Euroleague · resolved market
Jiangsu Dragons vs. Shanxi Loongs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8f18831f101904e951d52ee540dc112635f850b2c9b99a6f8ae9606856412245
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Jiangsu Dragonsof Jiangsu Dragons, Shanxi Loongs
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Euroleagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $57,815
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $61,247
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $57,815 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 72 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Euroleague is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Euroleague | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Shanxi Loongs | 76c | 8,950$6,825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,825.05 | 130 | 46.2%60 W · 70 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2775…3652backed Jiangsu Dragons | 74c | 4,339$3,207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,132.15 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +2.7wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca8b…8784backed Jiangsu Dragons | 22c | 2,628$582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,045.75 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Jiangsu Dragons | 18c | 2,022$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,666.8 | 244 | 30.3%74 W · 170 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Jiangsu Dragons | 21c | 1,943$415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,527.51 | 132 | 20.5%27 W · 105 L | -6.0wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f2…b422backed Shanxi Loongs | 53c | 1,890$1,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,001.7 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Jiangsu Dragons | 26c | 1,262$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$930.19 | 369 | 39.8%147 W · 222 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Jiangsu Dragons | 25c | 1,146$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$862.39 | 70 | 42.9%30 W · 40 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Jiangsu Dragons | 45c | 1,037$471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$566.15 | 316 | 51.6%163 W · 153 L | +14.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Jiangsu Dragons | 30c | 1,016$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$714.88 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x335e…f71abacked Jiangsu Dragons | 29c | 861.59$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$609.19 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 52cpaid | +59.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Jiangsu Dragons | 21c | 762.19$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$599.8 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Jiangsu Dragons | 15c | 663.51$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$563.96 | 269 | 35.3%95 W · 174 L | -10.9wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -18%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Jiangsu Dragons | 9c | 630.42$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$574.31 | 86 | 11.6%10 W · 76 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Jiangsu Dragons | 12c | 620$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$548.4 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Jiangsu Dragons | 27c | 548.45$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$401.8 | 168 | 28.6%48 W · 120 L | -10.3wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb291…bc03backed Jiangsu Dragons | 32c | 479.6$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.13 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 27cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Shanxi Loongs | 12c | 478.27$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.6 | 95 | 51.6%49 W · 46 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9b…cdeebacked Shanxi Loongs | 21c | 460.45$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.55 | 61 | 37.7%23 W · 38 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc418…5e1ebacked Shanxi Loongs | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.15per pick | 58cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbe7e…6d00backed Jiangsu Dragons | 50c | 388$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | +3.2wins | +0.09per pick | 26cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Shanxi Loongs | 78c | 365$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.7 | 140 | 37.9%53 W · 87 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc367…a0b4backed Jiangsu Dragons | 57c | 322.53$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.83 | 106 | 34.9%37 W · 69 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c8…a184backed Shanxi Loongs | 21c | 312$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.82 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Jiangsu Dragons | 34c | 299.99$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.63 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Jiangsu Dragons | 45c | 271.73$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.34 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Jiangsu Dragons | 16c | 251.36$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.63 | 135 | 45.9%62 W · 73 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f0c…160cbacked Jiangsu Dragons | 28c | 247.89$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.86 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Shanxi Loongs | 72c | 244.61$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.93 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +2.9wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x43c7…d727backed Shanxi Loongs | 41c | 221.27$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.79 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbc6…9092backed Jiangsu Dragons | 15c | 189.8$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.33 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91e0…26a0backed Shanxi Loongs | 10c | 187$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.57 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe09…7acebacked Shanxi Loongs | 64c | 152.86$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.83 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x961a…e91cbacked Jiangsu Dragons | 18c | 131.44$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.67 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34b7…7b0dbacked Shanxi Loongs | 70c | 120.99$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.69 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Jiangsu Dragons | 20c | 118.05$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.44 | 88 | 45.5%40 W · 48 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9348…8cfbbacked Shanxi Loongs | 55c | 108.01$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.2 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Shanxi Loongs | 79c | 100$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | -4.3wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xce5f…ab17backed Shanxi Loongs | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27e9…f09ebacked Shanxi Loongs | 17c | 100$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Jiangsu Dragons | 16c | 99.96$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.97 | 69 | 49.3%34 W · 35 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Jiangsu Dragons | 40c | 94.86$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.91 | 85 | 44.7%38 W · 47 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3892…4093backed Shanxi Loongs | 55c | 85.22$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.26 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x59a1…8263backed Shanxi Loongs | 59c | 77.27$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.58 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc63b…6e4ebacked Shanxi Loongs | 54c | 73$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.27 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed Shanxi Loongs | 54c | 73$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.27 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0f…b652backed Shanxi Loongs | 51c | 71$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.21 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +2.3wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b96…f098backed Jiangsu Dragons | 30c | 65.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.69 | 72 | 41.7%30 W · 42 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd77…ef21backed Shanxi Loongs | 73c | 65$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.51 | 55 | 65.5%36 W · 19 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7448…7ab1backed Shanxi Loongs | 77c | 63.76$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.35 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf512…5198backed Shanxi Loongs | 60c | 62.64$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.81 | 43 | 74.4%32 W · 11 L | +4.3wins | +0.10per pick | 64cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x300d…780dbacked Shanxi Loongs | 51c | 54$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.54 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 40cpaid | -65.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cdf…8666backed Shanxi Loongs | 51c | 54$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.54 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e29…4b24backed Jiangsu Dragons | 27c | 51.95$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.78 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +3.4wins | +0.20per pick | 45cpaid | +279.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…d72dbacked Shanxi Loongs | 60c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe53…2dbabacked Shanxi Loongs | 78c | 49.34$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.49 | 56 | 66.1%37 W · 19 L | -4.2wins | -0.07per pick | 73cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c04…2c55backed Jiangsu Dragons | 22c | 47.66$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.17 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +3.8wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Jiangsu Dragons | 40c | 47.43$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.46 | 79 | 44.3%35 W · 44 L | -4.7wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked Jiangsu Dragons | 32c | 45.98$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.34 | 61 | 19.7%12 W · 49 L | -5.0wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Jiangsu Dragons | 29c | 44.67$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.49 | 255 | 17.6%45 W · 210 L | -29.4wins | -0.12per pick | 29cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x84bb…25d3backed Shanxi Loongs | 77c | 32.24$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.69 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd26…0574backed Shanxi Loongs | 60c | 30$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6d…2671backed Jiangsu Dragons | 69c | 28.93$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.87 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc74d…9690backed Shanxi Loongs | 51c | 27$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.77 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +2.2wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…0a38backed Shanxi Loongs | 51c | 27$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.77 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00d4…4c46backed Shanxi Loongs | 51c | 27$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.77 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99f7…1a59backed Shanxi Loongs | 51c | 27$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.77 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf245…746bbacked Shanxi Loongs | 59c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75dc…4f82backed Jiangsu Dragons | 53c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.37 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +3.4wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x665e…7291backed Shanxi Loongs | 75c | 19.7$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.78 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -35%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x272d…bc2fbacked Shanxi Loongs | 75c | 19.7$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.78 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +16%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe054…14d1backed Jiangsu Dragons | 72c | 13.91$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.88 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Euroleague and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.