15.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Over45c91.52$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.13,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Over56c87.69$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.112,60250.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L-20.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under76c83.9$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.783,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3a25…bb6bbacked Under44c80$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.834047.1%160 W · 180 L-10.3wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x04b4…8d0bbacked Under44c80$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.857250%286 W · 286 L-0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Under44c80$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.887049.3%429 W · 441 L+1.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf5a2…0020backed Over64c77.54$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506848.5%33 W · 35 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-8.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d49…e00abacked Over26c73.2$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.391,53242.5%651 W · 881 L-17.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x83fe…23d9backed Over56c71$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.765036%18 W · 32 L-7.6wins-0.15per pick51cpaid-29.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xe0a9…f98ebacked Under72c69.27$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.271471.4%10 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.10per pick61cpaid+18%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xabfb…12e5backed Over21c67.07$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.1711826.3%31 W · 87 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-17.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ea7…1be7backed Under47c59.85$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.721258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.4wins+0.12per pick46cpaid+25.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe293…d3edbacked Under48c57.13$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.7112739.4%50 W · 77 L-9.1wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-17.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x15ee…512dbacked Under44c57$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.9262049%304 W · 316 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0b2c…dac5backed Over33c51.68$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.242348.5%205 W · 218 L-9.8wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa1fc…7cc1backed Under47c49.07$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.0114471.5%103 W · 41 L+22.1wins+0.15per pick56cpaid+25%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0xf30a…61fbbacked Under67c48.76$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.3136154.8%198 W · 163 L+17.7wins+0.05per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xba8d…009dbacked Under62c45.68$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.3214634.9%51 W · 95 L-5.9wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-22.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0642…8c68backed Under44c45.45$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.4527050%135 W · 135 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1121…6604backed Under44c45$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.232747.4%155 W · 172 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e0a…745dbacked Under44c45$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.227345.1%123 W · 150 L-8.1wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf02…3a63backed Under44c45$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.232947.4%156 W · 173 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x622b…5a4abacked Under48c45$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.410940.4%44 W · 65 L-4.9wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9c9d…1299backed Under48c41.65$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.665648.2%27 W · 29 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6c1d…1f8fbacked Under46c40.57$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.9149249.8%245 W · 247 L-0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9466…1f15backed Over37c40$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.820847.1%98 W · 110 L-4.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x849f…0665backed Under47c38.05$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.1795047.2%448 W · 502 L-28.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3cc9…185bbacked Under45c37.78$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.7829247.9%140 W · 152 L-0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f60…026abacked Over56c36.18$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.2610144.6%45 W · 56 L-3.8wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under44c35.09$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.652,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8693…f6f4backed Under78c35$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.66955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+10.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b67…642dbacked Over30c35$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.54139%16 W · 25 L-3.0wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-23.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Under47c30.76$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.32,90238.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L-51.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Under47c30.75$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.31,15747.9%554 W · 603 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Over56c30$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.9461939.6%245 W · 374 L-17.8wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-18.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x974f…cd80backed Over55c28.29$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.552934.5%10 W · 19 L-3.2wins-0.11per pick46cpaid-35%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0eca…c56abacked Under61c26.13$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.1652053.3%277 W · 243 L+29.6wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+3.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x913b…0852backed Under45c24$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.242153%223 W · 198 L+23.3wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+8.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8afa…28f0backed Under50c23$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.540750.6%206 W · 201 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under73c21.33$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.771,17050.3%588 W · 582 L+46.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+0.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Under80c20$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.051,38439.4%545 W · 839 L+4.8wins0.00per pick39cpaid-21.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ebf…2da0backed Over56c20$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.24938.8%19 W · 30 L-4.9wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-25.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x917e…eed9backed Over56c20$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.221049.5%104 W · 106 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xabfc…173ebacked Over56c20$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.22272.7%16 W · 6 L+1.6wins+0.07per pick66cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x73a2…3b68backed Under76c15.01$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.6439055.6%217 W · 173 L+8.8wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.