TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Timberwolves vs. Pistons: O/U 223.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$165,535
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$178,243

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $165,535 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 170 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6ade…f5b0backed Over50c29,977$14,988 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,988.271,55652.8%822 W · 734 L+40.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under50c19,914$9,978 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,936.119,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Under50c14,388$7,167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,220.482,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over47c12,793$6,013 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,012.711,28243.4%557 W · 725 L-51.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe5ef…9e7abacked Under49c8,892$4,362 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,529.8225248.4%122 W · 130 L+5.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Under50c7,540$3,775 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,764.9937355%205 W · 168 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over42c7,224$3,002 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,001.912,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Over44c6,827$2,972 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,971.673,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Under52c4,581$2,403 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,178.211,08450%542 W · 542 L+2.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Under53c4,425$2,353 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,071.7290650.2%455 W · 451 L-0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Over46c4,315$1,985 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,984.686,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca40…83f6backed Over51c4,000$2,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,039.9912945.7%59 W · 70 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e2f…ec47backed Under53c3,887$2,060 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,826.9874748.5%362 W · 385 L+8.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee21…e2febacked Under52c3,600$1,872 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,728966.7%6 W · 3 L+2.0wins+0.22per pick44cpaid+135.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3c75…329abacked Over66c3,567$2,368 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,367.865750.9%29 W · 28 L-0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over46c3,541$1,638 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,637.824,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x82ff…f0c4backed Over52c3,213$1,671 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,670.767147.9%34 W · 37 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over47c2,814$1,332 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,331.631,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b10…acabbacked Under55c2,642$1,463 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,178.6314953%79 W · 70 L+10.0wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+9.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Under44c2,313$1,009 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,303.582,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3054…699bbacked Over52c2,000$1,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0402832.1%9 W · 19 L-5.1wins-0.18per pick50cpaid-38.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xf5d0…d9e8backed Under50c1,940$972 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$968.4911242%47 W · 65 L-10.1wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-15.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb45a…192cbacked Over45c1,878$845 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$844.9154539.6%216 W · 329 L-28.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-11.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Over40c1,619$646 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6461,03647.6%493 W · 543 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe156…134bbacked Under53c1,460$778 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$682.0611235.7%40 W · 72 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-17.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over47c1,397$660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$659.748,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Over46c1,216$559 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$559.3556843.8%249 W · 319 L-25.1wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-8.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Over30c1,207$358 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$358.2383039.4%327 W · 503 L+6.3wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-20.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d6f…7135backed Under53c1,190$631 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$559.536144.3%27 W · 34 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+16.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Over55c1,129$622 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$621.892,16940.8%885 W · 1,284 L-8.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b47…d615backed Under52c1,023$532 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$491.1557950.1%290 W · 289 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e59…307dbacked Over48c1,009$484 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$484.48859.1%52 W · 36 L+4.5wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+3.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x144e…eca0backed Under48c968.8$465 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$503.787451.4%38 W · 36 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Over53c937.79$497 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$497.032,46850.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L+38.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x128f…db9dbacked Over56c885.98$496 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$496.1520651.5%106 W · 100 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+9.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Over50c858.21$425 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$424.8144740.7%182 W · 265 L-27.5wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-9.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Under50c841.99$423 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$418.6771654.1%387 W · 329 L+21.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over49c668.54$327 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$326.93,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xfb85…eda7backed Over14c663.49$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.861145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-36.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe414…c341backed Over47c638.28$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.9981349.4%402 W · 411 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9438…3d6abacked Under54c612.71$332 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$280.3738947.6%185 W · 204 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a51…b2b6backed Over53c599.99$318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$317.9989853.1%477 W · 421 L+21.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Under49c577.31$281 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$296.3793543.6%408 W · 527 L-32.6wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Under49c568.25$278 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$289.811,43347.2%676 W · 757 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6c1d…1f8fbacked Under54c510.7$277 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.6949249.8%245 W · 247 L-0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x116c…e162backed Under47c456.57$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$241.3221350.7%108 W · 105 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under54c415.88$223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.394,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x33a7…e607backed Over51c392$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.9252951.2%271 W · 258 L+13.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed Under49c372$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.2156447.9%270 W · 294 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4158…4961backed Over64c371.75$236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$236.462250%11 W · 11 L-1.6wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under50c355.43$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.853,59150.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L+21.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8900…a444backed Over52c349.08$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.217751.9%40 W · 37 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ee7…4c1abacked Over52c341.55$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.3414852.7%78 W · 70 L+0.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x30db…44e1backed Over51c341.1$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.1734953%185 W · 164 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x44f0…432cbacked Over48c337.63$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.0640146.9%188 W · 213 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd226…38b4backed Over48c300$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.1939448.7%192 W · 202 L-1.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8594…3733backed Over63c300$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.29per pick62cpaid-40%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0258…06d0backed Under45c275.44$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.111033.6%37 W · 73 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-29.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8482…3f7abacked Under61c273.32$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.5260049.8%299 W · 301 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd473…3febbacked Over50c270.63$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.3224955.8%139 W · 110 L+0.7wins0.00per pick56cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xacdf…2b45backed Under67c249.52$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.363545.7%16 W · 19 L-4.3wins-0.12per pick58cpaid-24.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under50c239.47$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.062,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2528…b77dbacked Under51c219.35$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.151,04851.7%542 W · 506 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7096…7f78backed Under50c203.66$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.5165349.9%326 W · 327 L+20.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xddc4…0270backed Under73c202.15$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.5827745.8%127 W · 150 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-13%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x54a2…1d43backed Over14c200.92$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.218835.1%66 W · 122 L+24.5wins+0.13per pick22cpaid+116.5%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x8632…4696backed Under47c200.16$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.0855347.9%265 W · 288 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2366…580fbacked Over66c200$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13211347.8%54 W · 59 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-9.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x40d2…312fbacked Over52c200$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10428852.1%150 W · 138 L+1.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1966…da9ebacked Over50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10035849.7%178 W · 180 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9b97…6084backed Over52c200$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10444345.1%200 W · 243 L+2.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x5a45…f628backed Over52c200$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10434855.2%192 W · 156 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaa61…7f3bbacked Under54c194.48$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.469255.4%51 W · 41 L+3.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0a7c…8964backed Under48c187.9$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.0180653.6%432 W · 374 L+16.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xefdf…677bbacked Over53c183.36$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.181457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+9.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x85d5…bbf0backed Under74c182.73$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.524138.6%93 W · 148 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-14.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x46d3…2c20backed Over51c171.65$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.3533251.2%170 W · 162 L-0.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed Over47c169.44$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.631,15153.7%618 W · 533 L-41.7wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0044…cb2cbacked Over21c163.85$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.7112227%33 W · 89 L-0.5wins0.00per pick27cpaid-20.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Over40c158.04$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.83,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x927a…f706backed Under64c152.99$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.1324139%94 W · 147 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed Over60c149.82$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.7744551.2%228 W · 217 L+11.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x16ea…9400backed Over47c144.94$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.521,32249.9%660 W · 662 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over47c138.91$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.652,73646.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L-67.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd4ac…5e19backed Over47c119.48$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.1638453.4%205 W · 179 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x938c…e3dbbacked Over63c117.81$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.14540%2 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.19per pick59cpaid-37%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x199f…7e77backed Under61c112.36$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.016861.8%42 W · 26 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick64cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0bec…c707backed Over52c112.06$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.2716053.8%86 W · 74 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd208…cbcdbacked Over52c111.95$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.2715252.6%80 W · 72 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x299f…2140backed Over45c111.73$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.281,14148%548 W · 593 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee62…bc6abacked Over50c111$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.526745.3%121 W · 146 L-7.8wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf433…2464backed Over54c108.74$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.3314444.4%64 W · 80 L-10.5wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-14.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6fbd…b8d3backed Over50c108.24$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.6467248.8%328 W · 344 L-10.0wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6e8d…3a3dbacked Over53c91.68$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.5934849.7%173 W · 175 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x3ac2…e183backed Over54c90.14$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.624057.5%23 W · 17 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x76f1…f655backed Under56c90.11$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.356450%32 W · 32 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8521…df10backed Over53c87.68$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.4718534.1%63 W · 122 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-18.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfce1…4f4cbacked Over53c84.35$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.4519550.8%99 W · 96 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-8.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x14e4…eabbbacked Under49c80.36$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.9993145.8%426 W · 505 L-25.4wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0056…a7f7backed Under47c76.94$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.7860945.8%279 W · 330 L-17.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 29 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.