TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Toledo Rockets vs. Akron Zips

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Akron Zipsof Toledo Rockets, Akron Zips
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$116,206

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $116,206 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 146 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5aa9…febebacked Akron Zips52c16,177$8,429 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,747.6831837.7%120 W · 198 L-10.1wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-26.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Akron Zips53c11,537$6,105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,431.392,55541.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L-15.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Toledo Rockets50c10,280$5,140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,140.1384147.4%399 W · 442 L-13.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xebc0…fa41backed Toledo Rockets50c7,397$3,699 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,698.6915556.1%87 W · 68 L+15.8wins+0.10per pick46cpaid+32.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Akron Zips50c6,208$3,073 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,134.2849345.4%224 W · 269 L+7.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-15.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Toledo Rockets49c5,293$2,583 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,582.985,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xef1b…8697backed Akron Zips58c4,557$2,629 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,927.461656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.8wins+0.11per pick45cpaid+25.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x05b9…2adfbacked Toledo Rockets23c4,279$994 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$993.7657248.1%275 W · 297 L-27.3wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-8.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa676…a4c5backed Toledo Rockets50c3,452$1,726 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,726.217145.1%32 W · 39 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8fd9…544abacked Akron Zips64c3,122$1,984 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,138.69475%3 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.12per pick63cpaid+21.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Akron Zips77c3,034$2,333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$700.481,15248.9%563 W · 589 L+3.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Toledo Rockets50c2,755$1,379 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,378.583,90558.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L+165.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Toledo Rockets48c2,359$1,142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,142.394,84852.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L+139.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe5c1…7487backed Akron Zips44c2,028$892 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,135.661838.9%7 W · 11 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x985f…7a5bbacked Akron Zips42c1,839$774 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,065.679051.1%46 W · 44 L+6.4wins+0.07per pick44cpaid-2.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Akron Zips76c1,644$1,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$394.672,89650%1,448 W · 1,448 L+71.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x00ff…f7adbacked Toledo Rockets63c1,500$945 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$944.9811252.7%59 W · 53 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick55cpaid+0.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x44fd…b634backed Toledo Rockets24c1,441$345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$345.322445.8%11 W · 13 L-1.7wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-21.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6dca…a7acbacked Akron Zips68c1,324$905 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$419.1725254.8%138 W · 114 L-15.7wins-0.06per pick61cpaid-16.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0e40…cf85backed Toledo Rockets22c1,303$287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$286.6521937.4%82 W · 137 L-10.4wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-10%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Toledo Rockets38c1,056$396 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$396.4825829.5%76 W · 182 L-4.9wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-16.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbddc…83b9backed Toledo Rockets48c1,038$496 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$495.637048.6%34 W · 36 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc42c…42a1backed Akron Zips76c923.07$702 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.5463551.5%327 W · 308 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Toledo Rockets30c841.72$253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252.522,01250%1,006 W · 1,006 L+22.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Akron Zips57c799.99$453 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$346.511,49348.7%727 W · 766 L-1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-19.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeca1…57e4backed Toledo Rockets47c793.55$373 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$372.923938.5%15 W · 24 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-11%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x55ab…4f88backed Akron Zips42c763.61$319 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$445.114766%31 W · 16 L+5.7wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+38.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Akron Zips76c666.6$509 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.881,44643.4%627 W · 819 L+10.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe622…ea5ebacked Akron Zips78c646.96$503 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.8337142.6%158 W · 213 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x755a…6da6backed Toledo Rockets44c634.76$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$279.8753635.6%191 W · 345 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+8.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Toledo Rockets40c624.44$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252.181,23444.8%553 W · 681 L-32.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-8.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x68a9…e73abacked Toledo Rockets25c580.62$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.1626749.1%131 W · 136 L+6.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcdb8…abbebacked Akron Zips43c560.4$241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$319.531,98326.4%523 W · 1,460 L-55.5wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Toledo Rockets22c558.98$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.9812,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x38fa…87b5backed Toledo Rockets38c504.17$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.3914027.1%38 W · 102 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4b03…71babacked Akron Zips78c497.54$387 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.9314151.1%72 W · 69 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b1e…65c1backed Akron Zips60c476.03$286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.416331.7%20 W · 43 L-4.7wins-0.08per pick39cpaid-36.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6859…fb90backed Akron Zips49c464.49$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$236.8412749.6%63 W · 64 L-0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd425…603ebacked Toledo Rockets23c441.65$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.4113560%81 W · 54 L+8.9wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+13%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x13c9…5e53backed Toledo Rockets48c438.42$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.5711136%40 W · 71 L-4.5wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-16.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Toledo Rockets42c436.42$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.084,38240.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L+23.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x96f1…b6d8backed Akron Zips37c435.08$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$275.255759.6%34 W · 23 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x0d31…0286backed Akron Zips46c404.64$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.27250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+8.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xd2d1…aa33backed Toledo Rockets49c401.49$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.251952.6%10 W · 9 L+2.4wins+0.12per pick40cpaid+33.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x67e3…e5b3backed Toledo Rockets56c398.26$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224.977140.8%29 W · 42 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-0.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0370…d000backed Toledo Rockets46c348.87$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.0894036.9%347 W · 593 L+8.6wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd046…c496backed Akron Zips57c348.13$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.8410034%34 W · 66 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-16.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xff34…bf20backed Toledo Rockets40c344.57$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.861717.6%3 W · 14 L-2.7wins-0.16per pick34cpaid-56.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x71c1…e358backed Akron Zips45c327.52$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.829639.6%38 W · 58 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ec7…1e38backed Toledo Rockets50c317.2$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.65933.9%20 W · 39 L-4.6wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-21.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Toledo Rockets44c285.62$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.611,66736.4%607 W · 1,060 L-4.0wins0.00per pick37cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfc3e…776bbacked Akron Zips60c250$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10016746.1%77 W · 90 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+11.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Akron Zips57c246.79$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.2877142.3%326 W · 445 L+2.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x60e8…50c2backed Toledo Rockets38c226.12$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.085143.1%22 W · 29 L-4.9wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-25.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x83ea…c2efbacked Toledo Rockets23c216.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.6923054.3%125 W · 105 L+6.1wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc383…c054backed Toledo Rockets53c212.77$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.7719057.4%109 W · 81 L-10.0wins-0.05per pick63cpaid-7.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Toledo Rockets50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10034746.1%160 W · 187 L-11.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x27f3…8382backed Toledo Rockets25c198.69$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.6713450%67 W · 67 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+9.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x39dc…fc23backed Toledo Rockets69c198.5$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.9727358.6%160 W · 113 L+7.3wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b62…6137backed Toledo Rockets64c198.39$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.971040%4 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.16per pick56cpaid-33.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2849…3d49backed Akron Zips52c198.23$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.52568%17 W · 8 L+2.3wins+0.09per pick59cpaid+13.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Toledo Rockets45c191.21$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.0425337.5%95 W · 158 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-18.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe8e1…8276backed Toledo Rockets44c185.46$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.615243.4%66 W · 86 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf0b…44fdbacked Akron Zips53c184.69$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.013231.3%10 W · 22 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Toledo Rockets29c176.37$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.1564647.5%307 W · 339 L+5.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e98…110bbacked Toledo Rockets55c166.46$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.1816243.8%71 W · 91 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-15.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x20ca…04b5backed Toledo Rockets48c165.17$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.91050%5 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+88.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfecb…19babacked Toledo Rockets65c162.16$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.415650%28 W · 28 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x75a4…ab08backed Toledo Rockets51c155.53$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.33351.5%17 W · 16 L+3.2wins+0.10per pick42cpaid+31.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbedd…7605backed Toledo Rockets66c155.38$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.453318.2%6 W · 27 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick21cpaid+4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x34b7…7b0dbacked Akron Zips51c149.94$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.971464.3%9 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick58cpaid+13.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6932…6878backed Akron Zips36c143.75$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.0824737.7%93 W · 154 L+13.2wins+0.05per pick32cpaid+24.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf3ef…7be6backed Akron Zips49c139$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.895855.2%32 W · 26 L+3.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf9ef…20ebbacked Akron Zips61c139$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.8545953.8%247 W · 212 L-1.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x86e7…5a35backed Akron Zips43c134.83$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.315322.6%12 W · 41 L-8.2wins-0.15per pick38cpaid-39.9%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0xa005…6646backed Akron Zips33c122$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.7412540.8%51 W · 74 L+10.2wins+0.08per pick33cpaid+17.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6008…4638backed Toledo Rockets48c119.12$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.455152.9%27 W · 24 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-10.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked Toledo Rockets53c117.54$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.9526945.7%123 W · 146 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x012d…9db6backed Akron Zips78c114.69$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.232382.6%19 W · 4 L+2.3wins+0.10per pick73cpaid+13.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2639…a9b6backed Toledo Rockets52c114.22$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.067553.3%40 W · 35 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+10.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0b87…9414backed Akron Zips76c111.58$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.7882846.1%382 W · 446 L+15.1wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3831…7f10backed Toledo Rockets64c105.6$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.585554.5%30 W · 25 L-4.7wins-0.08per pick63cpaid-16.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Toledo Rockets49c103.15$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.493,68442.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L+32.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0828…5cfebacked Toledo Rockets47c101.16$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.0510553.3%56 W · 49 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-2.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4684…3944backed Akron Zips35c100.45$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.292119%4 W · 17 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick24cpaid-48.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e9a…a9a8backed Akron Zips70c100$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$309866.3%65 W · 33 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+7.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7b70…3102backed Akron Zips50c99.96$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.989256.5%52 W · 40 L+4.8wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+8.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0774…99febacked Toledo Rockets65c99.95$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.971233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.8wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-37.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x09f8…e156backed Akron Zips70c99.67$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.9580%4 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.29per pick51cpaid+43.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Toledo Rockets24c99.36$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.852,19433.4%733 W · 1,461 L+19.2wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb3c…b4f5backed Toledo Rockets50c99.13$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.563250%16 W · 16 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+14.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7623…220bbacked Akron Zips52c95.83$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.271643.8%7 W · 9 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-22.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x492d…2f04backed Toledo Rockets64c94.54$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.515253.8%28 W · 24 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-8.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0f49…fec0backed Akron Zips72c90.91$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.8624951.8%129 W · 120 L+19.1wins+0.08per pick44cpaid+11.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Toledo Rockets44c90.76$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.0731646.8%148 W · 168 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd12…a7b8backed Toledo Rockets23c85.93$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.418644.6%83 W · 103 L-6.4wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-8.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Toledo Rockets35c77.05$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.671,24916.4%205 W · 1,044 L-189.4wins-0.15per pick32cpaid-51.1%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0xfa6c…340ebacked Akron Zips78c75$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.5666.7%4 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick73cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd683…0e40backed Akron Zips78c70.15$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.431984.2%16 W · 3 L+2.6wins+0.14per pick71cpaid+18.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5fb3…88c1backed Akron Zips78c69.58$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.3110755.1%59 W · 48 L+0.2wins0.00per pick55cpaid-10.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.