TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x26b9…346f

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
26
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Champions League, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Champions League at 52 out of 100; worst Tennis at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 14, 2026, EDT1861.1%11 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick67cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+73.7%+$29.47
Dota 2: Rune Eaters vs Virtus.pro - Game 1 Winnerbacked Rune Eaters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
Dota 2: Aurora vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffsbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$34
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffsbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.82
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffsbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$54.02
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Vici Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Dota 2: GamerLegion vs Team Spirit (BO3) - DreamLeague Group Abacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$176Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+25%+$44.11
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - DreamLeague Group Bbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs PlayTime (BO3) - DreamLeague Group Bbacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$7.39
Dota 2: PlayTime vs Yellow Submarine (BO3) - 1win Essence Playoffsbacked PlayTime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$7.06
Dota 2: PlayTime vs PARIVISION (BO3) - 1win Essence Playoffsbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$5.27
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Tundra Esports (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$206Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+30.9%+$63.69
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs GamerLegion - Game 2 Winnerbacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+31.6%+$33.17
Dota 2: REKONIX vs Natus Vincere (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+49.8%+$9.96
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Team Falcons (BO5)backed Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+57.2%+$21.17
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Team Aureus (BO1)backed Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.5
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs. Heroicbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT+63.9%+$12.15
All 18 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.27per pick77cpaid-36.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 11, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.4wins-0.71per pick71cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$10
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$15
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 10, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Chiefs win Super Bowl 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$113Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST-100%-$113
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.79per pick79cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.