Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: PlayTime vs PARIVISION (BO3) - 1win Essence Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1c20ced2eaf57505eb096454fdaf1f177ef8f9cb2270ccb8c24b4b577c6e8faa
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- PARIVISIONof PlayTime, PARIVISION
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $214,443
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $225,587
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $214,443 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 274 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed PlayTime | 24c | 40,753$9,694 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,694.45 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9eca…5a59backed PARIVISION | 68c | 22,057$15,002 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,055.58 | 400 | 51.5%206 W · 194 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed PlayTime | 27c | 11,606$3,085 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,084.65 | 965 | 57.4%554 W · 411 L | +49.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d4d…8525backed PlayTime | 29c | 7,419$2,174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,174.45 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -4.5wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed PARIVISION | 66c | 6,290$4,131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,159.52 | 457 | 50.8%232 W · 225 L | +14.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed PARIVISION | 76c | 5,734$4,378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,355.27 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked PARIVISION | 71c | 5,597$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,597.3 | 1,202 | 59.3%713 W · 489 L | +64.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x540d…c8f9backed PlayTime | 39c | 5,030$1,985 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,985.27 | 388 | 55.2%214 W · 174 L | +29.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked PlayTime | 24c | 4,675$1,119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,119.18 | 966 | 45.1%436 W · 530 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3763…345fbacked PlayTime | 39c | 4,271$1,652 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,652.38 | 421 | 45.4%191 W · 230 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0352…86b0backed PlayTime | 49c | 4,167$2,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,050 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed PlayTime | 26c | 4,002$1,032 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,031.61 | 885 | 39.7%351 W · 534 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked PlayTime | 24c | 3,639$887 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$886.71 | 345 | 44.3%153 W · 192 L | -15.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05a7…42e6backed PARIVISION | 75c | 3,486$2,607 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$879.1 | 410 | 56.8%233 W · 177 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed PlayTime | 23c | 3,137$717 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$717.04 | 810 | 29.4%238 W · 572 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed PARIVISION | 73c | 3,000$2,190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$810 | 151 | 44.4%67 W · 84 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa35c…a113backed PlayTime | 32c | 2,500$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 617 | 45.7%282 W · 335 L | -12.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad69…7397backed PlayTime | 17c | 2,086$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.59 | 511 | 40.3%206 W · 305 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…165bbacked PlayTime | 37c | 1,917$715 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$715.1 | 1,275 | 33.5%427 W · 848 L | -15.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed PlayTime | 18c | 1,809$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.12 | 62 | 37.1%23 W · 39 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed PARIVISION | 74c | 1,800$1,333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$467.08 | 1,164 | 47.2%549 W · 615 L | -29.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x836c…acffbacked PARIVISION | 79c | 1,557$1,227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.65 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8705…edbabacked PARIVISION | 71c | 1,521$1,085 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435.92 | 430 | 49.1%211 W · 219 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d3f…ab65backed PARIVISION | 67c | 1,500$1,005 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495 | 97 | 49.5%48 W · 49 L | -7.3wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x93f6…4814backed PlayTime | 30c | 1,469$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435.42 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa664…f849backed PARIVISION | 73c | 1,439$1,051 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.62 | 291 | 43.6%127 W · 164 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xceee…d39ebacked PlayTime | 23c | 1,389$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.53 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.15per pick | 42cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x689c…6b1ebacked PARIVISION | 61c | 1,337$810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$527.03 | 47 | 61.7%29 W · 18 L | +4.5wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x135f…528cbacked PlayTime | 38c | 1,316$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 58 | 24.1%14 W · 44 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa88…85a5backed PARIVISION | 62c | 1,300$806 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$494 | 696 | 44.5%310 W · 386 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2761…4d95backed PARIVISION | 46c | 1,271$583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$688.3 | 446 | 45.7%204 W · 242 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2775…3652backed PlayTime | 40c | 1,214$489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.28 | 330 | 41.8%138 W · 192 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c1e…9514backed PlayTime | 16c | 1,199$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.59 | 864 | 51.7%447 W · 417 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2fe…7558backed PARIVISION | 74c | 1,180$873 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.8 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa62b…0f85backed PARIVISION | 60c | 1,142$685 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456.67 | 117 | 42.7%50 W · 67 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a4f…9b0cbacked PlayTime | 36c | 1,111$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 82 | 50%41 W · 41 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x149a…49d0backed PARIVISION | 66c | 1,095$723 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.5 | 507 | 69.2%351 W · 156 L | +33.7wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked PlayTime | 24c | 1,044$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.03 | 1,280 | 45%576 W · 704 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked PARIVISION | 75c | 1,029$774 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.85 | 171 | 46.2%79 W · 92 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab04…a00abacked PARIVISION | 50c | 1,002$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$501 | 379 | 45.9%174 W · 205 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7951…bb41backed PARIVISION | 73c | 1,000$730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 647 | 44.4%287 W · 360 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8227…0bccbacked PlayTime | 52c | 1,000$523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$522.5 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +2.9wins | +0.15per pick | 59cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked PlayTime | 24c | 1,000$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 116 | 44.8%52 W · 64 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa7…003fbacked PARIVISION | 68c | 1,000$685 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315 | 450 | 52.4%236 W · 214 L | +13.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e35…2614backed PARIVISION | 61c | 987.02$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386.89 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe252…5714backed PlayTime | 22c | 937.97$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.5 | 40 | 27.5%11 W · 29 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb69…cfd1backed PARIVISION | 68c | 928.99$633 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.99 | 303 | 56.4%171 W · 132 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf919…3241backed PlayTime | 40c | 895$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.75 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x421e…1e47backed PARIVISION | 69c | 859.53$594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.75 | 65 | 27.7%18 W · 47 L | -9.9wins | -0.15per pick | 43cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x450e…4fddbacked PARIVISION | 75c | 825$619 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.25 | 117 | 58.1%68 W · 49 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98a7…b766backed PlayTime | 19c | 800$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152 | 602 | 51.2%308 W · 294 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cab…a8cfbacked PARIVISION | 77c | 772.21$596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176 | 353 | 70%247 W · 106 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb46…3692backed PlayTime | 26c | 763.27$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.45 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +3.4wins | +0.31per pick | 42cpaid | +76%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9c27…cb5bbacked PARIVISION | 67c | 750$503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.5 | 84 | 69%58 W · 26 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd80a…5874backed PlayTime | 39c | 750$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0738…6392backed PARIVISION | 62c | 749.46$466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.13 | 212 | 64.2%136 W · 76 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60e3…57b5backed PARIVISION | 72c | 697.66$502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.35 | 348 | 60.1%209 W · 139 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb39a…abedbacked PARIVISION | 78c | 672$526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.04 | 40 | 62.5%25 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03a2…7e3ebacked PARIVISION | 60c | 670$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268 | 122 | 48.4%59 W · 63 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked PlayTime | 29c | 665.19$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.07 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x473f…9892backed PARIVISION | 69c | 656.05$454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.54 | 500 | 53%265 W · 235 L | +14.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e44…21bcbacked PARIVISION | 67c | 650$436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.5 | 798 | 59%471 W · 327 L | +16.1wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a95…343bbacked PlayTime | 26c | 641.39$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.76 | 698 | 35.2%246 W · 452 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe90a…f6b5backed PARIVISION | 65c | 629.98$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.99 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bcb…b05abacked PARIVISION | 51c | 609.05$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.84 | 380 | 49.2%187 W · 193 L | +13.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +168.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed PARIVISION | 77c | 600$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138 | 745 | 49.3%367 W · 378 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff80…9b4dbacked PARIVISION | 60c | 600$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 174 | 44.8%78 W · 96 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5799…db25backed PlayTime | 34c | 588.24$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 460 | 49.8%229 W · 231 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc214…105dbacked PARIVISION | 70c | 579.09$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.09 | 488 | 43.6%213 W · 275 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c67…d062backed PlayTime | 34c | 571.24$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.22 | 1,137 | 42.3%481 W · 656 L | -27.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2662…3f84backed PlayTime | 44c | 564.77$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 145 | 62.1%90 W · 55 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5011…94b4backed PARIVISION | 72c | 564.19$406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.97 | 246 | 36.6%90 W · 156 L | -14.4wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x597d…b97dbacked PlayTime | 26c | 541.77$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.08 | 207 | 38.6%80 W · 127 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf64f…9f48backed PlayTime | 9c | 528.46$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.56 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -2.6wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed PARIVISION | 73c | 510.51$373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.84 | 233 | 42.9%100 W · 133 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked PARIVISION | 58c | 503.84$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.65 | 899 | 38%342 W · 557 L | -45.9wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -30%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed PARIVISION | 74c | 500$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 192 | 42.7%82 W · 110 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed PARIVISION | 76c | 500$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13c7…11d9backed PlayTime | 24c | 500$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 335 | 41.2%138 W · 197 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bd5…f982backed PlayTime | 23c | 500$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd832…4ab0backed PlayTime | 23c | 500$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed PARIVISION | 60c | 500$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 568 | 52.5%298 W · 270 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a73…9541backed PlayTime | 23c | 499.99$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa4…16e3backed PARIVISION | 62c | 499.98$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.99 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked PARIVISION | 69c | 488.24$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.45 | 531 | 39.5%210 W · 321 L | -37.2wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x69b9…a5d5backed PARIVISION | 69c | 485.71$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.71 | 88 | 50%44 W · 44 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf92c…87f7backed PlayTime | 23c | 463.29$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.56 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked PlayTime | 23c | 450$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.66 | 669 | 47.1%315 W · 354 L | -10.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d3…b8debacked PARIVISION | 60c | 450$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 700 | 52.3%366 W · 334 L | +47.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed PlayTime | 25c | 439$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.06 | 1,120 | 36.1%404 W · 716 L | -39.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x272d…bc2fbacked PARIVISION | 70c | 428.57$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.57 | 122 | 55.7%68 W · 54 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…e798backed PlayTime | 28c | 405.9$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.26 | 720 | 35.1%253 W · 467 L | -24.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86bc…efbcbacked PARIVISION | 79c | 404.7$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.05 | 235 | 55.7%131 W · 104 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d44…49e6backed PlayTime | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 721 | 54%389 W · 332 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe9f…31e3backed PARIVISION | 71c | 363.8$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.8 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2fe…695dbacked PlayTime | 14c | 348.8$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 173 | 49.1%85 W · 88 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…20b3backed PARIVISION | 72c | 342.73$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.14 | 542 | 46.7%253 W · 289 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad2a…99a3backed PlayTime | 40c | 330.72$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.79 | 237 | 36.7%87 W · 150 L | -17.3wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xffc4…b347backed PARIVISION | 63c | 325.4$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.17 | 294 | 66%194 W · 100 L | +9.5wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c73…750abacked PlayTime | 28c | 325.23$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.52 | 163 | 28.8%47 W · 116 L | -13.2wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: PlayTime vs PARIVISION (BO3) - 1win Essence Playoffsthis page
- Dota 2: PlayTime vs PARIVISION - Game 1 WinnerPARIVISION won
- Dota 2: PlayTime vs PARIVISION - Game 2 WinnerPlayTime won
- Game Handicap: PARI (-1.5) vs PlayTime (+1.5)PlayTime won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.