TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Anthony Edwards: Points O/U 26.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$2,451
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,691

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,451 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x373a…f4c1backed No59c966.95$568 inWon+$398.9990863.9%580 W · 328 L+80.6wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+20.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xe299…761bbacked Yes40c338.76$135 inLost-$134.8831540.3%127 W · 188 L-15.4wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-9.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x87fa…12d0backed Yes39c254.96$99 inLost-$99.4315357.5%88 W · 65 L+6.7wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+6.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5c43…31c1backed Yes44c224.18$98 inLost-$98.312044.2%53 W · 67 L-8.6wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-11.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x52f2…5a5dbacked Yes43c169.35$73 inLost-$72.8217547.4%83 W · 92 L-13.3wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-14.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x822b…61fdbacked Yes42c133.29$56 inLost-$55.983148.4%15 W · 16 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf35a…0d94backed Yes40c124.18$50 inLost-$50.1450%0 W · 5 L-1.8wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4838…0db9backed Yes44c97.61$43 inLost-$42.951050%5 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+34%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f4c…dd9abacked Yes41c93.26$38 inLost-$38.24742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-14.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4965…a749backed Yes42c88.08$37 inLost-$36.7425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.16per pick41cpaid-50%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No60c65$39 inWon+$26.244,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x00f7…4476backed No58c49.99$29 inWon+$215147.1%24 W · 27 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5407…dbc0backed No60c41.44$25 inWon+$16.583751.4%19 W · 18 L+2.2wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+24%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x79b4…c59fbacked No59c36.55$22 inWon+$14.997569.3%52 W · 23 L+8.4wins+0.11per pick58cpaid+17.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6e8d…3a3dbacked Yes41c35.15$14 inLost-$14.4734849.7%173 W · 175 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xad22…014abacked No57c35$20 inWon+$15.0527074.1%200 W · 70 L+30.5wins+0.11per pick63cpaid+18%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x9bd9…084fbacked No60c30$18 inWon+$1237753.8%203 W · 174 L+12.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe6a4…c3b5backed No76c26.1$20 inWon+$6.39837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-38.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe93…8d0ebacked No60c25.59$15 inWon+$10.1732866.5%218 W · 110 L+15.4wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+6.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa427…f87fbacked No60c22.74$14 inWon+$9.1346255.6%257 W · 205 L+22.8wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+7.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9422…f273backed No61c21.3$13 inWon+$8.3119555.4%108 W · 87 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 29 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.