Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa547e4154cf6d210f1c11dcc24fee9f0c5cd9d582189b130a4b5d2a62c8492c0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- PARIVISIONof PARIVISION, Natus Vincere
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $174,985
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $174,985 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 197 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf9b5…09eebacked PARIVISION | 58c | 24,379$14,073 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,306.07 | 551 | 57%314 W · 237 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66fb…9f72backed PARIVISION | 57c | 12,735$7,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,434.68 | 545 | 56.5%308 W · 237 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x533e…47f4backed PARIVISION | 64c | 9,855$6,319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,536.25 | 113 | 59.3%67 W · 46 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Natus Vincere | 35c | 8,609$3,045 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,044.82 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed Natus Vincere | 45c | 8,326$3,741 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,741.45 | 965 | 57.4%554 W · 411 L | +49.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x500f…94bfbacked Natus Vincere | 41c | 4,608$1,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,880.44 | 135 | 58.5%79 W · 56 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab4…96a5backed PARIVISION | 76c | 4,365$3,309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,056.28 | 118 | 54.2%64 W · 54 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9767…b5c4backed Natus Vincere | 45c | 4,103$1,846 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,846.34 | 159 | 46.5%74 W · 85 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb63…a71dbacked Natus Vincere | 46c | 4,000$1,840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,840 | 201 | 59.7%120 W · 81 L | +9.9wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4047…7293backed Natus Vincere | 42c | 3,623$1,535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,535.43 | 160 | 50.6%81 W · 79 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2775…3652backed Natus Vincere | 38c | 3,302$1,243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,242.53 | 330 | 41.8%138 W · 192 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc5…d1a4backed Natus Vincere | 45c | 3,111$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400 | 90 | 45.6%41 W · 49 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e8a…42a0backed Natus Vincere | 45c | 3,111$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,399.86 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked PARIVISION | 67c | 3,099$2,084 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,015.24 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70c1…dba0backed Natus Vincere | 43c | 3,000$1,290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,290 | 226 | 43.8%99 W · 127 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0738…6392backed Natus Vincere | 25c | 2,529$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620.28 | 212 | 64.2%136 W · 76 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Natus Vincere | 31c | 2,496$782 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$782.2 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x506b…3f70backed Natus Vincere | 36c | 2,199$793 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$793 | 61 | 45.9%28 W · 33 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb04b…e2d4backed Natus Vincere | 45c | 1,900$855 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$855 | 161 | 42.9%69 W · 92 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4a9…3d6fbacked PARIVISION | 79c | 1,874$1,479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.99 | 91 | 45.1%41 W · 50 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b63…4acdbacked PARIVISION | 55c | 1,818$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$818.1 | 162 | 48.8%79 W · 83 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…56efbacked Natus Vincere | 42c | 1,777$749 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$748.57 | 565 | 42.8%242 W · 323 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed PARIVISION | 55c | 1,762$969 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$792.9 | 557 | 51.7%288 W · 269 L | +16.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed PARIVISION | 65c | 1,359$883 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$475.58 | 804 | 43.9%353 W · 451 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x363a…4a8dbacked PARIVISION | 58c | 1,294$755 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$538.67 | 82 | 58.5%48 W · 34 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6450…9547backed Natus Vincere | 45c | 1,288$575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$575 | 101 | 41.6%42 W · 59 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacf6…41fcbacked Natus Vincere | 40c | 1,255$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 606 | 46.9%284 W · 322 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…eba1backed Natus Vincere | 4c | 1,170$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.2 | 613 | 2.1%13 W · 600 L | -23.4wins | -0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0438…9d98backed PARIVISION | 59c | 1,117$656 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.52 | 201 | 56.7%114 W · 87 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcca…c460backed PARIVISION | 57c | 1,075$613 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462.43 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked PARIVISION | 57c | 1,040$594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445.2 | 76 | 39.5%30 W · 46 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3aa…1485backed PARIVISION | 55c | 1,033$568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464.85 | 68 | 52.9%36 W · 32 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d97…18aebacked PARIVISION | 59c | 1,019$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.42 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa27c…ab67backed PARIVISION | 56c | 1,000$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440 | 799 | 59.4%475 W · 324 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebf5…b1d0backed Natus Vincere | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 286 | 50%143 W · 143 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5623…6930backed PARIVISION | 56c | 999.99$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$439.99 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f9…cf34backed Natus Vincere | 36c | 990.93$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.11 | 186 | 61.8%115 W · 71 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Natus Vincere | 36c | 964$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.69 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf2…a469backed Natus Vincere | 44c | 950.68$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$417.71 | 134 | 55.2%74 W · 60 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6463…1f5cbacked Natus Vincere | 43c | 950$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406 | 92 | 57.6%53 W · 39 L | +6.4wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf96f…b5e5backed Natus Vincere | 45c | 913.99$411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$411.3 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e38…de0fbacked Natus Vincere | 37c | 909.46$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.5 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5215…3164backed PARIVISION | 57c | 903.26$511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.74 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -2.7wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcc81…5df2backed PARIVISION | 58c | 889.81$516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.72 | 95 | 57.9%55 W · 40 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59c8…de83backed Natus Vincere | 11c | 876.38$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 94 | 47.9%45 W · 49 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x79df…31d6backed Natus Vincere | 26c | 767.1$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 112 | 39.3%44 W · 68 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2416…6e91backed Natus Vincere | 45c | 749.36$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.96 | 386 | 53.9%208 W · 178 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed PARIVISION | 58c | 707.02$409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.82 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3763…345fbacked Natus Vincere | 45c | 700$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315 | 421 | 45.4%191 W · 230 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf795…5e34backed Natus Vincere | 20c | 699.98$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.99 | 37 | 27%10 W · 27 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x274f…971abacked Natus Vincere | 45c | 670.19$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 146 | 57.5%84 W · 62 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked PARIVISION | 58c | 641.6$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.61 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61a5…caa6backed Natus Vincere | 45c | 617$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.95 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c67…d062backed Natus Vincere | 41c | 604.79$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249 | 1,137 | 42.3%481 W · 656 L | -27.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c5a…acc3backed PARIVISION | 56c | 540$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.6 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb36…113fbacked Natus Vincere | 44c | 540$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.6 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed10…15edbacked Natus Vincere | 41c | 526.66$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.13 | 881 | 66.7%588 W · 293 L | +76.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9553…cfc7backed PARIVISION | 58c | 520.94$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.94 | 51 | 58.8%30 W · 21 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a4…4249backed PARIVISION | 74c | 509.31$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.08 | 196 | 64.8%127 W · 69 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe999…12bdbacked PARIVISION | 60c | 502.93$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.93 | 181 | 56.4%102 W · 79 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a12…d212backed Natus Vincere | 44c | 494.69$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.66 | 89 | 57.3%51 W · 38 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb97e…262bbacked PARIVISION | 66c | 490.73$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.91 | 526 | 49.2%259 W · 267 L | +21.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x676f…43c1backed PARIVISION | 56c | 480$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.2 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1b51…2b54backed Natus Vincere | 44c | 480$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.2 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed PARIVISION | 66c | 466.68$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.08 | 436 | 47.5%207 W · 229 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b39…7fbcbacked Natus Vincere | 44c | 454.55$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | -4.2wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Natus Vincere | 17c | 445.67$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.06 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b99…8bddbacked PARIVISION | 79c | 409.99$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.76 | 774 | 58.5%453 W · 321 L | +75.1wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed PARIVISION | 55c | 399.99$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 1,248 | 44.4%554 W · 694 L | +17.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa474…32cbbacked Natus Vincere | 45c | 382.53$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.14 | 538 | 44.4%239 W · 299 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a38…fee0backed Natus Vincere | 44c | 352.1$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.92 | 603 | 49.9%301 W · 302 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed Natus Vincere | 43c | 350$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.5 | 810 | 29.4%238 W · 572 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0828…5cfebacked PARIVISION | 61c | 338.74$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.42 | 165 | 50.9%84 W · 81 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x540d…c8f9backed Natus Vincere | 35c | 323.47$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.91 | 388 | 55.2%214 W · 174 L | +29.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x860e…a06dbacked PARIVISION | 58c | 319.79$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.54 | 164 | 40.2%66 W · 98 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bfc…ce53backed Natus Vincere | 20c | 300$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 116 | 47.4%55 W · 61 L | -6.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Natus Vincere | 37c | 283.85$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.19 | 137 | 33.6%46 W · 91 L | -8.1wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93aa…6ac0backed Natus Vincere | 37c | 273.73$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.18 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x713c…b373backed PARIVISION | 78c | 273.46$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.61 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26b9…346fbacked PARIVISION | 76c | 269.94$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.69 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 67cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3be…f543backed PARIVISION | 80c | 261.36$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.47 | 254 | 57.9%147 W · 107 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe5a…13f5backed Natus Vincere | 40c | 250.8$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.32 | 450 | 46.7%210 W · 240 L | -11.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8849…9a83backed Natus Vincere | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 106 | 59.4%63 W · 43 L | +9.4wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…fadbbacked Natus Vincere | 8c | 236.35$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.51 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 36cpaid | -52.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x98a7…b766backed Natus Vincere | 39c | 230.7$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.98 | 602 | 51.2%308 W · 294 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7181…1b0abacked PARIVISION | 61c | 228.84$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.29 | 149 | 65.8%98 W · 51 L | +8.8wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd236…a65ebacked PARIVISION | 56c | 227.9$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.14 | 137 | 52.6%72 W · 65 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd537…0f7cbacked PARIVISION | 62c | 204.84$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.84 | 204 | 52.9%108 W · 96 L | -10.7wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0702…e5eabacked Natus Vincere | 38c | 196.11$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 407 | 45.5%185 W · 222 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5a…bf71backed Natus Vincere | 39c | 189.74$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.3 | 466 | 49.8%232 W · 234 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8031…67e0backed Natus Vincere | 44c | 189.38$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.33 | 737 | 43.6%321 W · 416 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2099…3024backed Natus Vincere | 17c | 183.19$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.63 | 36 | 22.2%8 W · 28 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95d6…9aeabacked PARIVISION | 78c | 179.89$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.3 | 121 | 32.2%39 W · 82 L | -8.6wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1f46…cddbbacked PARIVISION | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 240 | 52.1%125 W · 115 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2761…4d95backed PARIVISION | 55c | 172.46$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.61 | 446 | 45.7%204 W · 242 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbffe…5664backed Natus Vincere | 47c | 171.08$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -3.6wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x77f2…eec6backed PARIVISION | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 554 | 57.8%320 W · 234 L | +12.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5264…54cebacked PARIVISION | 61c | 156.34$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.34 | 123 | 48%59 W · 64 L | -6.0wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c1e…9514backed Natus Vincere | 42c | 154.18$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 864 | 51.7%447 W · 417 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa7…003fbacked Natus Vincere | 44c | 150$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 450 | 52.4%236 W · 214 L | +13.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group StagePARIVISION won
- Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Natus Vincere - Game 1 WinnerPARIVISION won
- Total Kills Over/Under 45.5 in Game 2?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 46.5 in Game 2?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 47.5 in Game 2?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 48.5 in Game 2?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 2?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 51.5 in Game 2?Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.