Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: REKONIX vs Natus Vincere (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3d75d38c7ab9a6657eb2a0a32b9f3e70c0c68b55fade3199c7c219e965c642bc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Natus Vincereof REKONIX, Natus Vincere
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $45,728
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $47,104
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $45,728 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 117 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Natus Vincere | 65c | 5,051$3,283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,767.74 | 341 | 46.6%159 W · 182 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed REKONIX | 47c | 3,259$1,534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,533.55 | 191 | 48.7%93 W · 98 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Natus Vincere | 67c | 2,564$1,728 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$835.97 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3fc…5176backed REKONIX | 35c | 1,529$535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$535 | 85 | 43.5%37 W · 48 L | -6.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xacf6…41fcbacked REKONIX | 45c | 1,322$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 606 | 46.9%284 W · 322 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked Natus Vincere | 39c | 1,216$474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$742.08 | 998 | 44.4%443 W · 555 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb04b…e2d4backed REKONIX | 36c | 1,182$426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425.52 | 161 | 42.9%69 W · 92 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x249f…fed3backed REKONIX | 45c | 1,139$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.73 | 626 | 50.5%316 W · 310 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b19…3084backed REKONIX | 1c | 1,110$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.68 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51ad…5e56backed Natus Vincere | 44c | 1,045$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$585.15 | 104 | 56.7%59 W · 45 L | +6.7wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe42b…7ea9backed REKONIX | 39c | 1,005$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.99 | 465 | 35.1%163 W · 302 L | +22.9wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf264…9e0fbacked REKONIX | 56c | 915.24$511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$511 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 66cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa97f…a818backed REKONIX | 35c | 901$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.64 | 587 | 44%258 W · 329 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed REKONIX | 1c | 800.76$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.87 | 616 | 9.7%60 W · 556 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1e…d5dfbacked REKONIX | 35c | 750$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.5 | 126 | 54.8%69 W · 57 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Natus Vincere | 42c | 682.61$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$393.91 | 738 | 41.7%308 W · 430 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf801…901cbacked REKONIX | 48c | 673.3$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.58 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b64…eaf4backed Natus Vincere | 63c | 631.17$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.88 | 177 | 40.7%72 W · 105 L | -11.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebb…061abacked Natus Vincere | 65c | 611.69$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.69 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4f…46c2backed REKONIX | 47c | 601.79$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.79 | 360 | 54.4%196 W · 164 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4dde…cff5backed Natus Vincere | 60c | 551.75$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.75 | 336 | 44%148 W · 188 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked REKONIX | 37c | 536.51$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.19 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0a…320abacked Natus Vincere | 34c | 523.82$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.66 | 920 | 56.4%519 W · 401 L | +78.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Natus Vincere | 58c | 519.15$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.76 | 83 | 28.9%24 W · 59 L | -6.5wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6a06…31d8backed REKONIX | 10c | 504.81$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 416 | 55.3%230 W · 186 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74ef…1ac6backed Natus Vincere | 64c | 470.96$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.96 | 476 | 60.7%289 W · 187 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Natus Vincere | 37c | 439.8$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.96 | 149 | 40.9%61 W · 88 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a95…343bbacked REKONIX | 35c | 400$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 698 | 35.2%246 W · 452 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e7f…6d97backed REKONIX | 10c | 389.16$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 58 | 39.7%23 W · 35 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b99…8bddbacked Natus Vincere | 49c | 363.45$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.15 | 774 | 58.5%453 W · 321 L | +75.1wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6d96…d524backed Natus Vincere | 59c | 340.44$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.44 | 269 | 57.6%155 W · 114 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Natus Vincere | 61c | 321.71$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.56 | 336 | 45.5%153 W · 183 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa824…c9fcbacked REKONIX | 50c | 302.05$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 180 | 53.3%96 W · 84 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed REKONIX | 56c | 301.49$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.87 | 340 | 63.2%215 W · 125 L | +38.9wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +13%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd9b8…50d8backed Natus Vincere | 37c | 294.74$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.74 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bdd…1b11backed Natus Vincere | 66c | 294.22$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.97 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e18…e68bbacked Natus Vincere | 48c | 279.19$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.57 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked REKONIX | 57c | 268.61$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.08 | 1,901 | 47.6%905 W · 996 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c13…ed01backed REKONIX | 66c | 256.81$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd15e…db59backed Natus Vincere | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.41 | 118 | 45.8%54 W · 64 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70d7…2511backed REKONIX | 40c | 252.46$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec6c…23c7backed Natus Vincere | 54c | 220.95$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.61 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Natus Vincere | 20c | 206.39$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.12 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b2f…7241backed REKONIX | 49c | 202.05$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -3.3wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xad69…7397backed REKONIX | 35c | 200$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 511 | 40.3%206 W · 305 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0735…4d2cbacked REKONIX | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.31per pick | 12cpaid | +246.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbc6d…f1c8backed REKONIX | 35c | 200$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +4.4wins | +0.16per pick | 32cpaid | +47.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Natus Vincere | 43c | 179.99$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.95 | 111 | 45.9%51 W · 60 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked REKONIX | 16c | 162$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.92 | 793 | 41.7%331 W · 462 L | -13.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x479b…7235backed REKONIX | 73c | 161.36$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.71 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -5.4wins | -0.14per pick | 59cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xce1f…7392backed Natus Vincere | 54c | 160.21$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.7 | 678 | 53.5%363 W · 315 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2249…3005backed REKONIX | 78c | 160$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.3 | 96 | 45.8%44 W · 52 L | -12.1wins | -0.13per pick | 58cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x69ba…c976backed Natus Vincere | 60c | 158.98$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.98 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7786…c005backed Natus Vincere | 60c | 154.05$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.62 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -3.6wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xccf5…42f2backed Natus Vincere | 63c | 142.98$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.2 | 574 | 55.4%318 W · 256 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed REKONIX | 36c | 141.79$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.08 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfadf…dda0backed REKONIX | 37c | 132.54$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.54 | 292 | 45.9%134 W · 158 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa49…6330backed Natus Vincere | 65c | 122.35$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.35 | 111 | 57.7%64 W · 47 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1461…30a1backed Natus Vincere | 65c | 119$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.94 | 76 | 65.8%50 W · 26 L | +8.5wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x92b5…2defbacked REKONIX | 38c | 119$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.93 | 958 | 41.1%394 W · 564 L | +32.7wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked REKONIX | 53c | 118.85$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.21 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd81…de69backed REKONIX | 14c | 114.86$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.08 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e88…5ddabacked REKONIX | 44c | 114.36$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.79 | 75 | 62.7%47 W · 28 L | +11.2wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5a89…3e2abacked REKONIX | 72c | 111.69$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.42 | 300 | 41.3%124 W · 176 L | -10.2wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52f2…5a5dbacked REKONIX | 76c | 104$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.12 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -2.7wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc3b2…e009backed REKONIX | 15c | 103.53$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.53 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52de…e0f6backed REKONIX | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1532…1dadbacked Natus Vincere | 25c | 100$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 226 | 54.4%123 W · 103 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6998…ae95backed REKONIX | 20c | 99.23$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.39 | 168 | 21.4%36 W · 132 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed REKONIX | 25c | 97.91$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.9 | 153 | 37.3%57 W · 96 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -33%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9147…baccbacked Natus Vincere | 58c | 97.78$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.78 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1709…c148backed REKONIX | 65c | 93.91$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.14 | 483 | 52.4%253 W · 230 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00fe…eff7backed REKONIX | 36c | 91$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.76 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 39cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13e9…7cd4backed REKONIX | 37c | 83.83$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 90 | 45.6%41 W · 49 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac93…0cfcbacked Natus Vincere | 62c | 82.15$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.22 | 581 | 52.5%305 W · 276 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x988d…9899backed Natus Vincere | 62c | 80.56$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.72 | 133 | 46.6%62 W · 71 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43d3…5ea8backed Natus Vincere | 25c | 80$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 18 | 77.8%14 W · 4 L | +2.8wins | +0.15per pick | 62cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e83…ecabbacked REKONIX | 74c | 78.51$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.1 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80c3…ed8fbacked REKONIX | 50c | 76.05$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.03 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fd7…6c52backed REKONIX | 35c | 75$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.25 | 89 | 34.8%31 W · 58 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bea…5d50backed Natus Vincere | 36c | 66.97$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.53 | 477 | 48.6%232 W · 245 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Natus Vincere | 50c | 62.87$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.43 | 666 | 62.2%414 W · 252 L | +60.2wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Natus Vincere | 37c | 61.31$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.83 | 138 | 27.5%38 W · 100 L | -15.0wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x01a4…d2b5backed Natus Vincere | 55c | 61.13$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.7 | 51 | 37.3%19 W · 32 L | -4.5wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa787…a9d1backed Natus Vincere | 18c | 60$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d31…07b0backed Natus Vincere | 62c | 54.94$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.88 | 252 | 55.2%139 W · 113 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2157…3db0backed Natus Vincere | 57c | 52.68$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.68 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +3.2wins | +0.24per pick | 45cpaid | +50.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Natus Vincere | 37c | 50.45$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.95 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Natus Vincere | 64c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 145 | 47.6%69 W · 76 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf035…0924backed Natus Vincere | 54c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 124 | 49.2%61 W · 63 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72c2…5e74backed REKONIX | 41c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 793 | 43.6%346 W · 447 L | +38.4wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed REKONIX | 42c | 46.93$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.91 | 181 | 43.6%79 W · 102 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe63b…b7c9backed REKONIX | 36c | 45.8$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.61 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…8be8backed Natus Vincere | 41c | 43.95$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.81 | 182 | 48.4%88 W · 94 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3494…04f4backed REKONIX | 35c | 42.85$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 118 | 36.4%43 W · 75 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Natus Vincere | 32c | 42.42$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.76 | 869 | 49%426 W · 443 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10b9…0a9bbacked Natus Vincere | 59c | 40.83$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.74 | 101 | 56.4%57 W · 44 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa6…03ebbacked REKONIX | 35c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 200 | 46%92 W · 108 L | +13.2wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x11f2…a7a0backed REKONIX | 68c | 39.02$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.67 | 41 | 63.4%26 W · 15 L | +3.3wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9f7b…0cc9backed Natus Vincere | 56c | 39$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.16 | 79 | 44.3%35 W · 44 L | -8.8wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.