Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Houston Cougars vs. Arizona Wildcats: O/U 138.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xce9ed6b019e6e7327c269301f7a31b198016fdbb6bc92f00d6a1233e295ae9a0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,694
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,694 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Over | 54c | 5,345$2,888 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,457.4 | 334 | 38.9%130 W · 204 L | -16.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Under | 51c | 4,878$2,511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,511.31 | 394 | 54.6%215 W · 179 L | +21.3wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Over | 49c | 2,222$1,089 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,133.22 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 38c | 1,191$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450.28 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb451…37f3backed Under | 52c | 915.01$476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475.81 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 48c | 770.47$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.33 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 47c | 638.66$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.09 | 1,234 | 44.8%553 W · 681 L | -32.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…bf20backed Over | 51c | 386.22$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.97 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -2.7wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -56.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 47c | 313.61$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.4 | 1,152 | 48.9%563 W · 589 L | +3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Under | 47c | 223.56$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 462 | 46.5%215 W · 247 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 47c | 200$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.5 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9386…cfe5backed Under | 50c | 99.65$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.83 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ac…8fc5backed Under | 51c | 97.18$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.56 | 70 | 44.3%31 W · 39 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x773c…cf18backed Over | 50c | 94.34$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.76 | 106 | 50.9%54 W · 52 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a9…4c18backed Under | 51c | 83.27$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.47 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +2.6wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Under | 47c | 80.32$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.75 | 716 | 55.3%396 W · 320 L | +26.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 46c | 76$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.96 | 505 | 48.9%247 W · 258 L | +13.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Under | 50c | 53.33$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.67 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd23…e31fbacked Over | 52c | 43.62$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.11 | 67 | 52.2%35 W · 32 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc74d…9690backed Under | 35c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbda3…ef65backed Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 627 | 53%332 W · 295 L | +13.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c56…0615backed Under | 51c | 39.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.22 | 94 | 52.1%49 W · 45 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…b20dbacked Under | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 349 | 52.1%182 W · 167 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4cb…a917backed Under | 52c | 28.59$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.87 | 51 | 39.2%20 W · 31 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa991…f266backed Over | 52c | 20.97$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.07 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4729…8cfdbacked Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Houston Cougars vs. Arizona Wildcats: O/U 138.5this page
- Houston Cougars vs. Arizona WildcatsArizona Wildcats won
- Houston Cougars vs. Arizona Wildcats: O/U 141.5Over won
- Houston Cougars vs. Arizona Wildcats: O/U 148.5Over won
- Houston Cougars vs. Arizona Wildcats: O/U 149.5Over won
- Houston Cougars vs. Arizona Wildcats: O/U 150.5Over won
- Houston Cougars vs. Arizona Wildcats: O/U 151.5Over won
- Houston Cougars vs. Arizona Wildcats: O/U 152.5Over won
- Houston Cougars vs. Arizona Wildcats: O/U 153.5Under won
- Spread: Arizona Wildcats (-1.5)Arizona Wildcats won
- Spread: Arizona Wildcats (-10.5)Houston Cougars won
- Spread: Arizona Wildcats (-11.5)Houston Cougars won
- Spread: Arizona Wildcats (-2.5)Arizona Wildcats won
- Spread: Arizona Wildcats (-4.5)Arizona Wildcats won
- Spread: Arizona Wildcats (-5.5)Houston Cougars won
- Spread: Arizona Wildcats (-6.5)Houston Cougars won
- Spread: Arizona Wildcats (-7.5)Houston Cougars won
- Spread: Arizona Wildcats (-9.5)Houston Cougars won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.