Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe12911f756ab39f9ca88413aab9cb9837bea8e5f68a310d572dfd68324a4f704
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- PARIVISIONof PARIVISION, Natus Vincere
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $263,171
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $263,171 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 219 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfdf5…58b3backed Natus Vincere | 1c | 74,300$743 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$742.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked Natus Vincere | 47c | 31,925$14,898 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,898.07 | 287 | 48.8%140 W · 147 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66fb…9f72backed PARIVISION | 57c | 26,309$15,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,208.64 | 545 | 56.5%308 W · 237 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked PARIVISION | 56c | 14,144$7,980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,163.15 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc40…89cfbacked Natus Vincere | 41c | 10,844$4,434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,434.29 | 360 | 41.4%149 W · 211 L | -22.2wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb517…434bbacked Natus Vincere | 31c | 8,873$2,714 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,714.11 | 228 | 42.1%96 W · 132 L | -25.3wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x40f8…327dbacked Natus Vincere | 42c | 7,000$2,930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,929.99 | 118 | 39.8%47 W · 71 L | -7.5wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4047…7293backed PARIVISION | 56c | 6,861$3,864 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,996.58 | 160 | 50.6%81 W · 79 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee21…e2febacked Natus Vincere | 50c | 6,000$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8cc7…0602backed PARIVISION | 56c | 3,675$2,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,615.01 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +80.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c2…9b8dbacked PARIVISION | 53c | 3,443$1,825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,618.21 | 255 | 49%125 W · 130 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Natus Vincere | 41c | 2,850$1,168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,168.49 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | +4.2wins | +0.10per pick | 34cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2698…0958backed Natus Vincere | 43c | 2,677$1,151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,150.94 | 134 | 41.8%56 W · 78 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ec3…750abacked PARIVISION | 59c | 2,605$1,537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,068.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81a2…fce1backed Natus Vincere | 41c | 2,605$1,068 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,068.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6463…1f5cbacked PARIVISION | 66c | 2,533$1,675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$858.09 | 92 | 57.6%53 W · 39 L | +6.4wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd1…5a9bbacked PARIVISION | 62c | 2,431$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$930.76 | 203 | 67%136 W · 67 L | +14.8wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8f0b…eb6dbacked PARIVISION | 78c | 2,400$1,872 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b5f…3397backed Natus Vincere | 22c | 2,270$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.39 | 237 | 46.8%111 W · 126 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70c1…dba0backed PARIVISION | 59c | 2,205$1,301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$904.05 | 226 | 43.8%99 W · 127 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x168b…0acfbacked PARIVISION | 79c | 2,168$1,702 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.07 | 183 | 62.8%115 W · 68 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2199…f619backed Natus Vincere | 23c | 2,000$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -2.8wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb64…bfdcbacked PARIVISION | 57c | 1,754$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$754.39 | 236 | 53%125 W · 111 L | +12.7wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed Natus Vincere | 41c | 1,650$677 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$676.5 | 810 | 29.4%238 W · 572 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b89…1069backed PARIVISION | 63c | 1,636$1,037 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$599.26 | 156 | 53.8%84 W · 72 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc5…d1a4backed Natus Vincere | 42c | 1,572$655 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$654.52 | 90 | 45.6%41 W · 49 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked PARIVISION | 57c | 1,564$893 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$671.29 | 345 | 44.3%153 W · 192 L | -15.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd722…2b5bbacked PARIVISION | 50c | 1,544$770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$773.58 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad72…4f5ebacked PARIVISION | 51c | 1,511$764 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$747.41 | 368 | 51.6%190 W · 178 L | +25.7wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed PARIVISION | 54c | 1,489$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$688.29 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e38…de0fbacked PARIVISION | 74c | 1,400$1,029 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6cc8…67f7backed PARIVISION | 60c | 1,333$803 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$529.87 | 191 | 62.8%120 W · 71 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5a…bf71backed PARIVISION | 53c | 1,234$659 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$574.35 | 466 | 49.8%232 W · 234 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50ac…a924backed Natus Vincere | 43c | 1,152$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495.51 | 95 | 55.8%53 W · 42 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed PARIVISION | 78c | 1,129$881 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.38 | 557 | 51.7%288 W · 269 L | +16.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcca…c460backed PARIVISION | 50c | 1,075$538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$537.5 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51c7…98aabacked PARIVISION | 50c | 1,008$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$507.94 | 291 | 60.1%175 W · 116 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…56efbacked Natus Vincere | 38c | 1,000$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 565 | 42.8%242 W · 323 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8c…fd3dbacked PARIVISION | 63c | 963.47$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.47 | 485 | 39.2%190 W · 295 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2133…7903backed PARIVISION | 50c | 932$466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466 | 344 | 43.9%151 W · 193 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40a2…19c9backed PARIVISION | 54c | 875.51$476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.53 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e64…89c3backed PARIVISION | 60c | 829.38$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.38 | 73 | 42.5%31 W · 42 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked PARIVISION | 58c | 731.23$422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.06 | 76 | 39.5%30 W · 46 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ebb…00febacked PARIVISION | 47c | 726.32$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385.79 | 25 | 72%18 W · 7 L | +5.6wins | +0.22per pick | 50cpaid | +38.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x38b0…060cbacked Natus Vincere | 41c | 700$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked PARIVISION | 57c | 699.33$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.38 | 605 | 42.6%258 W · 347 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc42f…9390backed Natus Vincere | 58c | 694.87$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 92 | 54.3%50 W · 42 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Natus Vincere | 38c | 663.83$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.87 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1aaa…0c04backed PARIVISION | 61c | 660.81$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.81 | 203 | 50.7%103 W · 100 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed PARIVISION | 72c | 622.4$448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.23 | 745 | 49.3%367 W · 378 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x006a…14edbacked PARIVISION | 67c | 600.83$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.1 | 119 | 60.5%72 W · 47 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Natus Vincere | 52c | 599.99$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.99 | 206 | 42.2%87 W · 119 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf679…16acbacked PARIVISION | 61c | 591$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.98 | 229 | 54.1%124 W · 105 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x506b…3f70backed PARIVISION | 77c | 551.09$422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.91 | 61 | 45.9%28 W · 33 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69ba…c976backed Natus Vincere | 55c | 548.22$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Natus Vincere | 55c | 547.18$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.37 | 713 | 42.5%303 W · 410 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75f3…0e78backed Natus Vincere | 32c | 529.69$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 412 | 48.8%201 W · 211 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e06…95d1backed PARIVISION | 58c | 524.66$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.94 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1e…d5dfbacked PARIVISION | 61c | 520.79$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.24 | 126 | 54.8%69 W · 57 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13a7…0caebacked Natus Vincere | 43c | 513.95$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78fa…bbcebacked Natus Vincere | 43c | 510.88$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed PARIVISION | 59c | 507$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.95 | 91 | 56%51 W · 40 L | +6.7wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbec5…8f77backed Natus Vincere | 44c | 500$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 78 | 35.9%28 W · 50 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x682c…ef07backed Natus Vincere | 43c | 499.54$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.62 | 99 | 46.5%46 W · 53 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc371…1e28backed Natus Vincere | 35c | 473$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.88 | 89 | 50.6%45 W · 44 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed PARIVISION | 66c | 465.7$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.08 | 666 | 62.2%414 W · 252 L | +60.2wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x47c6…2fe4backed Natus Vincere | 44c | 455$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.2 | 148 | 49.3%73 W · 75 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a8d…ab7ebacked PARIVISION | 52c | 450$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.98 | 88 | 44.3%39 W · 49 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec54…c7b2backed PARIVISION | 59c | 442.67$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.49 | 156 | 50.6%79 W · 77 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x249f…fed3backed PARIVISION | 69c | 438.77$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.79 | 626 | 50.5%316 W · 310 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3763…345fbacked Natus Vincere | 48c | 423$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.23 | 421 | 45.4%191 W · 230 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5554…98f9backed PARIVISION | 57c | 404.26$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.83 | 60 | 66.7%40 W · 20 L | +3.6wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfadf…dda0backed PARIVISION | 59c | 403$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.49 | 292 | 45.9%134 W · 158 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a95…343bbacked PARIVISION | 58c | 400$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168 | 698 | 35.2%246 W · 452 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76d3…7034backed PARIVISION | 79c | 360.38$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.38 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Natus Vincere | 27c | 343.93$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.89 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3fb…19c0backed PARIVISION | 58c | 328.36$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.91 | 67 | 35.8%24 W · 43 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed8f…5aa7backed PARIVISION | 58c | 325$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.5 | 66 | 50%33 W · 33 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Natus Vincere | 11c | 314.89$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.26 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86e0…c394backed PARIVISION | 77c | 304.35$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 807 | 42.6%344 W · 463 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x368d…d853backed PARIVISION | 61c | 294.09$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.8 | 615 | 48.8%300 W · 315 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb93a…bb32backed Natus Vincere | 12c | 291.14$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed PARIVISION | 56c | 265.86$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.69 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c1e…9514backed Natus Vincere | 14c | 254.39$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 864 | 51.7%447 W · 417 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8979…9428backed PARIVISION | 59c | 254.24$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.24 | 86 | 61.6%53 W · 33 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5623…6930backed Natus Vincere | 39c | 253.62$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.91 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1814…eb8abacked Natus Vincere | 59c | 253.5$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b2…4ab2backed Natus Vincere | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 282 | 44%124 W · 158 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae35…5dd3backed Natus Vincere | 45c | 222.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 156 | 43.6%68 W · 88 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x209e…8bb4backed Natus Vincere | 43c | 221.99$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.46 | 805 | 44.6%359 W · 446 L | -25.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…f092backed Natus Vincere | 47c | 212.24$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.5 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04ec…8ac9backed Natus Vincere | 43c | 211.99$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.82 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4d6…f355backed PARIVISION | 54c | 210$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb38f…23ddbacked Natus Vincere | 22c | 208.09$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe99e…0084backed Natus Vincere | 48c | 206.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 876 | 45.7%400 W · 476 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked PARIVISION | 66c | 204.77$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.84 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe766…404dbacked PARIVISION | 55c | 202.56$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.1 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +24%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe463…f7b2backed PARIVISION | 57c | 200$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 208 | 38.9%81 W · 127 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa7…003fbacked PARIVISION | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 450 | 52.4%236 W · 214 L | +13.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16ea…6df7backed Natus Vincere | 37c | 199.33$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.6 | 127 | 20.5%26 W · 101 L | -22.6wins | -0.18per pick | 38cpaid | -62.9%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagethis page
- Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Natus Vincere - Game 1 WinnerPARIVISION won
- Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 WinnerPARIVISION won
- Total Kills Over/Under 45.5 in Game 2?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 46.5 in Game 2?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 47.5 in Game 2?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 48.5 in Game 2?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 2?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 51.5 in Game 2?Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.