TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xe054…14d1

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
182
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Euroleague, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Euroleague at 53 out of 100; worst Lol at 37.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT13043.8%57 W · 73 L+3.7wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 130 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+300%+$37.5
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+347.8%+$116.5
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.6
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.1
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.6
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$29
Thunder vs. Lakersbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+74.2%+$8.52
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.44
76ers vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.2
Pistons vs. Magicbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.25
Nuggets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.95
Pistons vs. Magicbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.81
Rockets vs. Lakersbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.46
Trail Blazers vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.76
Magic vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.72
Warriors vs. Clippersbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+502.8%+$82.07
Trail Blazers vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+186.4%+$31.52
Pelicans vs. Trail Blazersbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.7
Trail Blazers vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.04
Suns vs. Magicbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Jazz vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+153.8%+$18.18
Clippers vs. Pacersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+255.2%+$93.4
Knicks vs. Hornetsbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$49
Rockets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
Showing 25 of 130 picks, newest first.
Lollast resolved Aug 13, 2026, EDT3228.1%9 W · 23 L-6.9wins-0.22per pick50cpaid-52.7%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
Lol — the 32 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Top Esports vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.5
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs T1 (BO3) - KeSPA Cup Last Chance Qualifierbacked Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$25.5
Games Total: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
LoL: G2 Esports vs Top Esports - Game 3 Winnerbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.4
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSIbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.29
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.5
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked ThunderTalk Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.6
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Team WE (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$32
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$28.5
LoL: Gen.G vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.88
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - Esports World Cup Korea Qualifier Playoffsbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.6
LoL: Top Esports vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.5
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+42.5%+$8.94
LoL: JD Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.6
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Invictus Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.9
LoL: Ultra Prime vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvanabacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.31
LoL: T1 vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
LoL: T1 Academy vs BNK FearX Youth (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2backed T1 Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+25%+$10
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$13.2
LoL: JD Gaming vs Invictus Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.57
LoL: Oh My God vs LNG Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvanabacked LNG Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+58.9%+$16.96
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$77
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+37%+$13.5
Showing 25 of 32 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2026, EDT1353.8%7 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+41.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Zhejiang Lions vs. Shenzhen Leopardsbacked Shenzhen Leopards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.9
Beijing Ducks vs. Guangdong Southern Tigersbacked Guangdong Southern Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.8
Zhejiang Lions vs. Tianjin Pioneersbacked Zhejiang Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$20.5
Jiangsu Dragons vs. Shanxi Loongsbacked Jiangsu Dragons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+38.6%+$3.88
Ningbo Rockets vs. Zhejiang Lionsbacked Zhejiang Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+774.7%+$78.12
Guangdong Southern Tigers vs. Zhejiang Lionsbacked Zhejiang Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.9
Shanxi Loongs vs. Shandong Hi-Speed Kirinbacked Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.9
Tianjin Pioneers vs. Zhejiang Lionsbacked Zhejiang Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+39.9%+$5.7
Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin vs. Jiangsu Dragonsbacked Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$9.79
Xinjiang Flying Tigers vs. Guangdong Southern Tigersbacked Guangdong Southern Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.2
Tianjin Pioneers vs. Zhejiang Golden Bullsbacked Zhejiang Golden Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.58
Shanghai Sharks vs. Beijing Royal Fightersbacked Shanghai Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+55.3%+$5.7
Guangzhou Loong Lions vs. Shandong Hi-Speed Kirinbacked Guangzhou Loong Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+61.3%+$11.4
All 13 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 15, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick37cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+35.1%+$10.4
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Alex Pereira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Dec 3, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Mikie Sherrill win by >14%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$31.5
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.