NBA · resolved market
Timberwolves vs. Pistons
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x833cc6faa82931969b47abd4d4a245ef8df7df8be5357e86dd7c6240911a9f14
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Pistonsof Timberwolves, Pistons
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,816,569
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,605,212
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,816,569 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,800 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbddf…c684backed Pistons | 62c | 240,906$150,253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90,652.75 | 726 | 48.3%351 W · 375 L | +30.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Timberwolves | 0c | 189,906$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.67 | 1,271 | 38.3%487 W · 784 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…b218backed Timberwolves | 35c | 147,767$52,102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52,101.75 | 292 | 45.5%133 W · 159 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x906f…88b4backed Pistons | 63c | 143,497$89,706 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53,791.32 | 224 | 53.1%119 W · 105 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Timberwolves | 40c | 120,129$48,204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48,203.85 | 365 | 49.6%181 W · 184 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Pistons | 65c | 112,079$72,562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39,517.35 | 662 | 48.5%321 W · 341 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ccc…f2dabacked Pistons | 75c | 104,985$78,571 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,413.5 | 50 | 64%32 W · 18 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Timberwolves | 42c | 102,638$42,934 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42,934.44 | 1,282 | 43.4%557 W · 725 L | -51.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1961…c461backed Timberwolves | 34c | 100,000$34,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34,000 | 87 | 50.6%44 W · 43 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0767…36b0backed Timberwolves | 34c | 98,691$33,555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33,554.96 | 81 | 54.3%44 W · 37 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e0…ad50backed Pistons | 66c | 97,799$64,548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33,251.76 | 431 | 48.7%210 W · 221 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Timberwolves | 21c | 86,121$18,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,179.82 | 1,341 | 29.9%401 W · 940 L | -53.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd92…6b2abacked Pistons | 61c | 59,586$36,339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,246.5 | 126 | 39.7%50 W · 76 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Pistons | 63c | 57,656$36,494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,162.17 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Timberwolves | 34c | 53,749$18,275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,274.56 | 326 | 53.1%173 W · 153 L | +19.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b15…9b08backed Pistons | 78c | 51,881$40,478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,402.55 | 102 | 39.2%40 W · 62 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d92…8676backed Pistons | 61c | 51,473$31,398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,074.39 | 176 | 46%81 W · 95 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Timberwolves | 7c | 50,700$3,425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,425.28 | 830 | 39.4%327 W · 503 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed Timberwolves | 39c | 49,999$19,444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,444.06 | 282 | 41.1%116 W · 166 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacb2…b989backed Pistons | 59c | 49,927$29,457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,470.18 | 492 | 44.3%218 W · 274 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff36…e757backed Pistons | 61c | 48,836$29,892 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,944.63 | 115 | 47%54 W · 61 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0dcf…c556backed Timberwolves | 40c | 45,901$18,168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,167.56 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67bb…b6efbacked Pistons | 61c | 45,000$27,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,349.98 | 344 | 56.7%195 W · 149 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Timberwolves | 25c | 44,541$11,289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,288.58 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb6f…e0ddbacked Pistons | 55c | 44,116$24,214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,901.86 | 67 | 44.8%30 W · 37 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23c8…f293backed Timberwolves | 38c | 43,740$16,621 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,621.2 | 286 | 43%123 W · 163 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Timberwolves | 19c | 42,933$8,308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,307.81 | 596 | 46.1%275 W · 321 L | -16.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf668…5c69backed Pistons | 64c | 42,388$27,161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,226.96 | 363 | 59.8%217 W · 146 L | +23.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb784…61d0backed Timberwolves | 39c | 35,878$13,990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,990.35 | 293 | 51.5%151 W · 142 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68ca…9f73backed Pistons | 61c | 34,806$21,238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,568.65 | 325 | 40.3%131 W · 194 L | -10.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2f…ec47backed Timberwolves | 39c | 30,544$12,048 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,047.75 | 747 | 48.5%362 W · 385 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2b5…4582backed Pistons | 65c | 30,389$19,739 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,650.15 | 136 | 42.6%58 W · 78 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf665…b45ebacked Pistons | 68c | 29,988$20,392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,596.03 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -51%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64e9…eb4cbacked Pistons | 62c | 29,987$18,742 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,245.59 | 352 | 51.1%180 W · 172 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Timberwolves | 37c | 28,486$10,656 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,656.42 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Timberwolves | 26c | 25,850$6,607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,606.76 | 1,190 | 32%381 W · 809 L | -58.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Timberwolves | 34c | 25,319$8,508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,508.08 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6adc…bebabacked Timberwolves | 40c | 24,926$9,970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,970.06 | 34 | 11.8%4 W · 30 L | -8.5wins | -0.25per pick | 37cpaid | -62%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x93ab…9723backed Timberwolves | 40c | 24,100$9,640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,640 | 603 | 51.4%310 W · 293 L | +16.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf221…649fbacked Pistons | 64c | 23,955$15,447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,507.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Timberwolves | 33c | 22,061$7,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,280.13 | 964 | 47.8%461 W · 503 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf472…a262backed Timberwolves | 10c | 19,162$1,907 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,907.23 | 141 | 7.8%11 W · 130 L | -7.8wins | -0.06per pick | 13cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Timberwolves | 35c | 18,886$6,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,600.38 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x433f…a0dcbacked Timberwolves | 0c | 18,259$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.52 | 169 | 19.5%33 W · 136 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3354…5042backed Pistons | 64c | 17,639$11,297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,341.25 | 169 | 59.8%101 W · 68 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Timberwolves | 39c | 16,539$6,483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,482.84 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9b…a5ebbacked Pistons | 65c | 16,528$10,692 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,836.15 | 135 | 44.4%60 W · 75 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8a…8723backed Timberwolves | 39c | 15,091$5,824 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,823.56 | 56 | 33.9%19 W · 37 L | -4.8wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeb74…997cbacked Timberwolves | 40c | 15,000$6,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,000 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7960…b94fbacked Timberwolves | 37c | 14,997$5,589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,589.02 | 197 | 51.8%102 W · 95 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a2…ae70backed Timberwolves | 39c | 13,989$5,456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,455.59 | 215 | 49.8%107 W · 108 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d58…9a15backed Timberwolves | 35c | 13,670$4,733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,733.25 | 93 | 36.6%34 W · 59 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Timberwolves | 4c | 13,514$527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$526.93 | 1,226 | 37.4%458 W · 768 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Timberwolves | 1c | 13,294$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.94 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a65…9142backed Pistons | 59c | 13,118$7,740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,378.32 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1333…173bbacked Timberwolves | 40c | 12,627$5,051 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,050.76 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Timberwolves | 40c | 12,470$4,948 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,948.03 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Timberwolves | 13c | 12,227$1,538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,538.04 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd66…664fbacked Pistons | 65c | 12,196$7,927 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,268.45 | 87 | 63.2%55 W · 32 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Timberwolves | 34c | 12,019$4,086 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,086.49 | 373 | 55%205 W · 168 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Timberwolves | 0c | 12,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 721 | 1%7 W · 714 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1958…efb3backed Timberwolves | 0c | 11,929$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbedb…3b26backed Pistons | 68c | 11,818$7,977 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,840.34 | 163 | 46.6%76 W · 87 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3625…1187backed Pistons | 58c | 11,765$6,824 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,941.23 | 72 | 43.1%31 W · 41 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9438…ad81backed Timberwolves | 0c | 11,500$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.34 | 317 | 9.5%30 W · 287 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -59.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82ff…f0c4backed Pistons | 61c | 10,897$6,673 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,223.98 | 71 | 47.9%34 W · 37 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b10…acabbacked Pistons | 78c | 10,437$8,112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,324.62 | 149 | 53%79 W · 70 L | +10.0wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x90eb…db79backed Pistons | 60c | 10,055$5,985 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,070.4 | 60 | 60%36 W · 24 L | +9.2wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3c15…35aebacked Timberwolves | 34c | 10,000$3,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,400 | 102 | 36.3%37 W · 65 L | -8.6wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -25%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb7a6…89b2backed Pistons | 60c | 10,000$6,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,000 | 142 | 44.4%63 W · 79 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8980…d4f4backed Pistons | 66c | 10,000$6,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,400 | 219 | 51.1%112 W · 107 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fba…d08abacked Timberwolves | 40c | 10,000$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,999.96 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc272…16c8backed Pistons | 51c | 9,695$4,944 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,750.42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5aa…9134backed Pistons | 61c | 9,597$5,854 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,742.85 | 199 | 57.8%115 W · 84 L | +18.2wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xad83…4a0cbacked Pistons | 51c | 9,595$4,893 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,701.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f8d…a19bbacked Pistons | 52c | 9,539$4,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,578.58 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe21e…f216backed Timberwolves | 41c | 9,461$3,876 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,875.56 | 120 | 58.3%70 W · 50 L | +11.9wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xec7e…5fddbacked Pistons | 50c | 9,448$4,753 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,694.9 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +5.0wins | +0.14per pick | 40cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4412…2a72backed Timberwolves | 49c | 9,446$4,627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,626.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Pistons | 79c | 9,409$7,420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,989.2 | 621 | 44%273 W · 348 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x736f…6431backed Timberwolves | 49c | 9,306$4,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,560.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f3c…2f57backed Timberwolves | 52c | 9,178$4,759 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,759.17 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Timberwolves | 39c | 9,175$3,584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,584.36 | 1,044 | 47.5%496 W · 548 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d11…c449backed Timberwolves | 35c | 9,130$3,195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,195.48 | 94 | 40.4%38 W · 56 L | -5.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99e4…e4c4backed Timberwolves | 42c | 9,070$3,809 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,809.31 | 146 | 63.7%93 W · 53 L | +11.6wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Pistons | 60c | 9,000$5,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,599.99 | 584 | 49.7%290 W · 294 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…5104backed Pistons | 57c | 8,912$5,044 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,867.33 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab79…d996backed Pistons | 56c | 8,900$4,984 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,916 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8831…1d01backed Pistons | 56c | 8,900$4,984 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,916 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca5a…5d29backed Timberwolves | 39c | 8,822$3,441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,440.58 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfa…324ebacked Timberwolves | 40c | 8,676$3,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,470.4 | 91 | 59.3%54 W · 37 L | +9.0wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Timberwolves | 29c | 8,652$2,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,519.74 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d32…ac4bbacked Timberwolves | 44c | 8,606$3,787 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,786.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2b1…45e3backed Timberwolves | 44c | 8,601$3,784 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,784.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6368…6dc8backed Pistons | 66c | 8,163$5,388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,775.53 | 103 | 52.4%54 W · 49 L | -7.7wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…2ab2backed Pistons | 48c | 8,073$3,875 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,198.13 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.26per pick | 52cpaid | +303.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3c49…dd2dbacked Timberwolves | 40c | 8,000$3,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,159.95 | 200 | 48%96 W · 104 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea79…a9ccbacked Pistons | 54c | 7,913$4,311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,601.81 | 55 | 52.7%29 W · 26 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc94a…9401backed Timberwolves | 39c | 7,409$2,889 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,889.39 | 403 | 50.1%202 W · 201 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf927…2663backed Pistons | 62c | 7,250$4,495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,755.07 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 29 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Timberwolves vs. Pistonsthis page
- 1H Spread: Pistons (-1.5)Timberwolves won
- 1H Spread: Pistons (-2.5)Timberwolves won
- Anthony Edwards: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Anthony Edwards: Points O/U 26.5No won
- Anthony Edwards: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Daniss Jenkins: Assists O/U 6.5Yes won
- Daniss Jenkins: Points O/U 17.5Yes won
- Jalen Duren: Points O/U 23.5No won
- Rudy Gobert: Points O/U 10.5No won
- Spread: Pistons (-1.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Pistons (-2.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Pistons (-3.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Pistons (-4.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Pistons (-5.5)Timberwolves won
- Spread: Pistons (-6.5)Timberwolves won
- Spread: Pistons (-7.5)Timberwolves won
- Timberwolves vs. Pistons: 1H O/U 108.5Under won
- Timberwolves vs. Pistons: 1H O/U 109.5Under won
- Timberwolves vs. Pistons: O/U 214.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Pistons: O/U 216.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Pistons: O/U 219.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Pistons: O/U 221.5Under won
- Timberwolves vs. Pistons: O/U 222.5Under won
- Timberwolves vs. Pistons: O/U 223.5Under won
- Timberwolves vs. Pistons: O/U 224.5Under won
- Timberwolves vs. Pistons: O/U 225.5Under won
- Timberwolves vs. Pistons: O/U 226.5Under won
- Timberwolves vs. Pistons: O/U 229.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.