TailMyPicks
Menu
Market

Euroleague · resolved market

Zhejiang Golden Bulls vs. Beijing Ducks

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Zhejiang Golden Bullsof Zhejiang Golden Bulls, Beijing Ducks
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Euroleagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$97,153
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$108,698

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $97,153 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 135 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Euroleague is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Euroleague
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa340…f6c0backed Zhejiang Golden Bulls54c10,000$5,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,6001100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8e12…b366backed Beijing Ducks46c9,676$4,443 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,443.3410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Zhejiang Golden Bulls69c8,790$6,081 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,709.2913046.2%60 W · 70 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-17.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x17f1…af18backed Beijing Ducks5c7,777$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$399.95425%1 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.13per pick12cpaid-4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7120…7c4ebacked Beijing Ducks2c6,233$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1116116.4%10 W · 51 L-3.1wins-0.05per pick21cpaid-60.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xafe4…f3f7backed Zhejiang Golden Bulls55c6,077$3,341 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,736.236346%29 W · 34 L+3.1wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+2.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Beijing Ducks39c4,306$1,691 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,69143543.7%190 W · 245 L+9.3wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc367…a0b4backed Beijing Ducks7c3,433$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.7410634.9%37 W · 69 L-4.5wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf658…655ebacked Zhejiang Golden Bulls54c2,874$1,556 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,317.755360.4%32 W · 21 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick65cpaid-9.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Beijing Ducks30c2,619$783 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$782.616828.6%48 W · 120 L-10.3wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-37.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe3d4…884ebacked Beijing Ducks28c1,983$563 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$563.035642.9%24 W · 32 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick39cpaid-11.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Beijing Ducks44c1,972$871 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$870.6437052.7%195 W · 175 L+9.8wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4068…aeb1backed Beijing Ducks45c1,660$747 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$746.82030%6 W · 14 L-2.3wins-0.11per pick41cpaid-19.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7e99…8475backed Beijing Ducks46c1,539$714 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$714.110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd746…1b6dbacked Zhejiang Golden Bulls55c1,298$714 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$584.32568%17 W · 8 L+3.5wins+0.14per pick54cpaid+43.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Beijing Ducks37c1,203$445 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$445.0828943.6%126 W · 163 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ca1…aea0backed Beijing Ducks46c1,190$547 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$547.3716235.2%57 W · 105 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x391d…def1backed Beijing Ducks39c1,157$446 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$445.921822.2%4 W · 14 L-1.6wins-0.09per pick31cpaid-31.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf0ac…4ec7backed Beijing Ducks6c1,136$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.188611.6%10 W · 76 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick12cpaid-23.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Beijing Ducks39c864.98$341 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$341.016844.1%30 W · 38 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-14.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Beijing Ducks46c743.81$342 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$341.5524430.3%74 W · 170 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Zhejiang Golden Bulls72c688.86$494 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.3954251.5%279 W · 263 L+25.3wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+6.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Beijing Ducks25c646.8$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.3435234.7%122 W · 230 L-4.9wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-19.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5a3b…acdebacked Zhejiang Golden Bulls53c607.33$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$287.681625%4 W · 12 L-1.9wins-0.12per pick37cpaid-46.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd1f4…92b2backed Zhejiang Golden Bulls53c549.35$292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9348…8cfbbacked Zhejiang Golden Bulls55c523.53$288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.03650%3 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-16.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ec3…34a7backed Beijing Ducks42c442.94$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.945238.5%20 W · 32 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-18.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfb7b…1476backed Beijing Ducks45c429.78$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.41915.8%3 W · 16 L-4.9wins-0.26per pick41cpaid-71.9%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x627f…06dcbacked Zhejiang Golden Bulls72c400$286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-39.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed Zhejiang Golden Bulls77c385.87$299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.189551.6%49 W · 46 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-19.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1234…c1bbbacked Beijing Ducks50c385.71$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.571216.7%2 W · 10 L-2.2wins-0.18per pick35cpaid-69.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Beijing Ducks43c382.42$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.399851%50 W · 48 L0.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid+2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Zhejiang Golden Bulls54c369.15$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.817159.2%42 W · 29 L+4.0wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0b45…ac9fbacked Zhejiang Golden Bulls72c354.59$257 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.065642.9%24 W · 32 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-16.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6598…5f36backed Beijing Ducks21c323.1$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.67757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+29.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Beijing Ducks20c293.54$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.521535.8%77 W · 138 L-5.9wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-21.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdcc0…6872backed Zhejiang Golden Bulls54c290$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.4771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.20per pick51cpaid+36.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6326…6329backed Beijing Ducks31c290$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.91526.7%4 W · 11 L-2.7wins-0.18per pick44cpaid-39.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x30db…44e1backed Beijing Ducks38c258.79$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.341323.1%3 W · 10 L-2.8wins-0.22per pick45cpaid-62.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Zhejiang Golden Bulls55c258.72$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.0512042.5%51 W · 69 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5625…6c2abacked Beijing Ducks38c253.37$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.282450%12 W · 12 L+1.8wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+11.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf2a0…1f3dbacked Beijing Ducks30c241.38$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.4210736.4%39 W · 68 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed Beijing Ducks25c236$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.2226544.5%118 W · 147 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-10.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6ed…5dc7backed Zhejiang Golden Bulls53c235.5$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.68475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.26per pick49cpaid+29.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x06e0…e850backed Beijing Ducks42c230.48$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.5120%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc61d…3933backed Beijing Ducks45c215.54$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.698936%32 W · 57 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-15.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6cc8…67f7backed Beijing Ducks45c214.89$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.72462.5%15 W · 9 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Beijing Ducks37c200.01$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.46642.4%28 W · 38 L-4.0wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-30.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd62d…5992backed Zhejiang Golden Bulls51c190.31$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.25977.8%7 W · 2 L+2.8wins+0.32per pick46cpaid+88.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Beijing Ducks47c177$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.192458.3%14 W · 10 L+1.7wins+0.07per pick51cpaid-9.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x53fc…76d7backed Zhejiang Golden Bulls54c175.03$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.511275%9 W · 3 L+2.2wins+0.18per pick57cpaid+42.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9512…a3d7backed Zhejiang Golden Bulls57c170.91$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.491100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2528…b77dbacked Beijing Ducks42c160.91$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.84548.9%22 W · 23 L-2.1wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-4.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb171…7d2bbacked Beijing Ducks43c158.44$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.598760.9%53 W · 34 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe463…f7b2backed Beijing Ducks47c150$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.52653.8%14 W · 12 L+1.6wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+10.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0370…d000backed Zhejiang Golden Bulls61c142.58$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.614660.9%28 W · 18 L+6.2wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+47.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked Zhejiang Golden Bulls55c136.99$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.656962.3%43 W · 26 L+6.2wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+17.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xdc80…77b4backed Beijing Ducks44c135.79$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.7320%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7e34…63f7backed Zhejiang Golden Bulls60c131.88$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.783357.6%19 W · 14 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick63cpaid-11.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd84b…0df3backed Beijing Ducks47c131.44$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.78850%4 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+14.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x701f…9b8fbacked Beijing Ducks41c130.22$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.391442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.6wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-20.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0828…5cfebacked Beijing Ducks47c119.1$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.562634.6%9 W · 17 L-4.8wins-0.18per pick53cpaid-44%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xdc46…caa3backed Beijing Ducks50c118.79$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.3910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xef5c…6ababacked Beijing Ducks38c100.49$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.1850%0 W · 5 L-1.8wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x94a5…4eb8backed Zhejiang Golden Bulls55c100$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4513751.1%70 W · 67 L-3.7wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa6be…b977backed Zhejiang Golden Bulls55c97.3$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.796929%20 W · 49 L-9.3wins-0.14per pick43cpaid-32.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x9318…22b8backed Beijing Ducks50c97$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.51844.4%8 W · 10 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-21.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8482…3f7abacked Zhejiang Golden Bulls59c93.17$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.261752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-18.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x73a2…3b68backed Beijing Ducks42c92.2$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.443040%12 W · 18 L-2.7wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-18.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa870…df70backed Beijing Ducks38c91.21$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.6610%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x263f…c744backed Zhejiang Golden Bulls54c91.17$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.94666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+28.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1dd2…9e07backed Beijing Ducks41c89.53$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.716848.5%33 W · 35 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x92c4…ffc4backed Beijing Ducks45c88.81$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.97757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick50cpaid-5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8ea8…077dbacked Beijing Ducks47c86.56$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.622231.8%7 W · 15 L-4.5wins-0.21per pick52cpaid-48.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x3f5c…9e02backed Beijing Ducks47c86.56$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.622236.4%8 W · 14 L-4.0wins-0.18per pick54cpaid-42.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed Beijing Ducks41c85.85$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.9919748.2%95 W · 102 L-0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec56…1259backed Beijing Ducks48c85.3$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.641546.7%7 W · 8 L-1.4wins-0.09per pick56cpaid-23.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9409…5b36backed Beijing Ducks44c84.1$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.115628.6%16 W · 40 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-14.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xaa0f…574cbacked Beijing Ducks38c83.95$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.9825%2 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.16per pick41cpaid-64.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2fcb…78cfbacked Beijing Ducks44c75.46$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.531428.6%4 W · 10 L-1.9wins-0.14per pick42cpaid-37.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1b44…d8debacked Zhejiang Golden Bulls53c74.47$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$351662.5%10 W · 6 L+1.4wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+5.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4693…bf61backed Zhejiang Golden Bulls72c72.51$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.03666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ef7…0e08backed Beijing Ducks47c72.1$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.8910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x97f7…ada9backed Zhejiang Golden Bulls55c71.14$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.22650%3 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-13.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe7be…908dbacked Beijing Ducks38c67.24$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.831030%3 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-41.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd661…2750backed Beijing Ducks29c66.42$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.153737.8%14 W · 23 L+3.5wins+0.09per pick28cpaid+45.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Beijing Ducks37c65.64$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.0425517.6%45 W · 210 L-29.4wins-0.12per pick29cpaid-38.7%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0x1a96…f4d4backed Beijing Ducks30c65.55$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.3520%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a3c…9320backed Beijing Ducks45c64.79$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.013161.3%19 W · 12 L+3.2wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+22.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1121…6604backed Beijing Ducks47c64$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.084557.8%26 W · 19 L+3.8wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+13.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xcf02…3a63backed Beijing Ducks47c63.99$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.082948.3%14 W · 15 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x08f1…705cbacked Beijing Ducks45c62.86$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.28825%2 W · 6 L-2.1wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-39.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdda0…edaabacked Beijing Ducks30c61.7$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.5410%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xea58…b635backed Beijing Ducks40c60$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.74734%16 W · 31 L-6.4wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-49.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x917b…e433backed Beijing Ducks47c59.52$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.781435.7%5 W · 9 L-2.4wins-0.17per pick53cpaid-38.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xaa7a…899bbacked Beijing Ducks36c58.21$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.2120936.4%76 W · 133 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-11.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6bde…b181backed Beijing Ducks47c58.09$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.320%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb1a…5cddbacked Beijing Ducks27c52.21$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.32944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick40cpaid-21.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x60a5…f52ebacked Zhejiang Golden Bulls56c51.87$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.661540%6 W · 9 L-2.4wins-0.16per pick56cpaid-35.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xcdfc…e510backed Beijing Ducks38c49.81$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.93250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Euroleague and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.