Euroleague · resolved market
Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin vs. Jiangsu Dragons
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x28e17d3578303f720cf1d9a5bf6fb9eb3d070fa311411b369508857c139482fd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Shandong Hi-Speed Kirinof Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin, Jiangsu Dragons
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Euroleagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $41,137
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $41,137 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Euroleague is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Euroleague | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin | 58c | 4,823$2,795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,028.1 | 542 | 51.5%279 W · 263 L | +25.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Jiangsu Dragons | 25c | 4,288$1,064 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,064.03 | 132 | 35.6%47 W · 85 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f09…9312backed Jiangsu Dragons | 53c | 3,781$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Jiangsu Dragons | 39c | 3,301$1,290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,290.4 | 168 | 28.6%48 W · 120 L | -10.3wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9adf…55e8backed Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin | 60c | 2,033$1,222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$811.13 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a0c…b6bdbacked Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin | 67c | 2,000$1,339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$661.03 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf3b…0375backed Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin | 70c | 1,600$1,122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$478 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin | 59c | 999.78$586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413.56 | 435 | 43.7%190 W · 245 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed Jiangsu Dragons | 3c | 907.99$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.25 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb673…d240backed Jiangsu Dragons | 14c | 489.71$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.56 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Jiangsu Dragons | 39c | 387$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.71 | 76 | 46.1%35 W · 41 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd9…a643backed Jiangsu Dragons | 42c | 362.14$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.02 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe9d4…e1d2backed Jiangsu Dragons | 15c | 360$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb096…fd64backed Jiangsu Dragons | 28c | 351.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb8…abb4backed Jiangsu Dragons | 8c | 347.39$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.79 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 20cpaid | +50.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Jiangsu Dragons | 22c | 321.31$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.02 | 289 | 43.6%126 W · 163 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Jiangsu Dragons | 40c | 307$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.64 | 109 | 41.3%45 W · 64 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed Jiangsu Dragons | 13c | 302.76$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 73 | 41.1%30 W · 43 L | +8.2wins | +0.11per pick | 30cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Jiangsu Dragons | 32c | 274.28$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87 | 316 | 51.6%163 W · 153 L | +14.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…110bbacked Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin | 66c | 267.59$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.94 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +2.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Jiangsu Dragons | 28c | 254.2$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.58 | 265 | 44.5%118 W · 147 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc73b…c3e9backed Jiangsu Dragons | 10c | 244.99$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.31 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.19per pick | 36cpaid | -74.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin | 71c | 244.79$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.23 | 352 | 34.7%122 W · 230 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Jiangsu Dragons | 38c | 227$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.03 | 69 | 40.6%28 W · 41 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7da4…f0a4backed Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin | 22c | 225$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.5 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.28per pick | 22cpaid | +139.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Jiangsu Dragons | 12c | 214.75$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.8 | 269 | 35.3%95 W · 174 L | -10.9wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -18%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Jiangsu Dragons | 13c | 208.89$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.89 | 244 | 30.3%74 W · 170 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Jiangsu Dragons | 13c | 207.25$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.84 | 214 | 44.4%95 W · 119 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ef0…f14cbacked Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin | 20c | 173.3$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.80per pick | 20cpaid | +400%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe3…949cbacked Jiangsu Dragons | 14c | 142.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc62e…108dbacked Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin | 54c | 127.6$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.1 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +2.8wins | +0.28per pick | 62cpaid | +42.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin | 52c | 115.16$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.4 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin | 60c | 110.49$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.51 | 370 | 52.7%195 W · 175 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4547…ac9bbacked Jiangsu Dragons | 42c | 110$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.85 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef2e…10c3backed Jiangsu Dragons | 44c | 109$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.96 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Jiangsu Dragons | 29c | 107.01$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.31 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Jiangsu Dragons | 16c | 101.3$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.25 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x81c0…8b96backed Jiangsu Dragons | 29c | 83$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.07 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d90…3bbdbacked Jiangsu Dragons | 42c | 79.97$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.38 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 56cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x94bb…c320backed Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin | 53c | 76.7$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.96 | 66 | 63.6%42 W · 24 L | +5.5wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Jiangsu Dragons | 38c | 73.03$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbc15…3a2ebacked Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin | 64c | 65.57$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.85 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +120%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Jiangsu Dragons | 22c | 63.51$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.9 | 255 | 17.6%45 W · 210 L | -29.4wins | -0.12per pick | 29cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xaffd…c3f5backed Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin | 73c | 63.01$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.01 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 68cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Jiangsu Dragons | 29c | 51$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.79 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -18%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb226…4469backed Jiangsu Dragons | 43c | 40.4$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.17 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24ca…5829backed Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin | 58c | 37.05$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.68 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56cd…2ddcbacked Jiangsu Dragons | 33c | 33.33$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4505…a3c9backed Jiangsu Dragons | 35c | 32.78$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin | 58c | 26.07$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.07 | 59 | 59.3%35 W · 24 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa7a…899bbacked Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin | 58c | 24.3$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.14 | 209 | 36.4%76 W · 133 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe054…14d1backed Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin | 51c | 19.98$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.79 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin | 58c | 18.93$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.95 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -3.5wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Euroleague and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.