TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Euroleague · resolved market

Fujian Sturgeons vs. Shanxi Loongs

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Shanxi Loongsof Fujian Sturgeons, Shanxi Loongs
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Euroleagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$115,227

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $115,227 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 83 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Euroleague is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Euroleague
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2005…75eabacked Fujian Sturgeons32c9,278$2,934 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,934.0216828.6%48 W · 120 L-10.3wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-37.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Shanxi Loongs28c5,211$1,435 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,775.6454251.5%279 W · 263 L+25.3wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+6.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Fujian Sturgeons0c3,700$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.461598.2%13 W · 146 L-5.9wins-0.04per pick12cpaid-66.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Shanxi Loongs38c3,558$1,343 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,214.5843543.7%190 W · 245 L+9.3wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f09…9312backed Fujian Sturgeons49c3,074$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5003345.5%15 W · 18 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe3d4…884ebacked Fujian Sturgeons39c2,587$1,014 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,014.285642.9%24 W · 32 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick39cpaid-11.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc3a…979bbacked Fujian Sturgeons32c2,473$798 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$798.13333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-17.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Fujian Sturgeons49c2,177$1,068 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,067.7137052.7%195 W · 175 L+9.8wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc367…a0b4backed Fujian Sturgeons50c1,800$903 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$903.410634.9%37 W · 69 L-4.5wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4e32…449bbacked Fujian Sturgeons1c1,594$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.9210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ca1…aea0backed Fujian Sturgeons34c1,331$455 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$455.1616235.2%57 W · 105 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Shanxi Loongs80c1,329$1,059 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.5410451.9%54 W · 50 L+7.3wins+0.07per pick45cpaid-0.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xafe4…f3f7backed Shanxi Loongs66c999.98$660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$339.996346%29 W · 34 L+3.1wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+2.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Shanxi Loongs66c989$656 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$333.2212042.5%51 W · 69 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed Shanxi Loongs39c898.96$346 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$552.6326544.5%118 W · 147 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-10.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Shanxi Loongs35c590.66$209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$381.9818144.2%80 W · 101 L-10.3wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-21.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdbd4…31babacked Fujian Sturgeons23c469.98$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.83250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-32.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Shanxi Loongs58c366$214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.979746.4%45 W · 52 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-17.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked Shanxi Loongs56c353$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.56940.6%28 W · 41 L-3.5wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-28.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8d36…68fdbacked Shanxi Loongs71c349.85$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.85520%1 W · 4 L-2.0wins-0.40per pick60cpaid-72%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Fujian Sturgeons31c333.58$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.524430.3%74 W · 170 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb6fc…b24ebacked Fujian Sturgeons16c312.5$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505446.3%25 W · 29 L+3.6wins+0.07per pick40cpaid+18.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9de4…7f2ebacked Fujian Sturgeons68c292$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.82520%1 W · 4 L-1.9wins-0.37per pick57cpaid-66.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2be6…e054backed Fujian Sturgeons10c284.26$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.121915.8%3 W · 16 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick20cpaid-37.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ec7…1e38backed Fujian Sturgeons39c269.38$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.544136.6%15 W · 26 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-8.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Shanxi Loongs61c262$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.2610941.3%45 W · 64 L-4.4wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-20.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x755a…6da6backed Fujian Sturgeons39c250$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.57031.4%22 W · 48 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick33cpaid+5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Fujian Sturgeons13c192.31$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251560%9 W · 6 L+2.8wins+0.18per pick42cpaid+68.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Fujian Sturgeons12c192.17$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.5410947.7%52 W · 57 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbe2…5981backed Shanxi Loongs65c190.59$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.71333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-48.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37c1…8de1backed Fujian Sturgeons42c185.77$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.3210926.6%29 W · 80 L-4.0wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-10.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Shanxi Loongs45c177.57$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.1928943.6%126 W · 163 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4411…985ebacked Shanxi Loongs55c176.38$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.234551.1%23 W · 22 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-11.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe2e1…c20abacked Shanxi Loongs57c169$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.177646.1%35 W · 41 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Shanxi Loongs25c168.57$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.125517.6%45 W · 210 L-29.4wins-0.12per pick29cpaid-38.7%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0x6d6f…7135backed Fujian Sturgeons39c146.29$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.663455.9%19 W · 15 L+2.1wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+12.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb580…9b95backed Shanxi Loongs53c143$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.44533.3%15 W · 30 L-2.5wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-35.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb01d…46f0backed Fujian Sturgeons35c142.86$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507341.1%30 W · 43 L+8.2wins+0.11per pick30cpaid+39.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xbe29…1c8fbacked Shanxi Loongs73c137.79$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.79650%3 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3492…983fbacked Fujian Sturgeons11c129$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.031070%7 W · 3 L+2.8wins+0.28per pick42cpaid+89.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe64b…9cf1backed Fujian Sturgeons35c128.21$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.481241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa6b8…4bdfbacked Shanxi Loongs35c123.96$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.421154.5%6 W · 5 L+2.7wins+0.24per pick30cpaid+71.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed Shanxi Loongs57c120$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.066061.7%37 W · 23 L+4.2wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+3.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf2a0…1f3dbacked Shanxi Loongs43c116.87$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.8710736.4%39 W · 68 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8929…733ebacked Shanxi Loongs36c116.21$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.411650%8 W · 8 L+4.0wins+0.25per pick25cpaid+63%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x94a5…4eb8backed Fujian Sturgeons32c100$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3213751.1%70 W · 67 L-3.7wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x34b7…7b0dbacked Shanxi Loongs39c100$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$611833.3%6 W · 12 L-1.6wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-26.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Fujian Sturgeons52c98.74$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.672737%10 W · 17 L-3.5wins-0.13per pick50cpaid-7.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x7c56…0615backed Fujian Sturgeons34c94.17$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$324037.5%15 W · 25 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc1ad…2d59backed Fujian Sturgeons20c92.16$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.991931.6%6 W · 13 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick27cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf5f2…d72dbacked Shanxi Loongs37c89.86$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.964643.5%20 W · 26 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-12.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a3d…4d49backed Fujian Sturgeons34c87.15$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.742740.7%11 W · 16 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+22.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Shanxi Loongs66c79.4$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.6231446.2%145 W · 169 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbbdf…b8a0backed Shanxi Loongs65c77.81$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.234100%4 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+57.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xea9b…2be5backed Fujian Sturgeons30c74.81$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.15333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-56.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Fujian Sturgeons56c73.56$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.5335234.7%122 W · 230 L-4.9wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-19.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Shanxi Loongs63c72$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.7836939.8%147 W · 222 L+1.7wins0.00per pick39cpaid-22.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb38c…b2c9backed Fujian Sturgeons34c65$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.11952.6%10 W · 9 L+2.0wins+0.10per pick42cpaid+22.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x56cd…2ddcbacked Fujian Sturgeons40c62.5$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254447.7%21 W · 23 L-2.1wins-0.05per pick52cpaid+3.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x94bb…c320backed Shanxi Loongs35c56.02$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.266663.6%42 W · 24 L+5.5wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+13.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2de6…e187backed Fujian Sturgeons45c55.14$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.93825%2 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.13per pick38cpaid-46%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Shanxi Loongs56c53.07$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.5834344.3%152 W · 191 L-16.2wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-9.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8862…7783backed Shanxi Loongs68c50.61$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.01333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-51.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc539…5ec2backed Fujian Sturgeons32c50$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161833.3%6 W · 12 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-28.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Fujian Sturgeons32c50$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1627338.1%104 W · 169 L+10.3wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+14.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf026…8df7backed Shanxi Loongs57c44$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.93228.1%9 W · 23 L-3.9wins-0.12per pick40cpaid-43.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0c6c…c7adbacked Fujian Sturgeons34c40.45$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.7510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1728…62b2backed Shanxi Loongs57c39$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.961478.6%11 W · 3 L+3.7wins+0.26per pick52cpaid+47.6%equal weight61+0.09 edge/pick
0xde67…a253backed Fujian Sturgeons34c36.85$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.431030%3 W · 7 L-2.9wins-0.29per pick59cpaid-50.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4488…579cbacked Fujian Sturgeons31c36.14$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.23953.8%21 W · 18 L-2.5wins-0.06per pick60cpaid-8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed Shanxi Loongs67c35.77$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.716363.5%40 W · 23 L+7.5wins+0.12per pick52cpaid+10%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x9cfd…dfe7backed Shanxi Loongs50c35.14$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.631181.8%9 W · 2 L+2.7wins+0.24per pick58cpaid+41.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0c69…2b8dbacked Shanxi Loongs29c34.99$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.725959.3%35 W · 24 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8dec…60c2backed Fujian Sturgeons35c32.3$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.182733.3%9 W · 18 L-1.8wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-26.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Fujian Sturgeons57c28.35$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.0231651.6%163 W · 153 L+14.0wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-3.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfb30…2169backed Fujian Sturgeons39c28.18$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.0420%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xaa7a…899bbacked Fujian Sturgeons61c26.65$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.3620936.4%76 W · 133 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-11.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb69f…d51cbacked Shanxi Loongs56c24.91$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.03944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.19per pick63cpaid-30.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7096…7f78backed Shanxi Loongs65c20.13$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.054434.1%15 W · 29 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x91e0…26a0backed Shanxi Loongs55c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94045%18 W · 22 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9ef1…5acabacked Shanxi Loongs68c20$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.47356.2%41 W · 32 L-5.8wins-0.08per pick64cpaid-11.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xaf15…bc03backed Fujian Sturgeons59c19.7$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.6430%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xba0d…9a6ebacked Shanxi Loongs68c16$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.12250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-26.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Euroleague and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.