TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Houston Cougars vs. Arizona Wildcats

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Arizona Wildcatsof Houston Cougars, Arizona Wildcats
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$237,279

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $237,279 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 170 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd218…b5c9backed Houston Cougars8c12,503$1,027 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,026.792,55541.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L-15.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d92…8676backed Arizona Wildcats55c9,656$5,311 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,345.2821149.3%104 W · 107 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x85d2…cc46backed Houston Cougars47c8,153$3,801 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,801.042729.6%8 W · 19 L-4.0wins-0.15per pick45cpaid-40.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x17d6…c06dbacked Arizona Wildcats55c7,000$3,850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,1501100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb525…bdc7backed Arizona Wildcats56c6,940$3,886 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,053.441464.3%9 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+9.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6027…4320backed Houston Cougars45c6,629$2,983 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,983.171,39752.7%736 W · 661 L+26.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Houston Cougars33c5,295$1,772 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,772.065,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Arizona Wildcats54c5,061$2,732 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,328.721,15248.9%563 W · 589 L+3.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Houston Cougars45c4,957$2,231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,230.5130139.2%118 W · 183 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xef1b…8697backed Arizona Wildcats55c4,637$2,548 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,089.331656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.8wins+0.11per pick45cpaid+25.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Houston Cougars45c4,444$2,022 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,021.992,68748.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L+4.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Arizona Wildcats69c4,407$3,052 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,354.2649345.4%224 W · 269 L+7.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-15.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf152…64aabacked Houston Cougars44c4,141$1,822 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,821.9512364.2%79 W · 44 L+4.4wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb046…857cbacked Houston Cougars7c3,680$246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245.7920%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9916…bcb2backed Houston Cougars27c3,327$898 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$898.196743.3%29 W · 38 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-17.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd306…463dbacked Arizona Wildcats64c3,277$2,092 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,184.971662.5%10 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick65cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe7ca…a175backed Houston Cougars24c3,078$725 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$724.5310543.8%46 W · 59 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-11.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Arizona Wildcats73c2,981$2,186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$795.074,84852.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L+139.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcdb8…abbebacked Houston Cougars26c2,665$692 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$691.941,98326.4%523 W · 1,460 L-55.5wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x698b…4426backed Houston Cougars45c2,500$1,125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,12511850%59 W · 59 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x65d4…4e71backed Arizona Wildcats75c2,390$1,793 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$597.55966.1%39 W · 20 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick62cpaid-3.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Arizona Wildcats73c2,207$1,615 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$591.593,90558.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L+165.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5a61…5781backed Arizona Wildcats54c2,194$1,195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$998.432657.7%15 W · 11 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-7.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd2a4…caf5backed Houston Cougars7c2,124$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.667020%14 W · 56 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick18cpaid-12.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Houston Cougars23c2,090$476 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$476.042,01250%1,006 W · 1,006 L+22.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6157…9fb4backed Arizona Wildcats56c1,950$1,097 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$853.562445.8%11 W · 13 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-10.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7a18…85b5backed Houston Cougars31c1,855$567 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$566.563253.1%17 W · 15 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick48cpaid-5.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xea7b…a34bbacked Arizona Wildcats63c1,850$1,165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$684.45742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.15per pick58cpaid-28.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x05b9…2adfbacked Arizona Wildcats54c1,836$991 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$844.4557248.1%275 W · 297 L-27.3wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-8.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc091…3d42backed Houston Cougars47c1,801$843 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$842.5972248.8%352 W · 370 L-23.6wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4924…f328backed Houston Cougars28c1,784$496 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$496.496440.6%26 W · 38 L+0.2wins0.00per pick40cpaid-5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked Houston Cougars37c1,628$606 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$606.2726945.7%123 W · 146 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b00…03a9backed Houston Cougars19c1,618$304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304.264025%10 W · 30 L-2.6wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-41.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1967…0debbacked Houston Cougars14c1,429$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.966826.5%18 W · 50 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-22.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Houston Cougars32c1,415$454 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$454.0612,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe706…89bcbacked Houston Cougars16c1,269$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.47530.7%23 W · 52 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-13.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Houston Cougars45c1,148$517 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$516.532,89650%1,448 W · 1,448 L+71.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x994b…c047backed Houston Cougars37c1,010$378 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$377.5250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-26.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1c0c…7c83backed Houston Cougars35c999.99$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3505160.8%31 W · 20 L+2.4wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3c7e…a65fbacked Houston Cougars46c999.98$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$459.9927947.3%132 W · 147 L+0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ada…2f28backed Houston Cougars45c999.68$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$449.8620548.8%100 W · 105 L+13.1wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+35.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4b03…71babacked Arizona Wildcats54c986.8$533 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$453.9314151.1%72 W · 69 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbedd…7605backed Houston Cougars15c954.48$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.333318.2%6 W · 27 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick21cpaid+4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9de4…7f2ebacked Houston Cougars33c899.92$297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$296.9716054.4%87 W · 73 L+6.7wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xec15…9b0cbacked Houston Cougars27c845.95$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$228.1911741.9%49 W · 68 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe8e1…8276backed Houston Cougars49c839.34$413 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$412.6415243.4%66 W · 86 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x59a8…eb4ebacked Arizona Wildcats56c839.28$468 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$371.0410150.5%51 W · 50 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x38fa…87b5backed Houston Cougars39c807.94$318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$317.5914027.1%38 W · 102 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Houston Cougars14c798.56$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.031,66736.4%607 W · 1,060 L-4.0wins0.00per pick37cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe53f…62d7backed Arizona Wildcats56c796.64$446 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$350.5211439.5%45 W · 69 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-19.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa2c0…69d0backed Houston Cougars43c738.47$316 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$316.316538.5%25 W · 40 L-4.3wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-12%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5b62…6137backed Arizona Wildcats54c709.26$383 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$325.851040%4 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.16per pick56cpaid-33.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xeba1…44dfbacked Houston Cougars46c701.08$323 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$323.171258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e98…110bbacked Houston Cougars19c663.89$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.2616243.8%71 W · 91 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-15.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Houston Cougars21c601.63$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.9425829.5%76 W · 182 L-4.9wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-16.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe216…7448backed Houston Cougars46c538.75$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.8323941.4%99 W · 140 L-7.1wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf5f…56a0backed Houston Cougars4c532.77$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.974334.9%15 W · 28 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfbb6…25eabacked Houston Cougars47c521.79$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245.2422640.7%92 W · 134 L-14.4wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-13.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe33f…e413backed Houston Cougars47c499.38$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$234.7137246.2%172 W · 200 L+6.7wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7681…ac03backed Houston Cougars31c488.87$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.8342934.3%147 W · 282 L+21.3wins+0.05per pick29cpaid+8.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Houston Cougars32c486.42$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.91,23444.8%553 W · 681 L-32.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-8.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6859…fb90backed Arizona Wildcats53c485.04$257 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.9712749.6%63 W · 64 L-0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbc5e…e87cbacked Arizona Wildcats74c482.35$359 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.619100%9 W · 0 L+3.2wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+61.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xde58…b901backed Houston Cougars7c477.41$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.4510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xedd0…731cbacked Arizona Wildcats78c472.29$367 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.51475%3 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick68cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf48d…fe48backed Houston Cougars39c448.4$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.0712649.2%62 W · 64 L+5.2wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+7.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1480…6e8dbacked Houston Cougars46c431$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.2631448.7%153 W · 161 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2639…a9b6backed Arizona Wildcats64c419.31$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.717553.3%40 W · 35 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+10.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Houston Cougars25c376.88$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.434,38240.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L+23.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Houston Cougars45c370.52$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.7484147.4%399 W · 442 L-13.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf83d…367dbacked Arizona Wildcats56c370$209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.42657.7%15 W · 11 L0.0wins0.00per pick58cpaid-9.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdfba…80ebbacked Houston Cougars42c366.83$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.515639.3%22 W · 34 L-5.3wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-27%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8c5b…aab5backed Houston Cougars38c342.18$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.475448.1%26 W · 28 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6dca…a7acbacked Arizona Wildcats65c341.59$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.5525254.8%138 W · 114 L-15.7wins-0.06per pick61cpaid-16.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3f5c…9e02backed Arizona Wildcats64c320.22$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.817247.2%34 W · 38 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5a61…1787backed Arizona Wildcats54c306.57$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.0216445.1%74 W · 90 L+8.4wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+14.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x67e3…e5b3backed Arizona Wildcats78c298.2$233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.67140.8%29 W · 42 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-0.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6008…4638backed Arizona Wildcats67c287.94$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.625152.9%27 W · 24 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-10.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xff34…bf20backed Houston Cougars21c282.98$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.631717.6%3 W · 14 L-2.7wins-0.16per pick34cpaid-56.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Arizona Wildcats72c277.72$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.381,49348.7%727 W · 766 L-1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-19.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Arizona Wildcats61c261.16$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.6131646.8%148 W · 168 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a32…9f40backed Arizona Wildcats55c252.34$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.557655.3%42 W · 34 L+6.2wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+9.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd454…b47fbacked Houston Cougars21c235.36$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.6421850.9%111 W · 107 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4488…579cbacked Houston Cougars9c212.17$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.9430152.8%159 W · 142 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Houston Cougars24c208.54$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.4964647.5%307 W · 339 L+5.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x497a…650fbacked Houston Cougars24c203.01$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.685339.6%21 W · 32 L-2.6wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-25.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6932…6878backed Houston Cougars23c199.96$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.9924737.7%93 W · 154 L+13.2wins+0.05per pick32cpaid+24.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x39dc…fc23backed Arizona Wildcats76c198.73$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.2927358.6%160 W · 113 L+7.3wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x85c2…9730backed Arizona Wildcats55c186.33$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.2224649.6%122 W · 124 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5ffd…41d1backed Arizona Wildcats65c181.51$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.032060%12 W · 8 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+14.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x81e4…648fbacked Arizona Wildcats55c177.02$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.841936.8%7 W · 12 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d70…fdd9backed Houston Cougars43c176.51$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.7893247.3%441 W · 491 L-22.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-12.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8642…47c8backed Houston Cougars46c172.4$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.32650%13 W · 13 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Houston Cougars45c169.26$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.1792246%424 W · 498 L+1.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid+2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc383…c054backed Arizona Wildcats57c163.72$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.419057.4%109 W · 81 L-10.0wins-0.05per pick63cpaid-7.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbc08…6b85backed Houston Cougars46c163.4$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.167044.3%31 W · 39 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x01ba…b77abacked Arizona Wildcats55c162.32$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.041100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x76bb…4548backed Arizona Wildcats55c153.21$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.942548%12 W · 13 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-14.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xceb7…8b33backed Arizona Wildcats64c148.44$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.479554.7%52 W · 43 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x55ab…4f88backed Arizona Wildcats77c130.14$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.934766%31 W · 16 L+5.7wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+38.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.