Us Politics · resolved market
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 20?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4bc68882be74d251df1459b3f6b98a748daf2a5618485b60db9a5f676e024597
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,083,716
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,174,386
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,083,716 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 317 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2877…6404backed No | 0c | 122,080$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.08 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d77…b72cbacked No | 7c | 88,487$5,892 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,892.37 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb4…517cbacked No | 0c | 40,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc021…1fa8backed No | 10c | 30,989$3,243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,243.35 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | +9.1wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +346.5%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x1a09…af0fbacked No | 12c | 20,000$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,400 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0baf…409cbacked No | 0c | 20,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b78…4d2fbacked Yes | 76c | 19,347$14,641 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,706.15 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | -10.0wins | -0.40per pick | 64cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 28-0.20 edge/pick |
| 0xb49e…31d7backed No | 6c | 12,063$779 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$779.19 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbab4…3572backed No | 0c | 11,980$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.98 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17a8…e61fbacked No | 9c | 11,852$1,046 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,045.9 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe0a…4a63backed No | 7c | 10,000$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3510…2492backed No | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5109…5e9cbacked No | 9c | 9,695$877 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$877.08 | 180 | 33.3%60 W · 120 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d20…4843backed No | 7c | 8,888$634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$634 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbdac…f7e2backed No | 8c | 8,653$649 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$649.01 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94df…a26ebacked No | 4c | 8,036$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.28 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f8…ac7bbacked No | 11c | 7,270$809 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$809.46 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 28cpaid | -74.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed No | 6c | 6,276$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.57 | 71 | 28.2%20 W · 51 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce66…cc64backed No | 23c | 5,820$1,338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,338.49 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -59%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd22…9ef1backed No | 10c | 4,691$469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469.1 | 141 | 35.5%50 W · 91 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e86…9a71backed No | 14c | 4,643$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf55b…bc5abacked No | 22c | 4,606$999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeae1…1f16backed No | 24c | 4,412$1,051 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,051 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x647b…5750backed No | 0c | 4,100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x993c…6787backed No | 8c | 4,029$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.63 | 192 | 36.5%70 W · 122 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6828…1056backed No | 25c | 3,981$1,006 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,005.8 | 184 | 45.1%83 W · 101 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80e6…cd8abacked No | 25c | 3,981$1,013 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,012.79 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1490…b7e6backed No | 1c | 3,700$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9def…d1a5backed Yes | 77c | 3,515$2,692 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$822.52 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +3.6wins | +0.10per pick | 41cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x07d4…8991backed No | 1c | 3,500$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 129 | 10.9%14 W · 115 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 8cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd86e…ee3ebacked No | 14c | 3,360$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.7 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa50b…74b2backed No | 30c | 3,348$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -53.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66ec…8c18backed No | 5c | 3,319$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.7 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf243…5fb4backed No | 9c | 3,026$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.42 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9f9…9fafbacked No | 3c | 2,980$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbacd…ab35backed No | 3c | 2,774$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.04 | 184 | 25%46 W · 138 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3291…e502backed No | 12c | 2,749$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.72 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe86c…bb51backed No | 7c | 2,737$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2869…7e8dbacked No | 16c | 2,552$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83a2…9452backed No | 5c | 2,497$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.86 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3838…2c6fbacked No | 11c | 2,495$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.22 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.17per pick | 28cpaid | -85.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa672…f083backed Yes | 76c | 2,447$1,860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$587.36 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e15…fa36backed No | 8c | 2,354$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.8 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44ef…ff3dbacked No | 28c | 2,300$647 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$647 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24c8…23e1backed No | 9c | 2,222$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.42 | 151 | 24.5%37 W · 114 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -42%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10a9…92d5backed No | 18c | 2,165$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.37 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed No | 8c | 2,100$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.38 | 35 | 14.3%5 W · 30 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -64.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60a9…5a71backed No | 10c | 2,082$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.13 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +6.5wins | +0.17per pick | 45cpaid | +68.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x75e7…9080backed No | 6c | 2,060$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.87 | 326 | 26.4%86 W · 240 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf2…a469backed No | 4c | 2,008$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.87 | 58 | 32.8%19 W · 39 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54ca…48f9backed No | 10c | 2,004$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.7 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc278…a116backed No | 13c | 1,990$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.3 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31b5…6128backed No | 4c | 1,871$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.08 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.34per pick | 50cpaid | -76.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xee21…6939backed No | 7c | 1,800$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb19…21e4backed No | 29c | 1,793$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf25d…1326backed No | 11c | 1,665$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe70a…8084backed No | 28c | 1,566$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$441.24 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1376…9d1bbacked No | 17c | 1,538$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20c7…347fbacked No | 2c | 1,520$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.02 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb99…4daebacked No | 14c | 1,500$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5df6…1849backed No | 20c | 1,470$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.3 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x186d…01e0backed No | 7c | 1,429$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84f8…0ff2backed Yes | 80c | 1,400$1,114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10ca…e686backed No | 7c | 1,396$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x150c…0e0fbacked No | 23c | 1,355$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a37…c99cbacked No | 8c | 1,333$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.64 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -34%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8886…3913backed No | 11c | 1,301$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.22 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37c5…bd4ebacked No | 12c | 1,300$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.75 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe085…5474backed No | 16c | 1,263$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.87 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5798…1a60backed No | 8c | 1,250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x225b…422abacked No | 11c | 1,218$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.47 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x674b…fbdabacked No | 9c | 1,178$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe4f…fb18backed No | 9c | 1,167$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dbc…7032backed No | 12c | 1,151$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe916…e44fbacked No | 11c | 1,091$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa84c…da71backed No | 9c | 1,063$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e00…2fe0backed No | 30c | 1,016$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.77 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -64.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8af…325ebacked No | 13c | 1,012$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.96 | 110 | 31.8%35 W · 75 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4014…a2edbacked Yes | 74c | 1,007$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.19 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +6.0wins | +0.43per pick | 21cpaid | +1,100.9%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x4ba4…8a89backed No | 8c | 1,000$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 70 | 38.6%27 W · 43 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x983c…385dbacked No | 5c | 1,000$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -53%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b04…3a41backed No | 9c | 1,000$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb905…1640backed No | 27c | 1,000$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52a2…376fbacked No | 9c | 1,000$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb6f…4da4backed Yes | 77c | 999.98$770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb952…a3d1backed No | 21c | 980.69$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.62 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked No | 7c | 978.4$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 103 | 24.3%25 W · 78 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79ad…a9f1backed Yes | 76c | 953.71$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.52 | 60 | 38.3%23 W · 37 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -34%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x95c8…f511backed No | 4c | 947.72$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.34 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4266…5305backed No | 19c | 945.81$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c0e…5ef7backed No | 8c | 920$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b36…473bbacked No | 10c | 912.51$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.84 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -56%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked No | 7c | 839.12$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.48 | 82 | 7.3%6 W · 76 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82a7…9ea8backed No | 10c | 833.33$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x919d…60e1backed Yes | 80c | 800$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ffe…e125backed Yes | 74c | 799.98$595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.99 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x65cc…02dcbacked No | 33c | 772.06$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf274…1ed7backed No | 13c | 753.21$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa82b…5220backed Yes | 67c | 745.41$498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.36 | 236 | 39.4%93 W · 143 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcaab…24ddbacked No | 9c | 675.78$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.55 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +3.1wins | +0.12per pick | 36cpaid | +46.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 20?this page
- Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 18?No won
- Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?Yes won
- Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 31?Yes won
- Will Trump release the Epstein files by November 19?No won
- Will Trump release the Epstein files by November 20?No won
- Will Trump release the Epstein files by November 21?No won
- Will Trump release the Epstein files by November 30?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.