TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xee21…e2fe

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
123
Categories scored
20
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: NBA, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 57 out of 100; worst Dota2 at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 17, 2026, EDT4949%24 W · 25 L+0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Lol — the 49 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Game Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs Dplus KIA (+1.5)backed Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$255Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$255
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 Winnerbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$280Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$280
Will Bilibili Gaming win MSI 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$65.4
LoL: Team WE vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$124Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$66.5
LoL: paiN Gaming vs Fluxo W7M (BO3) - CBLOL Regular Seasonbacked Fluxo W7M · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$297Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$252.99
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup China Qualifier Phase 2backed Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$1,116Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,116
LoL: Unicorns Of Love Sexy Edition vs Misa Esports (BO3) - EMEA Masters Playoffsbacked Misa Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$25.23
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports Challengers vs Kiwoom DRX Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2backed Kiwoom DRX Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$192Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$157.5
LoL: T1 Academy vs Nongshim Esports Academy (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2backed Nongshim Esports Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$481Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$480.94
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Kiwoom DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.31
LoL: Eintracht Frankfurt vs Unicorns Of Love Sexy Edition (BO1) - Prime League 1st Division Regular Seasonbacked Unicorns Of Love Sexy Edition · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$1,890Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$1,109.96
LoL: VfB eSports vs Team Orange Gaming (BO1) - Prime League 1st Division Regular Seasonbacked Team Orange Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$132Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$68
LoL: BNK FEARX vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$165Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$164.6
LoL: HMBLE vs Colossal Gaming (BO1) - LIT Regular Seasonbacked Colossal Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$115.28
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs DN SOOPers (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Kiwoom DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$37
LoL: JD Gaming vs Oh My God (BO3) - Esports World Cup China Qualifier Phase 2backed Oh My God · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.71
LoL: JD Gaming vs Oh My God - Game 2 Winnerbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$1,347Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,346.6
LoL: Natus Vincere vs SK Gaming (BO3) - LEC Group Stagebacked SK Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$1,290Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,290
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Invictus Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup China Qualifier Phase 2backed Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$100.63
LoL: Team WE vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup China Qualifier Phase 1backed Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$655Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+52.7%+$345.37
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Fnatic (BO3) - LEC Group Stagebacked Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$162Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$161.89
LoL: Team WE vs ThunderTalk Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked ThunderTalk Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.2
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Oh My God (BO3) - Esports World Cup China Qualifier Phase 1backed Oh My God · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$276Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$535.26
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Oh My God - Game 1 Winnerbacked Oh My God · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$38
LoL: Natus Vincere vs Movistar KOI (BO3) - LEC Group Stagebacked Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$742Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$741.73
Showing 25 of 49 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST1020%2 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick21cpaid-34.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tweets — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Donald Trump post 60-79 Truth Social posts from February 10 to February 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$34.4
Will Elon Musk post 110-119 tweets from January 3 to January 5, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$26.6
Will Elon Musk post 130-139 tweets from January 3 to January 5, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$130
Will Elon tweet 150–164 times August 22–August 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$99.96
Will Elon tweet 180–194 times August 22–August 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$120.08
Will Elon tweet 165–179 times August 22–August 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$100.13
Will Elon tweet 550–574 times August 8–August 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$72.9
Will Elon tweet 525–549 times August 8–August 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$763Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$763.35
Will Elon tweet 360–374 times August 1–August 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$1,810Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2025, EDT+25%+$452.61
Will Elon tweet 255 or more times August 1–August 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$921Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2025, EDT+429.1%+$3,953.76
All 10 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 10, 2026, EDT966.7%6 W · 3 L+2.0wins+0.22per pick44cpaid+135.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
NBA — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST850%4 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump say "Woke" or "DEI" during tech signing event on Wednesday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+58.7%+$34.04
Will Trump say "Biden" during tech signing event on Wednesday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$89Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+57.3%+$51.01
Will Jensen Huang say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 20+ times during NVIDIA keynote?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$1,051Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$1,051.09
Will Tesla deliver between 400000 and 425000 vehicles in Q4 2025backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$138Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+131.9%+$181.99
Will Tesla deliver between 425000 and 450000 vehicles in Q4 2025backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$16.48
Will OpenAI have the top AI model on December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$232Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$232.05
Will OpenAi have the top AI model on August 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$3,363Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$3,363.04
Will Google have the top AI model on July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$15.75
All 8 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST850%4 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-20.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Enhanced ACA premium tax credits extended in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$3,145Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+67%+$2,106.67
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$133Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$133
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$69
Trump deploys National Guard in D.C. by Monday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$4,143Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$4,143.17
Will Trump say "Million" "Billion" or "Trillion" 7+ times during the DC Crime Press Conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$756Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$755.51
Will Trump say "God" 5+ times during his 4th of July remarks?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$3,600Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$1,200
Will Trump say "Hell" 3+ times during his 4th of July remarks?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$387Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2025, EDT+96.1%+$371.65
Will Trump say "Million / Billion / Trillion" 7+ times during his 4th of July remarks?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$36.67
All 8 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2026, EST742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.12per pick31cpaid+108.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Mar 6, 2026, EST616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick21cpaid-77.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST475%3 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.31per pick44cpaid+42.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 7, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Commodities — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.27per pick40cpaid+40.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Earnings Inactivelast resolved Dec 19, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-26.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Earnings — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 28, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.77per pick23cpaid+349%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$633Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+399.2%+$2,526.81
Will Trump say "Tariff" during events with Xi Jinping?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+298.9%+$747.79
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.74per pick26cpaid+280.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ken Paxton come in 2nd in the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+280.5%+$112.79
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Jul 13, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "Moana" score at least 35 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$269Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$94.38
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Dec 25, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spotify's top song on Christmas be 'All I Want For Christmas Is You'?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$100.09
All 1 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Shanghai Sharks vs. Qingdao Eaglesbacked Qingdao Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$317Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$316.94
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Sep 9, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will elections be called before a new Prime Minister is appointed?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$114
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.73per pick73cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$729Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$728.99
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.