Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Rune Eaters vs Virtus.pro - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf09346f3c5eec55837dfec04e1bfc1b309c9b8133043cad5ffe556445a8d0b8d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Virtus.proof Rune Eaters, Virtus.pro
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $682,641
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $886,015
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $682,641 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 376 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed Virtus.pro | 57c | 118,851$67,588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51,263.14 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2146…d41bbacked Rune Eaters | 37c | 38,490$14,182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,182.15 | 893 | 41.5%371 W · 522 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Rune Eaters | 40c | 24,654$9,830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,829.84 | 711 | 43%306 W · 405 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3413…8ff2backed Rune Eaters | 40c | 20,000$7,965 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,964.78 | 471 | 46.1%217 W · 254 L | +25.3wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x04f6…f24abacked Rune Eaters | 36c | 14,513$5,275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,275.23 | 503 | 47.1%237 W · 266 L | +14.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79ae…9a4abacked Rune Eaters | 40c | 13,547$5,484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,483.71 | 234 | 35.9%84 W · 150 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9eca…5a59backed Virtus.pro | 61c | 12,311$7,510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,801.29 | 400 | 51.5%206 W · 194 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe548…a9febacked Rune Eaters | 36c | 11,101$3,996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,996.36 | 72 | 36.1%26 W · 46 L | -5.5wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked Rune Eaters | 40c | 10,284$4,142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,142 | 1,197 | 59.2%709 W · 488 L | +63.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff80…9b4dbacked Virtus.pro | 59c | 9,992$5,896 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,095.57 | 174 | 44.8%78 W · 96 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Rune Eaters | 37c | 9,779$3,595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,594.92 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed Rune Eaters | 40c | 9,645$3,868 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,867.61 | 1,036 | 47.2%489 W · 547 L | +15.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…83ffbacked Virtus.pro | 53c | 9,394$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,393.52 | 534 | 51.7%276 W · 258 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5a…4289backed Virtus.pro | 62c | 9,250$5,712 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,538.94 | 303 | 57.1%173 W · 130 L | +12.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Virtus.pro | 60c | 9,100$5,477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,623.2 | 569 | 55.5%316 W · 253 L | +22.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Rune Eaters | 38c | 8,415$3,186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,185.66 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf991…3965backed Rune Eaters | 39c | 8,393$3,283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,283.26 | 312 | 48.4%151 W · 161 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed Virtus.pro | 60c | 7,777$4,666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,110.79 | 963 | 57.3%552 W · 411 L | +48.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x99ad…3624backed Rune Eaters | 26c | 5,695$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -4.1wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c2…9b8dbacked Rune Eaters | 36c | 5,555$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,999.8 | 255 | 49%125 W · 130 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe865…0b11backed Virtus.pro | 58c | 5,152$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,152.46 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 57cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a48…e3a8backed Virtus.pro | 58c | 5,106$2,945 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,161.48 | 252 | 66.3%167 W · 85 L | +20.5wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd7d3…698bbacked Rune Eaters | 38c | 5,044$1,909 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,909.34 | 480 | 53.1%255 W · 225 L | +25.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4aec…4ce9backed Virtus.pro | 74c | 4,709$3,493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,216.2 | 306 | 67.3%206 W · 100 L | +18.3wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf3de…6fe8backed Virtus.pro | 80c | 4,554$3,643 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$910.75 | 100 | 75%75 W · 25 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 72cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb29f…45b5backed Rune Eaters | 41c | 4,500$1,855 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,855.15 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde24…4dedbacked Rune Eaters | 49c | 4,392$2,169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,168.8 | 198 | 53%105 W · 93 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67bb…b6efbacked Virtus.pro | 61c | 4,120$2,513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,606.61 | 281 | 59.8%168 W · 113 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5556…2759backed Rune Eaters | 37c | 4,090$1,533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,532.52 | 290 | 43.4%126 W · 164 L | -13.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x568d…87d0backed Rune Eaters | 50c | 4,021$2,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,010.16 | 105 | 37.1%39 W · 66 L | -6.6wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -24%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc1de…21f5backed Rune Eaters | 43c | 4,000$1,712 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,712.15 | 299 | 52.2%156 W · 143 L | +19.9wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Rune Eaters | 37c | 4,000$1,460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,459.99 | 100 | 50%50 W · 50 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a85…ff94backed Virtus.pro | 55c | 3,724$2,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,673.98 | 293 | 52.9%155 W · 138 L | +8.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6f1…5729backed Virtus.pro | 62c | 3,666$2,259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,407.3 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked Rune Eaters | 40c | 3,500$1,389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,389.42 | 800 | 56%448 W · 352 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8400…274cbacked Virtus.pro | 65c | 3,091$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,091.25 | 47 | 63.8%30 W · 17 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 68cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60dd…40e5backed Rune Eaters | 33c | 3,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 334 | 53%177 W · 157 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f2d…2b35backed Virtus.pro | 66c | 3,000$1,980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,019.99 | 536 | 52.6%282 W · 254 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Rune Eaters | 42c | 2,990$1,266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,266.15 | 457 | 50.8%232 W · 225 L | +14.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Rune Eaters | 41c | 2,779$1,128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,128.16 | 656 | 47.3%310 W · 346 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…eba1backed Rune Eaters | 2c | 2,601$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.8 | 613 | 2.1%13 W · 600 L | -23.4wins | -0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7714…b814backed Virtus.pro | 60c | 2,592$1,555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,036.8 | 241 | 53.1%128 W · 113 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed Rune Eaters | 44c | 2,589$1,141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,141.34 | 686 | 49.7%341 W · 345 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Virtus.pro | 61c | 2,501$1,526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$975.39 | 293 | 48.5%142 W · 151 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…7afcbacked Virtus.pro | 59c | 2,468$1,457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,011.5 | 944 | 42.3%399 W · 545 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0a…320abacked Virtus.pro | 60c | 2,418$1,451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$967.41 | 917 | 56.5%518 W · 399 L | +79.2wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xce08…510bbacked Virtus.pro | 60c | 2,400$1,445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$954.68 | 359 | 51.3%184 W · 175 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Rune Eaters | 38c | 2,360$908 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$907.86 | 325 | 48.9%159 W · 166 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3752…2f08backed Rune Eaters | 42c | 2,350$988 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$988 | 344 | 42.2%145 W · 199 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed Virtus.pro | 61c | 2,295$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$895.01 | 413 | 51.8%214 W · 199 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21c7…42e7backed Rune Eaters | 28c | 2,066$585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$584.97 | 102 | 56.9%58 W · 44 L | +6.5wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x69bf…0c5dbacked Virtus.pro | 62c | 2,010$1,245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$764.76 | 365 | 47.7%174 W · 191 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8adb…e4f6backed Virtus.pro | 62c | 2,000$1,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$760 | 95 | 56.8%54 W · 41 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f0…26edbacked Rune Eaters | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 338 | 67.8%229 W · 109 L | +16.0wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x18e4…e2bbbacked Rune Eaters | 21c | 2,000$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 79 | 36.7%29 W · 50 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Rune Eaters | 37c | 1,900$711 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$710.59 | 176 | 48.3%85 W · 91 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe23b…7c42backed Virtus.pro | 56c | 1,900$1,055 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$844.99 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65fe…c200backed Rune Eaters | 54c | 1,819$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$989.95 | 65 | 64.6%42 W · 23 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd953…a9c0backed Rune Eaters | 54c | 1,788$963 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$963.11 | 89 | 58.4%52 W · 37 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8859…89d6backed Virtus.pro | 63c | 1,782$1,123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$658.85 | 70 | 57.1%40 W · 30 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb72…6532backed Rune Eaters | 39c | 1,692$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$659.71 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bd…bbc5backed Rune Eaters | 42c | 1,620$683 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$682.73 | 537 | 64.4%346 W · 191 L | +26.5wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Rune Eaters | 37c | 1,603$598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$597.91 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe39c…71c4backed Virtus.pro | 62c | 1,539$950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$588.62 | 53 | 60.4%32 W · 21 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d85…c436backed Rune Eaters | 32c | 1,519$481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480.76 | 508 | 32.9%167 W · 341 L | -14.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6eac…ed37backed Rune Eaters | 41c | 1,500$615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$615 | 569 | 49%279 W · 290 L | +34.0wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfae1…fdc1backed Virtus.pro | 48c | 1,495$715 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$780.49 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -4.1wins | -0.20per pick | 48cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6e44…21bcbacked Virtus.pro | 62c | 1,450$894 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$556 | 791 | 59.4%470 W · 321 L | +18.8wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7951…bb41backed Rune Eaters | 37c | 1,324$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.64 | 647 | 44.4%287 W · 360 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f79…434abacked Rune Eaters | 23c | 1,310$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.02 | 496 | 44.6%221 W · 275 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1365…c82abacked Rune Eaters | 41c | 1,302$528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$528.19 | 612 | 56%343 W · 269 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c7b…6e9dbacked Rune Eaters | 39c | 1,282$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 252 | 46.8%118 W · 134 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…e798backed Virtus.pro | 61c | 1,266$772 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$493.75 | 720 | 35.1%253 W · 467 L | -24.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd331…733cbacked Rune Eaters | 38c | 1,265$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.74 | 165 | 50.3%83 W · 82 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9c…e006backed Rune Eaters | 48c | 1,249$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 226 | 63.3%143 W · 83 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0af2…a2bbbacked Virtus.pro | 63c | 1,235$778 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456.95 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | -3.8wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a57…7b0abacked Rune Eaters | 38c | 1,230$467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$467.4 | 86 | 57%49 W · 37 L | +5.7wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x87e6…9c8abacked Rune Eaters | 46c | 1,219$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555 | 122 | 53.3%65 W · 57 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19ae…395cbacked Rune Eaters | 37c | 1,200$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444 | 319 | 36.7%117 W · 202 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf201…527ebacked Rune Eaters | 13c | 1,200$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152 | 325 | 49.8%162 W · 163 L | +23.9wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed Rune Eaters | 40c | 1,182$473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472.73 | 177 | 57.6%102 W · 75 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2133…7903backed Rune Eaters | 35c | 1,180$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410.35 | 340 | 44.4%151 W · 189 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe3f…0fcfbacked Virtus.pro | 61c | 1,164$712 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$452.17 | 866 | 59.6%516 W · 350 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba57…1e84backed Virtus.pro | 63c | 1,159$730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.73 | 150 | 50.7%76 W · 74 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Rune Eaters | 39c | 1,127$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444.5 | 1,066 | 57%608 W · 458 L | +52.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a96…7a34backed Virtus.pro | 65c | 1,112$717 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.6 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfa8…cae6backed Virtus.pro | 61c | 1,100$673 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427 | 111 | 54.1%60 W · 51 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94cb…64e3backed Rune Eaters | 35c | 1,100$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.99 | 188 | 30.9%58 W · 130 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc75a…1ab2backed Rune Eaters | 5c | 1,099$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.99 | 400 | 14.8%59 W · 341 L | +11.2wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc714…d152backed Virtus.pro | 61c | 1,047$639 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.23 | 211 | 58.3%123 W · 88 L | +8.4wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a38…fee0backed Rune Eaters | 47c | 1,045$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$496 | 603 | 49.9%301 W · 302 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x260a…eb0fbacked Virtus.pro | 58c | 1,041$602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$438.63 | 153 | 68%104 W · 49 L | +17.6wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbeef…92b7backed Rune Eaters | 39c | 1,014$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.92 | 150 | 54.7%82 W · 68 L | +7.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x615d…bd5bbacked Rune Eaters | 39c | 1,011$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.41 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Rune Eaters | 18c | 1,006$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.26 | 679 | 32.5%221 W · 458 L | -27.2wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Rune Eaters | 37c | 1,000$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370 | 894 | 40.3%360 W · 534 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe361…ae44backed Rune Eaters | 39c | 1,000$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 315 | 47.6%150 W · 165 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab12…764ebacked Virtus.pro | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 270 | 60%162 W · 108 L | -11.3wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x703b…e371backed Rune Eaters | 28c | 999.99$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278 | 515 | 44.9%231 W · 284 L | +40.9wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x149a…49d0backed Virtus.pro | 59c | 999.97$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.99 | 507 | 69.2%351 W · 156 L | +33.7wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Rune Eaters vs Virtus.pro - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Rune Eaters vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - Esports World Cup SurvivalRune Eaters won
- Dota 2: Rune Eaters vs Virtus.pro - Game 2 WinnerRune Eaters won
- Game Handicap: VP (-1.5) vs Rune Eaters (+1.5)Rune Eaters won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.