TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x34b7…7b0d

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
163
Categories scored
8
Categories below 50
2

Best Category: Dota2, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Dota2 at 54 out of 100; worst Euroleague at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 21, 2026, EDT9643.8%42 W · 54 L0.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 96 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
76ers vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$201Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$201
76ers vs. Celticsbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Raptors vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$152Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$45.37
Nuggets vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$63
Warriors vs. Kingsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$410Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$410
Celtics vs. Knicksbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Mavericks vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+48.5%+$16.01
Kings vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+56%+$35.13
Trail Blazers vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+455.6%+$82
Cavaliers vs. Grizzliesbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$46
Magic vs. Pelicansbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+66.3%+$45.62
Lakers vs. Mavericksbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$41
Hornets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.74
Pistons vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Pelicans vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+98.7%+$24.45
Timberwolves vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$31
Spurs vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$27
Timberwolves vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$56
Kings vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$135.43
Pacers vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.52
Celtics vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.41
Hawks vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.5
Trail Blazers vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$78.97
Raptors vs. Pistonsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.5
Knicks vs. Rocketsbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.58
Showing 25 of 96 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT2050%10 W · 10 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
BMW Open, Qualification: Roberto Carballes Baena vs Alex Molcanbacked Alex Molcan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$46
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Cristian Garin vs Alexander Zverevbacked Alexander Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$24
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Tomas Etcheverry vs Grigor Dimitrovbacked Grigor Dimitrov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.5
Wuning: Kody Pearson vs Zhao Zhaobacked Zhao Zhao · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.99
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Arthur Rinderknech vs Karen Khachanovbacked Karen Khachanov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$61.99
Wuning: Tom Paris vs Ilia Simakinbacked Ilia Simakin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+73.8%+$54.74
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters, Qualification: Matteo Arnaldi vs Alexandre Mullerbacked Alexandre Muller · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+100%+$50
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters, Qualification: Alexander Shevchenko vs Roberto Bautista Agutbacked Roberto Bautista Agut · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$93
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Cameron Norrie vs Miomir Kecmanovicbacked Cameron Norrie · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$20
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters, Qualification: David Goffin vs Emilio Navabacked Emilio Nava · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$46
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters, Qualification: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Pedro Martinezbacked Pedro Martinez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters, Qualification: Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Cristian Garinbacked Nikoloz Basilashvili · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$23
Bucharest Open: Mariano Navone vs Botic van de Zandschulpbacked Botic van de Zandschulp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.99
Barletta: Michele Ribecai vs Mili Poljicakbacked Mili Poljicak · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$43
Bucharest Open: Titouan Droguet vs Daniel Merida Aguilarbacked Titouan Droguet · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.18
Bucharest Open: Alex Molcan vs Mariano Navonebacked Mariano Navone · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$26
Grand Prix Hassan II: Vit Kopriva vs Hamad Medjedovicbacked Vit Kopriva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+334.8%+$38.5
Grand Prix Hassan II: Ignacio Buse vs Matteo Berrettinibacked Matteo Berrettini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$27
Bucharest Open: Damir Dzumhur vs Filip Jianubacked Damir Dzumhur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$11.94
Miami Open, Qualification: Reese Brantmeier vs Yue Yuanbacked Yue Yuan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$20
All 20 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT1833.3%6 W · 12 L-1.6wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-26.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Jiangsu Dragons vs. Shanxi Loongsbacked Shanxi Loongs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$84.69
Guangdong Southern Tigers vs. Fujian Sturgeonsbacked Guangdong Southern Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$75.37
Zhejiang Lions vs. Guangdong Southern Tigersbacked Zhejiang Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$74
Beijing Ducks vs. Shanghai Sharksbacked Beijing Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.51
Tianjin Pioneers vs. Ningbo Rocketsbacked Ningbo Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$82
Jiangsu Dragons vs. Beijing Royal Fightersbacked Beijing Royal Fighters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.62
Nanjing Monkey King vs. Ningbo Rocketsbacked Ningbo Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$68
Zhejiang Golden Bulls vs. Beijing Ducksbacked Zhejiang Golden Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$10
Xinjiang Flying Tigers vs. Ningbo Rocketsbacked Xinjiang Flying Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$63.4
Fujian Sturgeons vs. Liaoning Flying Leopardsbacked Liaoning Flying Leopards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+79.9%+$20.25
Nanjing Monkey King vs. Beijing Ducksbacked Beijing Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$103Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+67.5%+$69.74
Shanxi Loongs vs. Shanghai Sharksbacked Shanghai Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$27
Guangzhou Loong Lions vs. Liaoning Flying Leopardsbacked Liaoning Flying Leopards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Qingdao Eagles vs. Zhejiang Golden Bullsbacked Qingdao Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.49
Jilin Northeast Tigers vs. Liaoning Flying Leopardsbacked Liaoning Flying Leopards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.8
Guangzhou Loong Lions vs. Shanxi Loongsbacked Shanxi Loongs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.3
Fujian Sturgeons vs. Shanxi Loongsbacked Shanxi Loongs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$61
Nanjing Monkey King vs. Zhejiang Golden Bullsbacked Zhejiang Golden Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$82.83
All 18 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 19, 2026, EDT1464.3%9 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick58cpaid+13.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
George Washington Revolutionaries vs. Utah Valley Wolverinesbacked Utah Valley Wolverines · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
California Baptist Lancers vs. Utah Valley Wolverinesbacked Utah Valley Wolverines · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$103
Virginia Cavaliers vs. Duke Blue Devilsbacked Duke Blue Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$17
Toledo Rockets vs. Akron Zipsbacked Akron Zips · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+97.4%+$73.97
Houston Cougars vs. Arizona Wildcatsbacked Arizona Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$9.6
New Mexico Lobos vs. San Diego State Aztecsbacked San Diego State Aztecs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+76.5%+$65
Oklahoma Sooners vs. Arkansas Razorbacksbacked Arkansas Razorbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$20
North Texas Mean Green vs. Tulsa Golden Hurricanebacked Tulsa Golden Hurricane · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$14
George Washington Revolutionaries vs. Saint Louis Billikensbacked Saint Louis Billikens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+151.6%+$120.5
North Carolina State Wolfpack vs. Virginia Cavaliersbacked Virginia Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$21
Idaho Vandals vs. Montana Grizzliesbacked Idaho Vandals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$23
San Jose State Spartans vs. Boise State Broncosbacked Boise State Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.34
UC Santa Barbara Gauchos vs. UC Davis Aggiesbacked UC Santa Barbara Gauchos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$32
Long Beach State Beach vs. Hawaii Rainbow Warriorsbacked Hawaii Rainbow Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.89
All 14 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+10.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from April 2 to April 4, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.5
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+368.8%+$118
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.4
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from March 14 to March 16, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.5
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.15
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+133.4%+$57.15
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$15.5
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from March 9 to March 11, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.5
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 9 to March 11, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+44.7%+$53.6
All 9 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+23.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs BNK FEARX (BO5) - First Stand Group Abacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$16
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 327: Curtis Blaydes vs. Josh Hokit (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Curtis Blaydes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.5
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.