Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Natus Vincere - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe1ddc5404f214d2ebc860d67407e6a222de751986dafca5ad785784d929c297a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- PARIVISIONof PARIVISION, Natus Vincere
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $252,089
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $252,089 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 215 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x66fb…9f72backed PARIVISION | 55c | 36,180$19,862 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,317.93 | 545 | 56.5%308 W · 237 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked Natus Vincere | 48c | 24,827$12,015 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,015.14 | 287 | 48.8%140 W · 147 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c29…afadbacked Natus Vincere | 48c | 15,719$7,549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,548.69 | 61 | 50.8%31 W · 30 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x26f8…3452backed PARIVISION | 68c | 13,984$9,509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,474.86 | 154 | 57.1%88 W · 66 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc40…89cfbacked Natus Vincere | 42c | 12,322$5,175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,175.41 | 360 | 41.4%149 W · 211 L | -22.2wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x332f…1ee8backed PARIVISION | 50c | 6,000$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,000 | 92 | 53.3%49 W · 43 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x60d0…e05fbacked Natus Vincere | 44c | 4,593$2,005 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,004.73 | 412 | 42.2%174 W · 238 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked Natus Vincere | 45c | 3,987$1,799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,799.46 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f9…cf34backed Natus Vincere | 79c | 3,802$3,017 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,016.63 | 186 | 61.8%115 W · 71 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef26…05babacked PARIVISION | 49c | 3,520$1,714 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,805.83 | 254 | 46.1%117 W · 137 L | +11.9wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c29…21aabacked PARIVISION | 59c | 3,176$1,861 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,314.72 | 80 | 60%48 W · 32 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3000…df87backed Natus Vincere | 16c | 3,130$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9055…756abacked Natus Vincere | 32c | 3,100$983 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$982.81 | 119 | 60.5%72 W · 47 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb63…a71dbacked PARIVISION | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500 | 201 | 59.7%120 W · 81 L | +9.9wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab4…96a5backed PARIVISION | 55c | 2,632$1,449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,183.42 | 118 | 54.2%64 W · 54 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb517…434bbacked Natus Vincere | 44c | 2,273$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 228 | 42.1%96 W · 132 L | -25.3wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xacf6…41fcbacked Natus Vincere | 56c | 2,161$1,207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,207.23 | 606 | 46.9%284 W · 322 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Natus Vincere | 46c | 2,116$978 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$978.2 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9767…b5c4backed PARIVISION | 51c | 1,848$937 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$910.77 | 159 | 46.5%74 W · 85 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbc2…514cbacked PARIVISION | 35c | 1,738$614 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,123.02 | 338 | 45.6%154 W · 184 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5623…6930backed PARIVISION | 50c | 1,723$862 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$861.66 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fc2…64d1backed Natus Vincere | 55c | 1,548$851 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$851.4 | 110 | 43.6%48 W · 62 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1bcb…b05abacked Natus Vincere | 32c | 1,528$489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488.96 | 380 | 49.2%187 W · 193 L | +13.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +168.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed Natus Vincere | 49c | 1,500$735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$735 | 965 | 57.4%554 W · 411 L | +49.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0a…320abacked Natus Vincere | 21c | 1,461$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.11 | 920 | 56.4%519 W · 401 L | +78.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd20f…2f35backed Natus Vincere | 56c | 1,454$809 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$809 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +3.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +18%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec54…c7b2backed Natus Vincere | 51c | 1,289$653 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$653.06 | 156 | 50.6%79 W · 77 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked PARIVISION | 63c | 1,263$799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$463.87 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b89…1069backed PARIVISION | 50c | 1,250$625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$625 | 156 | 53.8%84 W · 72 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x274f…971abacked PARIVISION | 44c | 1,247$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$697.44 | 146 | 57.5%84 W · 62 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad72…4f5ebacked PARIVISION | 39c | 1,219$475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$743.92 | 368 | 51.6%190 W · 178 L | +25.7wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6a06…31d8backed Natus Vincere | 61c | 1,162$704 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$703.99 | 416 | 55.3%230 W · 186 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked Natus Vincere | 44c | 1,082$472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472.02 | 858 | 51.3%440 W · 418 L | +30.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe999…12bdbacked PARIVISION | 57c | 1,056$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455.74 | 181 | 56.4%102 W · 79 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f9…f619backed Natus Vincere | 61c | 1,013$622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$622.41 | 147 | 51.7%76 W · 71 L | +11.1wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa27c…ab67backed Natus Vincere | 50c | 999.98$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.99 | 799 | 59.4%475 W · 324 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e8a…42a0backed Natus Vincere | 55c | 909.09$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19b6…ad8ebacked Natus Vincere | 50c | 885$439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$438.8 | 326 | 52.1%170 W · 156 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x641f…942bbacked Natus Vincere | 54c | 853.17$459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459.31 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd56b…342dbacked Natus Vincere | 49c | 850$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae10…d0d9backed PARIVISION | 49c | 804.14$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.16 | 173 | 53.2%92 W · 81 L | +8.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f9…32b1backed Natus Vincere | 31c | 803.94$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.03 | 312 | 45.8%143 W · 169 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Natus Vincere | 57c | 802.61$461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460.64 | 745 | 49.3%367 W · 378 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2133…7903backed PARIVISION | 19c | 779.05$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630.49 | 344 | 43.9%151 W · 193 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Natus Vincere | 43c | 771.53$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.28 | 76 | 39.5%30 W · 46 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2760…ef06backed PARIVISION | 69c | 748.78$516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.18 | 107 | 59.8%64 W · 43 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d85…c436backed PARIVISION | 35c | 746.33$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$486.33 | 508 | 32.9%167 W · 341 L | -14.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28ea…08a4backed Natus Vincere | 32c | 716.07$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.45 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b5f…3397backed PARIVISION | 36c | 705.9$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.54 | 237 | 46.8%111 W · 126 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3741…517ebacked PARIVISION | 44c | 699.99$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391.99 | 370 | 47%174 W · 196 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x540d…c8f9backed PARIVISION | 55c | 681.63$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.08 | 388 | 55.2%214 W · 174 L | +29.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0738…6392backed Natus Vincere | 39c | 646.4$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.91 | 212 | 64.2%136 W · 76 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39a7…bcb7backed Natus Vincere | 49c | 620.41$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304 | 109 | 49.5%54 W · 55 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe375…dadfbacked Natus Vincere | 50c | 600.4$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 129 | 48.1%62 W · 67 L | -9.3wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6998…ae95backed Natus Vincere | 11c | 600$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 168 | 21.4%36 W · 132 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3763…345fbacked Natus Vincere | 51c | 600$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306 | 421 | 45.4%191 W · 230 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Natus Vincere | 44c | 599.83$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.23 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40a2…19c9backed PARIVISION | 58c | 594$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.54 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf96f…b5e5backed Natus Vincere | 26c | 579.13$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.74 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a4…4249backed Natus Vincere | 31c | 572.18$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.21 | 196 | 64.8%127 W · 69 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x860e…a06dbacked PARIVISION | 50c | 513.61$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.49 | 164 | 40.2%66 W · 98 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Natus Vincere | 48c | 500$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.81 | 666 | 62.2%414 W · 252 L | +60.2wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6463…1f5cbacked Natus Vincere | 45c | 500$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.9 | 92 | 57.6%53 W · 39 L | +6.4wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x491d…f42bbacked Natus Vincere | 58c | 500$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 396 | 60.1%238 W · 158 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1709…c148backed Natus Vincere | 48c | 499.69$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.64 | 483 | 52.4%253 W · 230 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2775…3652backed Natus Vincere | 41c | 489.64$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.17 | 330 | 41.8%138 W · 192 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf2…a469backed PARIVISION | 48c | 467.72$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.03 | 134 | 55.2%74 W · 60 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf679…16acbacked PARIVISION | 34c | 465.69$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.36 | 229 | 54.1%124 W · 105 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb97e…262bbacked Natus Vincere | 47c | 463.47$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 526 | 49.2%259 W · 267 L | +21.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c67…d062backed PARIVISION | 49c | 449.66$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.66 | 1,137 | 42.3%481 W · 656 L | -27.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Natus Vincere | 47c | 446.39$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.6 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Natus Vincere | 60c | 446.32$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.29 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1367…54fabacked Natus Vincere | 7c | 441$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.19 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…eba1backed Natus Vincere | 8c | 440.46$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.67 | 613 | 2.1%13 W · 600 L | -23.4wins | -0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d9e…456bbacked PARIVISION | 52c | 435$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.8 | 29 | 75.9%22 W · 7 L | +4.9wins | +0.17per pick | 59cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5a…bf71backed Natus Vincere | 40c | 425.05$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.06 | 466 | 49.8%232 W · 234 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8c…fd3dbacked PARIVISION | 50c | 420$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 485 | 39.2%190 W · 295 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccf5…42f2backed PARIVISION | 58c | 411.29$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.12 | 574 | 55.4%318 W · 256 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4a9…3d6fbacked Natus Vincere | 78c | 400$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311 | 91 | 45.1%41 W · 50 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dea…e294backed Natus Vincere | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 75 | 46.7%35 W · 40 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01d4…33d8backed PARIVISION | 52c | 391.2$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.2 | 117 | 57.3%67 W · 50 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa485…92a5backed Natus Vincere | 54c | 371.38$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 90 | 60%54 W · 36 L | +6.6wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2416…6e91backed PARIVISION | 50c | 353.66$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.83 | 386 | 53.9%208 W · 178 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf457…d1a6backed PARIVISION | 57c | 351.7$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.7 | 124 | 59.7%74 W · 50 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f52…c525backed Natus Vincere | 51c | 350.5$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.49 | 90 | 53.3%48 W · 42 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86e0…c394backed PARIVISION | 53c | 350$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.5 | 807 | 42.6%344 W · 463 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe5a…13f5backed PARIVISION | 48c | 334.89$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.89 | 450 | 46.7%210 W · 240 L | -11.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb6c…30c5backed PARIVISION | 59c | 332.43$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.3 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +2.8wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc327…c72abacked Natus Vincere | 43c | 327.95$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.86 | 117 | 53%62 W · 55 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc173…be7cbacked Natus Vincere | 67c | 326.34$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.73 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -2.9wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1aaa…0c04backed PARIVISION | 53c | 319.33$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.33 | 203 | 50.7%103 W · 100 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5799…db25backed PARIVISION | 48c | 314.65$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.65 | 460 | 49.8%229 W · 231 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ef0…f14cbacked PARIVISION | 20c | 299.47$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.57 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 11cpaid | +198.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c0…23d8backed Natus Vincere | 36c | 280.28$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.13 | 239 | 57.3%137 W · 102 L | +8.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77f2…eec6backed PARIVISION | 54c | 269.84$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.92 | 554 | 57.8%320 W · 234 L | +12.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed10…15edbacked PARIVISION | 56c | 262.96$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.7 | 881 | 66.7%588 W · 293 L | +76.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xca1f…ed28backed PARIVISION | 49c | 259.4$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.9 | 605 | 52.6%318 W · 287 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf770…23dbbacked PARIVISION | 50c | 256.94$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.13 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65e0…e51dbacked PARIVISION | 54c | 255.63$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.76 | 194 | 43.3%84 W · 110 L | -9.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4d…1cb0backed Natus Vincere | 31c | 232.65$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.4 | 576 | 54.5%314 W · 262 L | +29.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Natus Vincere - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group StagePARIVISION won
- Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 WinnerPARIVISION won
- Total Kills Over/Under 45.5 in Game 2?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 46.5 in Game 2?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 47.5 in Game 2?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 48.5 in Game 2?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 2?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 51.5 in Game 2?Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.