TailMyPicks
Market

Dota2 · resolved market

Dota 2: Inner Circle vs VP.Prodigy (BO3) - CCT Group B

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Inner Circleof Inner Circle, VP.Prodigy
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$72,868

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $72,868 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 81 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Dota2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdbb3…76a9backed Inner Circle66c4,757$3,126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,631.3751751.3%265 W · 252 L+21.8wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked VP.Prodigy35c3,873$1,366 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,366.4973841.7%308 W · 430 L-5.2wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a06…31d8backed Inner Circle56c3,155$1,769 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,385.7341655.3%230 W · 186 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbc67…5286backed Inner Circle71c3,007$2,149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$858.1966662.2%414 W · 252 L+60.2wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+10.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x8fe9…c6dcbacked Inner Circle57c2,750$1,580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,170.463100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+89%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7dfd…8d75backed Inner Circle21c2,609$561 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,048.2424251.7%125 W · 117 L+21.0wins+0.09per pick43cpaid+15.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8e8c…65ddbacked VP.Prodigy68c2,017$1,367 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,366.7234544.3%153 W · 192 L-15.8wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-11.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6312…f94ebacked VP.Prodigy9c1,170$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.59150.5%46 W · 45 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked VP.Prodigy35c1,127$395 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$394.972,01244.2%889 W · 1,123 L+36.6wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed VP.Prodigy52c820.17$430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$430.232,82843.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L-39.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-20.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9ad8…aeb9backed Inner Circle36c813$293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$520.32250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+38.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x26d5…30a8backed VP.Prodigy36c761$274 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$273.5820%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked VP.Prodigy50c741.95$371 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$371.092,37847.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L+15.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a46…ab25backed VP.Prodigy48c650.85$311 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$311.2112156.2%68 W · 53 L+7.6wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+2.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x01ae…5042backed VP.Prodigy64c540$346 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$345.610%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x953b…da38backed VP.Prodigy64c523$335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$334.7220%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x20ad…a7c6backed VP.Prodigy45c517.24$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$235.171533.3%5 W · 10 L-1.9wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-40.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3fa1…dc77backed VP.Prodigy40c500.23$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001844.4%8 W · 10 L-2.1wins-0.12per pick56cpaid-29.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3156…a41ebacked Inner Circle64c453.85$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.391100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c84…9f97backed Inner Circle55c439$241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.552100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+138%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x256b…cd5dbacked Inner Circle62c438$273 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.683154.8%17 W · 14 L+3.2wins+0.10per pick45cpaid+22.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xcd96…a6bcbacked VP.Prodigy45c426$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.7333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-55%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeda0…7dffbacked VP.Prodigy42c425$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.57830.8%24 W · 54 L-6.0wins-0.08per pick39cpaid-34.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x84f7…01efbacked Inner Circle64c396$253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.561100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3b5a…ee0bbacked VP.Prodigy64c354$227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$226.5610%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x79db…38b7backed Inner Circle36c320$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.64per pick36cpaid+177.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x62ca…1277backed Inner Circle14c310.78$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.62540%2 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.30per pick10cpaid+290.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2590…e38ebacked Inner Circle14c300$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2581414.3%2 W · 12 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick8cpaid-13.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xaca7…4ea0backed Inner Circle36c284$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.76366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.28per pick38cpaid+43.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x520e…d75abacked Inner Circle54c261$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.061163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.6wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+25.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6c64…89babacked VP.Prodigy34c228$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.5218745.5%85 W · 102 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-14.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x66df…7ea5backed Inner Circle55c227.27$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.271172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.13per pick60cpaid+20.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked VP.Prodigy38c208.34$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.959350.5%47 W · 46 L-0.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-15.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2e36…3fd0backed Inner Circle14c200$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172425%1 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.16per pick9cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a46…32f9backed VP.Prodigy45c185$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.25560%3 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.23per pick37cpaid+65.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed VP.Prodigy38c172.8$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.341,27245%572 W · 700 L-40.5wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-17.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x143a…5c30backed Inner Circle55c172$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf3ce…a57abacked Inner Circle63c157.8$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.81,20259.3%713 W · 489 L+64.6wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+10.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1813…4dfebacked VP.Prodigy30c155.76$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.52878.6%22 W · 6 L+3.5wins+0.13per pick66cpaid+20.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x43e8…af56backed VP.Prodigy38c145.87$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.985226.9%14 W · 38 L-8.5wins-0.16per pick43cpaid-41.5%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xe6a4…4249backed Inner Circle67c141.4$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.5819664.8%127 W · 69 L+0.3wins0.00per pick65cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked Inner Circle58c129.7$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.9373554.7%402 W · 333 L-3.5wins0.00per pick55cpaid-2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Inner Circle54c128.39$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.5222945.9%105 W · 124 L-6.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9f76…fa11backed VP.Prodigy36c127$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.7210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb11…66cbbacked VP.Prodigy17c120$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.414744.9%66 W · 81 L+0.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2416…6e91backed VP.Prodigy36c111.94$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4038653.9%208 W · 178 L+10.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e98…110bbacked VP.Prodigy39c106.59$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.956145.9%28 W · 33 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe50b…c2a8backed VP.Prodigy47c100.6$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.2814547.6%69 W · 76 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d22…a2f1backed VP.Prodigy74c100.07$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7410%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.74per pick74cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf795…5e34backed VP.Prodigy33c100$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.53727%10 W · 27 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick25cpaid+7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd4d8…c3f8backed Inner Circle42c100$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.28035%28 W · 52 L-8.6wins-0.11per pick46cpaid-27.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked VP.Prodigy47c93.2$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.815250%76 W · 76 L+0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf823…74c4backed VP.Prodigy73c86.01$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$631353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-14.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbc08…6b85backed VP.Prodigy46c78.42$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.0714154.6%77 W · 64 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f4f…46c2backed Inner Circle37c70$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4436054.4%196 W · 164 L+12.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x29f8…ffa9backed VP.Prodigy34c69.26$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.5515033.3%50 W · 100 L-10.4wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-16.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x866a…de80backed VP.Prodigy29c68.97$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201010%1 W · 9 L-1.2wins-0.12per pick22cpaid-56.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xca81…f2abbacked Inner Circle54c60.99$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.858748.3%42 W · 45 L+3.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+2.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf320…bd1cbacked Inner Circle58c58.24$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.67560%3 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.16per pick44cpaid+2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x11a2…06fbbacked VP.Prodigy28c57.38$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.9420%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7666…40c0backed Inner Circle65c56.92$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.921100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7e2a…a58dbacked VP.Prodigy68c56.62$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.458257.3%47 W · 35 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x011c…f943backed Inner Circle55c55$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.54100%4 W · 0 L+2.4wins+0.61per pick39cpaid+170.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3a02…a770backed VP.Prodigy46c54.35$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2516437.2%61 W · 103 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6404…2a20backed VP.Prodigy31c51.38$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.99977.8%7 W · 2 L+2.6wins+0.29per pick49cpaid+46.3%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x34b7…7b0dbacked Inner Circle53c50$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.5475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+23.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x66ed…d321backed Inner Circle64c49.38$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.6734045.9%156 W · 184 L-8.6wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b40…9cb2backed VP.Prodigy46c46$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.1620%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa6b8…4bdfbacked VP.Prodigy26c44.74$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.563423.5%8 W · 26 L-0.1wins0.00per pick24cpaid-17.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2099…3024backed Inner Circle42c42.71$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.943622.2%8 W · 28 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-26.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb226…4469backed Inner Circle64c40.32$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.524100%4 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+70.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x892f…74f3backed VP.Prodigy39c35.76$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.11742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-10.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed VP.Prodigy35c34.98$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.281,03416.3%169 W · 865 L-158.1wins-0.15per pick32cpaid-51%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0x4796…79fcbacked VP.Prodigy33c34.72$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.29837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed Inner Circle51c32.69$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.9122456.3%126 W · 98 L+11.9wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x13aa…88d6backed VP.Prodigy43c32.43$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.918769%129 W · 58 L+20.5wins+0.11per pick58cpaid+18.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed VP.Prodigy40c32$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.813733.6%46 W · 91 L-8.1wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-34.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe503…735ebacked Inner Circle65c26.05$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.01875%6 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.17per pick58cpaid+47.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x99f7…1a59backed Inner Circle41c25$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.7525351.4%130 W · 123 L+23.3wins+0.09per pick42cpaid+17.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x95cc…3533backed VP.Prodigy74c20.27$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154667.4%31 W · 15 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick65cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8213…48a3backed VP.Prodigy60c19.38$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.551080%8 W · 2 L+1.9wins+0.19per pick61cpaid+35.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.