Tweets · resolved market
Will Elon Musk post 130-139 tweets from January 3 to January 5, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0a3f19d0c9f02e7f1865ffbfda66a8b493c028d8a16d74e5f1b8414795258dc0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $92,539
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $63,165
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $92,539 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 82 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tweets | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x037b…47f4backed Yes | 1c | 5,876$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.77 | 416 | 5.3%22 W · 394 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 3cpaid | +158.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe130…2f27backed Yes | 5c | 5,442$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.19 | 241 | 15.4%37 W · 204 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 15cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17a5…e00abacked Yes | 3c | 3,876$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.6 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 20cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90f1…72c6backed Yes | 7c | 2,995$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.46 | 624 | 12.3%77 W · 547 L | +16.2wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1355…6591backed Yes | 8c | 2,914$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.63 | 235 | 9.4%22 W · 213 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 7cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 5c | 2,150$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.95 | 2,160 | 3.9%85 W · 2,075 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e64…4ddabacked Yes | 2c | 2,051$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.27 | 388 | 11.9%46 W · 342 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 10cpaid | +51.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Yes | 5c | 1,756$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.58 | 434 | 5.1%22 W · 412 L | -13.5wins | -0.03per pick | 8cpaid | -33%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddd8…e6f7backed Yes | 2c | 1,547$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.62 | 72 | 16.7%12 W · 60 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -69.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66d8…8258backed Yes | 24c | 1,321$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.19 | 55 | 41.8%23 W · 32 L | +7.1wins | +0.13per pick | 29cpaid | +68.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7c9e…db3dbacked Yes | 2c | 1,159$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.56 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x849c…4009backed Yes | 11c | 1,079$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.38 | 1,780 | 7.4%132 W · 1,648 L | -23.1wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -66.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6845…c125backed Yes | 3c | 1,076$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.61 | 846 | 16.4%139 W · 707 L | +24.6wins | +0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee21…e2febacked Yes | 13c | 1,000$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb392…0b80backed Yes | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 74 | 31.1%23 W · 51 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5dd…af6dbacked Yes | 5c | 999.98$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 57 | 0%0 W · 57 L | -4.5wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x265f…a448backed Yes | 2c | 960.61$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.06 | 285 | 34.4%98 W · 187 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15c2…ebc0backed Yes | 16c | 667.7$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.98 | 212 | 11.8%25 W · 187 L | -8.2wins | -0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf243…5fb4backed Yes | 15c | 642.56$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.71 | 64 | 15.6%10 W · 54 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 20cpaid | -57.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1f…feaebacked Yes | 12c | 623.53$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.71 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -50.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27c8…2257backed Yes | 27c | 600$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.5 | 36 | 25%9 W · 27 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7529…5cd7backed Yes | 21c | 527.68$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 147 | 18.4%27 W · 120 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | +5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x585d…ff6dbacked Yes | 25c | 519.42$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.54 | 38 | 18.4%7 W · 31 L | -3.5wins | -0.09per pick | 28cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xec3c…d68ebacked Yes | 5c | 493.13$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.24 | 182 | 4.9%9 W · 173 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 4cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7fe…1f3ebacked Yes | 24c | 444.87$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.77 | 97 | 40.2%39 W · 58 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9416…5a15backed Yes | 29c | 432.58$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.08 | 40 | 20%8 W · 32 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc2…c55dbacked Yes | 23c | 432.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 26 | 15.4%4 W · 22 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a0d…54f7backed Yes | 27c | 417$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.6 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x856b…d53cbacked Yes | 3c | 399.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +2.7wins | +0.15per pick | 24cpaid | +15%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1db9…a43bbacked Yes | 12c | 399.99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 238 | 19.3%46 W · 192 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -25%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 11c | 390$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.81 | 768 | 21.7%167 W · 601 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd93…a22bbacked Yes | 6c | 341$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 198 | 19.7%39 W · 159 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x256b…e0d3backed Yes | 4c | 305.56$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 105 | 6.7%7 W · 98 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | +36%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa110…78fabacked Yes | 8c | 303.73$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.46 | 106 | 31.1%33 W · 73 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 6c | 299.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 1,053 | 5.6%59 W · 994 L | +20.7wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Yes | 17c | 294.45$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.4 | 122 | 13.9%17 W · 105 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd493…7f04backed Yes | 7c | 288.49$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.96 | 279 | 4.7%13 W · 266 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…4d2dbacked Yes | 4c | 288.41$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 259 | 5.4%14 W · 245 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58cd…775abacked Yes | 17c | 287.71$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 386 | 14.2%55 W · 331 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed Yes | 5c | 272.61$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.03 | 691 | 5.5%38 W · 653 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e4…d1f7backed Yes | 13c | 269.99$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.1 | 267 | 22.8%61 W · 206 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3904…b722backed Yes | 19c | 239.99$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.6 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 14cpaid | +54.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f66…b986backed Yes | 10c | 227.25$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.66 | 568 | 17.4%99 W · 469 L | +18.3wins | +0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3481…6b3cbacked Yes | 26c | 200$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 89 | 15.7%14 W · 75 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 17cpaid | +7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dc2…0727backed Yes | 6c | 199.88$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.99 | 261 | 5.4%14 W · 247 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c7…c6bdbacked Yes | 6c | 190.06$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 44cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1c…aebebacked Yes | 11c | 189.68$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.39 | 131 | 21.4%28 W · 103 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 13c | 185.36$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.31 | 788 | 11.5%91 W · 697 L | -33.7wins | -0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x958e…e9dfbacked Yes | 8c | 182.5$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 101 | 31.7%32 W · 69 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3592…c81abacked Yes | 14c | 181.36$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.26 | 32 | 12.5%4 W · 28 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | +11%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c77…2365backed Yes | 27c | 177.14$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.28 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6185…f60fbacked Yes | 19c | 175.69$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.38 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c03…d9bcbacked Yes | 11c | 174.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 46 | 19.6%9 W · 37 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 17cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x430e…ed6dbacked No | 75c | 174.36$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.59 | 209 | 73.2%153 W · 56 L | +16.3wins | +0.08per pick | 65cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4703…ce7fbacked Yes | 7c | 171$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.97 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 12cpaid | -62.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd93…55b4backed Yes | 16c | 160.67$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.09 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbd…f10dbacked Yes | 11c | 160$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.35 | 62 | 12.9%8 W · 54 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 9cpaid | +63.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3f8…98e1backed No | 78c | 150$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 218 | 18.3%40 W · 178 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8eab…a56dbacked Yes | 9c | 147$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.53 | 278 | 5%14 W · 264 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -89.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8de9…3171backed Yes | 12c | 143.65$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.44 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca3f…0f89backed Yes | 15c | 130.93$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 79 | 16.5%13 W · 66 L | -5.5wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6496…8e19backed Yes | 16c | 127.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 178 | 17.4%31 W · 147 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3a8…ec7dbacked Yes | 10c | 124.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x844a…5f53backed Yes | 14c | 117.42$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.88 | 52 | 25%13 W · 39 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +50.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb8b…5672backed Yes | 15c | 115.44$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.13 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6e…54cfbacked Yes | 9c | 114.66$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.06 | 412 | 20.6%85 W · 327 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ec7…a9edbacked Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc24a…fdbcbacked Yes | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 41 | 12.2%5 W · 36 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 10cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed Yes | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.84 | 510 | 18.2%93 W · 417 L | -89.7wins | -0.18per pick | 36cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x1fa6…4094backed Yes | 27c | 84.1$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 307 | 14%43 W · 264 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x729e…e23ebacked Yes | 23c | 77.59$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 238 | 31.1%74 W · 164 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3103…ea70backed Yes | 25c | 75$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 139 | 26.6%37 W · 102 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8975…ffe6backed No | 78c | 72.55$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.23 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 67cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41c0…f469backed Yes | 22c | 69.01$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.86 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -63.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39aa…583cbacked Yes | 28c | 66.76$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.49 | 592 | 25.3%150 W · 442 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa805…8622backed Yes | 23c | 53.32$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc01e…f717backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25af…298bbacked Yes | 22c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 18cpaid | -71%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x625b…812bbacked Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -3.1wins | -0.22per pick | 29cpaid | -83%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xebe7…068abacked Yes | 23c | 43.2$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 52 | 11.5%6 W · 46 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6709…9fd1backed Yes | 27c | 36.53$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 17cpaid | -90.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked No | 79c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 456 | 8.3%38 W · 418 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Elon Musk post 130-139 tweets from January 3 to January 5, 2026?this page
- Will Elon Musk post 100-109 tweets from January 3 to January 5, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 110-119 tweets from January 3 to January 5, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 120-129 tweets from January 3 to January 5, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 140+ tweets from January 3 to January 5, 2026?Yes won
- Will Elon Musk post 40-49 tweets from January 3 to January 5, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 50-59 tweets from January 3 to January 5, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 60-69 tweets from January 3 to January 5, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 70-79 tweets from January 3 to January 5, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 80-89 tweets from January 3 to January 5, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 90-99 tweets from January 3 to January 5, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from January 3 to January 5, 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.