Lol · resolved market
LoL: HMBLE vs Colossal Gaming (BO1) - LIT Regular Season
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x24941d74b8b8820d662227162c8108c924e2bbb135408fd1b7903d22ebcef1e2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- HMBLEof HMBLE, Colossal Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $35,264
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $34,898
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,264 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 81 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x509d…0a6bbacked HMBLE | 73c | 6,383$4,661 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,722.71 | 670 | 56.9%381 W · 289 L | +17.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44fa…d852backed HMBLE | 78c | 5,922$4,646 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,276.27 | 26 | 73.1%19 W · 7 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 65cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d9f…787abacked HMBLE | 79c | 5,454$4,321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,133.92 | 610 | 45.2%276 W · 334 L | +35.4wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +16%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7787backed Colossal Gaming | 23c | 5,063$1,185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,184.74 | 644 | 43%277 W · 367 L | -27.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed Colossal Gaming | 21c | 3,500$735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$735 | 1,468 | 28.9%424 W · 1,044 L | +23.5wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1ae…f001backed Colossal Gaming | 21c | 2,570$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.7 | 105 | 21%22 W · 83 L | -10.5wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Colossal Gaming | 25c | 2,179$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$554.52 | 276 | 36.2%100 W · 176 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5511…5734backed Colossal Gaming | 22c | 2,000$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 240 | 29.2%70 W · 170 L | -8.5wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Colossal Gaming | 27c | 1,734$471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$471.26 | 1,368 | 37.7%516 W · 852 L | -6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e32…ab65backed HMBLE | 75c | 1,500$1,125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375 | 2,156 | 53.2%1,148 W · 1,008 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc65c…ea39backed HMBLE | 75c | 1,250$937 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.38 | 127 | 59.8%76 W · 51 L | +5.7wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1234…c1bbbacked Colossal Gaming | 27c | 1,185$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.56 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb126…9848backed Colossal Gaming | 25c | 1,166$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.39 | 46 | 32.6%15 W · 31 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x668d…e471backed HMBLE | 79c | 1,086$858 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.09 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd38f…0f83backed Colossal Gaming | 27c | 1,081$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.74 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed HMBLE | 76c | 1,043$793 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.4 | 1,731 | 44.2%765 W · 966 L | -28.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa19d…3909backed HMBLE | 75c | 699.99$528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172 | 1,521 | 50.6%769 W · 752 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef20…8f64backed Colossal Gaming | 23c | 630.71$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.83 | 99 | 38.4%38 W · 61 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x627e…f59fbacked Colossal Gaming | 27c | 621.53$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.81 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x260c…7130backed Colossal Gaming | 22c | 571.92$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.82 | 239 | 32.6%78 W · 161 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked HMBLE | 75c | 558.82$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.8 | 1,224 | 48.3%591 W · 633 L | +26.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4da…1772backed Colossal Gaming | 25c | 558.54$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.64 | 579 | 45.9%266 W · 313 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Colossal Gaming | 2c | 530.71$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.79 | 3,131 | 33.8%1,058 W · 2,073 L | -150.7wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee21…e2febacked Colossal Gaming | 22c | 523.99$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.28 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Colossal Gaming | 24c | 466.07$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.29 | 1,593 | 43.8%697 W · 896 L | -74.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6bdd…1b11backed Colossal Gaming | 18c | 434.47$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.2 | 169 | 35.5%60 W · 109 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5625…6c2abacked Colossal Gaming | 23c | 414.7$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.38 | 185 | 42.2%78 W · 107 L | -10.4wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c1…3e0bbacked HMBLE | 75c | 400$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 636 | 46.9%298 W · 338 L | -19.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca81…f2abbacked Colossal Gaming | 22c | 400$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 611 | 43.5%266 W · 345 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Colossal Gaming | 24c | 390$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.6 | 126 | 42.9%54 W · 72 L | -7.6wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3eb3…4d75backed HMBLE | 79c | 374.96$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.74 | 608 | 55.8%339 W · 269 L | -14.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb3…76a9backed HMBLE | 79c | 345.59$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.57 | 392 | 46.4%182 W · 210 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x653e…bbc0backed Colossal Gaming | 27c | 330$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.1 | 411 | 33.8%139 W · 272 L | -28.7wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe450…a40abacked HMBLE | 79c | 312.47$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.62 | 122 | 63.1%77 W · 45 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked HMBLE | 78c | 308.78$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.61 | 1,061 | 54.7%580 W · 481 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b9b…3de2backed Colossal Gaming | 23c | 291.77$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.11 | 69 | 36.2%25 W · 44 L | -4.7wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad89…e006backed Colossal Gaming | 24c | 209.2$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.94 | 148 | 36.5%54 W · 94 L | +7.1wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6aa7…db93backed HMBLE | 79c | 207.35$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.54 | 236 | 74.6%176 W · 60 L | +17.9wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xced8…221ebacked Colossal Gaming | 14c | 199.97$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.99 | 474 | 44.1%209 W · 265 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcec1…9c0cbacked Colossal Gaming | 25c | 194.86$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.23 | 434 | 42.4%184 W · 250 L | -18.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f46…2a17backed Colossal Gaming | 22c | 184.92$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.68 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Colossal Gaming | 21c | 160$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.6 | 299 | 52.2%156 W · 143 L | +13.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked HMBLE | 66c | 156.33$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.96 | 172 | 41.9%72 W · 100 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b70…1efebacked Colossal Gaming | 18c | 150.23$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.04 | 72 | 50%36 W · 36 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22cc…d068backed Colossal Gaming | 20c | 149.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Colossal Gaming | 23c | 143.06$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.8 | 157 | 47.8%75 W · 82 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe136…6d09backed Colossal Gaming | 14c | 137.5$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.97 | 197 | 38.6%76 W · 121 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfad…fa05backed HMBLE | 78c | 126.51$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.83 | 1,218 | 58.1%708 W · 510 L | +44.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbda…8bd5backed Colossal Gaming | 25c | 119.07$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.47 | 148 | 46.6%69 W · 79 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70db…f73fbacked Colossal Gaming | 25c | 113.55$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.65 | 78 | 33.3%26 W · 52 L | -6.7wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed Colossal Gaming | 23c | 108.61$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.98 | 160 | 43.1%69 W · 91 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…8298backed HMBLE | 77c | 104.91$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.62 | 580 | 42.4%246 W · 334 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed HMBLE | 76c | 100$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 1,643 | 44.4%730 W · 913 L | -42.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Colossal Gaming | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.33 | 1,606 | 17.5%281 W · 1,325 L | -245.0wins | -0.15per pick | 33cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…f9d1backed HMBLE | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 415 | 44.6%185 W · 230 L | +16.6wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +14%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed Colossal Gaming | 23c | 99.3$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.12 | 541 | 29.9%162 W · 379 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked HMBLE | 76c | 99.27$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.82 | 924 | 50.9%470 W · 454 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb57f…0c96backed Colossal Gaming | 25c | 97.06$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.23 | 438 | 39.7%174 W · 264 L | -24.3wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x89c6…7961backed Colossal Gaming | 23c | 95.38$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.94 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab6…078ebacked Colossal Gaming | 21c | 95.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 342 | 50.6%173 W · 169 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37f8…b5e5backed HMBLE | 79c | 92.98$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.76 | 549 | 44.4%244 W · 305 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf704…bed4backed Colossal Gaming | 22c | 76.26$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.78 | 178 | 38.8%69 W · 109 L | -6.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Colossal Gaming | 23c | 70.88$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.4 | 2,905 | 38.5%1,119 W · 1,786 L | -118.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf237…4989backed Colossal Gaming | 21c | 65.96$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.65 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb9f…36dfbacked Colossal Gaming | 22c | 64.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.3 | 586 | 49.8%292 W · 294 L | +15.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9317…5a5fbacked HMBLE | 76c | 64.84$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.56 | 77 | 50.6%39 W · 38 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef40…b116backed HMBLE | 76c | 64.06$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.38 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c94…5b86backed Colossal Gaming | 25c | 57.3$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.33 | 51 | 25.5%13 W · 38 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb818…6611backed Colossal Gaming | 24c | 57.27$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.9 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | -4.5wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x209e…8bb4backed Colossal Gaming | 22c | 54.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.1 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -37%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked HMBLE | 79c | 54.21$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.56 | 416 | 51.2%213 W · 203 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00f7…4476backed Colossal Gaming | 24c | 49.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa427…f87fbacked HMBLE | 75c | 48$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 91 | 50.5%46 W · 45 L | -5.3wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xed8f…5aa7backed Colossal Gaming | 25c | 45.27$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.32 | 188 | 29.8%56 W · 132 L | -11.1wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9209…b4d5backed HMBLE | 78c | 33.43$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.39 | 411 | 56.7%233 W · 178 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked HMBLE | 79c | 29.62$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.22 | 166 | 54.2%90 W · 76 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked HMBLE | 71c | 27.68$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.03 | 142 | 66.9%95 W · 47 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b25…10aabacked HMBLE | 76c | 18.18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.36 | 357 | 55.7%199 W · 158 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5349…a09dbacked HMBLE | 77c | 16.09$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.64 | 131 | 61.1%80 W · 51 L | +8.5wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa71c…e905backed HMBLE | 77c | 14.82$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.34 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 62cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c5…20d0backed HMBLE | 75c | 13.34$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.33 | 460 | 58%267 W · 193 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.